Housing Statistics in Canada
The homeownership trajectories of recent immigrants

Release date: June 16, 2026

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Overview

This article examines homeownership among recent immigrants to Canada and their pathways leading up to homeownership. It combines information from the Canadian Housing Statistics Program on homeowners in seven provinces—Prince Edward Island, Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Ontario, Manitoba, Alberta and British Columbia—with immigration data for individuals who were admitted as permanent residents from 2017 to 2021. This is the second in a series of articles published in Housing Statistics in Canada that investigate homeownership among newcomers to Canada.

Key findings

  • From 2018 to 2021, the homeownership rate increased for recent immigrants and decreased for Canadian-born individuals. In Ontario, the homeownership rate for recent immigrants in the fifth year after admission rose from 35.7% in 2018 to 40.2% in 2021, while it fell from 50.7% to 47.8% for Canadian-born individuals.
  • By their fifth year after admission to Canada, economic-class immigrants had homeownership rates comparable to those of Canadian-born individuals. In British Columbia, economic-class immigrants in their fifth year after admission had a homeownership rate of 40.1%, compared with 43.3% for Canadian-born individuals. 
  • By their fifth year after admission to Canada, recent immigrants in the Maritime provinces and Manitoba had homeownership rates similar to those of Canadian-born individuals. The homeownership gap between recent immigrants and Canadian-born individuals was larger in Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia.
  • Immigrant homeownership rates varied significantly by province and by region of the world in which immigrants were born.
  • Recent immigrant homebuyers had lower incomes but purchased more expensive homes than Canadian-born buyers. This difference may be associated with higher mortgage debt and lower retirement savings among recent immigrant homebuyers.

Introduction

For the past 25 years, Canada’s population growth has been largely driven by immigration (Statistics Canada, 2025a). From 2022 to 2024, Canada admitted a historic number of newcomers (Statistics Canada, 2024a). Though the number of admissions decreased in 2024, the rate of homeownership among those already admitted may increase as they spend more time in the country (Zhang and Hou, 2025).

Canada has long maintained policies designed to promote homeownership, such as capital gains tax exemptions on primary residences and mortgage loan guarantees (Evans and Wikander, 2024). Owning a home has been found to be associated with wealth accumulation (Statistics Canada, 2024b) and improved mental health (Montazer, 2022). For immigrants specifically, wealth is largely composed of housing equity (Morissette, 2019), and homeownership is often viewed as an indicator of economic integration into Canadian society (Edmonston and Lee, 2013). Moreover, recent research has linked changes in the share of immigrants within a municipality to changes in local rental costs and house prices (Hou, Koumaglo and Zhang, 2025).

This article—the second in a series on homeownership among newcomers—examines homeownershipNote among recent immigrants, using a new data linkage between the Canadian Housing Statistics Program and the Longitudinal Immigration Database. These administrative data sources allow for more granular and geographically disaggregated results on recent immigrant homeownership than were previously available. The first article in this series leveraged these data to analyze a previously unmeasured population, homeowners who were in Canada on a temporary basis (such as international students or foreign workers).

This study focuses on tax filers aged 25 to 54 in the reference year who were recent immigrants, that is, individuals who were in their first five years after admission as permanent residents (see Definitions section).Note The data cover Prince Edward Island, Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Ontario, Manitoba, Alberta and British Columbia. Individuals are not followed longitudinally but are instead observed cross sectionally in 2021 based on snapshots taken in their first, third or fifth year after being admitted as permanent residents. The analysis captures the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic, includes the large decrease in immigration in 2020 associated with pandemic-era travel restrictions and precedes the sharp increase in immigration that began in 2022. The results should be interpreted within the dynamic context of this period.

1  Homeownership trajectories

1.1  Homeownership in the first five years

Homeownership was more common for recent immigrants who had been in Canada longer. This is consistent with the idea that owning a home is typically preceded by a period of income growth, credit building and wealth accumulation in the host country. The highest homeownership rates were for recent immigrants living in the Maritime provinces and Manitoba. Homeownership among recent immigrants generally mirrored provincial trends among the Canadian-born population, who experienced higher ownership rates in the Maritime provinces and Manitoba and lower rates in Ontario and British Columbia. By their fifth year in Canada, recent immigrants in the comparatively more affordable Maritime provinces and Manitoba had homeownership rates similar to those of Canadian-born tax filers aged 25 to 54.

