Population Projections for Canada (2018 to 2068), Provinces and Territories (2018 to 2043)
Section 2 – Results at the Canada level, 2018 to 2068
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Growth of the Canadian population from 2018 to 2068
The Canadian population has grown substantially in recent years, increasing from 30.7 million in 2000 to 37.1 million in 2018. Recently, the annual growth rate in Canada was higher than other G7 countries (Table 2.1). The results of the various projection scenarios show that growth would continue over the next 50 years, albeit at a slower pace than that recently observed. According to the medium-growth (M1) scenario, the Canadian population would grow steadily, increasing from 37.1 million in 2018 to 55.2 million in 2068 (Figure 2.1). From an annual growth rate of 14.2 per thousand in 2017/2018, the rate of growth would slowly diminish and then plateau to around 7.3 per thousand by 2067/2068 (Figure 2.2), considerably lower than the average rate recorded over the past 30 years (10.9 per thousand for the period 1987/1988 to 2017/2018).
Country | Rate |
---|---|
percent | |
Canada | 1.4 |
United States | 0.7 |
United Kingdom | 0.6 |
France | 0.3 |
Germany | 0.3 |
Italy | -0.2 |
Japan | -0.2 |
Source: Statistics Canada. 2019. Annual Demographic Estimates: Canada, Provinces and Territories, 2018, Chart 1.2, catalogue no. 91-215-X. |
The continued growth projected for Canada is noteworthy, as the populations of many other developed countries are expected to decrease in the coming decades. For instance, recent projections from the United Nations suggest that the majority of countries in “more developed regions” are projected to decrease in size between 2018 and 2068.Note Note
According to the high-growth (HG) scenario, the Canadian population would almost double to 70.2 million in 2068, mainly a result of rises in immigration, fertility and life expectancy. By 2067/2068, the annual growth rate would be 13.3 per thousand, slightly below the rate most recently observed.
The low-growth (LG) scenario offers a different picture; Canada would still experience population growth, but the rate of growth would decline rapidly over the next 50 years. Under this scenario, the Canadian population would increase to 44.4 million in 2068, a growth of about 20% from its 2018 level. The pace of growth would decrease to 1.9 per thousand in 2067/2068.
Together, the three main population growth scenarios contain within their bounds the values recently projected for 2025 and 2050 for Canada by two international organisms (the United Nations and the World Bank) (Table 2.2). Variations relate in part to the different base (or launch) years from the various sources, as well as different assumptions for the various components of population growth.
Description for Figure 2.1
Year | Historic | Projected | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Low-growth scenario (LG) | Medium-growth scenario (M1) | High-growth scenario (HG) | ||
in thousands | ||||
1971 | 21,962.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1972 | 22,218.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1973 | 22,491.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1974 | 22,808.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1975 | 23,143.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1976 | 23,449.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1977 | 23,725.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1978 | 23,963.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1979 | 24,201.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1980 | 24,515.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1981 | 24,819.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1982 | 25,116.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1983 | 25,366.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1984 | 25,607.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1985 | 25,842.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1986 | 26,100.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1987 | 26,446.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1988 | 26,791.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1989 | 27,276.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1990 | 27,691.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1991 | 28,037.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1992 | 28,371.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1993 | 28,684.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1994 | 29,000.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1995 | 29,302.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1996 | 29,610.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1997 | 29,905.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1998 | 30,155.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1999 | 30,401.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2000 | 30,685.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2001 | 31,020.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2002 | 31,360.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2003 | 31,644.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2004 | 31,940.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2005 | 32,243.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2006 | 32,571.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2007 | 32,889.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2008 | 33,247.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2009 | 33,628.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2010 | 34,004.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2011 | 34,339.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2012 | 34,714.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2013 | 35,083.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2014 | 35,437.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2015 | 35,702.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2016 | 36,109.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2017 | 36,540.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2018 | 37,058.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2019 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 37,383.7 | 37,466.8 | 37,584.5 |
2020 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 37,705.1 | 37,873.7 | 38,094.2 |
2021 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 38,019.2 | 38,284.6 | 38,609.9 |
2022 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 38,322.8 | 38,694.3 | 39,133.6 |
2023 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 38,615.6 | 39,102.6 | 39,665.6 |
2024 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 38,897.4 | 39,509.1 | 40,206.0 |
2025 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 39,168.4 | 39,913.5 | 40,754.2 |
2026 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 39,428.5 | 40,315.2 | 41,309.8 |
2027 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 39,677.7 | 40,713.9 | 41,872.3 |
2028 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 39,915.9 | 41,109.2 | 42,441.1 |
2029 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 40,143.2 | 41,500.7 | 43,015.6 |
2030 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 40,359.5 | 41,888.1 | 43,595.5 |
2031 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 40,564.9 | 42,271.0 | 44,180.1 |
2032 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 40,759.5 | 42,649.3 | 44,769.2 |
2033 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 40,943.6 | 43,022.8 | 45,362.4 |
2034 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41,117.5 | 43,391.5 | 45,959.5 |
2035 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41,281.5 | 43,755.5 | 46,560.4 |
2036 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41,436.1 | 44,114.7 | 47,165.0 |
2037 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41,581.7 | 44,469.4 | 47,773.2 |
2038 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41,718.7 | 44,819.5 | 48,384.8 |
2039 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41,847.6 | 45,165.3 | 49,000.0 |
2040 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41,968.7 | 45,506.8 | 49,618.5 |
2041 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42,082.5 | 45,843.9 | 50,240.2 |
2042 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42,189.0 | 46,176.9 | 50,865.1 |
2043 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42,288.8 | 46,505.6 | 51,493.2 |
2044 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42,388.3 | 46,831.8 | 52,117.5 |
2045 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42,484.4 | 47,156.2 | 52,746.3 |
2046 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42,577.0 | 47,479.1 | 53,380.3 |
2047 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42,666.5 | 47,800.8 | 54,019.9 |
2048 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42,752.9 | 48,121.7 | 54,665.8 |
2049 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42,836.6 | 48,442.3 | 55,319.1 |
2050 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42,917.8 | 48,763.1 | 55,980.4 |
2051 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42,996.9 | 49,084.7 | 56,650.8 |
2052 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43,074.3 | 49,407.9 | 57,331.4 |
2053 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43,150.4 | 49,733.2 | 58,023.0 |
2054 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43,225.9 | 50,061.4 | 58,726.7 |
2055 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43,301.1 | 50,393.2 | 59,443.5 |
2056 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43,376.5 | 50,729.2 | 60,174.2 |
2057 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43,452.6 | 51,070.0 | 60,919.5 |
2058 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43,529.7 | 51,416.0 | 61,680.1 |
2059 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43,608.0 | 51,767.6 | 62,456.5 |
2060 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43,687.6 | 52,125.0 | 63,249.0 |
2061 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43,768.5 | 52,488.2 | 64,057.9 |
2062 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43,850.7 | 52,857.2 | 64,883.1 |
2063 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43,934.0 | 53,231.9 | 65,724.8 |
2064 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 44,018.1 | 53,611.9 | 66,582.7 |
2065 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 44,102.7 | 53,997.0 | 67,456.6 |
2066 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 44,187.5 | 54,386.7 | 68,346.2 |
2067 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 44,272.1 | 54,780.6 | 69,251.1 |
2068 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 44,356.3 | 55,178.3 | 70,171.1 |
.. not available for a specific reference period Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. |
Description for Figure 2.2
Period | Historic | Projected | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Low-growth scenario (LG) | Medium-growth scenario (M1) | High-growth scenario (HG) | ||
per thousand | ||||
1971/1972 | 11.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1972/1973 | 12.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1973/1974 | 14.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1974/1975 | 14.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1975/1976 | 13.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1976/1977 | 11.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1977/1978 | 10.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1978/1979 | 9.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1979/1980 | 13.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1980/1981 | 12.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1981/1982 | 12.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1982/1983 | 9.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1983/1984 | 9.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1984/1985 | 9.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1985/1986 | 10.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1986/1987 | 13.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1987/1988 | 13.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1988/1989 | 18.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1989/1990 | 15.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1990/1991 | 12.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1991/1992 | 11.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1992/1993 | 11.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1993/1994 | 11.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1994/1995 | 10.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1995/1996 | 10.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1996/1997 | 10.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1997/1998 | 8.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1998/1999 | 8.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1999/2000 | 9.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2000/2001 | 10.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2001/2002 | 10.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2002/2003 | 9.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2003/2004 | 9.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2004/2005 | 9.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2005/2006 | 10.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2006/2007 | 9.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2007/2008 | 10.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2008/2009 | 11.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2009/2010 | 11.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2010/2011 | 9.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2011/2012 | 10.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2012/2013 | 10.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2013/2014 | 10.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2014/2015 | 7.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2015/2016 | 11.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2016/2017 | 11.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2017/2018 | 14.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2018/2019 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.8 | 11.0 | 14.2 |
2019/2020 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.6 | 10.9 | 13.6 |
2020/2021 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.3 | 10.8 | 13.5 |
2021/2022 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.0 | 10.7 | 13.6 |
2022/2023 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.6 | 10.6 | 13.6 |
2023/2024 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.3 | 10.4 | 13.6 |
2024/2025 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.0 | 10.2 | 13.6 |
2025/2026 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6.6 | 10.1 | 13.6 |
2026/2027 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6.3 | 9.9 | 13.6 |
2027/2028 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6.0 | 9.7 | 13.6 |
2028/2029 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5.7 | 9.5 | 13.5 |
2029/2030 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5.4 | 9.3 | 13.5 |
2030/2031 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5.1 | 9.1 | 13.4 |
2031/2032 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4.8 | 8.9 | 13.3 |
2032/2033 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4.5 | 8.8 | 13.3 |
2033/2034 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4.2 | 8.6 | 13.2 |
2034/2035 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4.0 | 8.4 | 13.1 |
2035/2036 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3.7 | 8.2 | 13.0 |
2036/2037 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3.5 | 8.0 | 12.9 |
2037/2038 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3.3 | 7.9 | 12.8 |
2038/2039 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3.1 | 7.7 | 12.7 |
2039/2040 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2.9 | 7.6 | 12.6 |
2040/2041 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2.7 | 7.4 | 12.5 |
2041/2042 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2.5 | 7.3 | 12.4 |
2042/2043 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2.4 | 7.1 | 12.3 |
2043/2044 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2.4 | 7.0 | 12.1 |
2044/2045 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2.3 | 6.9 | 12.1 |
2045/2046 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2.2 | 6.8 | 12.0 |
2046/2047 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2.1 | 6.8 | 12.0 |
2047/2048 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2.0 | 6.7 | 12.0 |
2048/2049 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2.0 | 6.7 | 11.9 |
2049/2050 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.9 | 6.6 | 12.0 |
2050/2051 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.8 | 6.6 | 12.0 |
2051/2052 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.8 | 6.6 | 12.0 |
2052/2053 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.8 | 6.6 | 12.1 |
2053/2054 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.7 | 6.6 | 12.1 |
2054/2055 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.7 | 6.6 | 12.2 |
2055/2056 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.7 | 6.7 | 12.3 |
2056/2057 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.8 | 6.7 | 12.4 |
2057/2058 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.8 | 6.8 | 12.5 |
2058/2059 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.8 | 6.8 | 12.6 |
2059/2060 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.8 | 6.9 | 12.7 |
2060/2061 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.9 | 7.0 | 12.8 |
2061/2062 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.9 | 7.0 | 12.9 |
2062/2063 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.9 | 7.1 | 13.0 |
2063/2064 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.9 | 7.1 | 13.1 |
2064/2065 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.9 | 7.2 | 13.1 |
2065/2066 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.9 | 7.2 | 13.2 |
2066/2067 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.9 | 7.2 | 13.2 |
2067/2068 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1.9 | 7.3 | 13.3 |
.. not available for a specific reference period Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. |
Source | Scenario | 2025 | 2050 |
---|---|---|---|
in thousands | |||
Statistics Canada - 2013 to 2063 edition | Low-growth scenario (L) | 37,879 | 39,809 |
Medium-growth scenario (M1) | 39,386 | 46,903 | |
High-growth scenario (H) | 40,915 | 54,589 | |
Statistics Canada - 2018 to 2068 edition | Low-growth scenario (LG) | 39,168 | 42,918 |
Medium-growth scenario (M1) | 39,913 | 48,763 | |
High-growth scenario (HG) | 40,754 | 55,980 | |
United Nations | Medium variant | 39,327 | 45,669 |
World Bank | 39,092 | 43,768 | |
Sources: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. United Nations : Department of Economic and Social Affairs. 2019. World Population Prospects, Population Division, online edition. World Bank: DataBank. 2018. Population estimates and projections. |
Components of population change
The components of population growth and their interaction impact not only the size of the Canadian population but also its composition, including its age structure. It is therefore useful to analyze the impacts of different components of population change when they are combined in various scenarios.
