The Decline in Production and Investment in Canada’s Oil and Gas Sector and its Impact on the Economy - ARCHIVED

This Economic Insights estimates the economic impact of the potential decline in production and investment in the oil and gas industry due to recent shocks in oil prices. Oil prices dropped sharply in March as the COVID-19 pandemic unfolded and as Russia and Saudi Arabia failed to reach an agreement to support oil prices by limiting production. In response, oil companies in Canada reacted by adjusting down both capital expenditures and production plan in 2020. This article uses input-output multipliers to estimate the impact of such cut backs in production and investment on GDP growth and jobs in the total economy under different scenarios.