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Canada's population estimates: Age and gender, July 1, 2025

Released: 2025-09-24

Slower population growth continues during the second quarter of 2025

The population of Canada reached an estimated 41,651,653 people on July 1, 2025. This is an increase of 47,098 people (+0.1%) from April 1, 2025, and the lowest population growth rate in a second quarter since the second quarter of 2020 (+0.1%), when growth nearly halted because of border restrictions at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Except for 2020, it was the lowest growth rate in a second quarter since comparable records began (second quarter of 1946).

In comparison, the population of Canada grew by 272,032 people (+0.7%) in the second quarter of 2024. In the second quarter of 2023, it increased by 321,791 people (+0.8%), higher than during the same quarter of 2022 (+257,123; +0.7%) (Infographic 1). These higher quarterly population growth rates over the previous three years were mainly the result of the number of non-permanent residents growing at historically high levels. In the second quarter of 2025, however, most of this growth was from permanent immigrants.

Although the population growth rate in the second quarter of 2025 (+0.1%) was the same as in the first quarter, the numerical increase in the second quarter (+47,098) was slightly higher than in the first quarter (+30,038). The smaller numerical increase in the first quarter of 2025 was expected because of seasonal trends, particularly in natural increase (the difference between births and deaths). In general, there are more deaths and fewer births in the colder months, leading to lower natural increase.

Most of the growth in the second quarter was due to international migration (+33,694 people), as is typical for Canada. That said, it accounted for 71.5% of growth in the second quarter of 2025, down from 95.3% in the same quarter in 2024. Natural increase (+13,404) accounted for the remainder of growth in the second quarter of 2025.

The population growth rate from July 1, 2024, to July 1, 2025, was 0.9% (+389,324). However, 59.5% of the population growth over these 12 months occurred in the third quarter of 2024 (+231,803), before the number of non-permanent residents started to decrease. The year-over-year population growth in 2024/2025 was down from the 1,213,241 people added to the population in 2023/2024 (+3.0%) and the 1,098,956 people added in 2022/2023 (+2.8%).

Infographic 1  Thumbnail for Infographic 1: Quarterly population growth rate, 2015 to 2025, Canada
Quarterly population growth rate, 2015 to 2025, Canada

Reductions in the number of non-permanent residents continue

In the second quarter of 2025, the number of non-permanent residents in the country dropped for the third quarter in a row, after the federal government announced in 2024 that it would reduce the number of permit holders in Canada. After peaking at 3,149,131 non-permanent residents on October 1, 2024 (7.6% of the total population), that number dropped to 3,024,216 by July 1, 2025 (7.3% of the total population). The decrease during the second quarter of 2025 (-58,719) was the second-largest quarterly decline in the number of non-permanent residents since comparable records began (third quarter of 1971), following the decrease in the third quarter of 2020 (-67,698). In 2020, the number of non-permanent residents who could come to Canada was limited by pandemic-related border restrictions.

The decrease in the number of non-permanent residents in the second quarter of 2025 was due to reductions in the number of study permit holders only (-32,025), work permit holders only (-19,637) and work and study permit holders (-19,072). The increase in the number of asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups (+17,901) moderated the overall decrease; it rose for the 14th consecutive quarter to reach a new high of 497,443 people. Most of this increase was in Ontario (+8,177) and Quebec (+4,523).

The number of immigrants welcomed in the second quarter of 2025 (103,507) is in line to meet the 2025-2027 Immigration Levels Plan of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada. This number was lower than what was recorded in the second quarters of 2022 (118,319), 2023 (117,927) and 2024 (134,172) but higher than in any second quarter since the second quarter of 1957 (119,956), when many people came to Canada following the Hungarian Revolution.

To visualize recent trends in international migration, a new dashboard is being released today. Please consult Annual estimates of international migration components by age and gender, provinces and territories: Interactive dashboard.

For a general description of Statistics Canada's system of population statistics, the document Statistics Canada's reliable and timely system of population statistics is also available today.

Differences between data on non-permanent residents from Statistics Canada and Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada

Statistics Canada collaborates closely with Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) and other federal departments to estimate the number of non-permanent residents living in Canada. The demographic estimates from Statistics Canada are updated on an ongoing basis, as new or revised data become available from its partners. Caution should be exercised when comparing data on non-permanent residents from Statistics Canada's Demographic Estimates Program with temporary residents and asylum claimants from IRCC due to the different objectives of the two organizations.

Please see "Non-permanent residents data at Statistics Canada," "Statistics on non-permanent residents at Statistics Canada" and "How does Statistics Canada estimate the number of non-permanent residents?." These products define non-permanent resident data at Statistics Canada and the various data sources available to users.

Fastest growth in Prince Edward Island; population decrease in British Columbia

Prince Edward Island (+1,368; +0.8%) was the fastest-growing province in the second quarter of 2025, followed by Alberta (+19,268; +0.4%). British Columbia (-2,154; -0.0%) was the only province or territory to see a population decrease, and this decline was higher than in the first quarter (-299; -0.0%). Gains in that province from immigrants (+12,740), interprovincial migration (+1,678), and natural increase (+810) did not fully compensate for the decrease in the number of non-permanent residents (-14,699) and losses to net emigration (-2,683).