Figure 2.3 shows the projected number of births and deaths according to the low-growth (LG), medium-growth (M1) and high-growth (HG) scenarios. Results from the medium-growth (M1) scenario show a gradual rise in the number of births in the early years of the projection. This rise is mainly due to the increasing number of women of childbearing age within the population, as under this scenario, nearly all the provinces and territories would experience a slight decrease in their fertility rates in the early years of the projection, following recent trends.Note The relatively strong weight of these cohorts of women of childbearing age in the early years of the projection could be explained by several related factors: relatively high fertility rates in the 1990s, increasing immigration levels that began in the mid-1980s and the fact that many of the daughters of parents belonging to the large baby-boom cohort would be in the childbearing ages during this period. According to the medium-growth (M1) scenario, the number of births would increase from 385,800 in 2017/2018 to 525,700 in 2067/2068.
Description for Figure 2.3
Period | Births | Deaths | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Historic | Projected | Historic | Projected | |||||
Low-growth scenario (LG) | Medium-growth scenario (M1) | High-growth scenario (HG) | Low-growth scenario (LG) | Medium-growth scenario (M1) | High-growth scenario (HG) | |||
in thousands | ||||||||
1971/1972 | 351.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 159.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1972/1973 | 345.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 162.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1973/1974 | 342.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 166.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1974/1975 | 356.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 168.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1975/1976 | 364.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 166.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1976/1977 | 357.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 165.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1977/1978 | 359.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 169.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1978/1979 | 362.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 165.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1979/1980 | 367.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 171.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1980/1981 | 372.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 170.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1981/1982 | 372.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 172.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1982/1983 | 373.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 176.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1983/1984 | 374.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 174.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1984/1985 | 376.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 179.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1985/1986 | 375.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 183.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1986/1987 | 373.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 182.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1987/1988 | 370.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 189.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1988/1989 | 384.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 188.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1989/1990 | 403.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 192.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1990/1991 | 402.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 192.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1991/1992 | 403.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 197.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1992/1993 | 392.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 201.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1993/1994 | 386.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 206.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1994/1995 | 382.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 209.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1995/1996 | 372.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 209.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1996/1997 | 357.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 217.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1997/1998 | 345.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 217.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1998/1999 | 338.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 217.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1999/2000 | 336.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 217.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2000/2001 | 327.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 219.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2001/2002 | 328.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 220.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2002/2003 | 330.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 223.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2003/2004 | 337.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 228.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2004/2005 | 339.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 229.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2005/2006 | 346.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 225.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2006/2007 | 360.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 233.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2007/2008 | 373.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 236.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2008/2009 | 379.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 237.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2009/2010 | 379.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 237.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2010/2011 | 377.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 245.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2011/2012 | 378.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 242.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2012/2013 | 381.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 251.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2013/2014 | 382.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 253.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2014/2015 | 383.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 266.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2015/2016 | 383.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 262.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2016/2017 | 383.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 273.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2017/2018 | 385.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 279.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2018/2019 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 373.5 | 383.6 | 394.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 293.1 | 285.2 | 278.5 |
2019/2020 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 368.4 | 385.6 | 404.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 299.9 | 289.5 | 280.3 |
2020/2021 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 365.2 | 387.7 | 412.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 306.7 | 293.8 | 282.4 |
2021/2022 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 363.0 | 389.8 | 419.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 313.6 | 298.1 | 284.9 |
2022/2023 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 361.2 | 392.0 | 426.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 320.6 | 302.7 | 287.8 |
2023/2024 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 359.6 | 394.0 | 432.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 327.6 | 307.5 | 291.1 |
2024/2025 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 358.2 | 395.9 | 438.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 334.8 | 312.5 | 294.7 |
2025/2026 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 357.0 | 397.8 | 443.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 342.1 | 317.8 | 298.8 |
2026/2027 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 355.8 | 399.7 | 449.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 349.5 | 323.5 | 303.3 |
2027/2028 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 354.8 | 401.6 | 455.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 357.1 | 329.5 | 308.4 |
2028/2029 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 354.0 | 403.6 | 460.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 364.8 | 335.8 | 313.9 |
2029/2030 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 353.4 | 405.8 | 466.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 372.6 | 342.4 | 319.9 |
2030/2031 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 353.1 | 408.1 | 472.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 380.6 | 349.4 | 326.5 |
2031/2032 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 353.1 | 410.7 | 479.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 388.6 | 356.7 | 333.6 |
2032/2033 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 353.4 | 413.7 | 486.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 396.7 | 364.3 | 341.3 |
2033/2034 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 354.1 | 417.0 | 493.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 404.8 | 372.2 | 349.4 |
2034/2035 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 355.3 | 420.8 | 500.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 412.8 | 380.3 | 358.0 |
2035/2036 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 356.8 | 424.9 | 509.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 420.7 | 388.5 | 367.0 |
2036/2037 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 358.6 | 429.4 | 517.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 428.4 | 396.8 | 376.4 |
2037/2038 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 360.6 | 434.1 | 526.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 435.8 | 405.1 | 386.0 |
2038/2039 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 362.8 | 439.0 | 535.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 442.9 | 413.4 | 395.8 |
2039/2040 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 364.9 | 444.0 | 545.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 449.5 | 421.5 | 405.7 |
2040/2041 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 367.0 | 448.9 | 554.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 455.6 | 429.3 | 415.7 |
2041/2042 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 368.8 | 453.7 | 564.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 461.2 | 436.9 | 425.7 |
2042/2043 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 370.5 | 458.3 | 573.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 466.3 | 444.2 | 435.5 |
2043/2044 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 371.0 | 461.0 | 580.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 470.9 | 451.1 | 444.4 |
2044/2045 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 371.3 | 463.5 | 586.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 475.2 | 457.6 | 452.2 |
2045/2046 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 371.3 | 465.8 | 593.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 479.1 | 463.6 | 459.5 |
2046/2047 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 371.0 | 468.0 | 599.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 482.5 | 469.3 | 466.4 |
2047/2048 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 370.4 | 470.1 | 606.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 485.4 | 474.4 | 472.9 |
2048/2049 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 369.5 | 472.2 | 613.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 487.9 | 479.0 | 478.8 |
2049/2050 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 368.5 | 474.3 | 621.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 489.9 | 483.1 | 484.2 |
2050/2051 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 367.3 | 476.4 | 628.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 491.3 | 486.6 | 489.0 |
2051/2052 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 366.0 | 478.5 | 636.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 492.3 | 489.4 | 493.2 |
2052/2053 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 364.7 | 480.7 | 645.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 492.7 | 491.7 | 496.8 |
2053/2054 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 363.4 | 483.0 | 653.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 492.6 | 493.4 | 499.6 |
2054/2055 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 362.1 | 485.3 | 662.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 492.1 | 494.4 | 501.9 |
2055/2056 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 360.9 | 487.8 | 671.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 491.2 | 494.9 | 503.5 |
2056/2057 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 359.8 | 490.3 | 680.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 490.0 | 495.0 | 504.7 |
2057/2058 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 358.9 | 492.9 | 689.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 488.6 | 494.8 | 505.4 |
2058/2059 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 358.1 | 495.6 | 698.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 487.1 | 494.3 | 505.9 |
2059/2060 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 357.5 | 498.4 | 707.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 485.7 | 493.8 | 506.3 |
2060/2061 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 357.0 | 501.4 | 716.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 484.5 | 493.4 | 506.8 |
2061/2062 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 356.8 | 504.5 | 726.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 483.5 | 493.1 | 507.4 |
2062/2063 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 356.7 | 507.7 | 735.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 482.8 | 493.3 | 508.3 |
2063/2064 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 356.8 | 511.0 | 745.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 482.6 | 493.8 | 509.8 |
2064/2065 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 357.0 | 514.5 | 755.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 482.9 | 494.9 | 511.7 |
2065/2066 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 357.4 | 518.1 | 765.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 483.6 | 496.5 | 514.4 |
2066/2067 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 358.0 | 521.8 | 776.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 484.8 | 498.7 | 517.7 |
2067/2068 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 358.6 | 525.7 | 786.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 486.4 | 501.4 | 521.6 |
.. not available for a specific reference period Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. |
In the high-growth scenario, the higher number of births is explained mainly by higher fertility rates, but also to some extent by higher levels of immigration. Indeed, as a large proportion of immigrants are of childbearing age, immigration has a positive and immediate impact on the number of births. In contrast, in the low-growth scenario, lower levels of immigration combined with lower fertility rates would lead to a slight decrease in the number of births compared to recently observed levels.
In comparison to the number of births, there is relatively small variation across the projection scenarios regarding the number of deaths. This relates to the age structure of the Canadian population (more details are presented in the following section “Age structure of the Canadian population”), as mortality patterns will closely mimic the aging process of the baby-boom cohort. The number of deaths will increase steadily until approximately 2054/2055, when the baby-boom cohort will reach older ages where mortality rates are relatively high. In the remaining years of the projection, the number of deaths will generally stabilize.
