Table 1
Key methods, data sources and variables used for parameters estimates in Demosim
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| Module | Method(s) | Data source(s) | Variables |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fertility | 1 - Base risks : projected fertility rates 2 - Relative risks : log-log regressions |
2006 Census (to which we applied the own-children method) and Vital statistics | Age, parity, Aboriginal identity, registered Indian status, time elapsed since immigration, generation status, visible minority group, religion, place of residence, place of birth, education and marital status |
| Characteristics of new borns | 1 - Transition matrices of mother tongue, visible minority group, Aboriginal identity and registered Indian status from mother to the child 2 - Deterministic and probabilistic imputations of the new-borns' characteristics |
Census 2006 (with own-children method for calculation of transition matrices) | For transition matrices: Immigrant status, registered Indian status, visible minority group, Aboriginal identity, mother tongue, marital status, mixed unions and place of residence of the mother |
| Mortality | 1 - Base risks : projected mortality rates using a variant of the Lee-Carter method 2 - Relative risks: proportional hazards regressions |
Vital statistics and 1991 Census mortality follow-up file | Age, sex, place of residence, time elapsed since immigration, education, visible minority group and Aboriginal identity |
| Immigration | 1 - Annual number of immigrants is set according to assumptions 2 - Allocation of characteristics using an imputation by donors |
Census 2006 and Citizenship and Immigration Canada data | All characteristics assigned to each new immigrants |
| Emigration | 1 - Base risks : emigration ratios 2 - Relative risks: proportional hazards regressions | Statistics Canada population estimates and Longitudinal Administrative Database | Age, sex, place of residence, time elapsed since immigration and place of birth |
| Internal migrations | 1 - Out-migration rates: log-log regressions specific to each region 2 - Choice of a destination: origin-destination matrices |
Censuses 1996, 2001 and 2006 | Age, marital status, presence of children at home and age of the youngest child, education, place of birth, time elapsed since immigration, visible minority group, mother tongue, Aboriginal identity, place of residence, generation status and religion |
| Highest level of schooling | 1 - Graduation probabilities calculated using data collected in 2001 : logistic regressions 2 - Probabilities are projected to 2006 3 - Probabilities are adjusted to match the 2006 Census distribution |
General Social Survey 2001 and 2006 Census | Birth cohorts, age, sex, place of birth, visible minority group and Aboriginal identity |
| Change of religion over the life course | 1 - Out-religion rates (specific to each religion) 2 - Choice of a new religion: origin-destination matrices |
Ethnic Diversity Survey 2002 and Censuses 1981, 1991 and 2001 | Age, sex and religious denomination |
| Marital status | "Embedded" multiple logistic regressions and time trend parameters | Censuses 2001 and 2006 | Age, sex, presence of children at home and age of the youngest child, visible minority group, mother tongue, registered Indian status, Aboriginal identity, education, place of residence, generation status and religion |
| Departure of children from parental home | Proportional hazards regressions | General Social Survey 2006 | Age and sex of the youngest child, sex and place of birth |
| Labour market participation | 1 - Base rates: projected participation rates 2 - Relative rates: ratios |
Labour Force Survey and 2006 Census | Age, sex, place of residence, time elapsed since immigration, education and visible minority group |
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