Number of people moving to another province or territory approaching pre-pandemic levels

The number of people (110,188) who moved to another province or territory in the second quarter was slightly lower in 2025 than in any second quarter during the past three years. It was closer to the levels seen in the second quarter from 2012 to 2021, which ranged from approximately 90,000 to 108,000.

In the second quarter of 2025, Alberta (+6,187) had the largest net gain from interprovincial migration for the 12th quarter in a row, while Ontario (-6,154) had the largest net loss for the 15th consecutive quarter. The majority of the people leaving Ontario moved to Alberta, British Columbia and Quebec.

Population aging resumes with the decrease in the number of non-permanent residents

The estimates released today can also be used to analyze the changes in the age and gender structure of the population. With the very large permanent and temporary immigration waves from the third quarter of 2021 to the third quarter of 2024, the median age decreased and the average age remained relatively stable in Canada over this period, as international migrants tend to be younger. However, the median age increased from 40.3 years on July 1, 2024, to 40.6 years on July 1, 2025, while the average age rose from 41.6 years to 41.8 years. This resumes the general trend of increasing median and average ages from 1967 to 2021.

The combination of the large size of the Canadian population and demographic aging as a continual process makes it uncommon for immigration to influence the age structure of the population; thus, only the very large waves of immigration seen recently were able to have an impact, and even then, it was small. With international migration returning to levels closer to those seen before the pandemic, the usual changes in Canada's age structure are reemerging, as population aging is unavoidable.

From October 1, 2024, to June 30, 2025, there was a net loss of 124,915 non-permanent residents, with the largest decrease among study permit holders only (-107,842). Since students are often young adults, this drop can be particularly seen at younger ages (Infographic 2).

Infographic 2  Thumbnail for Infographic 2: Age and gender pyramid for non-permanent residents as of July 1, 2024, and July 1, 2025, Canada
Age and gender pyramid for non-permanent residents as of July 1, 2024, and July 1, 2025, Canada

Just over one in four people in Newfoundland and Labrador is aged 65 and older; this is the first such occurrence in Canada

With the general trends of a declining fertility rate, long-term increases in life expectancy and the decreasing number of non-permanent residents in the country, who are on average younger than other groups in the population, the proportion of the population aged 65 and older is continuing to increase. In Canada, almost one in five people (19.5%) were aged 65 and older on July 1, 2025, ranging from 5.2% in Nunavut to 25.2% in Newfoundland and Labrador. This is consistent with Nunavut having the lowest median (27.1 years) and average (29.6 years) ages and Newfoundland and Labrador having the highest median (47.8 years) and average (45.9 years) ages.

This is the first time that the proportion of people aged 65 and older surpassed one in four people in a Canadian province or territory. By comparison, in 2024, 29.8% of the population was aged 65 years and older in Japan—which has the oldest population of any G7 country—while it was 24.6% in Italy, which had the second-oldest population. Canada had one of the lowest shares of people aged 65 and older (19.5%) in the G7, just above the United States (17.9%) and the same as the United Kingdom (19.5%).

From July 1, 2024, to July 1, 2025, the population aged 0 to 14 years in Canada remained relatively stable at 6,261,162 (+0.0%), while the population aged 65 years and older increased to 8,108,467 (+3.4%).

From July 1, 2024, to July 1, 2025, the population aged 15 to 64 years increased to 27,282,024 (+0.4%); this was a slower pace of increase compared with 2023/2024 (+3.2%) and 2022/2023 (+3.0%). While this age group contains some of the large baby boomer cohort who turned 65 in 2024/2025, the slowdown in the increase is mostly due to the decrease in non-permanent residents.

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  Note to readers

The demographic estimates by age and gender released today are considered preliminary and will be updated following the standard procedure followed by Statistics Canada for decades. They are based on 2021 Census counts, adjusted for census net undercoverage and incompletely enumerated reserves and settlements, as well as demographic adjustments. To these counts, the population growth estimates for the period from May 11, 2021, to the date of the estimate are added.

Definitions

For the purpose of calculating rates, the denominator is the average population during the period (the average of the start-of-period and end-of-period populations). For the sake of brevity, the terms growth, population growth and population growth rate have the same meaning.

The median age is an age "x," such that exactly one half of the population is older than "x" and the other half is younger than "x."

Gender refers to an individual's personal and social identity as a man, woman or non-binary person (a person who is not exclusively a man or a woman). Gender includes the following concepts:

  • gender identity, which refers to the gender that a person feels internally and individually;
  • gender expression, which refers to the way a person presents their gender, regardless of their gender identity, through body language, aesthetic choices or accessories (e.g., clothes, hairstyle and makeup), which may have traditionally been associated with a specific gender.