Natural increase is the difference between births and deaths, and its change over time is determined by the intensity of fertility and mortality as well as the age structure of the Canadian population. Levels of natural increase would decrease in the coming years according to the low-growth (LG) and medium-growth (M1) scenarios (Figure 2.4), mainly due to the rise in the number of deaths. While natural increase remains positive throughout the next 50 years under the high-growth (HG) scenario, it becomes negative from 2046/2047 to 2057/2058 in the medium-growth (M1) scenario and becomes negative from 2027/2028 onward under the low-growth scenario (LG). Several countries have already registered negative natural increase in recent years, including Greece, Portugal, the Russian Federation, Italy, Germany and Japan.Note
For most of the 20th century, natural increase was the main driver of population growth in Canada. However, migratory increase (the balance of immigration minus emigration) has been the main source of population growth in Canada for the last two decades. A substantial increase in immigration levels in the middle of the 1990s while fertility remained relatively unchanged contributed to this shift. In 2017/2018, migratory increase accounted for four-fifths of population growth (80.0%) while natural increase accounted for the remaining 20.0% of growth.
Migratory increase would continue to be the key factor behind Canada’s population growth in the coming years according to all projection scenarios (Figure 2.4). However, its importance would vary from one scenario to the next: in 2067/2068, migration would account for all population growth in the low-growth (LG) scenario, 93.9% of total population growth in the medium-growth (M1) scenario, and 71.2% of total population growth in the high-growth (HG) scenario.
Table 2.3 displays the individual contributions of births, deaths, immigration, emigration and non-permanent residents to the growth of the Canadian population over time. Over the past 40 years, declines in the crude rate of natural increase were driven mainly by steady declines in the crude birth rate, as the crude death rate was in comparison quite stable. In addition, the contribution of international migration to population growth has amplified since the 1990s, driven by a steady increase in the crude rate of immigration.
The next 50 years could evolve differently, however. In the low-growth (LG) and the medium-growth (M1) scenarios, the annual crude growth rate declines significantly, before a slight upswing towards the end of the projection period. This decrease would be mostly a result of the increase in crude death rates in the first four decades of the projection, related to the aging of the baby-boom cohort. The same phenomenon also affects the high-growth (HG) scenario, though less so than in the low (LG) and medium-growth (M1) scenarios. This occurs due to a combination of lower age-specific death rates with higher rates of net international migration and births; as a result, annual growth rates remain close to those observed before the projection.
Description for Figure 2.4
Period | Natural increase | Migratory increase | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Historic | Projected | Historic | Projected | |||||
Low-growth scenario (LG) | Medium-growth scenario (M1) | High-growth scenario (HG) | Low-growth scenario (LG) | Medium-growth scenario (M1) | High-growth scenario (HG) | |||
in thousands | ||||||||
1971/1972 | 191.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 93.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1972/1973 | 183.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 118.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1973/1974 | 176.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 168.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1974/1975 | 187.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 176.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1975/1976 | 197.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 136.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1976/1977 | 192.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 103.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1977/1978 | 190.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 66.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1978/1979 | 196.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1979/1980 | 195.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 138.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1980/1981 | 201.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 122.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1981/1982 | 200.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 118.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1982/1983 | 197.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 74.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1983/1984 | 200.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1984/1985 | 197.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 59.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1985/1986 | 192.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 86.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1986/1987 | 190.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 158.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1987/1988 | 180.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 167.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1988/1989 | 195.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 292.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1989/1990 | 210.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 206.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1990/1991 | 210.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 140.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1991/1992 | 206.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 151.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1992/1993 | 190.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 147.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1993/1994 | 179.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 160.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1994/1995 | 172.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 153.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1995/1996 | 162.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 167.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1996/1997 | 140.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 165.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1997/1998 | 127.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 131.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1998/1999 | 120.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 135.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1999/2000 | 119.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 174.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2000/2001 | 108.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 236.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2001/2002 | 107.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 237.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2002/2003 | 106.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 183.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2003/2004 | 108.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 194.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2004/2005 | 109.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 200.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2005/2006 | 120.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 216.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2006/2007 | 127.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 219.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2007/2008 | 137.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 250.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2008/2009 | 141.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 269.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2009/2010 | 142.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 262.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2010/2011 | 131.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 231.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2011/2012 | 136.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 260.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2012/2013 | 130.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 260.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2013/2014 | 129.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 247.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2014/2015 | 117.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 170.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2015/2016 | 121.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 304.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2016/2017 | 110.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 320.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2017/2018 | 105.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 412.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2018/2019 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 80.4 | 98.4 | 116.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 244.5 | 309.5 | 409.2 |
2019/2020 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.5 | 96.2 | 124.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 252.9 | 310.7 | 385.5 |
2020/2021 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.5 | 93.9 | 129.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 255.6 | 317.0 | 385.8 |
2021/2022 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 49.4 | 91.7 | 134.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 254.2 | 318.0 | 389.1 |
2022/2023 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 40.6 | 89.3 | 138.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 252.1 | 319.0 | 393.8 |
2023/2024 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 32.0 | 86.5 | 141.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 249.9 | 320.0 | 399.2 |
2024/2025 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 23.5 | 83.4 | 143.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 247.6 | 320.9 | 404.8 |
2025/2026 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14.9 | 80.0 | 145.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 245.2 | 321.8 | 410.6 |
2026/2027 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6.3 | 76.2 | 146.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 242.9 | 322.5 | 416.3 |
2027/2028 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -2.2 | 72.1 | 146.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 240.5 | 323.2 | 422.0 |
2028/2029 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -10.7 | 67.8 | 147.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 238.0 | 323.7 | 427.6 |
2029/2030 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -19.2 | 63.3 | 146.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 235.5 | 324.0 | 433.0 |
2030/2031 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -27.5 | 58.7 | 146.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 232.9 | 324.2 | 438.3 |
2031/2032 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -35.5 | 54.0 | 145.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 230.2 | 324.3 | 443.5 |
2032/2033 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -43.3 | 49.4 | 144.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 227.4 | 324.2 | 448.5 |
2033/2034 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -50.7 | 44.8 | 143.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 224.5 | 323.9 | 453.4 |
2034/2035 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -57.6 | 40.5 | 142.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 221.6 | 323.4 | 458.1 |
2035/2036 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -64.0 | 36.4 | 142.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 218.5 | 322.8 | 462.6 |
2036/2037 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -69.8 | 32.6 | 141.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 215.4 | 322.1 | 467.0 |
2037/2038 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -75.2 | 29.0 | 140.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 212.2 | 321.2 | 471.2 |
2038/2039 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -80.1 | 25.7 | 139.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 209.0 | 320.1 | 475.3 |
2039/2040 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -84.6 | 22.5 | 139.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 205.7 | 318.9 | 479.2 |
2040/2041 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -88.6 | 19.6 | 138.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 202.4 | 317.6 | 483.0 |
2041/2042 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -92.4 | 16.8 | 138.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 199.0 | 316.1 | 486.5 |
2042/2043 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -95.8 | 14.2 | 138.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 195.5 | 314.5 | 489.9 |
2043/2044 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -99.9 | 9.9 | 135.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 199.4 | 316.3 | 488.5 |
2044/2045 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -103.9 | 5.9 | 134.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 199.9 | 318.5 | 494.4 |
2045/2046 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -107.8 | 2.2 | 133.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 200.5 | 320.7 | 500.3 |
2046/2047 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -111.5 | -1.3 | 133.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 201.0 | 323.0 | 506.3 |
2047/2048 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -115.1 | -4.3 | 133.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 201.5 | 325.2 | 512.3 |
2048/2049 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -118.4 | -6.8 | 134.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 202.0 | 327.4 | 518.4 |
2049/2050 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -121.4 | -8.8 | 136.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 202.6 | 329.6 | 524.5 |
2050/2051 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -124.0 | -10.2 | 139.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 203.1 | 331.8 | 530.7 |
2051/2052 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -126.2 | -11.0 | 143.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 203.6 | 334.1 | 537.0 |
2052/2053 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -128.0 | -11.0 | 148.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 204.2 | 336.3 | 543.3 |
2053/2054 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -129.3 | -10.4 | 153.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 204.7 | 338.6 | 549.8 |
2054/2055 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -130.0 | -9.1 | 160.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 205.2 | 340.9 | 556.4 |
2055/2056 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -130.3 | -7.2 | 167.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 205.8 | 343.2 | 563.1 |
2056/2057 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -130.2 | -4.7 | 175.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 206.3 | 345.5 | 570.0 |
2057/2058 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -129.7 | -1.9 | 183.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 206.8 | 347.9 | 577.0 |
2058/2059 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -129.1 | 1.3 | 192.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 207.4 | 350.3 | 584.1 |
2059/2060 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -128.3 | 4.6 | 201.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 207.9 | 352.7 | 591.4 |
2060/2061 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -127.5 | 8.0 | 210.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 208.4 | 355.2 | 598.8 |
2061/2062 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -126.7 | 11.3 | 218.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 208.9 | 357.7 | 606.4 |
2062/2063 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -126.2 | 14.4 | 227.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 209.5 | 360.3 | 614.2 |
2063/2064 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -125.9 | 17.2 | 235.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 210.0 | 362.8 | 622.1 |
2064/2065 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -125.8 | 19.6 | 243.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 210.5 | 365.4 | 630.1 |
2065/2066 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -126.2 | 21.6 | 251.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 211.0 | 368.1 | 638.3 |
2066/2067 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -126.8 | 23.2 | 258.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 211.4 | 370.7 | 646.6 |
2067/2068 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | -127.8 | 24.3 | 264.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 211.9 | 373.4 | 655.1 |
.. not available for a specific reference period Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. |
Scenario / Period | Total growth | Natural increase | Net migration increase | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Births | Deaths | Total | Immigration | Net emigration | Net non-permanent residents | ||
crude rate per thousand | ||||||||
Historic | ||||||||
1977/1978 | 10.8 | 8.0 | 15.2 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | -0.1 |
1987/1988 | 13.2 | 6.8 | 14.0 | 7.2 | 6.3 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
1997/1998 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 11.5 | 7.3 | 4.4 | 6.5 | 2.0 | -0.1 |
2007/2008 | 11.8 | 4.2 | 11.4 | 7.2 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
2017/2018 | 14.2 | 2.9 | 10.6 | 7.7 | 11.3 | 8.3 | 1.5 | 4.5 |
Projected | ||||||||
Low-growth scenario (LG) | ||||||||
2027/2028 | 6.0 | -0.1 | 8.9 | 9.0 | 6.1 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
2037/2038 | 3.3 | -1.8 | 8.7 | 10.5 | 5.1 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
2047/2048 | 2.0 | -2.7 | 8.7 | 11.4 | 4.7 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 |
2057/2058 | 1.8 | -3.0 | 8.3 | 11.2 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
2067/2068 | 1.9 | -2.9 | 8.1 | 11.0 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
Medium-growth scenario (M1) | ||||||||
2027/2028 | 9.7 | 1.8 | 9.9 | 8.1 | 7.9 | 9.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
2037/2038 | 7.9 | 0.7 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 7.2 | 8.6 | 1.5 | 0.1 |
2047/2048 | 6.7 | -0.1 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 6.8 | 8.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
2057/2058 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 6.8 | 8.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
2067/2068 | 7.3 | 0.4 | 9.6 | 9.2 | 6.8 | 8.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
High-growth scenario (HG) | ||||||||
2027/2028 | 13.6 | 3.5 | 10.9 | 7.4 | 10.1 | 10.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
2037/2038 | 12.8 | 2.9 | 11.0 | 8.1 | 9.9 | 10.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
2047/2048 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 11.2 | 8.8 | 9.5 | 10.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
2057/2058 | 12.5 | 3.0 | 11.3 | 8.3 | 9.5 | 10.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
2067/2068 | 13.3 | 3.8 | 11.4 | 7.5 | 9.5 | 10.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
Slow-aging scenario (SA) | ||||||||
2027/2028 | 12.4 | 2.3 | 10.9 | 8.6 | 10.1 | 10.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
2037/2038 | 11.6 | 1.7 | 11.2 | 9.5 | 9.9 | 10.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
2047/2048 | 11.3 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 10.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
2057/2058 | 12.1 | 2.7 | 11.6 | 8.9 | 9.5 | 10.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
2067/2068 | 12.9 | 3.4 | 11.6 | 8.2 | 9.4 | 10.8 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
Fast-aging scenario (FA) | ||||||||
2027/2028 | 7.3 | 1.2 | 8.9 | 7.7 | 6.1 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
2037/2038 | 4.7 | -0.4 | 8.5 | 8.9 | 5.1 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
2047/2048 | 2.8 | -2.0 | 8.5 | 10.4 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
2057/2058 | 2.2 | -2.6 | 8.0 | 10.6 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
2067/2068 | 2.4 | -2.4 | 7.9 | 10.3 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
Note: Crude rates are calculated over the total population and expressed per thousand persons in the total population at midyear. Crude rates are significantly affected by the age structure of the population. For example, most countries will eventually experience an increase in the crude death rate in the coming decades due to the aging of the population, in spite of continued declines in mortality at all ages. The crude rate of natural increase and the crude rate of net migration sum to the crude growth rate. The crude rate of natural increase equals the crude birth rate minus the crude death rate. The crude rate of net migration equals the crude rate of immigration minus the crude rate of net emigration plus the crude rate of net non-permanent resident migration. Net emigration is the balance of emigrants, minus returning emigrants, plus net temporary emigrants. Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. |
Age structure of the Canadian population
Along with the size of the population, the age structure of the population has important consequences for society and the evolution of population change. For example, the age structure of a population often affects the economy, as high proportions of working-age people, or small demographic dependency ratios, are thought to have beneficial effects which have sometimes been referred to as the “demographic dividend”.Note Beyond the size of the working-age population, the composition of the remainder of the population also has important impacts on society, notably on public expenditures.
