Specific projections (microsimulation)

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All (34) (0 to 10 of 34 results)

  • 1. Population projections on immigration and diversity: Interactive Dashboard
    Data Visualization: 71-607-X2022012
    Description:

    This interactive dashboard provides an overview of population projections on immigration and diversity prepared using the Demosim microsimulation projection model. Showing results coming from several projection scenarios, this tool allows users to quickly and easily explore data-such as population counts by geography, age group and generation status. Information is presented for the overall Canadian population as well as for each racialized group at various geographic levels including census metropolitan areas, provinces and territories.

    Release date: 2022-10-06
  • 2. Canada in 2041: A larger, more diverse population with greater differences between regions
    Stats in brief: 11-001-X202225134743
    Description: Release published in The Daily – Statistics Canada’s official release bulletin
    Release date: 2022-09-08
  • 3. Population projections on immigration and diversity for Canada and its regions, 2016 to 2041: Overview of projection assumptions and scenarios
    Articles and reports: 17-20-00012022001
    Description:

    This document briefly describes the assumptions and scenarios that were selected for the population projections for Canada and its regions on the themes of immigration and diversity for the period 2016 to 2041, produced using the Demosim microsimulation projection model.

    Release date: 2022-09-08
  • 4. Demosim: Reports and Analytical Studies
    Articles and reports: 17-20-0001
    Description: Demosim: Reports and Analytical Studies, published occasionally by the Centre for Demography of Statistics Canada, features analytical, technical and methodological documents related to Demosim, a microsimulation model designed to produce demographic projections for specific populations such as Indigenous peoples, immigrants and racialized groups. These documents are intended for a broad audience including demographers, researchers, policy makers as well as members of the general public interested in Canadian population trends.
    Release date: 2022-09-08
  • 5. Projected population by racialized group, generation status and other selected characteristics
    Table: 17-10-0146-01
    Geography: Canada, Geographical region of Canada, Province or territory, Census metropolitan area, Census metropolitan area part
    Frequency: Occasional
    Description:

    Projected population (in thousands) by racialized group, generation status, age group, sex, census metropolitan area of residence, provinces and territories of residence, Canada, 2016 (observed) and 2017 to 2041 (projected according to eleven scenarios).

    Release date: 2022-09-08
  • 6. Indigenous Population in Canada - Projections to 2041 Archived
    Stats in brief: 11-627-M2021066
    Description:

    This infographic briefly describes key results from the projections of the Indigenous populations in Canada for the period 2016 to 2041. Using different projection scenarios, it presents projection results through various demographic indicators. These projections are produced using the Demosim microsimulation projection model.

    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 7. Projections of the Indigenous populations and households in Canada, 2016 to 2041: Overview of data sources, methods, assumptions and scenarios
    Articles and reports: 17-20-00012021001
    Description:

    This document briefly describes the methods and data sources used in the preparation of the projections of the Indigenous populations and households in Canada for the period 2016 to 2041, produced using the Demosim microsimulation projection model. It also includes a description of the assumptions and scenarios that were selected for this projection exercise.

    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 8. First Nations people in Canada - Projections to 2041 Archived
    Stats in brief: 11-627-M2021067
    Description:

    This infographic briefly describes key results from the demographic projections of the First Nations people in Canada for the period 2016 to 2041. Using different projection scenarios, it presents projection results through various demographic indicators. These projections are produced using the Demosim microsimulation projection model.

    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 9. Métis in Canada - Projections to 2041 Archived
    Stats in brief: 11-627-M2021068
    Description:

    This infographic briefly describes key results from the demographic projections of the Métis in Canada for the period 2016 to 2041. Using different projection scenarios, it presents projection results through various demographic indicators. These projections are produced using the Demosim microsimulation projection model.

    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 10. Inuit in Canada - Projections to 2041 Archived
    Stats in brief: 11-627-M2021069
    Description:

    This infographic briefly describes key results from the demographic projections of the Inuit in Canada for the period 2016 to 2041. Using different projection scenarios, it presents projection results through various demographic indicators. These projections are produced using the Demosim microsimulation projection model.

    Release date: 2021-10-06
Data (8)

Data (8) ((8 results))

  • 1. Population projections on immigration and diversity: Interactive Dashboard
    Data Visualization: 71-607-X2022012
    Description:

    This interactive dashboard provides an overview of population projections on immigration and diversity prepared using the Demosim microsimulation projection model. Showing results coming from several projection scenarios, this tool allows users to quickly and easily explore data-such as population counts by geography, age group and generation status. Information is presented for the overall Canadian population as well as for each racialized group at various geographic levels including census metropolitan areas, provinces and territories.

    Release date: 2022-10-06
  • 2. Projected population by racialized group, generation status and other selected characteristics
    Table: 17-10-0146-01
    Geography: Canada, Geographical region of Canada, Province or territory, Census metropolitan area, Census metropolitan area part
    Frequency: Occasional
    Description:

    Projected population (in thousands) by racialized group, generation status, age group, sex, census metropolitan area of residence, provinces and territories of residence, Canada, 2016 (observed) and 2017 to 2041 (projected according to eleven scenarios).

