Population projections

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All (53) (0 to 10 of 53 results)

  • 1. The Demosim microsimulation model at Statistics Canada: A tool for policy planning and evaluation
    Articles and reports: 17-20-00012025001
    Description: This article aims to provide users of population projections with an overview of Demosim, a microsimulation population projection model maintained at Statistics Canada. Through concrete examples, we demonstrate in which contexts Demosim can be useful to answer various research questions and to support public policy planning and evaluation. The advantages, complexities, and disadvantages of using such a model are also discussed.
    Release date: 2025-01-27
  • 2. Demosim: Reports and Analytical Studies
    Articles and reports: 17-20-0001
    Description: Demosim: Reports and Analytical Studies, published occasionally by the Centre for Demography of Statistics Canada, features analytical, technical and methodological documents related to Demosim, a microsimulation model designed to produce demographic projections for specific populations such as Indigenous peoples, immigrants and racialized groups. These documents are intended for a broad audience including demographers, researchers, policy makers as well as members of the general public interested in Canadian population trends.
    Release date: 2025-01-27
  • 3. Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories: Interactive Dashboard
    Data Visualization: 71-607-X2022015
    Description: This data visualization product provides interactive insights on the most recent population projections for Canada, provinces and territories.
    Release date: 2025-01-21
  • 4. Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories
    Table: 91-520-X
    Description: This report presents the results of the population projections by age group and sex for Canada, the provinces and territories. These projections are based on assumptions that take into account the most recent trends relating to components of population growth, particularly fertility, mortality, immigration, emigration and interprovincial migration.

    The detailed data tables are available in CODR: tables 1710005701 and 1710005801.

    Release date: 2025-01-21
  • 5. Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories: Technical Report on Methodology and Assumptions
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 91-620-X
    Description: This report aims to describe the methods used for the calculation of projection parameters, the various projection assumptions and their rationales.
    Release date: 2025-01-21
  • 6. Projected population, by projection scenario, age and gender, as of July 1
    Table: 17-10-0057-01
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description: Projected population according to various scenarios, age groups and gender, Canada, provinces and territories.
    Release date: 2025-01-21
  • 7. Population projections of the Canadian population, for Canada, provinces and territories
    Table: 17-10-0057-02
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description: The projected population of the Canadian population by projection scenario.
    Release date: 2025-01-21
  • 8. Components of projected population growth, by projection scenario
    Table: 17-10-0058-01
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description: Components of projected population growth by scenario: births, deaths, immigrants, net emigration, net interprovincial migration, net non-permanent residents.
    Release date: 2025-01-21
  • 9. Canadian labour force: What will happen once baby boomers retire?
    Articles and reports: 75-006-X202400100005
    Description: This study uses various demographic scenarios to examine the effects of different immigration levels and labour force participation rates on the size and composition of the Canadian labour force to 2041. These scenarios take into account the targets of the 2024–2026 Immigration Levels Plan, published in November 2023 by Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, as well as recent demographic developments, such as those related to the COVID-19 pandemic and the increase in the number of permanent and temporary immigrants admitted to Canada in 2022 and 2023.
    Release date: 2024-08-06
  • 10. Study: Canadian labour force: What happens after the baby boomers retire?
    Stats in brief: 11-001-X202421938366
    Description: Release published in The Daily – Statistics Canada’s official release bulletin
    Release date: 2024-08-06
Data (14)

Data (14) (0 to 10 of 14 results)

  • 1. Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories: Interactive Dashboard
    Data Visualization: 71-607-X2022015
    Description: This data visualization product provides interactive insights on the most recent population projections for Canada, provinces and territories.
    Release date: 2025-01-21
  • 2. Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories
    Table: 91-520-X
    Description: This report presents the results of the population projections by age group and sex for Canada, the provinces and territories. These projections are based on assumptions that take into account the most recent trends relating to components of population growth, particularly fertility, mortality, immigration, emigration and interprovincial migration.

    The detailed data tables are available in CODR: tables 1710005701 and 1710005801.