Population aging has emerged as a defining demographic trend in most industrialized countries including Canada. The proportion of the population aged 65 and over has been slowly increasing since the early 20th century, a result of decreases in mortality as well as fertility (Figure 2.5). Projection results show that population aging in Canada will continue over the coming decades. According to all projection scenarios, the proportion of the population aged 65 and over will continue at an accelerated pace over the next decade in particular: just as the baby-boom cohort temporarily interrupted population aging in the 1950s and 1960s, this cohort will accelerate the phenomenon over the next two decades. By 2030 (the year when the youngest baby boomers turn 65 years), the proportion of the total population aged 65 and over would increase to between 21.4% (slow-aging (SA) scenario) and 23.4% (fast-aging (FA) scenario), from 17.2% in 2018. In most projection scenarios, this proportion would continue to increase in the remaining years of the projections, but at a slower pace, reaching between 21.4% (scenario SA) and 29.5% (scenario FA) by 2068.
Description for Figure 2.5
Year | 14 years and under | 15 to 64 years | 65 years and over | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Historic | Projected | Historic | Projected | Historic | Projected | |||||||
Fast-aging scenario (FA) | Medium-growth scenario (M1) | Slow-aging scenario (SA) | Fast-aging scenario (FA) | Medium-growth scenario (M1) | Slow-aging scenario (SA) | Fast-aging scenario (FA) | Medium-growth scenario (M1) | Slow-aging scenario (SA) | ||||
percent | ||||||||||||
1921 | 34.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 60.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1922 | 34.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1923 | 34.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1924 | 33.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1925 | 33.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1926 | 33.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1927 | 32.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1928 | 32.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 62.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1929 | 32.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 62.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1930 | 31.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 62.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1931 | 31.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 62.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1932 | 31.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 63.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1933 | 31.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 63.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1934 | 30.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 63.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1935 | 30.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 63.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1936 | 29.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 64.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1937 | 29.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 64.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1938 | 28.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 65.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1939 | 28.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 65.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1940 | 27.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 65.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1941 | 27.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 65.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1942 | 27.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 65.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1943 | 27.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 65.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1944 | 27.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 65.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1945 | 27.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 65.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1946 | 27.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 65.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1947 | 28.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 64.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1948 | 28.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 63.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1949 | 29.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 63.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1950 | 29.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 62.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1951 | 30.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1952 | 30.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1953 | 31.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1954 | 31.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 60.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1955 | 32.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 60.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1956 | 32.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 59.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1957 | 32.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 59.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1958 | 33.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 59.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1959 | 33.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1960 | 33.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1961 | 34.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1962 | 34.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1963 | 33.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1964 | 33.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1965 | 33.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 59.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1966 | 32.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 59.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1967 | 32.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 59.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1968 | 31.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 60.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1969 | 31.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1970 | 30.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1971 | 29.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 62.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1972 | 28.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 63.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1973 | 27.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 64.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1974 | 26.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 64.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1975 | 26.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 65.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1976 | 25.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 66.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1977 | 24.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 66.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1978 | 24.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 67.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1979 | 23.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 67.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1980 | 22.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 67.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1981 | 22.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1982 | 22.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1983 | 21.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1984 | 21.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1985 | 21.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1986 | 21.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1987 | 20.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1988 | 20.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1989 | 20.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1990 | 20.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1991 | 20.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 67.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1992 | 20.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 67.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1993 | 20.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 67.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1994 | 20.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 67.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1995 | 20.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 67.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1996 | 20.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 67.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1997 | 20.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 67.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1998 | 19.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 67.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1999 | 19.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2000 | 19.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2001 | 18.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2002 | 18.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2003 | 18.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2004 | 18.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 69.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2005 | 17.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 69.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2006 | 17.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 69.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2007 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 69.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2008 | 16.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 69.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2009 | 16.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 69.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2010 | 16.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 69.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2011 | 16.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 69.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2012 | 16.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2013 | 16.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 15.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2014 | 16.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 68.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 15.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2015 | 16.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 67.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 16.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2016 | 16.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 67.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 16.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2017 | 16.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 67.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 16.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2018 | 16.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 66.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 17.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2019 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 16.1 | 16.1 | 16.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 66.3 | 66.3 | 66.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 17.6 | 17.6 | 17.5 |
2020 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 65.9 | 65.9 | 66.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18.1 | 18.0 | 17.9 |
2021 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 15.9 | 16.0 | 16.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 65.5 | 65.5 | 65.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18.6 | 18.5 | 18.3 |
2022 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 15.8 | 15.9 | 16.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 65.1 | 65.1 | 65.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 19.2 | 19.0 | 18.7 |
2023 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 15.6 | 15.8 | 16.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 64.7 | 64.8 | 64.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 19.7 | 19.4 | 19.1 |
2024 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 15.4 | 15.7 | 16.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 64.3 | 64.4 | 64.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 20.2 | 19.9 | 19.5 |
2025 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 15.2 | 15.6 | 16.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 64.0 | 64.0 | 64.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 20.8 | 20.4 | 19.9 |
2026 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 15.1 | 15.5 | 16.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 63.6 | 63.6 | 63.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 21.3 | 20.8 | 20.2 |
2027 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14.9 | 15.4 | 16.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 63.2 | 63.3 | 63.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 21.9 | 21.3 | 20.6 |
2028 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14.7 | 15.4 | 16.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 62.9 | 62.9 | 63.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 22.4 | 21.7 | 20.9 |
2029 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14.6 | 15.3 | 16.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 62.5 | 62.6 | 62.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 22.9 | 22.1 | 21.2 |
2030 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14.4 | 15.2 | 16.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 62.2 | 62.3 | 62.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 23.4 | 22.5 | 21.4 |
2031 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14.2 | 15.2 | 16.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 62.0 | 62.1 | 62.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 23.7 | 22.7 | 21.5 |
2032 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14.1 | 15.1 | 16.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.9 | 62.0 | 62.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.0 | 22.9 | 21.6 |
2033 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.9 | 15.1 | 16.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.8 | 61.9 | 62.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.3 | 23.0 | 21.6 |
2034 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.8 | 15.0 | 16.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.7 | 61.8 | 62.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.5 | 23.2 | 21.6 |
2035 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.7 | 15.0 | 16.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.6 | 61.7 | 62.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.8 | 23.3 | 21.7 |
2036 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.6 | 14.9 | 16.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.4 | 61.6 | 62.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25.0 | 23.4 | 21.7 |
2037 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.5 | 14.9 | 16.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.3 | 61.6 | 62.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25.2 | 23.5 | 21.6 |
2038 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.5 | 14.9 | 16.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.3 | 61.6 | 62.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25.3 | 23.5 | 21.5 |
2039 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.4 | 14.9 | 16.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.2 | 61.5 | 62.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25.4 | 23.6 | 21.4 |
2040 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.4 | 14.9 | 16.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.1 | 61.5 | 62.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25.6 | 23.6 | 21.4 |
2041 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.3 | 14.9 | 16.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 61.0 | 61.5 | 62.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25.7 | 23.6 | 21.3 |
2042 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.3 | 14.9 | 16.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 60.9 | 61.4 | 62.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25.8 | 23.7 | 21.2 |
2043 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.3 | 14.9 | 16.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 60.8 | 61.4 | 62.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25.9 | 23.7 | 21.1 |
2044 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.3 | 14.9 | 16.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 60.7 | 61.3 | 62.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26.0 | 23.7 | 21.0 |
2045 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.3 | 15.0 | 16.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 60.5 | 61.3 | 62.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26.2 | 23.8 | 21.0 |
2046 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.3 | 15.0 | 16.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 60.4 | 61.2 | 62.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26.3 | 23.8 | 21.0 |
2047 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.3 | 15.0 | 16.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 60.3 | 61.1 | 62.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26.5 | 23.9 | 20.9 |
2048 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.3 | 15.0 | 17.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 60.1 | 61.0 | 62.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26.6 | 24.0 | 20.9 |
2049 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.3 | 15.0 | 17.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 60.0 | 60.9 | 62.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26.8 | 24.0 | 20.9 |
2050 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.3 | 15.1 | 17.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 59.8 | 60.8 | 62.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26.9 | 24.1 | 20.9 |
2051 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.3 | 15.1 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 59.6 | 60.7 | 62.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 27.1 | 24.2 | 20.9 |
2052 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.3 | 15.1 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 59.5 | 60.7 | 62.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 27.2 | 24.3 | 20.9 |
2053 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.3 | 15.1 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 59.4 | 60.6 | 62.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 27.3 | 24.3 | 20.9 |
2054 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.2 | 15.1 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 59.3 | 60.5 | 61.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 27.5 | 24.4 | 20.9 |
2055 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.2 | 15.1 | 17.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 59.1 | 60.4 | 61.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 27.7 | 24.5 | 21.0 |
2056 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.2 | 15.1 | 17.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.9 | 60.3 | 61.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 27.9 | 24.7 | 21.0 |
2057 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.1 | 15.0 | 17.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.8 | 60.2 | 61.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 28.0 | 24.8 | 21.1 |
2058 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.1 | 15.0 | 17.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.7 | 60.1 | 61.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 28.2 | 24.9 | 21.1 |
2059 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.0 | 15.0 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.6 | 60.0 | 61.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 28.4 | 25.0 | 21.2 |
2060 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.0 | 14.9 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.5 | 60.0 | 61.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 28.5 | 25.1 | 21.2 |
2061 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.9 | 14.9 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.4 | 59.9 | 61.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 28.7 | 25.2 | 21.3 |
2062 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.9 | 14.9 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.3 | 59.8 | 61.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 28.8 | 25.3 | 21.3 |
2063 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.8 | 14.9 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.2 | 59.8 | 61.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 29.0 | 25.3 | 21.3 |
2064 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.8 | 14.8 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.1 | 59.7 | 61.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 29.1 | 25.4 | 21.4 |
2065 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.7 | 14.8 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.0 | 59.7 | 61.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 29.2 | 25.5 | 21.4 |
2066 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.7 | 14.8 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 58.0 | 59.6 | 61.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 29.3 | 25.6 | 21.4 |
2067 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.6 | 14.8 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 57.9 | 59.6 | 61.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 29.4 | 25.6 | 21.4 |
2068 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.6 | 14.8 | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 57.9 | 59.6 | 61.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 29.5 | 25.7 | 21.4 |
.. not available for a specific reference period Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. |
Another indicator of the aging of Canada’s population is the increase in its median age. Between 1921 and 2018, the median age increased about 16 years, from 23.9 years to 40.8 years. Projection scenarios indicate that the median age would continue to increase steadily at least until 2034. Later in the projection period, the median age of the population would continue to rise gradually in the fast-aging (FA) scenario, would decrease slightly in the slow-aging (SA) scenario and would stabilize in the medium-growth (M1) scenario, reflecting in large part the various fertility assumptions across scenarios. According to the projection scenarios, the median age of the Canadian population would fall between 40.8 years (scenario SA) and 48.3 years (scenario FA) in 2068 (Figure 2.6).