Chart 1  In 2021, recent immigrants in the Maritime provinces had the highest rate of homeownership

Data table for Chart 1
Data table for chart 1
Table summary
The information is grouped by Province (appearing as row headers), First year as immigrant, Third year as immigrant, Fifth year as immigrant and Canadian-born, calculated using percent units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Province First year as immigrant Third year as immigrant Fifth year as immigrant Canadian-born
percent
Notes: The Canadian-born columns pertain to tax filers aged 25 to 54 who were alive as of 2021. Homeownership data were not available for Newfoundland and Labrador, Quebec, and Saskatchewan. Because of low counts (and to maintain confidentiality), they were suppressed for the territories.
Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Housing Statistics Program, 2022.
Prince Edward Island 10.5 35.9 49.8 52.5
Nova Scotia 11.5 33.5 48.1 49.8
New Brunswick 14.5 41.3 56.6 54.8
Ontario 7.4 24.9 40.2 47.8
Manitoba 13.4 32.0 47.9 50.0
Alberta 8.3 23.4 39.7 51.9
British Columbia 8.2 25.0 37.5 43.3

Most immigrants who owned a home in their first year had previous Canadian experience. In each province covered, over 85% of those who owned homes in their first year as recent immigrants had already lived in Canada as non-permanent residents—on work or study permits, or on asylum claims—before being admitted as permanent residents.

1.2  Changes in the rate of homeownership across time

Recent immigrant cohorts had higher homeownership rates in 2021 than in 2018. In the three provinces for which multiple years of data were available—Nova Scotia, Ontario and British Columbia—recent immigrants were more likely to be homeowners in 2021 than in 2018, regardless of their arrival cohort.Note During this same period, the Canadian-born group experienced a decline in homeownership in all three provinces analyzed, a trend that began in 2011 and could be tied to housing costs outpacing wage growth (Statistics Canada, 2025a; Zhu, Chen and Su, 2025).

Chart 2 Recent immigrants were more likely to be homeowners in 2021 than in 2018

Data table for Chart 2
Data table for chart 2
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for chart 2 Nova Scotia, Ontario and British Columbia, calculated using percent units of measure (appearing as column headers).
  Nova Scotia Ontario British Columbia
percent
Note: Only the provinces of Nova Scotia, Ontario and British Columbia are analyzed for this chart, since comparable 2018 data are unavailable for the other provinces.
Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Housing Statistics Program, 2022.
2018  
First year as immigrant 8.18 6.70 8.65
Third year as immigrant 24.96 21.88 22.99
Fifth year as immigrant 34.78 35.70 33.39
Canadian-born 51.11 50.70 44.66
2021  
First year as immigrant 11.49 7.38 8.20
Third year as immigrant 33.48 24.86 25.03
Fifth year as immigrant 48.12 40.25 37.54
Canadian-born 49.82 47.82 43.26

Yet recent immigrants experienced significant gains in wages during this same period. In Ontario, the median family income of recent immigrants was $61,000 in 2018 and $75,000 in 2021, a $14,000 increase.Note By comparison, the median family income of Canadian-born individuals in Ontario increased by $2,000, from $107,000 in 2018 to $109,000 in 2021.

Paired with historically low interest rates starting in 2020, the larger income gains among recent immigrants may have contributed to their increased homeownership rate in 2021, even as ownership rates declined among the Canadian-born population.

1.3  Homeownership rate by immigration class

By their fifth year in Canada, recent economic-class immigrants had homeownership rates comparable to those of Canadian-born individuals. Meanwhile, recent family-sponsored immigrants had the second-highest homeownership rates and refugees had the lowest, regardless of province or years since admission.Note Nonetheless, in several provinces, at least 1 in 10 refugees were homeowners after five years of settlement, including nearly 1 in 5 in Ontario.

