Overqualification among recent university graduates in Canada
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- Overview of the study
- More women working as professionals
- Overqualification changed little over the past two decades
- Overqualification by field of study
- Factors associated with overqualification
- Related material for this article
Between 1991 and 2011, the share of young people with a university degree increased significantly, as did the share of young workers employed in professional occupations. Nevertheless, many young university degree holders could still be considered 'overqualified'—working in occupations requiring lower levels of education. In this article, changes in the overqualification among young graduates are examined over the period from 1991 to 2011.
- In 2011, 28% of all employed women aged 25 to 34 worked in 'professional' occupations—those typically requiring a university degree—up from 18% in 1991. Among employed men the same age, 18% worked in professional occupations in 2011, up from 13% in 1991.
- Among university graduates aged 25 to 34 who were not in management occupations, 18% of men and women worked in occupations usually requiring a high school education or less, and about 40% of both men and women worked in occupations usually requiring a college-level education or less. These proportions have changed little since 1991.
- Among university-educated immigrants who did not graduate in Canada or the United States, 43% of women and 35% of men worked in occupations requiring a high school education or less. In comparison, the same rates for the Canadian-born and for immigrants who graduated in Canada or the U.S. varied between 15% and 20%.
- About one third of working men and women aged 25 to 34 with a university degree in humanities (which includes history, literature and philosophy) were employed in occupations requiring a high school education or less.
- In contrast, less than 10% of men and women with a university degree in education were in occupations typically requiring a high school education. Men and women in health and related fields, and in architecture, engineering and related fields also had rates below 15%.
In a world dominated by technology, knowledge and innovation, young Canadians are adapting by pursuing post-secondary educational credentials. For instance, among employed individuals aged 25 to 34, the proportion who had a university degree rose significantly, from 18% in 1991 to 33% in 2011. Young workers also became more and more likely to work as “professionals”, that is, in occupations typically requiring a university degree.
Yet, with such a growing pool of university graduates, there is a perception that skilled jobs may not always be available to meet the supply of skilled individuals. As a result, a number of graduates would be 'overqualified', hence contributing to a potential ‘skills mismatch’ problem. The issue of overqualification may also be particularly more acute in a weaker labour market, when a growing supply of graduates may have to compete for a limited number of skilled positions. Overqualification is also an important issue because it can lead to lower earnings and lower productivity,Note1 and may prevent younger individuals from getting the experience they need to find better jobs in the future.
There are a number of studies examining the issue of skills mismatch and overqualification.Note2 Many of these studies define overqualification as possessing an education level higher than what is typically required for the job. Among other findings, these studies found that some groups—particularly immigrants—were more at risk to be overqualified than the Canadian-born.
The recent release of the National Household Survey—which includes detailed variables on location of study and field of study—provides an opportunity to revisit the issue. More specifically, are university graduates more overqualified than 20 years ago? Are some fields of study more affected than others? What can be said of groups who are most at risk of overqualification?
To answer these questions, the 1991 and 2006 censuses of population are used, in addition to the 2011 National Household Survey (see Data sources, methods, and definitions). Using all these sources, detailed occupations can be classified across occupational groupings that are representative of a certain set of educational attainment or experience: professionals (or occupations typically requiring a university degree); college and apprenticeship occupations; high school occupations or less; and management occupations. It is on the basis of this unique skills-based classification system, originally developed by Human Resources and Skills Development Canada (Now Employment and Social Development Canada)Note3, that overqualification can be studied over such a long period of time for various population groups.
As younger individuals became more and more likely to have postsecondary qualifications, the workforce became better-skilled. In 1991, 17% of all employed men and 19% of all employed women aged 25 to 34 had a university degree—a difference of only two percentage points. Over the following two decades, the proportion of employed individuals with a university degree grew faster among women. As a result, nearly 40% of employed women aged 25 to 34 had a university degree in 2011, compared with 27% of employed men (Chart 1).Note4
As the proportion of university graduates increased, the proportion of young workers in professional occupations—those that typically require a university degree—also rose. Examples of such occupations include accountants and human resource professionals, engineers and architects, physicians and nurses, lawyers, teachers, and social workers.Note5 In 2011, 28% of all employed women were professionals, up from 25% in 2006 and 18% in 1991 (Chart 2).
The share of men in the same age group who were professional workers also increased over the period, but not as quickly (from 13% in 1991 to 18% in both 2006 and 2011). Overall, women accounted for 59% of workers aged 25 to 34 employed in professional occupations in 2011, compared with 57% in 2006 and 54% in 1991.