Description for Figure 2.6
Year | Historic | Projected | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Fast-aging scenario (FA) | Medium-growth scenario (M1) | Slow-aging scenario (SA) | ||
in years | ||||
1921 | 23.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1922 | 24.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1923 | 24.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1924 | 24.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1925 | 24.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1926 | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1927 | 24.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1928 | 24.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1929 | 24.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1930 | 24.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1931 | 24.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1932 | 24.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1933 | 25.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1934 | 25.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1935 | 25.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1936 | 25.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1937 | 26.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1938 | 26.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1939 | 26.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1940 | 26.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1941 | 27.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1942 | 27.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1943 | 27.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1944 | 27.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1945 | 27.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1946 | 27.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1947 | 27.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1948 | 27.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1949 | 27.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1950 | 27.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1951 | 27.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1952 | 27.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1953 | 27.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1954 | 27.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1955 | 27.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1956 | 27.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1957 | 27.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1958 | 26.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1959 | 26.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1960 | 26.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1961 | 26.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1962 | 26.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1963 | 25.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1964 | 25.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1965 | 25.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1966 | 25.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1967 | 25.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1968 | 25.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1969 | 25.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1970 | 25.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1971 | 26.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1972 | 26.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1973 | 26.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1974 | 27.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1975 | 27.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1976 | 27.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1977 | 28.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1978 | 28.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1979 | 28.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1980 | 29.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1981 | 29.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1982 | 29.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1983 | 30.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1984 | 30.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1985 | 31.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1986 | 31.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1987 | 31.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1988 | 32.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1989 | 32.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1990 | 32.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1991 | 33.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1992 | 33.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1993 | 34.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1994 | 34.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1995 | 34.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1996 | 35.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1997 | 35.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1998 | 36.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1999 | 36.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2000 | 36.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2001 | 37.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2002 | 37.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2003 | 38.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2004 | 38.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2005 | 38.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2006 | 38.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2007 | 39.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2008 | 39.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2009 | 39.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2010 | 39.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2011 | 40.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2012 | 40.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2013 | 40.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2014 | 40.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2015 | 40.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2016 | 40.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2017 | 40.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2018 | 40.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2019 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 40.9 | 40.9 | 40.8 |
2020 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41.1 | 41.0 | 40.8 |
2021 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41.3 | 41.1 | 40.8 |
2022 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41.5 | 41.2 | 40.9 |
2023 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41.7 | 41.4 | 41.0 |
2024 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41.9 | 41.5 | 41.0 |
2025 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42.1 | 41.7 | 41.1 |
2026 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42.4 | 41.8 | 41.1 |
2027 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42.6 | 41.9 | 41.2 |
2028 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42.8 | 42.1 | 41.2 |
2029 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43.1 | 42.2 | 41.2 |
2030 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43.3 | 42.4 | 41.3 |
2031 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43.5 | 42.5 | 41.3 |
2032 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43.8 | 42.7 | 41.4 |
2033 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 44.0 | 42.8 | 41.4 |
2034 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 44.2 | 43.0 | 41.5 |
2035 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 44.5 | 43.1 | 41.5 |
2036 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 44.7 | 43.2 | 41.5 |
2037 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 44.9 | 43.3 | 41.5 |
2038 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 45.1 | 43.4 | 41.5 |
2039 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 45.3 | 43.5 | 41.5 |
2040 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 45.4 | 43.6 | 41.4 |
2041 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 45.6 | 43.7 | 41.4 |
2042 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 45.7 | 43.7 | 41.3 |
2043 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 45.9 | 43.8 | 41.3 |
2044 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 46.0 | 43.8 | 41.2 |
2045 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 46.1 | 43.8 | 41.1 |
2046 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 46.2 | 43.8 | 41.1 |
2047 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 46.3 | 43.8 | 41.0 |
2048 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 46.3 | 43.8 | 41.0 |
2049 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 46.4 | 43.8 | 41.0 |
2050 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 46.5 | 43.8 | 40.9 |
2051 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 46.5 | 43.9 | 40.9 |
2052 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 46.6 | 43.9 | 40.9 |
2053 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 46.7 | 43.9 | 40.9 |
2054 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 46.8 | 44.0 | 40.8 |
2055 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 46.9 | 44.0 | 40.8 |
2056 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 47.0 | 44.1 | 40.8 |
2057 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 47.1 | 44.1 | 40.8 |
2058 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 47.2 | 44.1 | 40.7 |
2059 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 47.3 | 44.2 | 40.7 |
2060 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 47.4 | 44.2 | 40.7 |
2061 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 47.5 | 44.3 | 40.7 |
2062 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 47.7 | 44.3 | 40.7 |
2063 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 47.8 | 44.4 | 40.7 |
2064 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 47.9 | 44.4 | 40.7 |
2065 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 48.0 | 44.4 | 40.7 |
2066 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 48.1 | 44.5 | 40.8 |
2067 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 48.2 | 44.5 | 40.8 |
2068 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 48.3 | 44.6 | 40.8 |
.. not available for a specific reference period Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. |
The age structure of the population is also often examined in terms of its impact on the balance between the working-age and other portions of the population. The presence of the large cohort of baby boomers in the age group 15 to 64 years resulted in a sustained period—from about the mid-1970s to present—in which the proportion of the population that was working-age was relatively high. Indeed, Canada has benefited in recent years from a relatively low level of demographic dependence: in 2018, Canada’s demographic dependency ratio was 49.9, lower than many other countries in recent years.Note
According to all projection scenarios, Canada’s demographic dependency ratio would increase rapidly up to 2030 as the baby-boom cohort gradually exits the 15 to 64 age group and enters the 65 and over age group (Figure 2.7). In subsequent years, the total dependency ratio would continue to increase, but at a more gradual pace. By 2068, the demographic dependency ratio would reach between 62.8 (scenario SA) and 72.8 (scenario FA) dependent-aged persons per 100 persons aged 15 to 64.
Description for Figure 2.7
Year | 14 years and under | 65 years and over | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Historic | Projected - Medium-growth scenario (M1) | Historic | Projected - Medium-growth scenario (M1) | |
per 100 persons aged 15 to 64 | ||||
1921 | 56.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1922 | 56.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1923 | 55.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1924 | 55.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1925 | 54.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1926 | 54.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1927 | 53.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1928 | 52.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1929 | 51.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1930 | 50.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1931 | 50.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1932 | 49.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1933 | 48.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1934 | 48.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1935 | 47.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1936 | 46.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1937 | 45.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1938 | 44.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1939 | 43.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1940 | 42.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1941 | 42.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1942 | 42.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1943 | 42.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1944 | 42.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1945 | 42.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1946 | 42.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1947 | 43.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1948 | 44.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1949 | 46.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1950 | 47.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1951 | 49.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1952 | 50.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1953 | 51.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1954 | 52.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1955 | 53.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1956 | 54.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1957 | 55.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1958 | 56.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1959 | 56.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1960 | 57.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1961 | 58.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1962 | 58.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1963 | 58.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1964 | 57.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1965 | 56.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1966 | 55.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1967 | 53.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1968 | 52.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1969 | 50.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1970 | 49.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1971 | 46.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1972 | 45.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1973 | 43.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1974 | 41.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1975 | 40.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1976 | 38.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1977 | 37.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1978 | 35.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1979 | 34.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1980 | 33.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1981 | 32.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1982 | 32.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1983 | 31.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1984 | 31.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1985 | 31.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 15.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1986 | 30.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 15.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1987 | 30.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 15.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1988 | 30.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 16.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1989 | 30.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 16.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1990 | 30.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 16.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1991 | 30.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 16.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1992 | 30.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 17.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1993 | 30.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 17.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1994 | 30.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 17.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1995 | 30.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 17.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1996 | 29.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 17.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1997 | 29.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1998 | 29.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1999 | 28.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2000 | 28.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2001 | 27.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2002 | 27.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2003 | 26.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2004 | 26.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2005 | 25.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2006 | 25.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 19.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2007 | 24.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 19.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2008 | 24.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 19.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2009 | 24.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 20.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2010 | 23.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 20.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2011 | 23.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 20.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2012 | 23.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 21.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2013 | 23.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 22.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2014 | 23.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 23.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2015 | 24.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 23.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2016 | 24.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2017 | 24.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2018 | 24.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2019 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26.5 |
2020 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 27.4 |
2021 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 28.2 |
2022 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 29.1 |
2023 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 30.0 |
2024 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 30.9 |
2025 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 31.8 |
2026 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 32.7 |
2027 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 33.6 |
2028 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 34.5 |
2029 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 35.3 |
2030 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 36.0 |
2031 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 36.6 |
2032 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 36.9 |
2033 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 37.2 |
2034 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 37.5 |
2035 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 37.8 |
2036 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 38.0 |
2037 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 38.2 |
2038 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 38.2 |
2039 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 38.3 |
2040 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 38.4 |
2041 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 38.5 |
2042 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 38.5 |
2043 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 38.6 |
2044 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 38.7 |
2045 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 38.8 |
2046 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 39.0 |
2047 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 39.1 |
2048 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 39.3 |
2049 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 39.5 |
2050 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 39.6 |
2051 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 39.8 |
2052 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 40.0 |
2053 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 40.2 |
2054 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 40.4 |
2055 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 40.6 |
2056 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 40.9 |
2057 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41.2 |
2058 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41.4 |
2059 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41.6 |
2060 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 41.8 |
2061 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42.1 |
2062 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42.2 |
2063 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42.4 |
2064 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42.6 |
2065 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42.7 |
2066 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 42.9 |
2067 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43.0 |
2068 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 43.1 |
.. not available for a specific reference period Note: The demographic dependency ratio is the number of persons aged 14 and under or 65 and over per hundred persons aged 15 to 64. Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. |
Notably, in all projection scenarios, total demographic dependency in 2068 would not drastically exceed that experienced 140 years earlier in 1928 (Table 2.4). However, the composition of the ratio would have changed markedly: in 1928, seniors accounted for just 14.0% of the non-working age population, compared to between 55.6% (scenario SA) and 70.1% (scenario FA) in 2068.