Chart 3 Homeownership rate by immigration class

Data table for Chart 3
Data table for chart 3
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for chart 3 First year as immigrants, Third year as immigrants and Fifth year as immigrants, calculated using percent units of measure (appearing as column headers).
  First year as immigrants Third year as immigrants Fifth year as immigrants
percent
Note F

too unreliable to be published

Notes: Categories for which no bar is present have been suppressed because of low counts. Results for Prince Edward Island and the territories are suppressed for the same reason. Homeownership data were not available for Newfoundland and Labrador, Quebec, and Saskatchewan.
Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Housing Statistics Program, 2022.
Economic  
Nova Scotia 12.11 36.76 53.20
New Brunswick 15.37 44.09 63.66
Ontario 8.40 29.11 48.25
Manitoba 15.15 35.37 52.93
Alberta 10.70 29.16 46.64
British
Columbia
9.00 28.10 40.11
Family  
Nova Scotia 11.24 31.07 43.77
New Brunswick F too unreliable to be published 33.46 50.23
Ontario 6.12 21.84 33.40
Manitoba 6.10 27.71 43.56
Alberta 4.61 18.79 34.08
British
Columbia
6.50 21.87 36.94
Refugee  
Nova Scotia F too unreliable to be published F too unreliable to be published 16.04
New Brunswick F too unreliable to be published F too unreliable to be published F too unreliable to be published
Ontario 4.04 11.22 19.59
Manitoba 3.61 6.84 14.11
Alberta 3.55 6.07 13.18
British
Columbia
2.46 3.84 10.36

1.4  Homeownership rate by world area of birth

There were significant differences in homeownership rates among recent immigrants based on their province of residence and their world area of birth (Chart 4).Note Note Some groups experienced comparable ownership rates across provinces. For example, South Asians in their fifth year after admission had homeownership rates from 46.0% in British Columbia to 53.8% in Ontario. Other groups exhibited larger geographic variation: the homeownership rates of Southeast AsiansNote in their fifth year ranged from 23.3% in Ontario to 59.9% in New Brunswick. Uncovering within-group, cross-provincial differences in homeownership rates is a novel contribution made possible by newly available administrative data sources on housing and immigration.

Several factors could be leading to such within-group geographic variation. The entry profile of recent immigrants (with respect to previous Canadian experience [Hou and Picot, 2024]), experiences of discrimination (Lewis and Moriah, 2024) and house prices (Canadian Real Estate Association, 2025), among other factors, may all vary across provinces. Exploring the interplay of these different factors requires complex modelling beyond the scope of this article.

Chart 4 In 2021, recent permanent residents from East Asia were the most likely to be homeowners in Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia

Data table for Chart 4
Data table for chart 4
Table summary
The information is grouped by Region of birth and year as immigrant (appearing as row headers), Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Ontario, Manitoba, Alberta and British Columbia, calculated using percent units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Region of birth and year as immigrant Nova Scotia New Brunswick Ontario Manitoba Alberta British Columbia
percent
Notes: The solid black line represents the percentage of Canadian-born individuals who were property owners at the end of 2021 within each province, and acts as a reference point. Each point in a line represents the proportion of property owners at the end of 2021 among different recent immigrant cohorts who landed in 2021 (first year after admission), 2020 (second), 2019 (third), 2018 (fourth) or 2017 (fifth year after admission). Results for Prince Edward Island for all years of admission and regions of origin have been suppressed because of insufficient data. Homeownership data were not available for Newfoundland and Labrador, Quebec, and Saskatchewan. Because of low counts, they were suppressed for the territories.
Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Housing Statistics Program, 2022.
Africa & Middle East  
1 6.97 9.39 4.59 6.85 3.98 4.69
2 17.37 19.73 10.38 15.53 8.70 12.59
3 26.02 30.72 15.14 21.04 14.31 14.42
4 32.56 42.95 22.51 30.21 23.64 20.01
5 36.06 41.35 25.92 33.53 26.23 23.14
Canadian-born  
1 49.82 54.82 47.82 50.01 51.92 43.26
2 49.82 54.82 47.82 50.01 51.92 43.26
3 49.82 54.82 47.82 50.01 51.92 43.26
4 49.82 54.82 47.82 50.01 51.92 43.26
5 49.82 54.82 47.82 50.01 51.92 43.26
East Asia  
1 19.23 27.89 23.81 29.23 21.97 17.77
2 34.21 63.30 39.83 41.07 37.71 34.61
3 44.72 47.18 46.66 41.31 39.24 38.42
4 53.99 62.24 54.83 46.91 52.73 45.77
5 59.84 51.79 59.19 55.26 52.57 51.35
Europe, USA & Oceania  
1 29.48 20.39 8.93 21.30 14.06 6.97
2 38.37 45.69 19.80 39.54 26.44 17.30
3 46.77 51.44 24.68 47.42 33.03 21.68
4 56.07 59.19 33.48 55.95 40.92 29.11
5 64.29 72.96 39.04 58.30 48.13 35.45
South & Central America  
1 12.84 24.06 5.95 21.79 11.36 3.76
2 27.39 47.31 14.43 39.67 19.27 14.53
3 29.29 46.23 18.33 48.07 24.96 17.39
4 37.72 53.24 23.57 46.69 31.04 24.82
5 42.57 56.82 28.04 45.30 36.07 27.76
South Asia  
1 7.50 10.87 4.98 8.71 6.55 6.52
2 23.09 34.17 18.43 17.80 15.78 21.18
3 31.84 41.88 27.83 28.84 25.57 27.88
4 42.91 48.37 41.60 38.43 38.27 38.72
5 53.81 53.05 50.85 50.80 46.70 45.98
Southeast Asia  
1 5.45 13.06 4.32 9.14 4.95 3.90
2 16.67 29.27 10.79 21.70 12.43 13.36
3 23.63 45.66 13.68 34.56 21.55 15.32
4 26.49 47.16 19.04 40.38 30.38 18.48
5 31.99 59.94 23.29 50.20 37.76 22.29