At the other end of the spectrum, the proportion of workers in occupations requiring at most a high school education declined over the period, especially among women. In 1991, as many as 42% of young men and 48% of young women worked in such occupations, which typically include office clerks, sales representatives, drivers, cashiers, trades helpers, and machine operators and assemblers, among others. In 2011, about one-third of men and women aged 25 to 34 worked in occupations requiring a high school education or less.
The other two skill groups are occupations typically requiring a college or apprenticeship training, and management occupations. Both tended to employ a higher proportion of men, and were characterized by fewer changes over the period. The proportion of young men in college-related occupations rose by a few percentage points (from 35% to 38% among men), and remained unchanged among young women (at 28%). Occupations requiring college or apprenticeship training are varied, as they include technical occupations, skilled operators, and those working in construction trades—but are made up of occupations requiring skills normally acquired at the postsecondary level.
Finally, the proportion of women aged 25 to 34 working as managers increased, but only slightly (from 7% to 8%), and employed about 1 in 10 working men in the same age group over the whole period. Of note, occupations that are included in the management category may have various educational requirements, depending on the exact nature of the position. As a result, these occupations are not associated with a particular level of educational attainment.
The above results indicate that younger workers increasingly work in high-skilled occupations, with a growing number of young workers in professional occupations and fewer workers in occupations requiring a high school or less. Such results reflect the fact that younger workers became more educated over the period.Note6
Nevertheless, a significant number of young individuals still work in occupations that require less education than they have. Overqualification of this type is most likely to be a concern among those who study longer, particularly university graduates.Note7
How should overqualification among university graduates be measured? Some methods are based on subjective measures, for instance, by asking survey respondents if their jobs matched their qualifications.Note8 Alternatively, other methods are based on the grouping of occupations across skill levels, which can then be matched with the educational attainment of survey respondents.
On the basis of the latter approach, one measure of overqualification can be obtained by calculating the proportion of university graduates who are working in occupations typically requiring a college diploma or less. A related measure, which may be more representative of the consequences of overqualification, can be obtained by calculating the proportion of university graduates in occupations typically requiring a high school education or less. Both measures exclude managers, as they cannot be associated with a particular level of educational attainment.Note9
According to the two measures, both men and women had very similar overqualification rates. In 2011, 18% of university-educated men and women were in occupations requiring a high school education or less. Alternatively, 41% of university-educated men and 39% of university-educated women were working occupations requiring college education or less (Table 1). Both measures also remained relatively stable over the 20 years between 1991 and 2011 (with the exception of a small decline among female university graduates working in occupations requiring a high school education or less).
|Occupations usually requiring high school education or less|
|With a university degree from outside of Canada or the U.S.||Note ..: not available for a specific reference period||37.4||34.8|
|With a university degree from Canada or the U.S.||Note ..: not available for a specific reference period||17.7||16.0|
|With a university degree from outside of Canada or the U.S.||Note ..: not available for a specific reference period||47.6||43.0|
|With a university degree from Canada or the U.S.||Note ..: not available for a specific reference period||21.5||19.9|
|Occupations usually requiring college education or less|
|With a university degree from outside of Canada or the U.S.||Note ..: not available for a specific reference period||61.5||61.3|
|With a university degree from Canada or the U.S.||Note ..: not available for a specific reference period||37.3||37.5|
|With a university degree from outside of Canada or the U.S.||Note ..: not available for a specific reference period||69.4||67.3|
|With a university degree from Canada or the U.S.||Note ..: not available for a specific reference period||42.6||42.3|
.. not available for a specific reference period
Sources: Statistics Canada, Census of Population, 1991 and 2006; National Household Survey, 2011.
Such trends, however, mask different results among immigrants and the Canadian-born. As other studies have shown, overqualification rates tend to be higher among immigrants, particularly women.Note10 Results also vary within the immigrant population, most notably between those who studied in Canada and the United States (accounting for approximately one-half of all university-educated immigrants aged 25 to 34), and those who did not.
For instance, among university-educated immigrant women who did not graduate in Canada or the United States, 43% were employed in occupations requiring a high school education or less in 2011. In comparison, just 20% of immigrant women with a degree from Canada or the U.S. and 15% of the Canadian-born were in occupations requiring a high school education.
Alternatively, more than two-thirds (67%) of university-educated female immigrants who did not graduate in Canada or the U.S. were employed in occupations requiring college education or less, compared with 42% of immigrant women with a degree from Canada or the U.S., and 35% among the Canadian-born.
