Analysis

Description:

The Canadian Health and Disability Survey, administered as a supplement to the Canadian Labour Force Survey in October 1983, collected data on potentially disabled persons by means of a screening questionnaire and a follow-up questionnaire for those screened-in. The data from the screening questionnaire, consisting of a set of activities of daily living, were used to group respondents according to identifiable characteristics. A description of the groups of respondents is provided along with an evaluation of the methods used in their determination. An incompletely ordered severity scale is proposed.

Description:

The seasonal adjustment of a time series is not a straightforward procedure particularly when the level of a series nearly doubles in just one year. The 1981-82 recession had a very sudden great impact not only on the structure of the series but on the estimation of the trend- cycle and seasonal components at the end of the series. Serious seasonal adjustment problems can occur. For instance: the selection of the wrong decomposition model may produce underadjustment in the seasonally high months and overadjustment in the seasonally low months. The wrong decomposition model may also signal a false turning point. This article analyses these two aspects of the interplay between a severe recession and seasonal adjustment.

Description:

Nearly all surveys and censuses are subject to two types of nonresponse: unit (total) and item (partial). Several methods of compensating for nonresponse have been developed in an attempt to reduce the bias associated with nonresponse. This paper summarizes the nonresponse adjustment procedures used at the U.S. Census Bureau, focusing on unit nonresponse. Some discussion of current and future research in this area is also included.

Description:

From an annual sample of U.S. corporate tax returns, the U.S. Internal Revenue Service provides estimates of population and subpopulation totals for several hundred financial items. The basic sample design is highly stratified and fairly complex. Starting with the 1981 and 1982 samples, the design was altered to include a double sampling procedure. This was motivated by the need for better allocation of resources, in an environment of shrinking budgets. Items not observed in the subsample are predicted, using a modified hot deck imputation procedure. The present paper describes the design, estimation, and evaluation of the effects of the new procedure.

Description:

The Canadian Census of Construction (COC) uses a complex plan for sampling small businesses (those having a gross income of less than $750,000). Stratified samples are drawn from overlapping frames. Two subsamples are selected independently from one of the samples, and more detailed information is collected on the businesses in the subsamples. There are two possible methods of estimating totals for the variables collected in the subsamples. The first approach is to determine weights based on sampling rates. A number of different weights must be used. The second approach is to impute values to the businesses included in the sample but not in the subsamples. This approach creates a complete “rectangular” sample file, and a single weight may then be used to produce estimates for the population. This “large-scale imputation” technique is presently applied for the Census of Construction. The purpose of the study is to compare the figures obtained using various estimation techniques with the estimates produced by means of large-scale imputation.

Description:

In the presence of unit nonresponse, two types of variables can sometimes be observed for units in the “intended” sample s, namely, (a) variables used to estimate the response mechanism (the response probabilities), (b) variables (here called co-variates) that explain the variable of interest, in the usual regression theory sense. This paper, based on Särndal and Swensson (1985 a, b), discusses nonresponse adjusted estimators with and without explicit involvement of co-variates. We conclude that the presence of strong co-variates in an estimator induces several favourable properties. Among other things, estimators making use of co-variates are considerably more resistant to nonresponse bias. We discuss the calculation of standard error and valid confidence intervals for estimators involving co-variates. The structure of the standard error is examined and discussed.

Description:

The procedure of subsampling the nonrespondents suggested by Hansen and Hurwitz (1946) is considered. Post-stratification prior to the subsampling is examined. For the mean of a characteristic of interest, ratio estimators suitable for different practical situations are proposed and their merits are examined. Suitable ratio estimators are also suggested for the situations in which the Hard-Core are present.

Description:

Missing survey data occur because of total nonresponse and item nonresponse. The standard way to attempt to compensate for total nonresponse is by some form of weighting adjustment, whereas item nonresponses are handled by some form of imputation. This paper reviews methods of weighting adjustment and imputation and discusses their properties.