2  Pathways to homeownership

Recent immigrant first-time homebuyersNote paid more to purchase a homeNote while earning lower incomes than Canadian-born first-time homebuyers (Table 1).Note This section seeks to determine whether certain pathways to homeownership (such as buying in groups of three or more people or taking on more mortgage debt) are more common among recent immigrants. The analysis focuses on market sales in Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Manitoba and British Columbia, where sales data are currently available from the Canadian Housing Statistics Program.

Table 1
Median purchase price, median family income, and median purchase price to family income ratio of recent immigrant and Canadian-born first-time homebuyers Table summary
The information is grouped by Province (appearing as row headers), Recent immigrants, Canadian-born, Median purchase price ($), Median family income ($), Median PFIR, Median purchase price ($), Median family income ($) and Median PFIR, calculated using dollars, number, dollars and number units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Province Recent immigrants Canadian-born
Median purchase price ($) Median family income ($) Median PFIR Median purchase price ($) Median family income ($) Median PFIR
dollars number dollars number
Note: PFIR = price-to-family-income ratio.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Canadian Housing Statistics Program, T1 Family File and Longitudinal Immigration Database.
Nova Scotia 390,000 105,000 3.53 285,000 110,000 2.53
New Brunswick 250,000 90,000 2.69 200,000 95,000 2.03
Manitoba 340,000 90,000 3.64 295,000 100,000 2.84
British Columbia 660,000 125,000 4.93 580,000 135,000 4.35

One way to attain homeownership despite lower incomes is to invest more in housing equity than in other investment vehicles. Indeed, recent immigrants who purchased a home in 2021 were less likely to contribute to a Registered Retirement Savings Plan (RRSP)Note in that year than Canadian-born homebuyers (Table 2).Note Prioritizing property over registered retirement savings may therefore represent a favoured pathway to homeownership among recent immigrants.Note

Table 2
Proportion of first-time homebuyers who contributed to a Registered Retirement Savings Plan in the year of purchase Table summary
The information is grouped by Province (appearing as row headers), Recent immigrants and Canadian-born , calculated using percent units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Province Recent immigrants Canadian-born
percent
Note: The table pertains to tax-filing buyers aged 25 to 54 who were alive as of 2021.
Sources: Statistics Canada, T1 Family File and Longitudinal Immigration Database.
Nova Scotia 28.3 43.5
New Brunswick 24.8 41.0
Manitoba 28.4 45.9
British Columbia 16.8 36.1

