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National balance sheet and financial flow accounts, second quarter 2018

Released: 2018-09-14

National wealth increases for the fourth consecutive quarter

National wealth, the value of non-financial assets in the Canadian economy, rose 1.9% to $11,119.4 billion at the end of the second quarter, an acceleration from the 1.3% growth in the first quarter. The growth in the second quarter was led primarily by an increase in the value of natural resources, as crude oil and timber prices rose. Real estate also contributed to the growth in national wealth. On a per capita basis, national wealth reached $298,777.

National net worth, the sum of national wealth and Canada's net foreign asset position, increased 1.7% to $11,638.1 billion at the end of the second quarter. Net worth grew at a slower pace than national wealth due to a decline in the net foreign asset position.

Canada's net foreign asset position decreased by $15.1 billion to $518.7 billion in the second quarter. This decline mainly reflected net borrowings of $10.4 billion from international financial transactions to finance the current account deficit. The stronger performance of the Canadian stock market relative to other major stock markets, pushing the value of international liabilities up by more than international assets, also contributed to the decline.

Chart 1  Chart 1: National wealth by component
National wealth by component

Weaker growth in household residential real estate

Net worth of the household sector rose 1.1% in the second quarter to $11,058.0 billion. Overall, the debt to asset ratio remained relatively unchanged as growth in assets narrowly outpaced growth in liabilities.

The value of non-financial assets rose $43.1 billion in the second quarter, mainly due to growth in the value of residential real estate, which reached $5,209.8 billion. Growth in the value of residential real estate has proceeded at a slower pace over the last five quarters due to more moderate housing resale prices.

Financial assets increased 1.5% as domestic markets recovered from a weaker first quarter, when financial assets fell 0.2%. Equity and investment funds increased $48.3 billion in the second quarter, following a $48.7 billion decline in the first quarter, while life insurance and pension funds rose by $32.0 billion.

Chart 2  Chart 2: Household sector leverage: debt to assets
Household sector leverage: debt to assets

Household mortgage borrowing continues to slow

On a seasonally adjusted basis, total credit market borrowing slowed for the second consecutive quarter as households borrowed $19.6 billion, down from $22.2 billion in the previous quarter. While consumer credit increased (+$1.7 billion), this was more than offset by a decline in both mortgage (-$3.6 billion) and non-mortgage (-$0.8 billion) loans.

The seasonally adjusted household debt service ratio, measured as total obligated payments of principal and interest as a proportion of household disposable income for mortgage and non-mortgage debt, reached 14.2% in the second quarter. Meanwhile, interest payments on mortgage debt continued to outpace principal payments.

Chart 3  Chart 3: Household credit market debt, seasonally adjusted flows
Household credit market debt, seasonally adjusted flows

Credit market debt as a proportion of household disposable income increases at a slower pace

On an unadjusted basis, household credit market debt (consumer credit, and mortgage and non-mortgage loans) totalled $2,166.0 billion in the second quarter. Mortgage debt reached $1,415.5 billion, while consumer credit stood at $642.4 billion. Credit market debt as a proportion of household disposable income (adjusted to exclude pension entitlements) increased to 169.1%, as credit market debt outpaced income. In other words, there was $1.69 in credit market debt for every dollar of household disposable income. On a year-over-year basis, the household credit market debt to disposable income ratio declined 0.4%. Similarly, the growth in the value of total credit market debt has been steadily declining.

Federal government net issuer of short-term paper

The federal government demand for credit market debt was $2.6 billion in the second quarter. This was led by $8.8 billion of net issuances of short-term paper, which more than offset net retirements of bonds. The demand for credit market debt by other levels of government was $17.5 billion, the majority of which was net issuances of provincial bonds and debentures (+$15.2 billion).

Demand for funds by non-financial private corporations increases

The demand for funds by non-financial private corporations was $41.4 billion in the second quarter, the highest value since the second quarter of 2017, when significant mergers and acquisition activity occurred. The bulk of this financing in the second quarter of 2018 was provided by the banking sector in the form of non-mortgage loans.

Chart 4  Chart 4: Borrowing by private non-financial corporations
Borrowing by private non-financial corporations

Non-financial private corporations' debt-to-equity ratio (book value) edged down in the second quarter to 72.6. However, on a year-over-year basis this ratio was 4.6 percentage points higher than the same quarter last year, continuing an overall upward trend.