Description:

In this paper, different types of response/nonresponse and associated measures such as rates are provided and discussed together with their implications on both estimation and administrative procedures. The missing data problems lead to inconsistent terminology related to nonresponse such as completion rates, eligibility rates, contact rates, and refusal rates, many of which can be defined in different ways. In addition, there are item nonresponse rates as well as characteristic response rates. Depending on the uses, the rates may be weighted or unweighted.

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Using the optimal estimating functions for survey sampling estimation (Godambe and Thompson 1986), we obtain some optimality results for nonresponse situations in survey sampling.

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By the end of this video, you will learn about the basic concepts of the analytical process: the guiding principles of analysis, the steps of the analytical process, and planning your analysis.

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In this video, you will learn how to implement your analytical plan. The key steps in implementing your plan include: preparing and checking your data, performing your analysis, and documenting your analytical decisions.

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In this video, you will learn how to summarize and interpret your data and share your findings. The key elements to communicating your findings are as follows: select your essential findings, summarize and interpret the results, organize and assess your reviews, and prepare for dissemination.

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In this video, we will review the steps of the analytical process and you will obtain a better understanding of how analysts apply each step of the analytical process by walking through an example. The example that we will discuss is a project that examined the relationship between walkability in neighbourhoods, meaning how well they support physical activity, and actual physical activity for Canadians.

Description:

This video is intended for learners who wish to get a basic understanding of data stewardship. No previous knowledge is required.

By the end of this video, you will be able to answer the following questions: What is data stewardship? What is the difference between data governance and data stewardship? Why is data stewardship important? What are the main roles of data stewards? What are the expected outcomes of a data stewardship program?

Description:

This video addresses the data visualization competency. By the end of this video, you should have a deeper understanding of data visualization and how it can be used to present data in an interesting and aesthetically pleasing way. We will go over when it should be used, and we’ll give you some examples of the different types of data visualization techniques that exist.

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This infographic provides an overview of national statistical standards, explaining what they are and where they are used, the advantages of using them, and the role they play in the collection and dissemination of disaggregated data.

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This booklet provides a snapshot of data offered by Statistics Canada.

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This video describes a new health surveillance program at Statistics Canada: The Canadian Census Health and Environment Cohorts (CanCHECs). The video describes the attributes of and the datasets included in the CanCHECs, how the CanCHECs can be used, and their strengths and limitations. Recent examples of research projects based on the CanCHECs are presented along with information about how to apply for access to these data.

Description: Release published in The Daily – Statistics Canada’s official release bulletin

Description: Sample surveys, as a tool for policy development and evaluation and for scientific, social and economic research, have been employed for over a century. In that time, they have primarily served as tools for collecting data for enumerative purposes. Estimation of these characteristics has been typically based on weighting and repeated sampling, or design-based, inference. However, sample data have also been used for modelling the unobservable processes that gave rise to the finite population data. This type of use has been termed analytic, and often involves integrating the sample data with data from secondary sources.

Alternative approaches to inference in these situations, drawing inspiration from mainstream statistical modelling, have been strongly promoted. The principal focus of these alternatives has been on allowing for informative sampling. Modern survey sampling, though, is more focussed on situations where the sample data are in fact part of a more complex set of data sources all carrying relevant information about the process of interest. When an efficient modelling method such as maximum likelihood is preferred, the issue becomes one of how it should be modified to account for both complex sampling designs and multiple data sources. Here application of the Missing Information Principle provides a clear way forward.

In this paper I review how this principle has been applied to resolve so-called “messy” data analysis issues in sampling. I also discuss a scenario that is a consequence of the rapid growth in auxiliary data sources for survey data analysis. This is where sampled records from one accessible source or register are linked to records from another less accessible source, with values of the response variable of interest drawn from this second source, and where a key output is small area estimates for the response variable for domains defined on the first source.

Description: The validity of survival estimates from cancer registry data depends, in part, on the identification of the deaths of deceased cancer patients. People whose deaths are missed seemingly live on forever and are informally referred to as “immortals”, and their presence in registry data can result in inflated survival estimates. This study assesses the issue of immortals in the Canadian Cancer Registry (CCR) using a recently proposed method that compares the survival of long-term survivors of cancers for which “statistical” cure has been reported with that of similar people from the general population.