    Release date: 2022-09-08
  • 3. Projections of the Indigenous Populations: Interactive Dashboard
    Data Visualization: 71-607-X2021022
    Description: This interactive dashboard provides an overview of Indigenous populations projections using the most recent results of the Demosim microsimulation projection model. Showing results coming from several projection scenarios, this tool allows users to quickly and easily explore data-such as population counts by geography and age group. Information for the overall Indigenous population as well as for specific Indigenous populations, notably, Registered Indians, First Nations people, Métis and Inuit are presented for all provinces and territories.
    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 4. Projected population by Indigenous identity, age group, sex, area of residence, provinces and territories, and projection scenario, Canada
    Table: 17-10-0144-01
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description: Projected population (in thousands) by Indigenous identity, age group, sex, area of residence, provinces and territories, Canada, 2016 (observed) and 2017 to 2041 (projected according to three scenarios).
    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 5. Projected population by Indigenous identity (variant prioritizing the Registered or Treaty Indian status), age group, sex, area of residence, provinces and territories, and projection scenario, Canada
    Table: 17-10-0145-01
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description:

    Projected population (in thousands) by Indigenous identity (variant prioritizing the Registered or Treaty Indian status), age group, sex, area of residence, provinces and territories, Canada, 2016 (observed) and 2017 to 2041 (projected according to three scenarios).

    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 6. Projections of the Aboriginal Population and Households in Canada Archived
    Table: 91-552-X
    Description:

    These analytical products present projections of the Canadian population by Aboriginal identity, place of residence, and other variables of interest according to various scenarios.

    Release date: 2015-09-17
  • 7. Projections of the Aboriginal Populations, Canada, Provinces and Territories Archived
    Table: 91-547-X
    Description:

    This analytical report presents population projections of the Aboriginal groups for Canada, provinces and territories, and for different types of residential areas. The projections cover the 2001 to 2017 period and show the contribution of the Aboriginal groups to the general demographic profile of Canada in 2017, the 150th anniversary of its Confederation. The report includes a description of the model used to produce the projections, assumptions which were developed for the future evolution of fertility, mortality and migration of the Aboriginal groups, and the major conclusions from the analysis of five projection scenarios.

    Release date: 2005-06-28
  • 8. Population Projections of Visible Minority Groups, Canada, Provinces and Regions Archived
    Table: 91-541-X
    Description:

    This report presents the main results of population projections according to some ethnocultural variables (visible minority group, immigrant status, religion, mother tongue) for Canada, provinces and selected metropolitan areas. Based on the January 1st 2001 estimation of the permanent resident population, results of five projection scenarios from a micro-simulation model that take into account differentials in behaviors and intergenerational transfers are presented for the years 2001 to 2017.

    Release date: 2005-03-22
Analysis (23)

Analysis (23) (10 to 20 of 23 results)

  • 11. The labour force in Canada and its regions: Projections to 2036 Archived
    Articles and reports: 75-006-X201900100004
    Description:

    In this study, data from the Demosim microsimulation model are used to assess the labour force participation rate of Canadians in 2036 under various scenarios of population growth and participation rate by age. In addition, the article provides an overview of the ethnocultural characteristics of persons who will be in the labour market in 2036, as well as an overview of regional differences that could exist in the labour force in 2036.

    Release date: 2019-03-20
  • 12. Characteristics related to the visible minority status of the Canadian labour force in 2017 and 2036 Archived
    Stats in brief: 89-28-0001201800100009
    Description:

    These tables show the projected distribution of the population aged 15 years and over by visible minority status and labour force status as well as the projected participation rate by visible minority status in 2017 and 2036 according to the reference scenario. The reference scenario assumes a medium growth of the population and a future evolution of participation rates which follows the trend observed from 1995 to 2017.

    Release date: 2018-10-29
  • 13. Characteristics related to the age structure of the Canadian labour force in 2017 and 2036 Archived
    Stats in brief: 89-28-0001201800100005
    Description:

    These tables show the projected distribution of the population aged 15 years and over by age group and labour force status as well as the projected participation rate by age group in 2017 and 2036 according to the reference scenario. The reference scenario assumes a medium growth of the population and a future evolution of participation rates which follows the trend observed from 1995 to 2017.

    Release date: 2018-09-11
  • 14. Language Projections for Canada, 2011 to 2036 Archived
    Articles and reports: 89-657-X2017001
    Description:

    Projection of four language variables with Demosim microsimulation model for Canada, provinces and territories, and language contact regions from 2011 to 2036.

    Release date: 2017-01-25
  • 15. Immigration and Diversity: Population Projections for Canada and its Regions, 2011 to 2036 Archived
    Articles and reports: 91-551-X2017001
    Description:

    This analytical product present projections of the diversity of the Canadian population. The purpose of these projections is to paint a potential portrait of the composition of Canada’s population according to different ethnocultural and language characteristics, if certain population growth scenarios were to become reality in the future. Produced using Demosim, a microsimulation model, these projections cover characteristics such as place of birth, generation status, visible minority group, religion and mother tongue.

