Annual Demographic Estimates: Subprovincial Areas, July 1, 2017
Section 3: Census divisions

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Census divisions (CDs) with the highest growth rates in the past year

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For the rest of this analysis, a growth rate higher than -1 per thousand and lower than 1 per thousand is considered to be nil or low. Rates are based on the ratio of the number of events during the period (t, t+x) to the average of the populations at the beginning and end of the period. Five-year rates are annualized. Preliminary postcensal estimates are subject to revision. Future updates could affect trend analysis.

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The very high population increases in the CDs of Okanagan-Similkameen (5907) and Bulkley-Nechako (5951) should be interpreted with caution.

As explained in the methodology section, preliminary postcensal estimates from British Columbia require special treatment. These estimates are calculated using population growth rates provided by BC Stats, British Columbia’s statistical agency.

However, a comparison of the population growth rates provided by BC Stats with those calculated by the Demography Division at Statistics Canada using the component method revealed significant gaps. In addition, the use of preliminary tax data did not allow us to corroborate the high population growth measured by BC Stats in these two CDs for 2016/2017.

However, certain indicators could attest to a high population growth in the Okanagan-Similkameen and Bulkley-Nechako CDs. According to BC Stats, the strong population increase in Okanagan-Similkameen is mostly supported by growth of the real estate market in the city of PentictonNote 1 and by a large construction projectNote 2 in this CD. Moreover, to support population growth in Bulkley-Nechako, BC Stats cites the large increase in the number of connections to the electricity distribution network during the past year, particularly in the unorganized areas of this CD.

As with all the preliminary data in this publication, the population growth of the Okanagan-Similkameen and Bulkley-Nechako CDs will be revised by Statistics Canada in the coming years, once more current data is available.

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Census divisions with the highest rates of decline in the past year

Figure 3.1 Age pyramid for the CD experiencing the highest growth (Bulkley-Nechako, B.C.) and the CD experiencing the highest decrease (Division No. 16, Alta.) for July 1, 2017

Description for Figure 3.1

This stacked column graph or age pyramid compares the age structure of the CD of Bulkley-Nechako (B.C.) and the Division No. 16 CD (Alta.) for July 1, 2017 in relative value.

The left side shows males and the right side shows females.

The horizontal axis shows the population in relative value and the vertical axis shows age.