Financial sector mortgage financing continues slowdown

The financial sector provided $66.5 billion of funds to the economy through financial market instruments in the second quarter, up from $49.7 billion in the first quarter. This was mostly attributable to non-mortgage (+$20.7 billion) and mortgage (+$18.4 billion) loans. While mortgage lending increased in the quarter, this reflected the normal seasonal pattern of lending activity; however, on a year-over-year basis, mortgage lending was down considerably.

The value of financial assets of financial corporations increased by $289.8 billion to $14,118.9 billion at the end of the second quarter. Revaluations and other volume changes of $151.4 billion, led by equity investment of institutional investors and mutual funds, on the strength of foreign and domestic markets, and transaction activity of $138.4 billion contributed together to the higher value of financial assets.

Chart 5  Chart 5: Economic transactions and other changes in value of financial corporations' assets
Economic transactions and other changes in value of financial corporations' assets





  Note to readers

This release of the financial and wealth accounts is comprised of the national balance sheet accounts (NBSA), financial flow accounts (FFA) and other changes in assets accounts.

The NBSA are composed of the balance sheets of all sectors and subsectors of the economy. The main sectors are households, non-profit institutions serving households, financial corporations, non-financial corporations, government, and non-residents. The NBSA cover all national non-financial assets and financial asset-liability claims outstanding in all sectors. To improve the interpretability of the estimates of the financial flows, selected household borrowing series are available on a seasonally adjusted basis (table 38-10-0238-01). All other data are unadjusted for seasonal variation. For information on seasonal adjustment, see Seasonally adjusted data – Frequently asked questions.

The FFA articulate net lending or borrowing activity by sector by measuring financial transactions in the economy. The FFA arrive at a measure of net financial investment, which is the difference between transactions in financial assets and liabilities (for example, net purchases of securities less net issuances of securities). The FFA also provide the link between financial and non-financial activity in the economy, which ties estimates of saving and non-financial capital acquisition (for example, investment in new housing) to the underlying financial transactions.

While the financial flow accounts record changes in financial assets and liabilities between opening and closing balance sheets that are associated with transactions during the accounting period, the value of assets and liabilities held by an institutional unit can also change for other reasons. These other types of changes, referred to as other economic flows, are recorded in the other changes in assets account.

There are two main components to this account. One is the other changes in the volume of assets account. This account includes changes in non-financial and financial assets and liabilities relating to the economic appearance and disappearance of assets, the effects of external events such as wars or catastrophes on the value of assets, and changes in the classification and structure of assets. The other main component is the revaluation account, showing holding gains or losses accruing to the owners of non-financial and financial assets and liabilities during the accounting period as a result of changes in market price valuations.

At present, only the aggregate other change in assets is available within the Canadian System of Macroeconomic Accounts; no details are available on the different components.

Definitions concerning financial indicators can be found in Financial indicators from the National Balance Sheet Accounts and in the System of macroeconomic accounts glossary.

Revisions

This second quarter release of the national balance sheet and financial flow accounts includes revised estimates from the first quarter of 2018. These data incorporate new and revised source data, as well as updated seasonal trends.

Later this year, at the time of the third quarter release, data enhancements to the national balance sheet and financial flow accounts, such as the development of detailed counterparty information by sector, will be incorporated. At this time, estimates will be revised back to 1990 to ensure a continuous time series.

Debt service ratio

With this release, the debt service ratio is now published in the quarterly release of the Financial and Wealth Accounts in table 11-10-0065-01, Debt service indicators of households, national balance sheet accounts.

Next release

Data on the national balance sheet and financial flow accounts for the third quarter will be released on December 14, 2018.

Products

The Latest Developments in the Canadian Economic Accounts (Catalogue number13-605-X) is available.

The User Guide: Canadian System of Macroeconomic Accounts (Catalogue number13-606-G) is available.

The Methodological Guide: Canadian System of Macroeconomic Accounts (Catalogue number13-607-X) is available.

Contact information

For more information, or to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact us (toll-free 1-800-263-1136; 514-283-8300; STATCAN.infostats-infostats.STATCAN@canada.ca) or Media Relations (613-951-4636; STATCAN.mediahotline-ligneinfomedias.STATCAN@canada.ca).

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