Similar differences were found for university-educated immigrant men. In 2011, 35% of male immigrants who did not graduate in Canada or the U.S. were in occupations requiring a high school education or less, and 61% were in occupations requiring a college education or less. In contrast, other immigrants (with a degree from Canada or the U.S.) and the Canadian-born had nearly identical proportions of university graduates working in occupations requiring a high school education or less (about 16%) and in college-level or lower occupations (38%).
In recent years, the proportion of university-educated workers in occupations requiring a high school education or less declined somewhat among immigrants who did not graduate in Canada or the U.S. (by a margin of 5 percentage points among females and 3 percentage points among males). In spite of these gains, there was still a significant difference when comparing the overqualification rates of immigrants who did not graduate in Canada or in the U.S. versus those who did—23 percentage points among females and 19 percentage points among males in 2011.
The National Household Survey collected information about the field of study of the highest degree obtained, thus allowing overqualification to be examined by field of study.
In 2011, the highest rates were among graduates of humanities programs, such as history, literature, and philosophy. In this field, one third of men and women were in occupations usually requiring high school occupations—a rate that reached 41% among immigrant men, and 44% among immigrant women (Table 2).Note11 The rates were also comparatively higher among those who studied social and behavioural sciences and law; business, management and public administration; and agriculture, natural resources and conservation (with percentages varying between 20% and 25% for both men and women). In all of these fields, the rates were consistently higher for immigrants.
|In occupations usually requiring high school education or less, by field of study|
|Visual and performing arts, and communications technologies||22.2||22.6||20.8||28.2||27.6||30.4|
|Social and behavioural sciences and law||24.7||22.9||31.6||23.8||21.7||32.1|
|Business, management and public administration||21.7||18.1||29.9||21.6||16.5||32.1|
|Physical and life sciences and technologies||16.8||15.1||21.0||21.3||18.1||29.4|
|Mathematics, computer and information sciences||9.3||6.3||12.7||20.8||10.4||29.1|
|Architecture, engineering, and related technologies||9.1||5.1||15.7||11.9||6.9||18.1|
|Agriculture, natural resources and conservation||21.1||18.3||34.7||20.3||18.1||31.4|
|Health and related fields||13.4||9.1||25.3||8.8||5.4||22.4|
|In occupations usually requiring college education or less, by field of study|
|Visual and performing arts, and communications technologies||63.5||61.7||70.2||66.1||64.8||70.9|
|Social and behavioural sciences and law||53.2||51.3||60.5||51.4||49.4||59.0|
|Business, management and public administration||46.5||43.2||54.2||45.2||40.2||55.7|
|Physical and life sciences and technologies||42.2||41.7||43.6||51.0||48.5||57.1|
|Mathematics, computer and information sciences||28.3||23.7||33.8||38.6||26.1||48.4|
|Architecture, engineering, and related technologies||26.0||19.4||36.8||30.9||23.6||39.9|
|Agriculture, natural resources and conservation||52.7||50.5||62.7||48.5||46.1||61.0|
|Health and related fields||31.5||28.5||39.7||20.7||16.7||36.4|
|Source: Statistics Canada, National Household Survey, 2011.|
Conversely, the lowest rates were found in education; architecture, engineering and related technologies; and health and related fields (with percentages varying between 9% and 13% in all three cases). In mathematics, computer and information sciences, the proportions of those in occupations usually requiring a high school degree were 9% among men and 21% among women—but in this particular field, the rates were particularly higher among immigrant women (29%, vs. 10% for the Canadian-born). Similar differences across fields of study were found among graduates working in occupations requiring a college education or less (bottom panel of Table 2).
Because some programs are more popular than others, a higher rate in a program may not necessarily translate into a large number of individuals. It is therefore important to examine the distribution of those who are mismatched across fields of study. In this particular case, results are based on those working in occupations requiring a high school education or less only.
