Table 2
Key assumptions for projections of the diversity of the Canadian population, 2006 to 2031
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| Assumption | Number of assumptions | Details |
|---|---|---|
| Average number of children per woman / Increase in mean age at fertility |
3 | Low: 1.5 children / + 0.6 year Medium: 1.7 children / + 0.4 year High: 1.9 children / + 0.2 year |
| Fertility differentials | 1 | Observed between 2005 and 2006 |
| Characteristics of new borns | 1 | Transmission mother - child observed in 2005-2006, recent sex ratio at birth |
| Life expectancy | 3 | Low: males = 81.7 years / females = 85.4 years Medium: males = 83.1 years / females = 86.6 years High: males = 84.5 years / females = 87.7 years |
| Mortality differentials | 1 | Observed from 1991 to 2001 |
| Immigration rate | 3 | Low: 6.0 per 1,000 Medium: 7.5 per 1,000 High: 9.0 per 1,000 |
| Place of birth of new immigrants | 2 | Average: 2001 to 2006 Alternative: 2007 to 2008 |
| Net non-permanent residents | 1 | Progressive levelling-off to 0 in 2018 |
| Net emigration rate | 1 | Observed from 1991 to 2008 |
| Emigration differentials | 1 | Observed from 1995 to 2005 |
| Inter-regional migration | 2 | Average: 1995-1996, 2000-2001 and 2005-2006 Alternative: 2005-2006 |
| Schooling | 1 | Progressive levelling-off in trends and educational completion differentials based on 2006 |
| Marital status | 1 | Observed in 2006 and 2001 to 2006 trend |
| Religious mobility (see text box 1) | 1 | Level: observed in data collected in 2002; Age structure: net changes from 1981 to 1991 and from 1991 to 2001 |
| Departure of children from parental home | 1 | Observed in data collected in 2006 |
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