Table 2
Key assumptions relating to Aboriginal peoples1 being used for the analysis of the population projections by Aboriginal identity in Canada, 2006 to 2031
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| Component | Number of assumption(s) | Details |
|---|---|---|
| Fertility | 2 | 1 - Constant: constant level and maintenance of the gap in fertility between Aboriginal and non Aboriginal populations 2 - Converging: decrease of 50% in the gap between the Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal populations |
| Intergenerational ethnic mobility | 1 | Constant to the level estimated in 2006 |
| Registered Indian status transmission | 1 | Constant to the level estimated in 2006 |
| Mortality | 1 | Moderate life expectancy increase and maintenance of the gap between the Aboriginal and non Aboriginal populations |
| International migration | 1 | Zero international net migration for Aboriginal population |
| Internal migration | 2 | 1 - Average: estimated in 1995/1996, 2000/2001 and 2005/2006 2 - Zero net migration on reserve |
| Intragenerational ethnic mobility | 2 | 1 - No intragenerational ethnic mobility 2 - Constant mobility to the level estimated between 1996 and 2006 |
| 1. Assumptions related to the rest of the population are presented further in the text. | ||
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