Empirical likelihood inference for missing survey data under unequal probability sampling
Section 6. Conclusion and future perspectives
A
fractional imputation is proposed and an associated EL is developed for making
inference on the population mean
of a function of a variable of interest for
survey data that are missing at random under PPS sampling with negligible
sampling fractions or with replacement. Two bootstrap and EL based methods,
BELP and BELR, are proposed for constructing CIs on
and are shown to be asymptotically correct.
Simulation studies show that the proposed intervals perform better than their
naive bootstrap counterparts under various sample size settings. In addition,
the proposed BELR intervals are seen to have more accurate coverage
probabilities than those of the proposed BELP intervals, particularly in two
situations: (i) when the inclusion probabilities differ in size substantially,
or (ii) when the sample size is not too large. Moreover, the proposed BELR
intervals exhibit notably better coverage probabilities than the EL-ratio
intervals with estimated scaling constant (SELR intervals) in the above case
(i).
For
parameters defined by smooth estimating equations under an IID setting, Tang
and Qin (2012), using an inverse-probability-weighted fractional imputation,
achieved two most desirable properties of EL inference with data missing at
random: (1) the associated MELE attains the semi-parametric efficiency bound,
and (2) the corresponding EL ratio follows a simple chi-square limiting
distribution. However, their method requires both the observed and the missing
data to be imputed, which is unlikely to be accepted in practice in survey
studies. We are working on extending Tang and Qin (2012) to a survey setup
while avoiding imputing observed data points.
Our
future work also includes extending the current methods to tackling missing
data from stratified sampling and multistage sampling, as well as to the case
where the sampling fraction is non-negligible.
Appendix A
Define,
for all
and
Theorems 1-3 are established under the following regularity
conditions.
-
and
converge to some constant limits as
for all
for all
and
for at least one
- There exists a constant
such that (a)
and (b)
as
Conditions
(R.1) and (R.2) ensure that the population has regular behaviour when embedded
in a asymptotic sequence. Condition (R.3) is a standard condition in EL
inference as used by Chen and Sitter (1999).
The
constant
in Theorem 1 is given by the positive
square root of
The constant
in Theorem 2 is given by
Design-consistent estimators of
and
can be obtained by plugging in the following
design-consistent estimators of
and
for
Appendix B
We
now give proofs for Theorems 1-3. Let
and
denote the expectation and variance operators
with respect to the sampling design, respectively. We consider PPS sampling
with replacement in the proofs. All results also apply to PPS sampling without
replacement with negligible sampling fractions.
Lemma 1. Under condition (R.1),
Proof
of Lemma 1. Recall that
so we have
by (R.1). Under PPS sampling with replacement,
we have
Therefore, by Markov’s inequality, we easily obtain
Moreover,
since
by the MAR assumption, we have
Similar to the case of
we can show that
so we have
We
hence conclude that
Lemma 2. Under conditions (R.1) and (R.2),
Proof
of Lemma 2. The
following decomposition holds:
where
and
Noting that
where
we get
with
We
now work out the conditional limiting distributions of
given the sample data
Since the imputation is carried out
independently across
are conditionally independent random variables
given
Note that
have zero conditional mean,
and common conditional variance for all
Moreover, we have
By Lemma 1,
and in the proof of Lemma 1, we have
shown
Under condition (R.2)(a), we can show that
and
Therefore,
By the Berry-Essen Theorem (Chow and Teicher, 1997, Section 9.1), we
have
where
and
are some constants that do not rely on
and
We can further show that, under condition (R.2)(a),
which implies that
Therefore,
We
next find the limiting distribution of
It can be shown that, for each
Hence, by (B.1), we have
where
Under sampling with replacement,
are independent random variables. Moreover, we
get
and
Under condition (R.2)(a), the conditions of the Lyanunov central limit
theorem are satisfied, so we have
By
(B.3) and (B.5), and observing that
converges to a constant limit under condition
(R.1), all conditions of Theorem 2 of Chen and Rao (2007) are verified.
Accordingly, we have
Noticing that
and
the claimed result is proved.
Proof
of Theorem 1. By (3.3) and (2.1), we have
where
Note
that, given the sample data
By Lemma 1, we have
Moreover, we can show that, under condition
(R.2)(b),
Therefore,
In addition, it can be shown that given
The above results imply that
Combining
(B.6), (B.7) and Lemma 2, we obtain the desired result.
Proof
of Theorem 2. By (3.2) and (3.4), we have
where
satisfies
Using the same argument as used by Owen (2001,
Section 11.2, Proof of Theorem 3.2), we can show that, under condition
(R.3),
and
By this expression of
(B.8) and a Taylor’s expansion, we obtain
Note that
where
and
Under condition (R.2)(a), we can show that
and
Hence,
Theorem 2 is then proved by substituting the above expression into (B.9)
and applying Theorem 1.
For
the proof of Theorem 3, we introduce the following Lemma.
Lemma 3. Under conditions (R.1) and (R.2),
where
Proof
of Lemma 3. Let
denote the bootstrap sample
We have the following decomposition:
where
and
Similar to the proof of Lemma 2, we can show that
where
is defined in (B.2).
We
next give the conditional limiting distribution of
given
It can be shown that
where
Conditioned on
are IID across
and we can show that
and
We can show that the first term on the right hand side (RHS) equals
and the second term on the RHS equals
Therefore
where
is defined in (B.4). By verifying the
conditions of the Berry-Essen Theorem as in the proof of Lemma 2, we get
By
(B.10) and (B.11), and applying Theorem 2 of Chen and Rao (2007), we
obtain the claimed results.
Proof
of Theorem 3. We
first prove (4.2). By (3.3) and (2.1), we have
where
By (4.1), we have
where
It
is straightforward to show that
and
under condition (R.2)(b). Therefore,
Then, by Lemma 3, we have
This, combined with Theorem 1 and Polya’s Theorem, completes the
proof of (4.2).
The
result (4.3) can be proved based on (4.2) and by following the same arguments
as used in the proof of Theorem 2.
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