    Release date: 2025-01-21
  • 3. Projected population, by projection scenario, age and gender, as of July 1
    Table: 17-10-0057-01
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description: Projected population according to various scenarios, age groups and gender, Canada, provinces and territories.
    Release date: 2025-01-21
  • 4. Population projections of the Canadian population, for Canada, provinces and territories
    Table: 17-10-0057-02
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description: The projected population of the Canadian population by projection scenario.
    Release date: 2025-01-21
  • 5. Components of projected population growth, by projection scenario
    Table: 17-10-0058-01
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description: Components of projected population growth by scenario: births, deaths, immigrants, net emigration, net interprovincial migration, net non-permanent residents.
    Release date: 2025-01-21
  • 6. Population projections on immigration and diversity: Interactive Dashboard
    Data Visualization: 71-607-X2022012
    Description: This interactive dashboard provides an overview of population projections on immigration and diversity prepared using the Demosim microsimulation projection model. Showing results coming from several projection scenarios, this tool allows users to quickly and easily explore data-such as population counts by geography, age group and generation status. Information is presented for the overall Canadian population as well as for each racialized group at various geographic levels including census metropolitan areas, provinces and territories.
    Release date: 2022-10-06
  • 7. Projected population by racialized group, generation status and other selected characteristics
    Table: 17-10-0146-01
    Geography: Canada, Geographical region of Canada, Province or territory, Census metropolitan area, Census metropolitan area part
    Frequency: Occasional
    Description:

    Projected population (in thousands) by racialized group, generation status, age group, sex, census metropolitan area of residence, provinces and territories of residence, Canada, 2016 (observed) and 2017 to 2041 (projected according to eleven scenarios).

    Release date: 2022-09-08
  • 8. Projections of the Indigenous Populations: Interactive Dashboard
    Data Visualization: 71-607-X2021022
    Description: This interactive dashboard provides an overview of Indigenous populations projections using the most recent results of the Demosim microsimulation projection model. Showing results coming from several projection scenarios, this tool allows users to quickly and easily explore data-such as population counts by geography and age group. Information for the overall Indigenous population as well as for specific Indigenous populations, notably, Registered Indians, First Nations people, Métis and Inuit are presented for all provinces and territories.
    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 9. Projected population by Indigenous identity, age group, sex, area of residence, provinces and territories, and projection scenario, Canada
    Table: 17-10-0144-01
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description: Projected population (in thousands) by Indigenous identity, age group, sex, area of residence, provinces and territories, Canada, 2016 (observed) and 2017 to 2041 (projected according to three scenarios).
    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 10. Population projections of the Indigenous population, for Canada, provinces and territories
    Table: 17-10-0144-02
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description: The projected population of the Indigenous population by projection scenario.
    Release date: 2021-10-06
Analysis (35)

Analysis (35) (0 to 10 of 35 results)

  • 1. The Demosim microsimulation model at Statistics Canada: A tool for policy planning and evaluation
    Articles and reports: 17-20-00012025001
    Description: This article aims to provide users of population projections with an overview of Demosim, a microsimulation population projection model maintained at Statistics Canada. Through concrete examples, we demonstrate in which contexts Demosim can be useful to answer various research questions and to support public policy planning and evaluation. The advantages, complexities, and disadvantages of using such a model are also discussed.
    Release date: 2025-01-27
  • 2. Demosim: Reports and Analytical Studies
    Articles and reports: 17-20-0001
    Description: Demosim: Reports and Analytical Studies, published occasionally by the Centre for Demography of Statistics Canada, features analytical, technical and methodological documents related to Demosim, a microsimulation model designed to produce demographic projections for specific populations such as Indigenous peoples, immigrants and racialized groups. These documents are intended for a broad audience including demographers, researchers, policy makers as well as members of the general public interested in Canadian population trends.
    Release date: 2025-01-27
  • 3. Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories
    Table: 91-520-X
    Description: This report presents the results of the population projections by age group and sex for Canada, the provinces and territories. These projections are based on assumptions that take into account the most recent trends relating to components of population growth, particularly fertility, mortality, immigration, emigration and interprovincial migration.