Scenario / Year | Age group | Median age | Demographic dependency ratio | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 years and under | 15 to 24 years | 15 to 64 years | 55 to 64 years | 65 years and over | 80 years and over | 14 years and under | 65 years and over | Total | ||
percentage of the total population | in years | per hundred persons aged 15 to 64 | ||||||||
Historic | ||||||||||
1928 | 32.5 | 18.1 | 62.2 | 6.3 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 24.6 | 52.3 | 8.5 | 60.8 |
1938 | 28.7 | 19.0 | 65.0 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 26.3 | 44.1 | 9.7 | 53.8 |
1948 | 28.7 | 16.8 | 63.8 | 8.1 | 7.5 | 1.1 | 27.7 | 44.9 | 11.7 | 56.6 |
1958 | 33.3 | 14.3 | 59.1 | 7.0 | 7.6 | 1.1 | 26.7 | 56.3 | 12.8 | 69.1 |
1968 | 31.7 | 17.5 | 60.5 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 1.5 | 25.6 | 52.3 | 12.9 | 65.2 |
1978 | 24.0 | 19.9 | 67.0 | 8.5 | 9.0 | 1.7 | 28.4 | 35.8 | 13.4 | 49.2 |
1988 | 20.8 | 15.7 | 68.3 | 9.0 | 10.9 | 2.2 | 32.2 | 30.5 | 16.0 | 46.5 |
1998 | 19.8 | 13.5 | 67.9 | 8.8 | 12.3 | 2.8 | 36.0 | 29.1 | 18.2 | 47.3 |
2008 | 16.9 | 13.6 | 69.4 | 11.9 | 13.7 | 3.7 | 39.4 | 24.3 | 19.7 | 44.0 |
2018 | 16.1 | 12.3 | 66.7 | 14.0 | 17.2 | 4.3 | 40.8 | 24.2 | 25.7 | 49.9 |
Projected | ||||||||||
Fast-aging scenario (FA) | ||||||||||
2028 | 14.7 | 11.9 | 62.9 | 12.2 | 22.4 | 5.9 | 42.8 | 23.4 | 35.7 | 59.1 |
2038 | 13.5 | 11.5 | 61.3 | 11.7 | 25.3 | 8.8 | 45.1 | 22.0 | 41.3 | 63.3 |
2048 | 13.3 | 10.6 | 60.1 | 12.5 | 26.6 | 10.9 | 46.3 | 22.1 | 44.3 | 66.4 |
2058 | 13.1 | 10.5 | 58.7 | 12.1 | 28.2 | 11.1 | 47.2 | 22.3 | 48.1 | 70.4 |
2068 | 12.6 | 10.4 | 57.9 | 12.2 | 29.5 | 12.3 | 48.3 | 21.8 | 51.0 | 72.8 |
Medium-growth scenario (M1) | ||||||||||
2028 | 15.4 | 12.1 | 62.9 | 12.0 | 21.7 | 5.6 | 42.1 | 24.4 | 34.5 | 58.9 |
2038 | 14.9 | 11.8 | 61.6 | 11.3 | 23.5 | 8.0 | 43.4 | 24.2 | 38.2 | 62.4 |
2048 | 15.0 | 11.5 | 61.0 | 12.1 | 24.0 | 9.4 | 43.8 | 24.6 | 39.3 | 63.9 |
2058 | 15.0 | 11.5 | 60.1 | 11.7 | 24.9 | 9.2 | 44.1 | 25.0 | 41.4 | 66.4 |
2068 | 14.8 | 11.4 | 59.6 | 11.6 | 25.7 | 10.0 | 44.6 | 24.8 | 43.1 | 67.9 |
Slow-aging scenario (SA) | ||||||||||
2028 | 16.0 | 12.3 | 63.1 | 11.7 | 20.9 | 5.3 | 41.2 | 25.4 | 33.1 | 58.5 |
2038 | 16.5 | 12.2 | 62.0 | 10.9 | 21.5 | 7.0 | 41.5 | 26.6 | 34.7 | 61.3 |
2048 | 17.0 | 12.4 | 62.1 | 11.5 | 20.9 | 7.8 | 41.0 | 27.3 | 33.7 | 61.0 |
2058 | 17.2 | 12.5 | 61.7 | 11.1 | 21.1 | 7.2 | 40.7 | 27.8 | 34.2 | 62.0 |
2068 | 17.1 | 12.4 | 61.4 | 11.0 | 21.4 | 7.6 | 40.8 | 27.9 | 34.9 | 62.8 |
Note: The total demographic dependency ratio is the number of persons aged 14 and under or 65 and over per hundred persons aged 15 to 64. Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. |
According to the medium-growth scenario (M1), in 2065, both Canada’s senior demographic dependency ratio and its median age (Table 2.5) would fall below the average projected for “more developed regions” according to the most recent edition of United Nations’ World Population Prospects.
Country / Region | Median age | Senior dependency |
---|---|---|
in years | ratio | |
World | 38.2 | 29.8 |
Russian Federation | 43.1 | 38.6 |
Australia | 43.3 | 41.9 |
United States | 43.7 | 42.2 |
Canada (Statistics Canada, medium-growth (M1) scenario) | 44.4 | 42.7 |
Sweden | 44.9 | 46.1 |
United Kingdom | 45.8 | 47.4 |
Canada (World Population Prospects, medium variant) | 46.2 | 46.8 |
More developed regionsTable 2.5 Note 1 | 46.7 | 49.6 |
France | 47.2 | 51.1 |
Iceland | 48.1 | 50.8 |
Germany | 48.2 | 55.6 |
China | 48.8 | 53.4 |
Italy | 54.3 | 68.8 |
Japan | 55.1 | 75.9 |
Sources: For Canada: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. For other countries and regions: United Nations. 2019. World Population Prospects 2019, medium variant, online edition. |
An evolving population pyramid
The population pyramid is a graphical representation of a population’s structure by age and sex. The pyramids for 2018 (in number and proportion, Figure 2.8) highlight the sizeable demographic weight of the baby-boom generation, whose members were aged 53 to 72 that year.
Description for Figure 2.8
This figure shows two population pyramids showing the age and sex structures of the 2018 and 2068 Canadian populations according to three scenarios. In 2018, the pyramid is shown as a solid grey colour, while the 2028 pyramids are shown by purple, blue and orange lines, each corresponding respectively to the slow-aging scenario (SA), the medium-growth scenario (M1) and the fast-aging scenario (FA). The top of the figure shows four pyramids where the counts by age and sex are expressed in absolute values, while at the bottom, the four other pyramids express these same numbers but this time in relative values (per thousand) in relation to the total population.
The y-axis is in the middle of the figure, separating the pyramids in two and showing the ages from 0 to 100 years. Males are shown on the left side of the axis, and females are shown on the right side.
For the upper pyramids, the x-axis shows the absolute numbers for each age, from 0 to 500,000 persons, and this is the same for the left-handed and right-handed sides of the y-axis.
For the lower pyramids, the x-axis shows the proportion of persons for each ages, expressed per thousand, from 0 to 9, and this is the same for the left-handed and right-handed sides of the y-axis.
For the upper part, the shape of the population pyramid in absolute numbers of the 2018 population is diverging from the typical pyramid shape. It looks more like a mushroom with a narrow base, wider at ages from 20 to 40 years, and a pointed apex between 55 and 100 years. The lines representing the age and sex structure of the 2068 population according to three scenarios are much wider than the 2018 pyramid, showing the probable overall growth of the Canadian population in the next five decades. The apex of the 2068 pyramid is higher and the base is more or less narrow, depending on the projection scenario, a consequence of the aging population structure projected.
For the lower part, the 2018 population pyramid in relative value is close to the same shape as the one above where the pyramid is expressed in absolute numbers. The relative value pyramids projected for 2068 show that the proportion of the older population will grow compared to the younger ages in the coming decades.
In the pyramid expressed in absolute numbers, it can be seen that according to the medium-growth (M1) and slow-aging (SA) scenarios, the base of the population pyramid in 2068 would be broader than it was in 2018. This broadening is a result of an increase in the number of births, reflecting in part a slight increase in the total fertility rate, the effects of which are magnified by sustained immigration. In comparison, under the fast-aging (FA) scenario, the base of the population pyramid would stay close to its size in 2018 while the top of the pyramid would become comparatively broader. Although the baby-boom cohort would be nearly extinct by 2068, the top of the pyramid would continue to broaden due to improvements in life expectancy under all scenarios.
In the pyramid expressed in terms of proportion, the degree of population aging and the manner in which occurs can be more clearly viewed. In all scenarios, the population aged 65 and over accounts for a larger share of the total population in 2068 compared to 2018. In the fast-aging (FA) and medium-growth (M1) scenarios, population aging is also evident at the bottom of the pyramid, as the population aged 14 and under would represent a smaller share of the total population than in 2018.
A closer look at the senior population
In 2018, Canada had 6.4 million seniors (persons aged 65 and over), four times the number recorded 50 years earlier in 1968 (1.6 million). The growth of this group would accelerate in the coming years as the large baby-boom cohort gradually occupies these ages. By 2068, the number of seniors would reach between 12.3 million and 16.1 million depending on the scenario (Figure 2.9).
