Registered or Treaty Indians in Canada – Projections to 2041

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Release date: October 6, 2021

Infographic: Registered or Treaty Indians in Canada – Projections to 2041 — Description: Registered or Treaty Indians in Canada – Projections to 2041

The Registered Indian^{Note 1} population was estimated at 910,000 in 2016. Depending on the projection scenario, it could reach between 1.1 million and 1.4 million in 2041.^{Note 2} The average annual growth rate would vary between 0.8% and 1.8% between 2016 and 2041.

Table 1
Table summary
This table displays the results of Table 1. The information is grouped by Year (appearing as row headers), Registered Indian population, estimated (2016) and projected (2021 to 2041) (appearing as column headers).
Year Registered Indian population, estimated (2016) and projected (2021 to 2041)

2016 910,000

2021 Between 977,000 and 982,000

2026 Between 1,028,000 and 1,108,000

2031 Between 1,065,000 and 1,237,000

2036 Between 1,094,000 and 1,342,000

2041 Between 1,120,000 and 1,425,000

The median age of the Registered Indian population is projected to be between 37.9 and 38.6 years in 2041, up from 28.1 years in 2016. In comparison, the median age of the non-Indigenous population is projected to increase from 41.4 to 44.7 years over the same period.^{Note 2}

Proportion of Registered Indians living on reserve

In 2016, 42.4% of Registered Indians lived on reserve. This proportion is projected to decrease to between 34.0% and 39.2% in 2041.

By 2041, the Registered Indian population would increase in all Canadian provinces and regions.

Table 2
Table summary
This table displays the results of Table 2. The information is grouped by Region (appearing as row headers), Registered Indian population (appearing as column headers).
Region Registered Indian population

Estimated in 2016 Projected in 2041 Change between 2016 and 2041

Atlantic provinces 58,000 Between 59,000 and 77,000 Increase

Quebec 90,000 Between 105,000 and 147,000 Increase

Ontario 194,000 Between 228,000 and 314,000 Increase

Manitoba 140,000 Between 183,000 and 212,000 Increase

Saskatchewan 120,000 Between 162,000 and 189,000 Increase

Alberta 138,000 Between 183,000 and 231,000 Increase

British Columbia 149,000 Between 179,000 and 231,000 Increase

Territories 21,000 Between 21,000 and 24,000 Increase

By 2041, the Registered Indian population living on reserve would increase in all provinces and in the region combining the four Atlantic provinces.

Table 3
Table summary
This table displays the results of Table 3. The information is grouped by Region (appearing as row headers), Registered Indian population living on reserve (appearing as column headers).
Region Registered Indian population living on reserve

Estimated in 2016 Projected in 2041 Change between 2016 and 2041

Canada 386,000 Between 439,000 and 485,000 Increase

Atlantic provinces 21,000 Between 25,000 and 27,000 Increase

Quebec 53,000 Between 59,000 and 65,000 Increase

Ontario 69,000 Between 70,000 and 77,000 Increase

Manitoba 69,000 Between 79,000 and 88,000 Increase

Saskatchewan 58,000 Between 68,000 and 75,000 Increase

Alberta 58,000 Between 63,000 and 70,000 Increase

British Columbia 57,000 Between 75,000 and 82,000 Increase

Territories Fewer than 500 Fewer than 500 N.A.

**Source:** Statistics Canada, Centre for Demography, Demosim 2021.

Notes

Footnote 1.

In this infographic, the term “Registered Indians” refers to Registered or Treaty Indians.

Return to note 1 referrer

Footnote 2.

The range of results presented comes from the results of the three projection scenarios developed: the low-, medium- and high-growth scenarios for Indigenous populations. For the non-Indigenous population, only a medium-growth scenario is used.

Return to note 2 referrer

Table 1
Table summary
This table displays the results of Table 1. The information is grouped by Year (appearing as row headers), Registered Indian population, estimated (2016) and projected (2021 to 2041) (appearing as column headers).
Year	Registered Indian population, estimated (2016) and projected (2021 to 2041)
2016	910,000
2021	Between 977,000 and 982,000
2026	Between 1,028,000 and 1,108,000
2031	Between 1,065,000 and 1,237,000
2036	Between 1,094,000 and 1,342,000
2041	Between 1,120,000 and 1,425,000

Table 2
Table summary
This table displays the results of Table 2. The information is grouped by Region (appearing as row headers), Registered Indian population (appearing as column headers).
Region	Registered Indian population
Estimated in 2016	Projected in 2041	Change between 2016 and 2041
Atlantic provinces	58,000	Between 59,000 and 77,000	Increase
Quebec	90,000	Between 105,000 and 147,000	Increase
Ontario	194,000	Between 228,000 and 314,000	Increase
Manitoba	140,000	Between 183,000 and 212,000	Increase
Saskatchewan	120,000	Between 162,000 and 189,000	Increase
Alberta	138,000	Between 183,000 and 231,000	Increase
British Columbia	149,000	Between 179,000 and 231,000	Increase
Territories	21,000	Between 21,000 and 24,000	Increase

Table 3
Table summary
This table displays the results of Table 3. The information is grouped by Region (appearing as row headers), Registered Indian population living on reserve (appearing as column headers).
Region	Registered Indian population living on reserve
Estimated in 2016	Projected in 2041	Change between 2016 and 2041
Canada	386,000	Between 439,000 and 485,000	Increase
Atlantic provinces	21,000	Between 25,000 and 27,000	Increase
Quebec	53,000	Between 59,000 and 65,000	Increase
Ontario	69,000	Between 70,000 and 77,000	Increase
Manitoba	69,000	Between 79,000 and 88,000	Increase
Saskatchewan	58,000	Between 68,000 and 75,000	Increase
Alberta	58,000	Between 63,000 and 70,000	Increase
British Columbia	57,000	Between 75,000 and 82,000	Increase
Territories	Fewer than 500	Fewer than 500	N.A.

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Published by authority of the Minister responsible for Statistics Canada.

Catalogue no. 11-627-M

Frequency: Occasional

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Registered or Treaty Indians in Canada – Projections to 2041

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Proportion of Registered Indians living on reserve

Registered or Treaty Indians in Canada – Projections to 2041

Archived Content

Proportion of Registered Indians living on reserve

Note of appreciation

Standards of service to the public

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