Data table for figure 3.1
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for figure 3.1. The information is grouped by Age (appearing as row headers), Division No. 16 (Alta.), Bulkley-Nechako (B.C.), Males and Females, calculated using per thousand units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Age Division No. 16 (Alta.) Bulkley-Nechako (B.C.)
Males Females Males Females
per thousand
0 11.2 10.2 6.5 6.2
1 10.3 9.4 6.4 6.1
2 9.6 8.7 6.3 6.0
3 9.0 8.2 6.2 5.9
4 8.8 8.6 5.6 5.7
5 7.7 8.3 6.8 6.0
6 7.1 7.1 6.7 5.9
7 7.2 6.9 6.3 6.4
8 7.6 6.7 7.1 6.2
9 6.4 6.1 7.1 6.2
10 5.8 5.8 7.0 6.1
11 5.6 4.6 6.3 6.5
12 4.7 4.8 6.5 7.2
13 5.0 4.4 6.9 6.9
14 4.8 4.5 7.0 7.0
15 4.5 4.1 7.0 6.7
16 4.6 4.2 7.1 6.5
17 4.9 3.9 8.0 7.0
18 4.3 3.9 7.3 6.8
19 4.4 4.6 8.0 7.6
20 4.8 4.4 8.1 7.2
21 5.4 5.2 7.7 7.0
22 5.9 5.1 7.6 6.4
23 7.0 6.4 6.9 6.4
24 8.5 7.8 7.5 6.4
25 10.4 8.8 5.8 4.5
26 10.6 9.4 5.2 5.0
27 11.4 10.3 4.5 3.9
28 11.9 10.0 5.2 3.7
29 11.7 10.2 5.1 4.3
30 12.1 10.9 5.4 4.7
31 13.6 11.1 5.1 5.0
32 13.1 10.3 5.6 5.3
33 13.0 10.9 6.0 5.5
34 13.6 10.6 4.8 5.5
35 12.4 10.5 5.0 6.2
36 12.6 10.1 5.3 5.1
37 10.9 9.3 4.9 5.1
38 11.2 9.2 5.7 5.9
39 10.6 8.3 5.3 6.4
40 9.3 7.8 5.9 5.6
41 10.5 7.0 6.0 6.8
42 9.0 6.8 6.7 6.5
43 9.1 6.2 6.2 6.6
44 8.8 6.5 6.3 6.4
45 8.9 5.5 6.6 5.9
46 8.9 6.6 6.9 6.2
47 7.8 5.9 6.6 6.4
48 7.5 5.6 6.9 6.7
49 7.1 5.6 6.3 6.8
50 7.7 5.1 6.3 6.2
51 8.2 5.4 6.9 6.9
52 7.3 5.5 7.2 7.3
53 7.7 5.0 7.0 7.8
54 7.1 6.0 8.0 7.4
55 6.3 5.5 8.9 7.0
56 7.7 5.9 8.6 7.2
57 7.1 5.7 8.7 8.0
58 7.1 5.3 8.1 8.5
59 7.0 5.1 8.8 7.7
60 5.8 4.6 8.8 7.6
61 6.0 4.1 8.0 7.7
62 5.5 3.6 7.8 6.9
63 4.2 2.6 7.9 6.3
64 3.7 1.9 7.0 6.2
65 2.7 1.9 7.0 5.6
66 2.4 1.7 6.5 4.5
67 2.3 1.3 6.3 5.0
68 2.1 1.4 5.3 4.8
69 1.5 1.4 5.2 4.8
70 1.5 1.2 5.2 4.8
71 1.3 1.0 4.0 4.1
72 0.8 0.5 3.6 4.1
73 0.7 0.6 4.5 4.1
74 0.6 0.7 3.3 3.2
75 0.4 0.6 2.9 2.7
76 0.2 0.3 2.9 2.9
77 0.2 0.2 2.8 2.7
78 0.2 0.2 2.6 2.8
79 0.0 0.3 2.7 2.5
80 0.0 0.3 2.1 1.9
81 0.1 0.2 2.1 2.0
82 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.3
83 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.6
84 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.6
85 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.1
86 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.1
87 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.2
88 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8
89 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8
90 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7
91 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5
92 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5
93 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4
94 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4
95 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0
96 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
97 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0
98 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
99 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
100 and over 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

The youngest and oldest census divisions

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For the purposes of this article, various indicators will be used to measure the aging of a population. The distribution of the population under 15 years and 65 years and older and the median age will be the indicators considered. The median age is an age “x” that divides the population into two equal groups, such that one contains only those individuals older than “x” and the other those younger than “x”.

In the table of the 10 youngest CDs, the CDs are presented in decreasing order based on their proportion of people under 15 years. In the table showing the 10 oldest CDs, the CDs are ranked in decreasing order based on their proportion of people aged 65 years and older. Although median age is not used to rank the CDs, this indicator will also be discussed in the rest of the text.

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Figure 3.2 Age pyramid for the CD with the highest proportion of persons aged 65 and older (Guysborough, N.S.) and the CD with the highest proportion of persons aged 0 to 14 years (Keewatin, Nvt.) for July 1, 2017

Description for Figure 3.2

This stacked column graph or age pyramid compares the age structure of the CD of Guysborough (N.S.) and the CD of Keewatin (Nvt.) for July 1, 2017 in relative value.

The left side shows males and the right side shows females.

The horizontal axis shows the population in relative value and the vertical axis shows age.

