Table 1.1
Summary of long-term projection scenario assumptions

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Table 1.1
Summary of long-term projection scenario assumptions
Table summary
This table displays the results of Summary of long-term projection scenario assumptions. The information is grouped by Component (appearing as row headers), Scenario, Low growth, Medium growth and High growth (appearing as column headers).
Component Scenario
Low growth Medium growth High growth
L M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 H
Fertility (period total fertility rate) (2021/2022) 1.53 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.88
Immigration (rate per thousand) (2022/2023) 5.0 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 9.0
Life expectancy at birth, males (2062/2063) 86.0 87.6 87.6 87.6 87.6 87.6 89.9
Life expectancy at birth, females (2062/2063) 87.3 89.2 89.2 89.2 89.2 89.2 91.9
Interprovincial migration (reference period) 1991/1992 to 2010/2011 1991/1992 to 2010/2011 1991/1992 to 1999/2000 1999/2000 to 2002/2003 2004/2005 to 2007/2008 2009/2010 to 2010/2011 1991/1992 to 2010/2011
Non-permanent residents (annual number)Note 1 733,600 864,600 864,600 864,600 864,600 864,600 1,144,300
Emigration (rate per thousand) (2062/2063) 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.5
Return emigration (rate per thousand) (2062/2063) 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Net temporary emigration (rate per thousand) (2062/2063) 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Note 1.

Target reached in 2014 in the low-growth scenario, in 2021 in the medium-growth scenarios and in 2031 in the high-growth scenario.

Return to note 1 referrer

Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division.
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