The vast majority of those who were overqualified were in just three fields of study: (1) business, management and public administration; (2) social and behavioural sciences and law; and (3) humanities. Together, these three fields accounted for more than 60% of overqualified men and women aged 25 to 34 (Table 3).
|Fields of study|
|Visual and performing arts, and communications technologies||4.4||5.7||2.3||5.8||7.2||3.6|
|Social and behavioural sciences and law||21.5||25.4||15.2||25.7||29.8||18.8|
|Business, management and public administration||25.8||24.1||28.6||20.9||17.1||27.1|
|Physical and life sciences and technologies||6.7||6.9||6.3||7.9||7.7||8.2|
|Mathematics, computer and information sciences||4.8||2.9||8.1||2.9||1.0||6.0|
|Architecture, engineering, and related technologies||9.8||5.5||17.1||2.7||1.4||4.8|
|Agriculture, natural resources and conservation||2.2||2.5||1.7||1.7||2.1||1.2|
|Health and related fields||6.0||4.8||8.1||8.4||6.5||11.5|
While the majority of overqualified immigrants were also concentrated in the three fields of study, a comparatively higher proportion of overqualified immigrants could be found in architecture, engineering and related technologies (among male immigrants), and in health and related fields (among female immigrants).Note12 These differences, however, reflect the fact that immigrants tend to be more concentrated in science-related fields.Note13
Both the location of study and the field of study can have an impact on overqualification. Are these results still significant when other factors, such as age, province of residence, size of urban area, and higher education variables (whether the respondent has a Master’s or a Ph.D.) are taken into consideration?
To answer this question, two multivariate (probit) models were estimated. In the first one, the dependent variable was whether or not university graduates are working in occupations requiring a high school education. In the second, the dependent variable was whether or not university graduates are working in occupations requiring a college education or less.
As was the case in the descriptive results above, the predicted probability varied little between men and women (Table 4). However, overqualification decreases with age; the older the individual, the less likely he or she is to be overqualified. This is as expected, given that younger individuals have fewer years of experience on the labour market and often need some time to find a job related to their skills. Predictably, those who had a higher level of university degree (a Master’s or a Ph.D.) were almost half as likely to be overqualified than those who did not go beyond a Bachelor degree.
|In occupations usually requiring high school education or less||In occupations usually requiring a college education or less|
|Women||0.156Note *||0.378Note *|
|26||0.209Note *||0.430Note *|
|27||0.180Note *||0.407Note *|
|28||0.160Note *||0.384Note *|
|29||0.146Note *||0.374Note *|
|30||0.142Note *||0.368Note *|
|31||0.136Note *||0.362Note *|
|32||0.132Note *||0.358Note *|
|33||0.122Note *||0.351Note *|
|34||0.122Note *||0.346Note *|
|Does not have a Master's degree or a Ph.D. (ref.)||0.175||0.425|
|Master's degree or Ph.D.||0.093Note *||0.230Note *|
|Immigrants with a degree from Canada or the U.S.||0.165Note *||0.387Note *|
|Immigrants with a degree from outside Canada or the U.S.||0.427Note *||0.686Note *|
|Field of study|
|Visual and performing arts, and communications technologies||0.248Note *||0.652Note *|
|Humanities||0.305Note *||0.592Note *|
|Social and behavioural sciences and law||0.235Note *||0.525Note *|
|Business, management and public administration||0.194Note *||0.443Note *|
|Physical and life sciences and technologies||0.184Note *||0.482Note *|
|Mathematics, computer and information sciences||0.090||0.266Note *|
|Architecture, engineering, and related technologies||0.073Note *||0.240Note *|
|Agriculture, natural resources and conservation||0.213Note *||0.532Note *|
|Health and related fields||0.094||0.245Note *|
|Other||0.268Note *||0.781Note *|
|CMAs and region|
|Montreal, Toronto, Vancouver (ref.)||0.157||0.387|
|Calgary, Edmonton, Quebec City, Winnipeg and Ottawa-Gatineau||0.141Note *||0.358Note *|
|Other CMAs, CAs and rural areas||0.163||0.390|
|Newfoundland and Labrador||0.133Note *||0.340Note *|
|Prince Edward Island||0.140||0.391|
|Nova Scotia||0.157||0.422Note *|
|New Brunswick||0.134Note *||0.390|
|Quebec||0.134Note *||0.339Note *|
|Manitoba||0.211Note *||0.439Note *|
|British Columbia||0.178Note *||0.415Note *|
Source: Statistics Canada, National Household Survey, 2011.
The variables associated with the immigration status and field of study confirmed the preceding findings. Immigrants who did not graduate from Canada or the U.S. had a particularly higher probability of being overqualified (43% for the first model and 69% for the second model). Fields of study that were most associated with a higher predicted probability of being overqualified included humanities (31% for the first model and 59% for the second model); visual and performing arts and communication technologies (25% and 65%); social and behavioural sciences and law (24% and 53%); and agriculture, natural resources and conservation (21% and 53%). The fields that were the least associated with the probability of being overqualified were education (9% and 18%) and health and related fields (9% and 25%).
