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Alternative measures of the average duration of unemployment

by Miles Corak and Andrew Heisz
Business and Labour Market Analysis Division
Analytical Studies Branch research paper series, No. 083

This paper examines the robustness of a measure of the average complete duration of unemployment in Canada to a host of assumptions used in its derivation.

In contrast to the average incomplete duration of unemployment, which is a lagging cyclical indicator, this statistic is a coincident indicator of the business cycle. The impact of using a steady state as opposed to a non steady state assumption, as well as the impact of various corrections for response bias are explored. It is concluded that a non steady state estimator would be a valuable compliment to the statistics on unemployment duration that are currently released by many statistical agencies, and particularly Statistics Canada.

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