Description for Figure 2.9
Year | 14 years and under | 15 to 64 years | 65 years and over | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Historic | Projected | Historic | Projected | Historic | Projected | |||||||
Low-growth scenario (LG) | Medium-growth scenario (M1) | High-growth scenario (HG) | Low-growth scenario (LG) | Medium-growth scenario (M1) | High-growth scenario (HG) | Low-growth scenario (LG) | Medium-growth scenario (M1) | High-growth scenario (HG) | ||||
in thousands | ||||||||||||
1921 | 3,023.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,343.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 420.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1922 | 3,048.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,438.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 432.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1923 | 3,060.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,508.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 441.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1924 | 3,084.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,603.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 454.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1925 | 3,112.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,711.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 470.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1926 | 3,146.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,818.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 486.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1927 | 3,171.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,962.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 503.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1928 | 3,199.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,113.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 521.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1929 | 3,229.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,259.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 540.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1930 | 3,256.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,393.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 557.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1931 | 3,281.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,518.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 576.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1932 | 3,285.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,634.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 590.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1933 | 3,292.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,733.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 607.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1934 | 3,282.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,830.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 627.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1935 | 3,270.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,925.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 649.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1936 | 3,246.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,034.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 669.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1937 | 3,219.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,137.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 687.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1938 | 3,196.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,250.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 705.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1939 | 3,186.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,358.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 722.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1940 | 3,179.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,456.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 744.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1941 | 3,198.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,540.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 768.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1942 | 3,219.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,644.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 789.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1943 | 3,251.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,731.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 812.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1944 | 3,291.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,819.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 834.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1945 | 3,335.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,883.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 853.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1946 | 3,420.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,992.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 879.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1947 | 3,538.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8,094.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 918.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1948 | 3,678.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8,186.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 957.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1949 | 3,938.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8,492.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,016.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1950 | 4,070.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8,590.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,051.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1951 | 4,250.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8,672.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,086.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1952 | 4,452.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8,886.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,120.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1953 | 4,628.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9,065.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,151.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1954 | 4,834.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9,267.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,184.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1955 | 5,038.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9,444.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,214.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1956 | 5,225.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9,611.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,243.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1957 | 5,456.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9,883.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,270.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1958 | 5,685.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,099.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,295.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1959 | 5,857.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,296.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,328.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1960 | 6,030.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,482.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,357.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1961 | 6,191.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,655.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,391.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1962 | 6,309.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,854.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,419.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1963 | 6,417.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,064.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,447.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1964 | 6,499.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,314.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,476.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1965 | 6,556.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,581.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,506.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1966 | 6,591.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,883.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,539.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1967 | 6,586.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12,216.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,575.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1968 | 6,558.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12,532.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,610.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1969 | 6,511.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12,836.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,652.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1970 | 6,453.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13,147.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,695.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1971 | 6,433.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 13,766.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,762.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1972 | 6,339.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14,072.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,807.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1973 | 6,239.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14,397.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,855.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1974 | 6,143.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 14,760.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,904.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1975 | 6,059.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 15,126.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,957.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1976 | 5,960.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 15,466.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,022.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1977 | 5,866.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 15,770.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,089.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1978 | 5,754.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 16,053.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,155.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1979 | 5,645.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 16,326.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,230.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1980 | 5,573.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 16,636.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,305.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1981 | 5,532.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 16,910.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,377.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1982 | 5,525.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 17,150.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,441.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1983 | 5,523.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 17,344.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,498.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1984 | 5,518.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 17,525.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,563.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1985 | 5,504.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 17,689.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,648.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1986 | 5,485.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 17,878.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,736.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1987 | 5,525.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18,082.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,839.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1988 | 5,574.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18,288.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,928.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1989 | 5,654.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18,594.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,027.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1990 | 5,729.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 18,837.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,124.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1991 | 5,795.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 19,029.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,212.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1992 | 5,872.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 19,207.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,291.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1993 | 5,926.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 19,392.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,366.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1994 | 5,961.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 19,605.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,434.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1995 | 5,974.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 19,821.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,506.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1996 | 5,985.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 20,045.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,579.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1997 | 5,977.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 20,273.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,654.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1998 | 5,958.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 20,472.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,724.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1999 | 5,919.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 20,696.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,785.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2000 | 5,883.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 20,951.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,851.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2001 | 5,851.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 21,247.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,921.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2002 | 5,826.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 21,543.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,989.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2003 | 5,792.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 21,791.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,060.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2004 | 5,751.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 22,052.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,136.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2005 | 5,697.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 22,332.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,214.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2006 | 5,648.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 22,604.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,318.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2007 | 5,621.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 22,846.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,421.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2008 | 5,616.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 23,089.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,541.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2009 | 5,620.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 23,339.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,669.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2010 | 5,622.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 23,578.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,804.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2011 | 5,628.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 23,755.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,955.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2012 | 5,660.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 23,899.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,154.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2013 | 5,704.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24,025.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,353.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2014 | 5,752.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24,143.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,542.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2015 | 5,793.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24,186.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,722.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2016 | 5,865.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24,322.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,921.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2017 | 5,913.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24,491.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,136.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2018 | 5,972.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24,727.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,358.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2019 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,006.2 | 6,020.6 | 6,036.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24,794.6 | 24,856.5 | 24,952.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,583.0 | 6,589.7 | 6,595.7 |
2020 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,034.6 | 6,072.0 | 6,112.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24,851.8 | 24,967.0 | 25,133.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,818.7 | 6,834.7 | 6,848.8 |
2021 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,051.9 | 6,119.0 | 6,189.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24,913.4 | 25,083.8 | 25,314.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,053.9 | 7,081.8 | 7,106.2 |
2022 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,053.6 | 6,155.6 | 6,263.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 24,974.1 | 25,201.4 | 25,496.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,295.1 | 7,337.4 | 7,374.2 |
2023 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,040.1 | 6,181.4 | 6,331.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,035.3 | 25,321.8 | 25,683.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,540.2 | 7,599.4 | 7,650.7 |
2024 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 6,021.3 | 6,205.9 | 6,403.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,093.2 | 25,441.6 | 25,873.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 7,782.9 | 7,861.7 | 7,929.3 |
2025 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,999.5 | 6,230.7 | 6,480.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,140.3 | 25,553.3 | 26,058.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8,028.7 | 8,129.4 | 8,215.3 |
2026 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,980.1 | 6,261.3 | 6,567.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,175.2 | 25,655.7 | 26,238.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8,273.2 | 8,398.2 | 8,504.3 |
2027 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,955.8 | 6,289.7 | 6,656.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,216.2 | 25,766.8 | 26,430.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8,505.7 | 8,657.4 | 8,785.3 |
2028 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,928.6 | 6,317.9 | 6,749.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,246.3 | 25,869.8 | 26,618.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8,741.0 | 8,921.5 | 9,073.0 |
2029 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,900.3 | 6,347.5 | 6,847.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,279.0 | 25,978.0 | 26,816.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 8,963.9 | 9,175.2 | 9,351.8 |
2030 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,870.4 | 6,377.8 | 6,949.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,326.4 | 26,103.7 | 27,036.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9,162.6 | 9,406.6 | 9,609.6 |
2031 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,839.4 | 6,409.1 | 7,056.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,403.7 | 26,262.2 | 27,293.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9,321.9 | 9,599.8 | 9,830.4 |
2032 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,808.8 | 6,442.9 | 7,169.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,502.3 | 26,444.8 | 27,579.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9,448.4 | 9,761.6 | 10,020.7 |
2033 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,775.7 | 6,476.1 | 7,284.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,606.0 | 26,635.2 | 27,877.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9,561.9 | 9,911.5 | 10,199.9 |
2034 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,754.9 | 6,513.8 | 7,397.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,692.3 | 26,820.4 | 28,186.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9,670.3 | 10,057.3 | 10,375.8 |
2035 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,740.1 | 6,552.6 | 7,507.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,765.9 | 27,001.9 | 28,503.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9,775.6 | 10,201.0 | 10,550.1 |
2036 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,729.6 | 6,593.0 | 7,616.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,833.2 | 27,184.1 | 28,830.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9,873.3 | 10,337.6 | 10,717.8 |
2037 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,722.9 | 6,635.3 | 7,726.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,910.9 | 27,382.8 | 29,184.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 9,947.8 | 10,451.3 | 10,862.6 |
2038 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,719.9 | 6,679.7 | 7,838.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 25,989.5 | 27,587.9 | 29,552.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,009.3 | 10,551.9 | 10,994.2 |
2039 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,720.3 | 6,726.6 | 7,952.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,061.8 | 27,791.6 | 29,926.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,065.5 | 10,647.1 | 11,120.3 |
2040 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,724.1 | 6,776.1 | 8,070.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,120.0 | 27,985.3 | 30,299.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,124.7 | 10,745.3 | 11,249.1 |
2041 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,731.0 | 6,828.2 | 8,190.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,171.2 | 28,176.2 | 30,676.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,180.3 | 10,839.5 | 11,373.4 |
2042 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,740.6 | 6,882.9 | 8,314.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,215.7 | 28,364.0 | 31,057.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,232.7 | 10,929.9 | 11,493.4 |
2043 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,752.7 | 6,939.9 | 8,442.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,252.9 | 28,547.8 | 31,440.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,283.2 | 11,017.9 | 11,610.2 |
2044 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,766.8 | 6,997.9 | 8,569.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,282.6 | 28,723.3 | 31,815.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,339.0 | 11,110.6 | 11,731.8 |
2045 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,782.2 | 7,056.5 | 8,698.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,298.7 | 28,888.0 | 32,185.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,403.5 | 11,211.7 | 11,862.6 |
2046 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,798.3 | 7,115.4 | 8,826.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,306.8 | 29,047.1 | 32,555.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,472.0 | 11,316.7 | 11,998.2 |
2047 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,814.6 | 7,174.2 | 8,955.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,310.6 | 29,204.4 | 32,928.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,541.3 | 11,422.3 | 12,135.4 |
2048 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,830.3 | 7,232.4 | 9,085.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,309.1 | 29,358.6 | 33,304.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,613.5 | 11,530.7 | 12,276.6 |
2049 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,844.9 | 7,289.7 | 9,214.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,302.4 | 29,509.6 | 33,681.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,689.3 | 11,643.1 | 12,423.1 |
2050 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,857.6 | 7,345.5 | 9,343.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,292.4 | 29,659.3 | 34,063.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,767.7 | 11,758.3 | 12,574.0 |
2051 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,868.0 | 7,399.6 | 9,471.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,281.0 | 29,809.2 | 34,450.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,847.8 | 11,875.9 | 12,729.0 |
2052 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,875.6 | 7,451.5 | 9,600.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,276.5 | 29,968.1 | 34,850.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,922.1 | 11,988.2 | 12,880.5 |
2053 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,880.1 | 7,501.2 | 9,727.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,274.0 | 30,130.7 | 35,260.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 10,996.3 | 12,101.3 | 13,034.9 |
2054 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,881.4 | 7,548.5 | 9,855.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,262.9 | 30,285.9 | 35,667.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,081.6 | 12,227.0 | 13,204.5 |
2055 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,879.4 | 7,593.4 | 9,982.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,240.6 | 30,431.0 | 36,068.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,181.1 | 12,368.8 | 13,393.2 |
2056 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,874.3 | 7,635.9 | 10,108.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,221.9 | 30,581.4 | 36,479.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,280.3 | 12,511.8 | 13,585.9 |
2057 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,866.4 | 7,676.3 | 10,234.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,211.1 | 30,741.2 | 36,905.8 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,375.2 | 12,652.4 | 13,779.3 |
2058 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,856.0 | 7,714.8 | 10,360.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,206.8 | 30,909.4 | 37,345.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,466.9 | 12,791.8 | 13,974.9 |
2059 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,844.3 | 7,753.4 | 10,488.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,206.3 | 31,082.2 | 37,793.2 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,557.4 | 12,932.0 | 14,174.7 |
2060 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,831.7 | 7,792.4 | 10,620.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,205.2 | 31,255.4 | 38,245.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,650.7 | 13,077.3 | 14,383.4 |
2061 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,818.7 | 7,832.0 | 10,754.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,210.9 | 31,436.8 | 38,711.0 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,738.9 | 13,219.4 | 14,592.4 |
2062 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,805.8 | 7,872.5 | 10,891.9 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,225.9 | 31,629.5 | 39,192.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,819.0 | 13,355.2 | 14,798.7 |
2063 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,793.4 | 7,914.1 | 11,032.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,241.0 | 31,824.1 | 39,681.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,899.6 | 13,493.6 | 15,011.4 |
2064 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,781.9 | 7,957.1 | 11,175.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,254.1 | 32,019.0 | 40,175.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 11,982.0 | 13,635.8 | 15,231.5 |
2065 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,771.7 | 8,001.5 | 11,321.6 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,272.6 | 32,221.9 | 40,684.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12,058.3 | 13,773.6 | 15,450.6 |
2066 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,763.1 | 8,047.5 | 11,470.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,300.1 | 32,436.9 | 41,211.7 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12,124.3 | 13,902.3 | 15,664.2 |
2067 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,756.3 | 8,095.1 | 11,621.5 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,328.0 | 32,655.3 | 41,749.4 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12,187.8 | 14,030.2 | 15,880.2 |
2068 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 5,751.4 | 8,144.4 | 11,775.1 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 26,354.9 | 32,875.8 | 42,296.3 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 12,250.0 | 14,158.1 | 16,099.7 |
.. not available for a specific reference period Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. |
The year 2016 marked an important milestone in the history of the Canadian population: for the first time, the number of seniors exceeded the number of children. This trend would accentuate over the course of the projection: by 2068, seniors would outnumber children 2.1 to 1.0 according to the low-growth scenario (LG), 1.7 to 1.0 according to the medium-growth (M1) scenario and 1.4 to 1.0 according to the high-growth scenario (HG).