Finally, some differences could be found across geographical lines. According to both models, Manitoba and British Columbia residents were more likely to be overqualified than Ontario residents; conversely, Quebec residents were less likely to be overqualified.Note14 Finally, individuals living in large Census Metropolitan Areas (CMAs) — Calgary, Edmonton, Quebec City, Winnipeg and Ottawa–Gatineau — were less likely to be overqualified than those living in very large CMAs (Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver).
Over the last two decades, the educational attainment of young Canadians (especially young Canadian women) rose considerably, and growing shares of them found employment in professional occupations—those normally requiring a university degree. In 2011, 28% of employed women aged 25 to 34 worked as professionals, up from 18% in 1991. Among employed men, the proportion of young professionals also rose, from 13% in 1991 to 18% in 2011. However, a portion of young workers are overqualified, or working in occupations requiring less education than they have.
One measure of overqualification is the proportion of university graduates who are not working in occupations usually requiring a university degree (excluding managers). It can be expressed either as a proportion of university graduates working in occupations requiring a high school education, or as a proportion of university graduates in occupations requiring a college education or less. According to both measures, the incidence of overqualification changed little between 1991 and 2011 among male and female graduates aged 25 to 34. However, university-educated immigrants—especially those who did not graduate from Canada or the U.S.—remained significantly more likely than the Canadian-born to be overqualified. Fields of study also mattered, as the majority of young overqualified graduates were from programs in humanities, social sciences, and business administration.
Sharanjit Uppal is a senior analyst in the Labour Statistics Division and Sébastien LaRochelle-Côté is Editor-in-Chief of Insights on Canadian Society, Statistics Canada.
- Studies focusing on the impact of overqualification on earnings include Sicherman (1991) and Rumberger (1987), while Tsang et al. (1991) examine the impact on productivity.
- Canadian studies touching aspects of overqualification include Gingras and Roy (2000); Crompton (2002); Galarneau and Morissette (2004); Frenette (2000 and 2004); and Li et al. (2006).
- Because this study is based on comparisons over time, the classifications across skill levels are based on the NOC 2006 occupational classification system, which was comparable with the NOC 1990 variable in the 1991 Census.
- In 2011, the number of employed university graduates aged 25 to 34 numbered 1.1 million (460,000 males, 638,000 females). In 1991, university graduates aged 25 to 34 numbered 656,000 (338,000 males, 318,000 females).
- A detailed analysis about changes in the occupational profiles of university graduates is presented in another paper, based on National Household Survey and census data (see Uppal and LaRochelle-Côté 2014).
- Among university graduates, 56% of females and 51% of males worked in professional occupations in 2011. Since these proportions remained largely unchanged from 1991, the increase in the proportion of employed men and women in professional occupations was mainly driven by the increase in the proportion of men and women with a university degree.
- Overqualification may also affect those who have a college education or apprenticeship training, for instance, if they work in occupations requiring a high school education or less (see Overqualification among men and women aged 25 to 34 with a college diploma or apprenticeship training).
- See Montmarquette and Boudarbat (2013).
- Inversely, a measure of 'underqualification' could also be defined—for instance, by calculating the proportion of employed professionals who did not have a university degree. However, these proportions were relatively small (7% among men, 10% among women) and, more importantly, varied little since 1991.
- Other studies that found higher rates of overqualification among immigrants include Gilmore (2009), who looked at immigrants aged 25 to 54, and Galarneau and Morissette (2004), who focused on recent immigrants versus their Canadian-born counterparts.
- Among men, the rate was also relatively high among those in 'other' fields of study (34%), but these represented a very small percentage of the overall number of graduates.
- Overqualified immigrants who did not have a university degree from Canada or the United States were even more likely to be concentrated in health-related fields (13% of men, 10% of women) and somewhat less likely to be concentrated in social sciences.
- For instance, 25% of all immigrant men aged 25 to 34 with a university education had a degree in architecture, engineering and related technologies.
- The lower rates in Quebec could be due to differences in that province's education system, whereby most university graduates must go through the CEGEP system (collège d'enseignement général et professionnel, or general and vocational college) prior to choosing a university program. Quebec students thus spend a minimum of two years in CEGEP, after which they receive a diploma, and may or may not decide to pursue their studies at university afterwards. With such a system, Quebec has one of the highest postsecondary graduation rates in the country (Ferguson and Zhao 2013), but the proportion of young workers with a university degree is significantly lower than in Ontario (31% vs. 37%).