Table 3.11
Decomposition of annual crude growth rates, observed (1972/1973 to 2012/2013) and projected (2017/2018 to 2037/2038) according to selected scenarios, Ontario

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Table 3.11
Decomposition of annual crude growth rates, observed (1972/1973 to 2012/2013) and projected (2017/2018 to 2037/2038) according to selected scenarios, Ontario
Table summary
This table displays the results of Decomposition of annual crude growth rates. The information is grouped by Scenario (appearing as row headers), Period, Total growth, Natural increase, Net international migration, Net interprovincial migration, Total, Births, Deaths, Immigration, Emigration, Non-permanent residents, In-migration and Out-migration, calculated using crude rate per thousand units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Scenario Period Total growth Natural increase Net international migration Net interprovincial migration
Total Births Deaths Total Immigration Net emigration Net non-permanent residents Total In-migration Out-migration
crude rate per thousand
Observed 1972/1973 16.6 8.2 15.6 7.4 8.3 9.5 1.7 0.5 0.1 12.3 12.1
1992/1993 12.3 7.0 14.1 7.1 6.6 13.8 2.0 -5.1 -1.3 6.3 7.6
2012/2013 9.4 3.6 10.6 7.0 7.4 7.9 1.1 0.6 -1.6 5.2 6.8
Projected (low-growth scenario (L)) 2017/2018 6.0 2.5 10.1 7.6 3.9 6.6 2.7 0.0 -0.4 5.1 5.4
2027/2028 3.0 0.5 9.2 8.7 2.9 5.5 2.5 0.0 -0.4 4.8 5.2
2037/2038 0.7 -1.9 8.5 10.4 3.0 5.5 2.4 0.0 -0.4 4.7 5.1
Projected (medium-growth scenario (M1)) 2017/2018 9.2 3.2 10.6 7.4 6.3 8.2 2.3 0.4 -0.4 5.1 5.4
2027/2028 8.0 2.4 10.4 8.0 6.0 8.2 2.2 0.0 -0.4 4.8 5.2
2037/2038 6.1 0.4 9.5 9.1 6.1 8.2 2.1 0.0 -0.4 4.7 5.1
Projected (medium-growth scenario (M3)) 2017/2018 10.4 3.3 10.7 7.4 6.3 8.2 2.3 0.4 0.8 5.6 4.8
2027/2028 9.3 2.6 10.5 7.9 6.0 8.2 2.2 0.0 0.7 5.2 4.5
2037/2038 7.4 0.7 9.6 8.9 6.1 8.2 2.1 0.0 0.7 5.1 4.4
Projected (medium-growth scenario (M4)) 2017/2018 8.2 3.2 10.6 7.4 6.3 8.2 2.3 0.4 -1.3 4.5 5.8
2027/2028 6.9 2.2 10.3 8.1 6.0 8.2 2.2 0.0 -1.4 4.3 5.7
2037/2038 4.8 0.1 9.4 9.3 6.1 8.2 2.1 0.0 -1.4 4.3 5.7
Projected (high-growth scenario (H)) 2017/2018 12.1 4.5 11.5 7.0 8.0 9.0 1.9 0.9 -0.4 5.1 5.5
2027/2028 12.5 4.7 11.7 7.0 8.3 9.9 1.8 0.2 -0.4 4.8 5.3
2037/2038 10.7 3.0 10.7 7.7 8.1 9.9 1.8 0.0 -0.4 4.8 5.2
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