Table 2.4
Selected age structure indicators, observed (1923 to 2013) and projected (2023 to 2063) according to the low-growth (L), medium-growth (M1) and high-growth (H) scenarios, Canada
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| Scenario | Year | Age group | Median age | Demographic dependency ratio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 and under | 15 to 64 | 65 and over | 15 to 24 | 55 to 64 | 80 and over | Persons aged 14 and under | Persons aged 65 and over | Total dependence | |||
| percentage of the total population | in years | per 100 persons aged 15 to 64 | |||||||||
| Observed | 1923 | 34.0 | 61.1 | 4.9 | 17.4 | 6.1 | 0.7 | 24.1 | 55.6 | 8.0 | 63.6 |
| 1933 | 31.0 | 63.3 | 5.7 | 18.8 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 25.1 | 48.9 | 9.0 | 57.9 | |
| 1943 | 27.6 | 65.5 | 6.9 | 18.5 | 8.1 | 1.0 | 27.3 | 42.1 | 10.5 | 52.6 | |
| 1953 | 31.2 | 61.1 | 7.8 | 14.8 | 7.5 | 1.1 | 27.5 | 51.1 | 12.7 | 63.8 | |
| 1963 | 33.9 | 58.4 | 7.6 | 15.1 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 25.8 | 58.0 | 13.1 | 71.1 | |
| 1973 | 27.7 | 64.0 | 8.2 | 19.1 | 8.1 | 1.6 | 26.7 | 43.3 | 12.9 | 56.2 | |
| 1983 | 21.8 | 68.4 | 9.9 | 18.5 | 9.0 | 1.9 | 30.2 | 31.8 | 14.4 | 46.2 | |
| 1993 | 20.7 | 67.6 | 11.7 | 13.9 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 34.0 | 30.6 | 17.4 | 48.0 | |
| 2003 | 18.3 | 68.9 | 12.8 | 13.6 | 10.3 | 3.2 | 38.0 | 26.6 | 18.6 | 45.2 | |
| 2013 | 16.1 | 68.6 | 15.3 | 13.2 | 13.1 | 4.1 | 40.2 | 23.5 | 22.3 | 45.8 | |
| Projected (low-growth scenario (L)) |
2023 | 15.8 | 64.2 | 20.0 | 11.2 | 13.7 | 4.9 | 42.3 | 24.6 | 31.2 | 55.8 |
| 2033 | 14.6 | 60.9 | 24.5 | 11.5 | 11.8 | 7.2 | 44.4 | 24.0 | 40.2 | 64.2 | |
| 2043 | 14.0 | 60.2 | 25.9 | 11.0 | 12.4 | 9.8 | 45.9 | 23.2 | 43.0 | 66.2 | |
| 2053 | 14.1 | 59.1 | 26.8 | 10.5 | 12.5 | 10.2 | 45.9 | 23.9 | 45.3 | 69.2 | |
| 2063 | 13.9 | 58.3 | 27.8 | 10.7 | 11.6 | 10.6 | 46.5 | 23.9 | 47.7 | 71.6 | |
| Projected (medium-growth scenario (M1)) |
2023 | 16.3 | 64.0 | 19.6 | 11.2 | 13.4 | 4.8 | 41.7 | 25.5 | 30.7 | 56.2 |
| 2033 | 15.9 | 60.7 | 23.4 | 11.5 | 11.4 | 6.9 | 43.2 | 26.2 | 38.6 | 64.8 | |
| 2043 | 15.2 | 60.5 | 24.3 | 11.6 | 11.9 | 9.3 | 44.2 | 25.2 | 40.2 | 65.4 | |
| 2053 | 15.4 | 59.7 | 24.8 | 11.1 | 12.0 | 9.5 | 44.0 | 25.8 | 41.6 | 67.4 | |
| 2063 | 15.5 | 58.9 | 25.6 | 11.1 | 11.1 | 9.7 | 44.2 | 26.3 | 43.4 | 69.7 | |
| Projected (high-growth scenario (H)) |
2023 | 17.1 | 63.6 | 19.4 | 11.2 | 13.1 | 4.8 | 41.2 | 26.8 | 30.5 | 57.3 |
| 2033 | 17.5 | 59.8 | 22.7 | 11.5 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 42.1 | 29.3 | 38.0 | 67.3 | |
| 2043 | 16.8 | 59.9 | 23.3 | 12.3 | 11.2 | 9.2 | 42.5 | 28.0 | 38.9 | 66.9 | |
| 2053 | 17.1 | 59.4 | 23.5 | 11.7 | 11.3 | 9.4 | 41.8 | 28.8 | 39.6 | 68.4 | |
| 2063 | 17.5 | 58.7 | 23.8 | 11.7 | 10.3 | 9.4 | 41.7 | 29.8 | 40.6 | 70.4 | |
| Note: The total demographic dependency ratio is the number of persons aged 14 and under or 65 and over per 100 persons aged 15 to 64 years. Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. |
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