Pooling resources via group or off-market purchases does not seem to have been a major pathway to homeownership among recent immigrants.Note In 2021 in British Columbia, 5.9% of purchases among recent immigrants involved three or more buyers, compared with 8.5% among the Canadian-born population, a trend mirrored in other provinces.Note

Larger mortgage debt, however, may have been more common among recent immigrants.Note According to data from Statistics Canada surveys, homeowner households headed by recent immigrants younger than 35 yearsNote paid higher monthly mortgages in the period from 2018 to 2021 than comparable Canadian-born households (Table 3). A similar trend of higher recent immigrant mortgage debt also held with regard to the amount of the mortgage loan that remained to be repaid, also known as outstanding mortgage debt (see Appendix A).

Table 3
Average monthly mortgage payments of recent immigrant and Canadian-born homeowners with a mortgage Table summary
The information is grouped by Year (appearing as row headers), Average monthly mortgage payment, Recent immigrants and Canadian-born (ref.), calculated using dollars units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Year Average monthly mortgage payment
Recent immigrants Canadian-born (ref.)
dollars
Notes: Statistical significance is calculated only for the difference between recent immigrant and Canadian-born households, for a particular year. Other differences, such as those among recent immigrants across multiple years, have not been assessed for statistical significance. The results pertain to a nationally representative sample (across Canada’s 10 provinces) of homeowner households that had a mortgage on their principal residence and that did not hold a second or third mortgage or more. The dollar value of the monthly payment excludes property taxes. The immigrant status and age of the principal respondent were applied to the entire household, and the sample was restricted to instances where the principal respondent was younger than 35.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Canadian Housing Survey, 2018, 2021 and 2022; Survey of Financial Security, 2019 and 2023; and Canadian Income Survey, 2017 to 2021.
2017 1,355 1,275
2018 1,640 Table 3  Note * 1,335
2019 1,700 Table 3  Note * 1,375
2020 2,060 Table 3  Note ** 1,370
2021 1,920 Table 3  Note ** 1,420

Another possibility is the use of unaccounted funds—specifically, accumulated wealth or undeclared income from abroad—to help make up the difference between declared income and purchase prices. Price-to-family-income ratios (PFIRs) provide an indirect test of this possibility.Note If the purchase price among recent immigrant first-time homebuyers is much higher than their declared annual family income, it may indicate greater use of unaccounted funds to purchase properties (but may also indicate a greater use of mortgage debt).Note In 2021, in British Columbia, the PFIRs for first-time homebuyers were 4.9 among recent immigrants and 4.4 among the Canadian-born population (similar trends were found in the other provinces; see Table 1).Note While the results suggest that unaccounted funds could play a role in explaining the difference in PFIRs, additional modelling work is needed to explore this hypothesis further.Note

In conclusion, these findings suggest that the recent immigrant path to homeownership is characterized by higher mortgage debt and a greater emphasis on building equity through the purchase of a principal residence rather than through retirement contributions. Consequently, recent immigrant buyers may have been more exposed to shifts in the housing market than their Canadian-born counterparts. In the short and medium term, higher purchase prices may have resulted in larger mortgages and higher monthly payments for many recent buyers. In the longer term, lower retirement savings and higher mortgage debt may tie the financial security of recent immigrant homeowners more closely to the value of their residential properties.Note

Appendix A

According to nationally representative surveys, average outstanding mortgage debt—that is, how much remains to be paid—for homeowner households with a mortgage headed by a recent immigrant or a Canadian-born person younger than 35 years was as follows:

Table A.1
Average outstanding mortgage debt Table summary
The information is grouped by Year (appearing as row headers), Recent immigrants, Canadian-born and p-value, calculated using dollars and number units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Year Recent immigrants Canadian-born p-value
dollars number
Notes: Statistical significance is calculated only for the difference between recent immigrant and Canadian-born households, for a particular year. Other differences, such as those among recent immigrants across multiple years, have not been assessed for statistical significance. The results pertain to a nationally representative sample (across Canada’s 10 provinces) of homeowner households that had a mortgage on their principal residence and that did not hold a second or third mortgage or more. The immigrant status and age of the principal respondent were applied to the entire household, and the sample was restricted to instances where the principal respondent was younger than 35.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Canadian Housing Survey, 2018, 2021 and 2022; and Survey of Financial Security, 2016, 2019 and 2023.
2016 320,000 230,000 0.000
2018 305,000 220,000 0.045
2019 315,000 240,000 0.121
2021 330,000 260,000 0.220
2022 400,000 310,000 0.109
2023 450,000 265,000 0.000