Description: This paper spans the academic work and estimation strategies used in national statistics offices. It addresses the issue of producing fine, grid-level geography estimates for Canada by exploring the measurement of subprovincial and subterritorial gross domestic product using Yukon as a test case.

Description: Gender-based Analysis Plus (GBA Plus) is an analytical tool developed by Women and Gender Equality Canada (WAGE) to support the development of responsive and inclusive initiatives, including policies, programs, and other initiatives. This information sheet presents the usefulness of GBA Plus for disaggregating and analyzing data to identify the groups most affected by certain issues, such as overqualification.

Description: The Canadian Income Survey (CIS) has introduced improvements to the methods and systems used to produce income estimates with the release of its 2021 reference year estimates. This paper describes the changes and presents the approximate net result of these changes on income estimates using data for 2019 and 2020. The changes described in this paper highlight the ways in which data quality has been improved while producing minimal impact on key CIS estimates and trends.

Description: Recent work in survey domain estimation allows for estimation of population domain means under a priori assumptions expressed in terms of linear inequality constraints. For example, it might be known that the population means are non-decreasing along ordered domains. Imposing the constraints has been shown to provide estimators with smaller variance and tighter confidence intervals. In this paper we consider a formal test of the null hypothesis that all the constraints are binding, versus the alternative that at least one constraint is non-binding. The test of constant versus increasing domain means is a special case. The power of the test is substantially better than the test with the same null hypothesis and an unconstrained alternative. The new test is used with data from the National Survey of College Graduates, to show that salaries are positively related to the subject’s father’s educational level, across fields of study and over several years of cohorts.

Description: We consider regression analysis in the context of data integration. To combine partial information from external sources, we employ the idea of model calibration which introduces a “working” reduced model based on the observed covariates. The working reduced model is not necessarily correctly specified but can be a useful device to incorporate the partial information from the external data. The actual implementation is based on a novel application of the information projection and model calibration weighting. The proposed method is particularly attractive for combining information from several sources with different missing patterns. The proposed method is applied to a real data example combining survey data from Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and big data from National Health Insurance Sharing Service in Korea.

Description: To improve the precision of inferences and reduce costs there is considerable interest in combining data from several sources such as sample surveys and administrative data. Appropriate methodology is required to ensure satisfactory inferences since the target populations and methods for acquiring data may be quite different. To provide improved inferences we use methodology that has a more general structure than the ones in current practice. We start with the case where the analyst has only summary statistics from each of the sources. In our primary method, uncertain pooling, it is assumed that the analyst can regard one source, survey r, as the single best choice for inference. This method starts with the data from survey r and adds data from those other sources that are shown to form clusters that include survey r. We also consider Dirichlet process mixtures, one of the most popular nonparametric Bayesian methods. We use analytical expressions and the results from numerical studies to show properties of the methodology.

Description: The Dutch Health Survey (DHS), conducted by Statistics Netherlands, is designed to produce reliable direct estimates at an annual frequency. Data collection is based on a combination of web interviewing and face-to-face interviewing. Due to lockdown measures during the Covid-19 pandemic there was no or less face-to-face interviewing possible, which resulted in a sudden change in measurement and selection effects in the survey outcomes. Furthermore, the production of annual data about the effect of Covid-19 on health-related themes with a delay of about one year compromises the relevance of the survey. The sample size of the DHS does not allow the production of figures for shorter reference periods. Both issues are solved by developing a bivariate structural time series model (STM) to estimate quarterly figures for eight key health indicators. This model combines two series of direct estimates, a series based on complete response and a series based on web response only and provides model-based predictions for the indicators that are corrected for the loss of face-to-face interviews during the lockdown periods. The model is also used as a form of small area estimation and borrows sample information observed in previous reference periods. In this way timely and relevant statistics describing the effects of the corona crisis on the development of Dutch health are published. In this paper the method based on the bivariate STM is compared with two alternative methods. The first one uses a univariate STM where no correction for the lack of face-to-face observation is applied to the estimates. The second one uses a univariate STM that also contains an intervention variable that models the effect of the loss of face-to-face response during the lockdown.

