Table 3.1
Observed and projected total fertility rates for selected cohorts and selected years

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Table 3.1a
Observed and projected total fertility rates for selected cohortsNote 1
Table summary
This table displays the results of Observed and projected total fertility rates for selected cohorts. The information is grouped by Region (appearing as row headers), Observed, Projected (assumptions), Low, Medium, High, 1965, 1980 and 1990, calculated using number of children per woman units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Region Observed Projected (assumptions)
Low Medium High
1965Note 2 1980 1990 1980 1990 1980 1990
number of children per woman
Canada 1.76 1.74 1.60 1.79 1.75 1.83 1.90
Newfoundland and Labrador Note ..: not available for a specific reference period 1.53 1.45 1.53 1.52 1.55 1.65
Prince Edward Island 1.95 1.71 1.60 1.75 1.74 1.79 1.82
Nova Scotia 1.65 1.53 1.43 1.56 1.55 1.60 1.70
New Brunswick 1.63 1.60 1.51 1.61 1.60 1.65 1.73
Quebec 1.64 1.80 1.67 1.74 1.74 1.85 2.00
Ontario 1.76 1.66 1.51 1.71 1.71 1.79 1.84
Manitoba 1.95 1.98 1.85 2.08 2.07 2.08 2.18
Saskatchewan 2.10 2.08 2.01 2.14 2.14 2.15 2.22
Alberta 1.94 1.96 1.79 1.93 1.92 2.05 2.11
British Columbia 1.75 1.57 1.42 1.70 1.64 1.69 1.71
Yukon 1.99 1.90 1.79 2.01 1.96 2.04 2.11
Northwest Territories Note ..: not available for a specific reference period Note ..: not available for a specific reference period 1.93 Note ..: not available for a specific reference period 2.19 Note ..: not available for a specific reference period 2.36
Nunavut Note ..: not available for a specific reference period Note ..: not available for a specific reference period 2.95 Note ..: not available for a specific reference period 3.05 Note ..: not available for a specific reference period 3.21
.. not available for a specific reference period
Note 1.

The 2013 Opinion Survey on Future Demographic Trends asked for targets for birth cohorts 1980 and 1990, which explains the choices of the cohorts in this table.

Return to note 1 referrer

Note 2.

Latest cohort for which fertility rates are observed for the totality of the reproductive age span.

Return to note 2 referrer

Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division.

Table 3.1b
Observed and projected total fertility rates for selected yearsNote 1
Table summary
This table displays the results of Observed and projected total fertility rates for selected years. The information is grouped by Region (appearing as row headers), Observed, Projected (assumptions), Low, Medium, High, 2011, 2018 and 2038, calculated using number of children per woman units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Region Observed Projected (assumptions)
Low Medium High
2011 2018 2038 2018 2038 2018 2038
number of children per woman
Canada 1.61 1.55 1.53 1.65 1.67 1.80 1.88
Newfoundland and Labrador 1.45 1.40 1.38 1.49 1.51 1.63 1.70
Prince Edward Island 1.62 1.56 1.54 1.67 1.68 1.81 1.90
Nova Scotia 1.47 1.42 1.39 1.51 1.52 1.64 1.72
New Brunswick 1.54 1.48 1.46 1.58 1.60 1.72 1.80
Quebec 1.69 1.63 1.62 1.68 1.70 1.86 1.98
Ontario 1.52 1.47 1.45 1.57 1.58 1.71 1.78
Manitoba 1.86 1.80 1.77 1.91 1.94 2.09 2.18
Saskatchewan 1.99 1.92 1.89 2.04 2.06 2.22 2.32
Alberta 1.81 1.74 1.72 1.86 1.88 2.02 2.11
British Columbia 1.42 1.37 1.35 1.46 1.48 1.59 1.67
Yukon 1.73 1.67 1.64 1.78 1.80 1.94 2.02
Northwest Territories 1.97 1.90 1.87 2.03 2.05 2.21 2.31
Nunavut 2.97 2.87 2.83 3.06 3.09 3.33 3.48
Note 1.

The 2013 Opinion Survey on Future Demographic Trends asked for targets for years 2018 and 2038, which explains the choices of the years in this table.

Return to note 1 referrer

Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division.
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