Because data on outstanding mortgage debt were available less frequently, a slightly longer interval of years is used. In addition, smaller survey sample sizes make it more difficult to establish statistically significant differences between estimates for the recent immigrant and Canadian-born subsamples, even though estimates of average outstanding mortgage debt were higher among recent immigrant households in all years analyzed.

Note to readers

The housing data in this study are compiled from the Canadian Housing Statistics Program (CHSP) for the 2022 reference year. The geographical coverage for homeowners in the study includes all provinces and territories (except Newfoundland and Labrador, Saskatchewan, and Quebec), while the geographical coverage for homebuyers is Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Manitoba and British Columbia.

Permanent resident homeownership estimates are derived from linkage between the CHSP and the permanent resident landing file of the Longitudinal Immigration Database, up to the end of the 2021 reference year. The landing file includes all individuals who received permanent resident status from 1980 onward. For the 2021 reference year, if a recent immigrant received their permanent resident status in 2021, they were considered to be in their first year after admission, those who received it in 2019 were in their third year and those who received it in 2017 were in their fifth year.

For the Canadian-born population and immigrants, the province in which income taxes were filed was taken to be the province of residence. Information on the tax province of an individual was obtained through linkage to the T1 Family File. Consequently, this study is limited to individuals aged 25 to 54 years in the reference year who filed income taxes. The income tax-filing rates of permanent residents in the first five years after arrival were 80% to 90% for the 2021 reference year, varying by province and by time since admission as a permanent resident.

To ensure confidentiality, all domains and subcategories used to derive results—for example, the number of immigrants in their third year after admission as permanent residents who own homes, reside in Alberta and arrived as refugees (the numerator in a homeownership proportion calculation)—include at least 30 individuals. Figures were suppressed when this threshold was not met.

The CHSP disseminates data based on the geographical boundaries from the Standard Geographical Classification 2021. The CHSP database does not contain information about residential properties on reserves. 

For this article, a non-standard geographical classification of world areas of birth was used, and it comprises six categories: East Asia (including China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Japan, North Korea, South Korea, Macao and Mongolia); South Asia (including Bangladesh, Bhutan, the British Indian Ocean Territory, Sri Lanka, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Tibet); Southeast Asia (including Brunei Darussalam, Myanmar, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, the Philippines, Timor-Leste, Singapore, Viet Nam and Thailand); Africa and the Middle East (including all countries on the African continent and surrounding island nations, as well as Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Armenia, Cyprus, Georgia, the West Bank and Gaza, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Kazakhstan, Jordan, Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, the United Arab Emirates, Türkiye, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Yemen); South and Central America (including all countries in the Americas south of the United States of America and all Caribbean island nations); and Europe, the United States and Oceania (including all European countries, the United States, and all Oceanic states and territories).

In this paper, multiple survey sources were combined to increase the accuracy of an estimate. This was done using the “separate approach” methodology and accompanying best practices described by Binder and Roberts (2009), and Wendt (2007). Under the separate approach, an estimate was sought as the linear combination of M survey estimates:

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where X i MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaahOart1ev3aqatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVCI8FfYJH8YrFfeuY=Hhbbf9v8qqaqFr0xc9pk0xbb a9q8WqFfeaY=biLkVcLq=JHqpepeea0=as0Fb9pgeaYRXxe9vr0=vr 0=vqpWqaaeaabiGaciaacaqabeaadaqaaqaaaOqaaabaaaaaaaaape Gaamiwa8aadaWgaaWcbaWdbiaadMgaa8aabeaaaaa@3834@ are survey estimates with true, finite design-based variance V X i MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaahOart1ev3aqatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaaeaaaaaaaaa8 qacaWGwbWaaeWaa8aabaWdbiaadIfapaWaaSbaaSqaa8qacaWGPbaa paqabaaak8qacaGLOaGaayzkaaaaaa@3ADC@ . After verifying that the survey estimates are contextually consistent and stochastically independent, the coefficients a i MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaahOart1ev3aqatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVCI8FfYJH8YrFfeuY=Hhbbf9v8qqaqFr0xc9pk0xbb a9q8WqFfeaY=biLkVcLq=JHqpepeea0=as0Fb9pgeaYRXxe9vr0=vr 0=vqpWqaaeaabiGaciaacaqabeaadaqaaqaaaOqaaabaaaaaaaaape Gaamyya8aadaWgaaWcbaWdbiaadMgaa8aabeaaaaa@383D@ (non-negative and summing to 1) resulting in the lowest variance for the combined estimate can be derived using Lagrange multipliers:

a i  =  V X i 1   j=1 M V X j 1 MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaahOart1ev3aqatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVCI8FfYJH8YrFfeuY=Hhbbf9v8qqaqFr0xc9pk0xbb a9q8WqFfeaY=biLkVcLq=JHqpepeea0=as0Fb9pgeaYRXxe9vr0=vr 0=vqpWqaaeaabiGaciaacaqabeaadaqaaqaaaOqaaabaaaaaaaaape Gaamyya8aadaWgaaWcbaWdbiaadMgaa8aabeaak8qacaGGGcGaeyyp a0JaaiiOamaaliaapaqaa8qacaWGwbWaaeWaa8aabaWdbiaadIfapa WaaSbaaSqaa8qacaWGPbaapaqabaaak8qacaGLOaGaayzkaaWdamaa CaaaleqabaWdbiabgkHiTiaaigdaaaGccaGGGcaapaqaa8qadaGfWb qabSWdaeaapeGaamOAaiabg2da9iaaigdaa8aabaWdbiaad2eaa0Wd aeaapeGaeyyeIuoaaOGaamOvamaabmaapaqaa8qacaWGybWdamaaBa aaleaapeGaamOAaaWdaeqaaaGcpeGaayjkaiaawMcaa8aadaahaaWc beqaa8qacqGHsislcaaIXaaaaaaaaaa@50C3@

This is intuitively sound, as the most accurate estimate X i MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaahOart1ev3aqatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVCI8FfYJH8YrFfeuY=Hhbbf9v8qqaqFr0xc9pk0xbb a9q8WqFfeaY=biLkVcLq=JHqpepeea0=as0Fb9pgeaYRXxe9vr0=vr 0=vqpWqaaeaabiGaciaacaqabeaadaqaaqaaaOqaaabaaaaaaaaape Gaamiwa8aadaWgaaWcbaWdbiaadMgaa8aabeaaaaa@3834@ should have the largest coefficient. In practice, the true variances are unknown and must be estimated from the corresponding survey sources. Because the estimated variance is expected to be close to the true variance, and the optimization’s objective function is relatively flat in the neighbourhood around its optimum, the coefficients calculated using the variance estimates are expected to be reasonable choices as the nearly optimal values. Finally, for each combined estimate, the estimated variance was verified to ensure it was lower than that of the most precise individual estimate, as there is no general guarantee that the combined estimate will improve on the estimates to be combined.

Definitions

Recent immigrants are defined for this article as all individuals who received permanent resident status in the five years prior to the reference year, were alive and filed income taxes in the reference year, and were aged 25 to 54. This age range represents the prime working years, when most homes are bought by those who ultimately become homeowners.

Canadian-born individuals are non-immigrants and include individuals born in Canada and individuals born outside Canada to Canadian citizens who received Canadian citizenship by descent. This group is limited to people aged 25 to 54 who were alive and filed income taxes in the reference year.

A homeowner or residential property owner refers, for this analysis, to an individual who owns one or more residential properties, excluding those who own only vacant land. This definition includes only individuals whose names appear on property titles and exclude others (such as spouses) who reside in an owned property but whose name does not appear on the title.

First-time homebuyer refers to a person who purchased a residential property during the reference period and did not previously own a residential property in the analyzed provinces. This includes buyers who claimed the Home Buyers’ Amount and buyers whose spouse or common-law partner was a buyer in the same sale and who claimed the amount.

Market sale refers to an arm’s length transaction where all parties act independently with no influence over the other.

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