Older seniors and centenarians
The number of persons aged 80 and over has been steadily increasing as a share of the total Canadian population over time. In 2018, the Canadian population had 1.6 million persons aged 80 and over, more than five times as many as 50 years earlier in 1968 (302,100). The members of the baby-boom cohort will enter this age group between the years 2026 and 2045. This phenomenon, and to a lesser extent, the anticipated gradual increase in life expectancy, would cause the number of persons aged 80 and over to increase rapidly during this period in all scenarios, reaching between 4.0 million (scenario LG) and 4.8 million (scenario HG) by 2045 (Figure 2.10). In subsequent years, the population in this age group continues to increase, but at a much slower pace: by 2068, the number of persons aged 80 and over would be between 4.7 million (scenario LG) and 6.3 million (scenario HG).
Description for Figure 2.10
Year | Historic | Projected | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Low-growth scenario (LG) | Medium-growth scenario (M1) | High-growth scenario (HG) | ||
number | ||||
1921 | 58,400 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1922 | 59,200 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1923 | 59,600 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1924 | 60,300 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1925 | 61,600 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1926 | 63,600 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1927 | 65,100 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1928 | 67,100 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1929 | 69,100 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1930 | 72,000 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1931 | 74,500 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1932 | 76,200 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1933 | 78,000 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1934 | 81,000 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1935 | 84,500 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1936 | 88,300 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1937 | 92,100 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1938 | 96,700 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1939 | 100,900 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1940 | 104,600 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1941 | 107,200 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1942 | 109,900 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1943 | 112,600 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1944 | 115,200 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1945 | 117,100 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1946 | 123,600 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1947 | 133,000 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1948 | 137,900 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1949 | 145,400 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1950 | 148,800 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1951 | 149,200 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1952 | 154,600 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1953 | 160,800 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1954 | 167,700 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1955 | 174,400 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1956 | 181,600 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1957 | 187,800 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1958 | 195,500 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1959 | 205,200 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1960 | 214,400 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1961 | 227,640 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1962 | 239,205 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1963 | 251,522 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1964 | 263,227 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1965 | 272,382 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1966 | 280,267 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1967 | 291,336 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1968 | 302,072 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1969 | 314,878 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1970 | 327,554 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1971 | 345,241 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1972 | 354,436 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1973 | 363,010 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1974 | 370,709 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1975 | 377,982 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1976 | 388,769 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1977 | 399,940 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1978 | 410,065 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1979 | 423,718 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1980 | 437,515 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1981 | 454,029 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1982 | 469,909 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1983 | 486,441 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1984 | 506,712 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1985 | 526,083 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1986 | 545,429 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1987 | 569,765 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1988 | 591,898 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1989 | 617,426 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1990 | 643,141 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1991 | 669,223 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1992 | 695,315 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1993 | 722,166 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1994 | 750,184 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1995 | 778,321 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1996 | 801,036 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1997 | 820,749 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1998 | 839,141 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
1999 | 861,238 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2000 | 899,340 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2001 | 941,340 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2002 | 986,208 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2003 | 1,028,448 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2004 | 1,069,959 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2005 | 1,112,578 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2006 | 1,159,929 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2007 | 1,196,068 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2008 | 1,233,715 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2009 | 1,269,984 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2010 | 1,311,610 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2011 | 1,351,445 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2012 | 1,391,165 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2013 | 1,424,466 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2014 | 1,454,229 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2015 | 1,478,497 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2016 | 1,514,299 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2017 | 1,549,411 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2018 | 1,587,340 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period |
2019 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,620,715 | 1,623,568 | 1,626,200 |
2020 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,656,269 | 1,663,024 | 1,669,288 |
2021 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,699,323 | 1,711,002 | 1,721,786 |
2022 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,747,232 | 1,764,890 | 1,781,078 |
2023 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,805,824 | 1,830,657 | 1,853,183 |
2024 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,868,708 | 1,901,898 | 1,931,681 |
2025 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 1,933,107 | 1,975,808 | 2,013,749 |
2026 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,010,065 | 2,063,623 | 2,110,775 |
2027 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,122,782 | 2,189,133 | 2,247,022 |
2028 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,229,905 | 2,310,364 | 2,379,989 |
2029 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,330,467 | 2,426,251 | 2,508,532 |
2030 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,429,596 | 2,541,983 | 2,637,868 |
2031 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,528,221 | 2,658,455 | 2,768,867 |
2032 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,626,117 | 2,775,357 | 2,901,138 |
2033 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,728,528 | 2,898,056 | 3,040,115 |
2034 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,837,914 | 3,029,079 | 3,188,350 |
2035 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 2,952,340 | 3,166,395 | 3,343,690 |
2036 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,063,187 | 3,300,916 | 3,496,645 |
2037 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,175,526 | 3,437,791 | 3,652,400 |
2038 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,287,863 | 3,575,363 | 3,809,090 |
2039 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,395,987 | 3,709,013 | 3,961,778 |
2040 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,504,111 | 3,843,031 | 4,114,721 |
2041 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,609,439 | 3,974,308 | 4,264,522 |
2042 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,704,454 | 4,094,697 | 4,402,522 |
2043 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,800,914 | 4,216,439 | 4,541,219 |
2044 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,887,684 | 4,327,637 | 4,668,592 |
2045 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,956,584 | 4,419,497 | 4,775,909 |
2046 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 3,996,536 | 4,480,039 | 4,850,633 |
2047 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,013,882 | 4,515,742 | 4,899,385 |
2048 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,024,584 | 4,543,487 | 4,939,641 |
2049 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,035,329 | 4,570,378 | 4,978,782 |
2050 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,048,162 | 4,598,656 | 5,019,164 |
2051 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,060,024 | 4,625,094 | 5,057,475 |
2052 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,059,219 | 4,637,225 | 5,080,785 |
2053 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,054,225 | 4,644,117 | 5,098,540 |
2054 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,051,544 | 4,652,816 | 5,118,135 |
2055 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,057,904 | 4,670,720 | 5,147,384 |
2056 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,068,036 | 4,692,373 | 5,180,755 |
2057 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,082,229 | 4,718,271 | 5,218,902 |
2058 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,101,297 | 4,749,499 | 5,263,113 |
2059 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,130,638 | 4,792,037 | 5,319,781 |
2060 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,172,547 | 4,848,632 | 5,391,964 |
2061 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,222,611 | 4,914,786 | 5,475,194 |
2062 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,277,641 | 4,987,282 | 5,566,315 |
2063 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,338,463 | 5,067,199 | 5,666,633 |
2064 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,404,798 | 5,154,398 | 5,776,174 |
2065 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,474,930 | 5,247,166 | 5,893,320 |
2066 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,547,207 | 5,343,832 | 6,016,478 |
2067 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,614,548 | 5,436,808 | 6,137,865 |
2068 | Note ..: not available for a specific reference period | 4,680,841 | 5,530,296 | 6,261,949 |
.. not available for a specific reference period Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. |
Older seniors would represent a growing share of the total population in the coming decades. From 4.3% of the total population in 2018, persons aged 80 and over would represent a peak of 7.9% of the population in 2045 according to the slow-aging (SA) scenario. In contrast, in the fast-aging (FA) scenario, older seniors would continue to increase as a proportion of the total population throughout the projection, representing 12.3% of the population by 2068.
Persons aged 80 and over would also represent a growing share of the senior population in the coming decades. From 25.0% in 2018, this share would reach a peak of 37.5% in 2046 under the slow-aging (SA) scenario and would reach 41.7% in 2068 under the fast-aging (FA) scenario.
For a number of decades, senior women have outnumbered senior men considerably in Canada, a result of a pattern of higher male mortality at all ages which emerged in the mid-20th century and peaked in the late 1970s. In 2018, the sex ratio among older seniors (aged 80 and over) was 66 males per 100 females. According to all projection scenarios, this ratio would increase further by 2068, to between 75 (scenario LG) and 78 (scenario M1) males per 100 females. This increased ratio in future years would be mainly due to the continued gradual reduction of the mortality gap between the sexes.
Within the senior population, the number of centenarians—persons aged 100 and over—will also increase in the coming years. From about 10,000 in 2018, the number of centenarians living in Canada would peak in 2065 in all projection scenarios, reaching between 65,000 (low-growth (LG) scenario) and 114,000 (high-growth (HG) scenario). As a result, centenarians would be the fastest-growing age group over the next 50 years in all scenarios. However, centenarians would still represent a very small portion of all seniors in Canada (0.2% or less according to all projection scenarios).
The sex composition of centenarians would also evolve considerably over the next 50 years, owing mainly to faster improvements in mortality among males compared to females: there would be 37 male centenarians per 100 female centenarians in 2068 according to the medium-growth (M1) scenario, up from 22 in 2018.
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