Description: Weight smoothing is a useful technique in improving the efficiency of design-based estimators at the risk of bias due to model misspecification. As an extension of the work of Kim and Skinner (2013), we propose using weight smoothing to construct the conditional likelihood for efficient analytic inference under informative sampling. The Beta prime distribution can be used to build a parameter model for weights in the sample. A score test is developed to test for model misspecification in the weight model. A pretest estimator using the score test can be developed naturally. The pretest estimator is nearly unbiased and can be more efficient than the design-based estimator when the weight model is correctly specified, or the original weights are highly variable. A limited simulation study is presented to investigate the performance of the proposed methods.

Description: Papers in this series provide background discussions of the methods used to develop data for economic, health, and social analytical studies at Statistics Canada. They are intended to provide readers with information on the statistical methods, standards and definitions used to develop databases for research purposes. All papers in this series have undergone peer and institutional review to ensure that they conform to Statistics Canada's mandate and adhere to generally accepted standards of good professional practice.

Description: Since 1984, an annual international symposium on methodological issues has been sponsored by Statistics Canada. Proceedings have been available since 1987.

Description: The journal publishes articles dealing with various aspects of statistical development relevant to a statistical agency, such as design issues in the context of practical constraints, use of different data sources and collection techniques, total survey error, survey evaluation, research in survey methodology, time series analysis, seasonal adjustment, demographic studies, data integration, estimation and data analysis methods, and general survey systems development. The emphasis is placed on the development and evaluation of specific methodologies as applied to data collection or the data themselves.

Description: This series provides detailed documentation on income developments, including survey design issues, data quality evaluation and exploratory research.

Description: This report summarizes the annual achievements of the Methodology Research and Development Program (MRDP) sponsored by the Modern Statistical Methods and Data Science Branch at Statistics Canada. This program covers research and development activities in statistical methods with potentially broad application in the agency’s statistical programs; these activities would otherwise be less likely to be carried out during the provision of regular methodology services to those programs. The MRDP also includes activities that provide support in the application of past successful developments in order to promote the use of the results of research and development work. Selected prospective research activities are also presented.

Description:

The Geography working paper series is intended to stimulate discussion on a variety of topics covering conceptual, methodological or technical work to support the development and dissemination of the division's data, products and services. Readers of the series are encouraged to contact the Geography Division with comments and suggestions.

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Historical works allow readers to peer into the past, not only to satisfy our curiosity about “the way things were,” but also to see how far we’ve come, and to learn from the past. For Statistics Canada, such works are also opportunities to commemorate the agency’s contributions to Canada and its people, and serve as a reminder that an institution such as this continues to evolve each and every day.

On the occasion of Statistics Canada’s 100th anniversary in 2018, Standing on the shoulders of giants: History of Statistics Canada: 1970 to 2008, builds on the work of two significant publications on the history of the agency, picking up the story in 1970 and carrying it through the next 36 years, until 2008. To that end, when enough time has passed to allow for sufficient objectivity, it will again be time to document the agency’s next chapter as it continues to tell Canada’s story in numbers.

Description:

The Record Linkage Project Process Model (RLPPM) was developed by Statistics Canada to identify the processes and activities involved in record linkage. The RLPPM applies to linkage projects conducted at the individual and enterprise level using diverse data sources to create new data sources to meet analytical and operational needs.

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This document briefly describes Demosim, the microsimulation population projection model, how it works as well as its methods and data sources. It is a methodological complement to the analytical products produced using Demosim.

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This publication is a catalogue of strategies and mechanisms that a statistical organization should consider adopting, according to its particular context. This compendium is based on lessons learned and best practices of leadership and management of statistical agencies within the scope of Statistics Canada’s International Statistical Fellowship Program (ISFP). It contains four broad sections including, characteristics of an effective national statistical system; core management practices; improving, modernizing and finding efficiencies; and, strategies to better inform and engage key stakeholders.