Annual Demographic Estimates: Subprovincial Areas, July 1, 2019
Appendix C: Sources and remarks

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Base population

May 10, 2016 Census of Population adjusted to July 1 and corrected for census net undercoverage (including incompletely enumerated Indian reserves and population reviews).

2016 Census: Statistics Canada, Census of Canada, 2016, Catalogue no. 98-501-X.

Census net undercoverage: See The Daily, September 27, 2018.

Incompletely enumerated Indian reserves: See The Daily, September 27, 2018.

Births and deaths

Statistics Canada, Centre for Population Health Data. For Quebec, preliminary and updated births and deaths were provided by l’Institut de la Statistique du Québec.

Immigration

The estimates are produced by the Centre for Demography using the Global Case Management System (GCMS) files from Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) received by September 2019.

Non-permanent residents

The estimates are produced by the Centre for Demography using the GCMS files from IRCC. These files, received by September 2019, document the number of permit holders and asylum claimants.

Emigration and returning emigrants

For the subprovincial areas, the components (emigration and returning emigrants) are extracted from tax files by broad age groups and sex. They are calculated using the T1 Family File (T1FF) provided by the Centre for Income and Socioeconomic Well-being Statistics of Statistics Canada. The data is then broken down by single year of age and sex based on the provincial and territorial distribution. To ensure their consistency, the estimates are subsequently controlled to the provincial and territorial totals.

Net temporary emigrants

Statistics Canada, Centre for Demography – based on data from the Reverses Record Check (RRC) for the 2016 Census, and the 2016 Census. Data were broken down by region, single year of age and sex according to the emigrants’ distribution.

Net interprovincial migration and net intraprovincial migration

For the subprovincial areas, the components (in- and out-migrants for interprovincial and intraprovincial migration) are extracted from tax files by broad age groups and sex. They are calculated using the T1FF provided by the Centre for Income and Socioeconomic Well-being Statistics of Statistics Canada as well as data from Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) Canada child benefit files (CCB) program. The data is then broken down by single year of age and sex based on the mobility information from the 2016 Census. To ensure their consistency, the components for interprovincial migration are subsequently controlled to the provincial and territorial totals.

For Quebec, intraprovincial migration data were provided by l’Institut de la Statistique du Québec.


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