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Canada's population estimates, second quarter 2025

Released: 2025-09-24

Population estimates for Canada, the provinces, and territories on July 1, 2025, are now available. These new data allow for an analysis of population change during the second quarter of 2025. Updated estimates from the third quarter of 2021 to the first quarter of 2025 are also available. Demographic estimates up to and including the fourth quarter of 2021 are final.

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  Note to readers

The demographic estimates for the second quarter of 2025 released today are considered preliminary and will be updated using the standard procedure followed by Statistics Canada for decades. They are based on 2021 Census counts, adjusted for census net undercoverage and incompletely enumerated reserves and settlements. To these counts, the population growth estimates for the period from May 11, 2021, to the date of the estimate are added.

Three elements of the estimation method for non-permanent residents (permit holders) have been improved for this release. The first improvement involves the use of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada's (IRCC) "mailing address file" to determine the province or territory of residence at a given reference date rather than the intended province or territory. If this information is missing, the intended province or territory is still used. The second improvement involves incorporating new IRCC administrative data to calculate permit extensions instead of IRCC's published processing times. The third improvement updates the allocation of open permit holders across provinces and territories, based on the new IRCC administrative data, which are more recent than those of the 2021 Census.

The Demographic Estimates Program (DEP) will also release a comprehensive update of the estimation methods in an updated version of the publication Population and Family Estimation Methods at Statistics Canada within the coming months.

Canada's population clock (real-time model)

Canada's population clock (real-time model) was updated today with the most recent data from quarterly population estimates released by Statistics Canada.

Canada's population clock is an interactive learning tool aiming to give Canadians a sense of the pace of the country's population renewal. The population estimates and census counts remain the measures used by various government programs.

Acknowledgements

The Demographic Estimates Program of Statistics Canada is grateful for the ongoing partnership with Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC), which greatly contributes to the accuracy of the estimations of immigrants and non-permanent residents.

Products

The product "Quarterly demographic estimates, provinces and territories: Interactive dashboard" (Catalogue number71-607-X) is available.

The product "Quarterly estimates of international migration components, provinces and territories: Interactive dashboard" (Catalogue number71-607-X) is also available.

The product "Quarterly estimates of the number of non-permanent residents by type, provinces and territories: Interactive dashboard" (Catalogue number71-607-X) is also available.

The product "Canada's population clock (real-time model)" (Catalogue number71-607-X) is also available.

The product "Statistics Canada's reliable and timely system of population statistics" (Catalogue number91F0015M) is also available.

The Population and demography statistics, Immigrants and Non-permanent Residents Statistics and Older adults and population aging statistics portals are also available.

Contact information

For more information, or to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact us (toll-free 1-800-263-1136; 514-283-8300; infostats@statcan.gc.ca) or Media Relations (statcan.mediahotline-ligneinfomedias.statcan@statcan.gc.ca).

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