    Release date: 2017-01-25
  • 16. Immigration and Diversity: Population Projections for Canada and its Regions
    Journals and periodicals: 91-551-X
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    These analytical products present projections of the diversity of the Canadian population. The purpose of these projections is to paint a potential portrait of the composition of Canada’s population according to different ethnocultural and language characteristics, if certain population growth scenarios were to become reality in the future. Produced using Demosim, a microsimulation model, these projections cover characteristics such as place of birth, generation status, visible minority group, religion and mother tongue.

    Release date: 2017-01-25
  • 17. The contribution of immigration to the size and ethnocultural diversity of future cohorts of seniors Archived
    Articles and reports: 75-006-X201600114345
    Description:

    This article analyzes the impact of immigration on the size and ethnocultural composition of future cohorts of seniors in Canada, using data from the Population Estimates Program, the Population Projections Program and other sources of demographic data.

    Release date: 2016-03-09
  • 18. Demosim's Population Projection Model: Updates and New Developments Archived
    Articles and reports: 11-522-X201300014289
    Description:

    This paper provides an overview of the main new features that will be added to the forthcoming version of the Demosim microsimulation projection model based on microdata from the 2011 National Household Survey. The paper first describes the additions to the base population, namely new variables, some of which are added to the National Household Survey data by means of data linkage. This is followed by a brief description of the methods being considered for the projection of language variables, citizenship and religion as examples of the new features for events simulated by the model.

    Release date: 2014-10-31
  • 19. Immigration and Diversity: Population Projections for Canada and its Regions, 2006 to 2031 Archived
    Articles and reports: 91-551-X2010001
    Description:

    This analytical product present projections of the diversity of the Canadian population. The purpose of these projections is to paint a potential portrait of the composition of Canada’s population according to different ethnocultural and language characteristics, if certain population growth scenarios were to become reality in the future. Produced using Demosim, a microsimulation model, these projections cover characteristics such as place of birth, generation status, visible minority group, religion and mother tongue.

    Release date: 2010-03-09
  • 20. Projecting the Future Availability of the Informal Support Network of the Elderly Population and Assessing Its Impact on Home Care Services Archived
    Articles and reports: 91F0015M2008009
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    In Canada, there has been growing discussion over the aging of the population and other socio-demographic trends which affect the availability of the informal support network of the elderly population. Noting the lower fertility rates of baby boomers, the increased participation of women in the labour force and changing family structure in terms of increased divorce and reconstituted families, assumptions of continued high level assistance from informal support networks - family and friends - are often criticized.

    The main objective of this research is to project the future availability of informal support network to meet the need for assistance in performing everyday activities among the disabled elderly population for the period 2001 to 2031. The research examined both sides - supply and demand - of the projected increases in need for assistance for disabled older persons. Future trends are analyzed in terms of demand for support, (that is, changes in the rates of disability among the elderly population), and supply of informal support, (which is largely related to the extent and composition of the family network). Data from two national surveys, the 1996 National Population Health Survey (NPHS) and the 1996 General Social Survey (GSS), are used to identify factors associated with disability and sources of assistance among the elderly population. These results were entered into Statistics Canada's LifePaths microsimulation model to project the use of informal and formal networks in the future. The model also incorporates three disability scenarios to test the sensitivity of the projections when different assumptions are considered. The implications of these trends on the future need for chronic home care services are discussed.

    The results show that for the period 2001 to 2031, the average annual growth rate of the number of disabled elderly needing assistance could be about 2.5%. However, the sensitivity analysis shows that an improvement in the health of the population could reduce in a non negligible way this growth rate.

    The results also show that, all things being equal, a greater proportion of elderly persons living with a spouse would relieve some of the pressure on the formal network. This positive effect could be dampened in part when joint survivorship is also meaning joint disability.

    Release date: 2008-12-18
Reference (3)

Reference (3) ((3 results))

  • 1. Projections of Aboriginal Families and Households in Canada Archived
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 11-522-X201300014290
    Description:

    This paper describes a new module that will project families and households by Aboriginal status using the Demosim microsimulation model. The methodology being considered would assign a household/family headship status annually to each individual and would use the headship rate method to calculate the number of annual families and households by various characteristics and geographies associated with Aboriginal populations.

    Release date: 2014-10-31
  • 2. Population projections on immigration and diversity for Canada and its regions
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 5126
    Description: This statistical program develops projections of the ethnocultural composition of population for Canada, provinces and census metropolitan areas, based on various assumptions and scenarios on population growth components.
  • 3. Projections of the Indigenous populations and households in Canada
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 5131
    Description: This statistical program develops projections of the Aboriginal population and households for Canada, the provinces and territories, census metropolitan areas (CMAs) and other selected regions. These projections are based on various assumptions and scenarios about components—demographic or otherwise—of growth.
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