Data table for figure 3.2
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for figure 3.2. The information is grouped by Age (appearing as row headers), Guysborough (N.S.), Keewatin (Nvt.), Males and Females, calculated using per thousand units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Age Guysborough (N.S.) Keewatin (Nvt.)
Males Females Males Females
per thousand
0 3.7 2.7 13.1 12.3
1 3.8 2.6 13.3 11.9
2 4.1 2.6 13.0 11.5
3 3.8 2.7 12.8 11.7
4 2.6 1.8 14.1 11.2
5 4.1 4.5 12.3 7.9
6 3.4 2.2 13.5 11.4
7 3.5 3.0 13.2 12.7
8 3.7 3.1 10.2 11.0
9 4.1 3.5 10.3 10.1
10 3.7 3.4 11.2 11.5
11 4.0 2.7 8.2 9.6
12 4.1 4.6 8.9 9.6
13 5.2 4.2 9.9 9.5
14 4.5 3.3 8.8 9.9
15 4.0 4.4 8.4 8.1
16 4.5 4.0 11.2 8.1
17 5.2 5.0 9.4 8.7
18 6.7 5.7 8.7 8.6
19 4.6 4.9 9.0 7.9
20 5.3 5.2 9.0 9.3
21 4.2 4.2 9.4 8.5
22 4.1 3.7 7.3 8.1
23 5.3 4.0 7.6 9.9
24 2.3 3.1 9.2 7.8
25 3.7 1.1 8.4 10.2
26 1.1 0.8 10.4 10.4
27 2.9 1.4 9.1 8.9
28 2.6 1.5 9.8 9.0
29 2.9 1.4 8.1 8.1
30 1.8 2.5 6.0 8.8
31 3.1 1.5 7.1 7.6
32 1.6 3.1 7.6 7.8
33 3.0 3.3 6.6 9.4
34 2.9 2.5 6.0 6.4
35 4.6 3.3 6.0 6.4
36 2.7 2.0 7.9 5.1
37 3.1 2.9 7.2 7.5
38 2.7 5.0 5.4 5.1
39 4.0 4.0 6.6 6.1
40 3.3 4.4 5.5 4.4
41 3.8 4.0 6.8 4.0
42 6.0 4.1 5.6 4.7
43 4.2 4.5 4.8 5.3
44 4.0 4.2 6.3 5.2
45 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.3
46 4.0 5.9 8.0 6.2
47 7.0 5.6 5.5 5.7
48 5.7 5.9 5.8 5.7
49 7.0 7.6 6.2 4.8
50 6.4 7.5 4.1 3.8
51 8.6 8.6 6.0 4.0
52 9.0 9.0 6.0 3.6
53 8.2 9.0 6.4 4.7
54 9.4 11.2 6.1 5.3
55 10.8 11.3 5.6 5.0
56 11.2 11.6 4.9 4.2
57 10.8 10.6 5.7 3.7
58 9.7 10.2 3.8 3.9
59 11.4 10.6 3.3 2.3
60 9.9 11.2 3.9 2.1
61 9.7 11.3 3.6 1.4
62 9.3 10.9 3.5 1.8
63 10.6 11.3 2.2 2.0
64 9.0 10.2 1.5 2.4
65 10.6 10.1 0.7 1.8
66 11.2 12.4 1.3 1.3
67 9.5 10.1 1.1 1.8
68 9.1 11.6 1.1 1.9
69 11.4 10.5 0.6 1.5
70 10.2 11.6 1.4 1.7
71 7.2 7.0 1.6 1.8
72 8.7 8.0 1.0 0.9
73 6.7 9.0 1.0 1.0
74 8.3 8.3 0.9 0.9
75 7.2 6.7 1.1 0.8
76 5.9 6.8 1.4 0.2
77 6.4 7.2 0.1 0.4
78 4.9 5.9 0.6 0.2
79 5.0 3.7 0.2 0.0
80 5.2 4.4 0.0 0.0
81 2.6 5.3 0.2 0.0
82 3.1 2.9 0.2 0.5
83 2.3 4.1 0.4 0.3
84 4.4 2.6 0.4 0.4
85 3.3 3.0 0.3 0.3
86 2.5 2.6 0.0 0.2
87 1.1 3.5 0.1 0.1
88 1.8 2.7 0.1 0.0
89 0.1 3.1 0.0 0.0
90 1.0 2.6 0.0 0.0
91 1.4 1.0 0.1 0.1
92 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
93 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
94 0.3 0.8 0.0 0.2
95 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0
96 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.1
97 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.0
98 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.1
99 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.1
100 and over 0.4 1.0 0.0 0.0

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