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- Articles and reports: 91F0015M1996001Geography: CanadaDescription:
This paper describes the methodology for fertility projections used in the 1993-based population projections by age and sex for Canada, provinces and territories, 1993-2016. A new version of the parametric model known as the Pearsonian Type III curve was applied for projecting fertility age pattern. The Pearsonian Type III model is considered as an improvement over the Type I used in the past projections. This is because the Type III curve better portrays both the distribution of the age-specific fertility rates and the estimates of births. Since the 1993-based population projections are the first official projections to incorporate the net census undercoverage in the population base, it has been necessary to recalculate fertility rates based on the adjusted population estimates. This recalculation resulted in lowering the historical series of age-specific and total fertility rates, 1971-1993. The three sets of fertility assumptions and projections were developed with these adjusted annual fertility rates.
It is hoped that this paper will provide valuable information about the technical and analytical aspects of the current fertility projection model. Discussions on the current and future levels and age pattern of fertility in Canada, provinces and territories are also presented in the paper.
Release date: 1996-08-02 - Articles and reports: 12-001-X199600114381Description:
Problems arising from statistical disclosure control, which aims to prevent that information about individual respondents is disclosed by users of data, have come to the fore rapidly in recent years. The main reason for this is the growing demand for detailed data provided by statistical offices caused by the still increasing use of computers. In former days tables with relatively little information were published. Nowadays the users of data demand much more detailed tables and, moreover, microdata to analyze by themselves. Because of this increase in information content statistical disclosure control has become much more difficult. In this paper the authors give their view on the problems which one encounters when trying to protect microdata against disclosure. This view is based on their experience with statistical disclosure control acquired at Statistics Netherlands.
Release date: 1996-06-14 - 3. Multiple sample estimation of population and census undercount in the presence of matching errors ArchivedArticles and reports: 12-001-X199600114385Description:
The multiple capture-recapture census is reconsidered by relaxing the traditional perfect matching assumption. We propose matching error models to characterize error-prone matching mechanisms. The observed data take the form of an incomplete 2^k contingency table with one missing cell and follow a multinomial distribution. We develop a procedure for the estimation of the population size. Our approach applies to both standard log-linear models for contingency tables and log-linear models for heterogeneity of catchability. We illustrate the method and estimation using a 1988 dress rehearsal study for the 1990 census conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census.
Release date: 1996-06-14 - 4. Project on Matching Census 1986 Database and Manitoba Health Care Files: Private Households Component ArchivedArticles and reports: 11F0019M1996091Geography: Province or territoryDescription:
Introduction: In the current economic context, all partners in health care delivery systems, be they public or private, are obliged to identify the factors that influence the utilization of health care services. To improve our understanding of the phenomena that underlie these relationships, Statistics Canada and the Manitoba Centre for Health Policy and Evaluation have just set up a new database. For a representative sample of the population of the province of Manitoba, cross-sectional microdata on individuals' health and socio-economic characteristics were linked with detailed longitudinal data on utilization of health care services.
Data and methods: The 1986-87 Health and Activity Limitation Survey, the 1986 Census and the files of Manitoba Health were matched (without using names or addresses) by means of the CANLINK software. In the pilot project, 20,000 units were selected from the Census according to modern sampling techniques. Before the files were matched, consultations were held and an agreement was signed by all parties in order to establish a framework for protecting privacy and preserving the confidentiality of the data.
Results: A matching rate of 74% was obtained for private households. A quality evaluation based on the comparisons of names and addresses over a small subsample established that the overall concordance rate among matched pairs was 95.5%. The match rates and concordance rates varied according to age and household composition. Estimates produced from the sample accurately reflected the socio-demographic profile, mortality, hospitalization rate, health care costs and consumption of health care by Manitoba residents.
Discussion: The matching rate of 74% was satisfactory in comparison with the response rates reported in most population surveys. Because of the excellent concordance rate and the accuracy of the estimates obtained from the sample, this database will provide an adequate basis for studying the association between socio-demographic characteristics, health and health care utilization in province of Manitoba.
Release date: 1996-03-30 - 5. The labour market: Year-end review [1995] ArchivedArticles and reports: 75-001-X19960012523Geography: CanadaDescription:
Why did the economy slow down in 1995 and what was the effect on the labour market? This year-end review examines changes and trends in the labour market over the past year.