A person's gender may differ from their sex at birth, and from what is indicated on their current identification or legal documents such as their birth certificate, passport or driver's license. A person's gender may change over time. Some people may not identify with a specific gender. The gender category Men+ includes men (and/or boys), as well as some non-binary persons. The gender category Women+ includes women (and/or girls), as well as some non-binary persons.

An immigrant refers to a person who is a permanent resident or a landed immigrant. Such a person has been granted the right to live in Canada permanently by immigration authorities. Persons who are born abroad to a Canadian parent are not immigrants but are included in the returning emigrant component. For Statistics Canada's Demographic Estimates Program, the terms immigrant, landed immigrant and permanent resident refer to the same concept.

Non-permanent resident refers to a person from another country with a usual place of residence in Canada and who has a work or study permit, or who has claimed refugee status (asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups). Family members living with work or study permit holders are also included unless these family members are already Canadian citizens, landed immigrants (permanent residents) or non-permanent residents themselves. For Statistics Canada's Demographic Estimates Program, the terms non-permanent resident and temporary immigrant refer to the same concept. Caution should be exercised when comparing data on non-permanent residents from Statistics Canada's Demographic Estimates Program with temporary residents and asylum claimants from Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC), due to the different objectives of the two organizations.

Permit holders and their family members are non-permanent residents who are not asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups but who hold a permit (for work, study or temporary residence). This classification also includes their family members who are not Canadian citizens, landed immigrants (permanent residents) or non-permanent residents themselves.

Three elements of the estimation method for non-permanent residents (permit holders) have been improved for this release. The first improvement involves the use of IRCC's "mailing address file" to determine the province or territory of residence at a given reference date rather than the intended province or territory. If this information is missing, the intended province or territory is still used. The second improvement involves incorporating new IRCC administrative data to calculate permit extensions instead of IRCC's published processing times. The third improvement updates the allocation of open permit holders across provinces and territories, based on the new IRCC administrative data, which are more recent than those of the 2021 Census.

The Demographic Estimates Program will also release a comprehensive update of the estimation methods in an updated version of the publication "Population and Family Estimation Methods at Statistics Canada" within the coming months.

Persons who claimed refugee status include asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups. Separate estimates for asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups are not available. Asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups are defined as:

  • Asylum claimant refers to a foreign national who has made a refugee claim while in Canada on a temporary basis and whose claim is pending decision.
  • Protected person refers to a person who has made a claim in Canada and received a positive decision. For population estimates, protected persons leave this population if they obtain permanent residence.
  • Related groups include those who received a negative decision or withdrew or abandoned their claim and have not yet regularized their status or departed Canada.

Interprovincial migration represents all movement from one province or territory to another involving a change in the usual place of residence. A person who takes up residence in another province or territory is an out-migrant with reference to the province or territory of origin and an in-migrant with reference to the province or territory of destination.

Canada's population clock (real-time model)

Canada's population clock (real-time model) was updated today with the most recent quarterly population estimates released by Statistics Canada.

Canada's population clock is an interactive learning tool aiming to give Canadians a sense of the pace of the country's population renewal. The population estimates and census counts remain the measures used by various government programs.

Acknowledgements

The Demographic Estimates Program of Statistics Canada is grateful for the ongoing partnership with IRCC, which greatly contributes to the accuracy of the estimations of immigrants and non-permanent residents.

Products

The product "Quarterly demographic estimates, provinces and territories: Interactive dashboard" (Catalogue number71-607-X) is also available.

The product "Demographic estimates by age and gender, provinces and territories: Interactive dashboard" (Catalogue number71-607-X) is also available.

The product "Interprovincial migration indicators, provinces and territories: Interactive dashboard" (Catalogue number71-607-X) is also available.

The product "Interprovincial migrants by province or territory of origin and destination: Interactive dashboard" (Catalogue number71-607-X) is also available.

The product "Quarterly estimates of international migration components, provinces and territories: Interactive dashboard" (Catalogue number71-607-X) is also available.

The product "Quarterly estimates of the number of non-permanent residents by type, provinces and territories: Interactive dashboard" (Catalogue number71-607-X) is also available.

The product "Annual estimates of international migration components by age and gender, provinces and territories: Interactive dashboard" (Catalogue number71-607-X) is also available.

The product "Canada's population clock (real-time model)" (Catalogue number71-607-X) is also available.

The product "Statistics Canada's reliable and timely system of population statistics" (Catalogue number91F0015M) is also available.

The Population and demography statistics, Immigrants and Non-permanent Residents Statistics and Older adults and population aging statistics portals are also available.

Data on various fertility indicators and baby names can be found in the Fertility indicators, provinces and territories: Interactive dashboard and Baby Names Observatory.

Contact information

For more information, or to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact us (toll-free 1-800-263-1136; 514-283-8300; infostats@statcan.gc.ca) or Media Relations (statcan.mediahotline-ligneinfomedias.statcan@statcan.gc.ca).

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