    The detailed data tables are available in CODR: tables 1710005701 and 1710005801.

    Release date: 2025-01-21
  • 4. Canadian labour force: What will happen once baby boomers retire?
    Articles and reports: 75-006-X202400100005
    Description: This study uses various demographic scenarios to examine the effects of different immigration levels and labour force participation rates on the size and composition of the Canadian labour force to 2041. These scenarios take into account the targets of the 2024–2026 Immigration Levels Plan, published in November 2023 by Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, as well as recent demographic developments, such as those related to the COVID-19 pandemic and the increase in the number of permanent and temporary immigrants admitted to Canada in 2022 and 2023.
    Release date: 2024-08-06
  • 5. Study: Canadian labour force: What happens after the baby boomers retire?
    Stats in brief: 11-001-X202421938366
    Description: Release published in The Daily – Statistics Canada’s official release bulletin
    Release date: 2024-08-06
  • 6. Population projections: Canada, provinces and territories 2023 to 2073
    Stats in brief: 11-001-X20241764039
    Description: Release published in The Daily – Statistics Canada’s official release bulletin
    Release date: 2024-06-24
  • 7. Canada in 2041: A larger, more diverse population with greater differences between regions Archived
    Stats in brief: 11-001-X202225134743
    Description: Release published in The Daily – Statistics Canada’s official release bulletin
    Release date: 2022-09-08
  • 8. Population projections on immigration and diversity for Canada and its regions, 2016 to 2041: Overview of projection assumptions and scenarios
    Articles and reports: 17-20-00012022001
    Description:

    This document briefly describes the assumptions and scenarios that were selected for the population projections for Canada and its regions on the themes of immigration and diversity for the period 2016 to 2041, produced using the Demosim microsimulation projection model.

    Release date: 2022-09-08
  • 9. Projections of the Indigenous populations and households in Canada 2016 to 2041 Archived
    Stats in brief: 11-001-X202127931263
    Description: Release published in The Daily – Statistics Canada’s official release bulletin
    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 10. Projections of the Indigenous populations and households in Canada, 2016 to 2041: Overview of data sources, methods, assumptions and scenarios
    Articles and reports: 17-20-00012021001
    Description:

    This document briefly describes the methods and data sources used in the preparation of the projections of the Indigenous populations and households in Canada for the period 2016 to 2041, produced using the Demosim microsimulation projection model. It also includes a description of the assumptions and scenarios that were selected for this projection exercise.

    Release date: 2021-10-06
Reference (5)

Reference (5) ((5 results))

  • 1. Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories: Technical Report on Methodology and Assumptions
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 91-620-X
    Description: This report aims to describe the methods used for the calculation of projection parameters, the various projection assumptions and their rationales.
    Release date: 2025-01-21
  • 2. Projections of Aboriginal Families and Households in Canada Archived
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 11-522-X201300014290
    Description:

    This paper describes a new module that will project families and households by Aboriginal status using the Demosim microsimulation model. The methodology being considered would assign a household/family headship status annually to each individual and would use the headship rate method to calculate the number of annual families and households by various characteristics and geographies associated with Aboriginal populations.

    Release date: 2014-10-31
  • 3. Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 3602
    Description: This statistical program develops population projections for Canada, provinces and territories by age and sex, based on various assumptions on the components of population growth.
  • 4. Population projections on immigration and diversity for Canada and its regions
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 5126
    Description: This statistical program develops projections of the ethnocultural composition of population for Canada, provinces and census metropolitan areas, based on various assumptions and scenarios on population growth components.
  • 5. Projections of the Indigenous populations and households in Canada
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 5131
    Description: This statistical program develops projections of the Aboriginal population and households for Canada, the provinces and territories, census metropolitan areas (CMAs) and other selected regions. These projections are based on various assumptions and scenarios about components—demographic or otherwise—of growth.

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