Release date: 1996-03-12 - Articles and reports: 91-209-X19950009311Geography: Province or territoryDescription: The 1990 report compared the situation of the Canadian population with that of the United States, Canada's historical partner in the settlement of North America, showing their similarities and differences and how each has developed over time. Continuing in the same vein, the 1993 report described the Mexican situation in comparison with the population of Canada. It seemed worthwhile to consider why and how Canada's two most densely populated provinces, Quebec and Ontario, are alike and differ.Release date: 1996-01-19
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Articles and reports (6)
Articles and reports (6) ((6 results))
- Articles and reports: 91F0015M1996001Geography: CanadaDescription:
This paper describes the methodology for fertility projections used in the 1993-based population projections by age and sex for Canada, provinces and territories, 1993-2016. A new version of the parametric model known as the Pearsonian Type III curve was applied for projecting fertility age pattern. The Pearsonian Type III model is considered as an improvement over the Type I used in the past projections. This is because the Type III curve better portrays both the distribution of the age-specific fertility rates and the estimates of births. Since the 1993-based population projections are the first official projections to incorporate the net census undercoverage in the population base, it has been necessary to recalculate fertility rates based on the adjusted population estimates. This recalculation resulted in lowering the historical series of age-specific and total fertility rates, 1971-1993. The three sets of fertility assumptions and projections were developed with these adjusted annual fertility rates.
It is hoped that this paper will provide valuable information about the technical and analytical aspects of the current fertility projection model. Discussions on the current and future levels and age pattern of fertility in Canada, provinces and territories are also presented in the paper.
Release date: 1996-08-02 - Articles and reports: 12-001-X199600114381Description:
Problems arising from statistical disclosure control, which aims to prevent that information about individual respondents is disclosed by users of data, have come to the fore rapidly in recent years. The main reason for this is the growing demand for detailed data provided by statistical offices caused by the still increasing use of computers. In former days tables with relatively little information were published. Nowadays the users of data demand much more detailed tables and, moreover, microdata to analyze by themselves. Because of this increase in information content statistical disclosure control has become much more difficult. In this paper the authors give their view on the problems which one encounters when trying to protect microdata against disclosure. This view is based on their experience with statistical disclosure control acquired at Statistics Netherlands.
Release date: 1996-06-14 - 3. Multiple sample estimation of population and census undercount in the presence of matching errors ArchivedArticles and reports: 12-001-X199600114385Description:
The multiple capture-recapture census is reconsidered by relaxing the traditional perfect matching assumption. We propose matching error models to characterize error-prone matching mechanisms. The observed data take the form of an incomplete 2^k contingency table with one missing cell and follow a multinomial distribution. We develop a procedure for the estimation of the population size. Our approach applies to both standard log-linear models for contingency tables and log-linear models for heterogeneity of catchability. We illustrate the method and estimation using a 1988 dress rehearsal study for the 1990 census conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census.
Release date: 1996-06-14 - 4. Project on Matching Census 1986 Database and Manitoba Health Care Files: Private Households Component ArchivedArticles and reports: 11F0019M1996091Geography: Province or territoryDescription:
Introduction: In the current economic context, all partners in health care delivery systems, be they public or private, are obliged to identify the factors that influence the utilization of health care services. To improve our understanding of the phenomena that underlie these relationships, Statistics Canada and the Manitoba Centre for Health Policy and Evaluation have just set up a new database. For a representative sample of the population of the province of Manitoba, cross-sectional microdata on individuals' health and socio-economic characteristics were linked with detailed longitudinal data on utilization of health care services.
Data and methods: The 1986-87 Health and Activity Limitation Survey, the 1986 Census and the files of Manitoba Health were matched (without using names or addresses) by means of the CANLINK software. In the pilot project, 20,000 units were selected from the Census according to modern sampling techniques. Before the files were matched, consultations were held and an agreement was signed by all parties in order to establish a framework for protecting privacy and preserving the confidentiality of the data.
Results: A matching rate of 74% was obtained for private households. A quality evaluation based on the comparisons of names and addresses over a small subsample established that the overall concordance rate among matched pairs was 95.5%. The match rates and concordance rates varied according to age and household composition. Estimates produced from the sample accurately reflected the socio-demographic profile, mortality, hospitalization rate, health care costs and consumption of health care by Manitoba residents.
Discussion: The matching rate of 74% was satisfactory in comparison with the response rates reported in most population surveys. Because of the excellent concordance rate and the accuracy of the estimates obtained from the sample, this database will provide an adequate basis for studying the association between socio-demographic characteristics, health and health care utilization in province of Manitoba.
Release date: 1996-03-30 - 5. The labour market: Year-end review [1995] ArchivedArticles and reports: 75-001-X19960012523Geography: CanadaDescription:
Why did the economy slow down in 1995 and what was the effect on the labour market? This year-end review examines changes and trends in the labour market over the past year.
Release date: 1996-03-12 - Articles and reports: 91-209-X19950009311Geography: Province or territoryDescription: The 1990 report compared the situation of the Canadian population with that of the United States, Canada's historical partner in the settlement of North America, showing their similarities and differences and how each has developed over time. Continuing in the same vein, the 1993 report described the Mexican situation in comparison with the population of Canada. It seemed worthwhile to consider why and how Canada's two most densely populated provinces, Quebec and Ontario, are alike and differ.Release date: 1996-01-19
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