Annual Demographic Estimates: Subprovincial Areas, July 1, 2018
Section 1 : Census metropolitan areas and Census agglomerations

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Section 1.1: Census metropolitan areas

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The estimates are based on the 2016 Census population counts adjusted for census net undercoverage and incompletely enumerated Indian reserves, to which are added the population change estimates for the period from May 10, 2016, to the date of the estimate.

These estimates are based on the 2016 Standard Geographical Classification. Moreover, new census metropolitan areas emerged with the 2016 Census, namely Belleville, Ontario, and Lethbridge, Alberta. Both were census agglomerations (CAs) in 2011.

For the rest of this analysis, a growth rate higher than -1 per thousand and lower than 1 per thousand is considered to be nil or low. Rates are based on the ratio of the number of events during the period (t, t+x) to the average of the populations at the beginning and end of the period. Five-year rates are annualized.

This analysis covers the period from July 1, 2006 to July 1, 2018 and includes preliminary data. Since these preliminary data will be revised in the coming year, some trends described in this study may change as a result of these revisions. Therefore, this analysis should be interpreted with caution.

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CMA growth unequal from east to west

Atlantic provinces

Quebec

Ontario

Prairies

British Columbia

Chart 1.1 Population growth rates by census metropolitan area, Canada

Data table for Chart 1.1 
Data table for Chart 1.1
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 1.1. The information is grouped by Census metropolitan areas (appearing as row headers), 2016/2017 and 2017/2018, calculated using rate per thousand units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Census metropolitan areas 2016/2017 2017/2018
rate per thousand
Canada 11.9 14.1
All census metropolitan areas 14.6 17.5
All census agglomerations 8.9 8.8
Peterborough 19.8 30.5
Kitchener - Cambridge - Waterloo 21.0 25.4
Ottawa - Gatineau, Ontario part 23.4 25.0
Windsor 11.7 24.8
London 22.2 23.9
Regina 25.6 22.5
Kingston 21.7 22.1
Saskatoon 26.5 21.8
Edmonton 19.5 21.2
Ottawa - Gatineau 19.5 21.0
Barrie 16.3 20.2
Halifax 19.0 20.0
Toronto 14.8 20.0
Kelowna 20.7 19.3
Belleville 15.6 18.1
Calgary 14.5 18.1
Oshawa 16.7 17.8
Winnipeg 21.2 16.7
Guelph 18.0 16.6
Lethbridge 12.6 16.6
Montréal 11.8 15.7
St. Catharines - Niagara 14.3 15.6
Vancouver 11.0 15.0
Moncton 13.3 13.9
Sherbrooke 11.1 13.9
Abbotsford - Mission 22.5 13.8
Brantford 11.9 13.4
Victoria 15.3 12.5
Hamilton 11.5 11.3
Greater Sudbury 2.9 10.8
Ottawa - Gatineau, Quebec part 7.8 8.6
Québec 7.2 8.2
Thunder Bay 6.3 6.8
Trois-Rivières 8.3 6.1
Saint John 4.8 4.3
Saguenay 1.3 2.4
St. John's 6.6 0.5

Population growth of CMAs stimulated by international migration

Atlantic provinces

Quebec

Ontario

Prairies

British Columbia

Chart 1.2 Factors of population growth by census metropolitan area, Canada, 2017/2018

Data table for Chart 1.2 
Data table for Chart 1.2
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 1.2. The information is grouped by Census metropolitan areas (appearing as row headers), Natural increase, International migratory increase, Interprovincial migratory increase, Intraprovincial migratory increase and Population growth, calculated using rate per thousand units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Census metropolitan areas Natural increase International migratory increase Interprovincial migratory increase Intraprovincial migratory increase Population growth
rate per thousand
Canada 2.9 11.2 0.0 0.0 14.1
Peterborough -1.9 17.9 -0.3 14.8 30.5
Kitchener - Cambridge - Waterloo 4.3 14.5 1.2 5.4 25.4
Ottawa - Gatineau, Ontario part 3.4 10.9 5.6 5.1 25.0
Windsor 1.5 18.3 2.8 2.3 24.8
London 2.1 12.8 1.5 7.4 23.9
Regina 6.2 23.1 -11.0 4.3 22.5
Kingston 0.3 10.0 3.2 8.6 22.1
Saskatoon 6.9 17.1 -9.8 7.6 21.8
Edmonton 7.4 9.2 0.9 3.6 21.2
Ottawa - Gatineau 3.6 9.2 3.9 4.4 21.0
Barrie 2.7 8.5 -0.7 9.7 20.2
Halifax 2.3 12.7 2.8 2.3 20.0
Toronto 5.2 21.2 1.5 -7.9 20.0
Kelowna -2.0 8.3 6.7 8.1 19.3
Belleville -0.9 4.2 0.7 14.2 18.1
Calgary 7.7 8.7 0.1 1.6 18.1
Oshawa 3.9 3.8 -0.5 10.5 17.8
Wnnipeg 3.4 19.8 -8.0 1.3 16.7
Guelph 3.7 4.3 1.8 6.9 16.6
Lethbridge 5.2 6.1 2.1 3.2 16.6
Montrèal 3.4 16.5 -1.3 -2.9 15.7
St. Catharines - Niagara -1.6 9.7 -0.5 8.0 15.6
Vancouver 3.1 15.5 0.3 -5.3 15.0
Moncton 1.3 9.2 0.3 3.2 13.9
Sherbrooke 1.5 7.6 -0.7 5.4 13.9
Abbotsford - Mission 3.6 18.7 0.1 4.3 13.8
Brantford 0.7 3.6 0.0 9.1 13.4
Victoria -1.6 4.4 4.2 4.9 12.5
Hanilton 1.4 6.4 0.2 3.3 11.3
Greater Sudbury -0.6 11.3 0.3 -0.1 10.8
Ottawa - Gatineau, Quebec part 4.1 3.8 -1.5 2.2 8.6
Québec 1.3 5.6 -0.9 2.1 8.2
Thunder Bay -1.5 7.9 -0.5 0.9 6.8
Trois-Rivières -1.6 4.0 -0.4 4.0 6.1
Saint John -1.0 6.8 -2.0 0.6 4.3
Saguenay 0.0 3.8 0.2 -1.6 2.4
St. John's 2.1 4.4 -10.8 4.8 0.5

Of Canada’s three largest CMAs, Toronto had the strongest population growth

Montréal CMA

Toronto CMA

Vancouver CMA

Chart 1.3 Population growth rates of the three largest census metropolitan areas, Canada

Data table for Chart 1.3 
Data table for Chart 1.3
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 1.3. The information is grouped by Census metropolitan areas (appearing as row headers), 2007/2008, 2008/2009, 2009/2010, 2010/2011, 2011/2012, 2012/2013, 2013/2014, 2014/2015, 2015/2016, 2016/2017 and 2017/2018, calculated using rate per thoudand units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Census metropolitan areas 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018
rate per thoudand
Montréal 10.1 12.4 11.7 10.2 9.3 8.6 6.7 3.9 7.4 11.8 15.7
Toronto 15.7 15.7 16.5 15.2 14.6 13.5 11.2 7.6 13.1 14.8 20.0
Vancouver 16.4 21.0 18.7 12.6 18.5 16.7 19.4 14.7 14.6 11.0 15.0

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For the purposes of this article, various indicators will be used to measure the aging of a population. The distribution of the population aged 0 to 14 and 65 and over and the median age will be the indicators considered. The median age is the age “x” that divides the population into two equal groups, one containing only individuals older than “x” and the other those younger than “x.”

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The population of CMAs younger than in the rest of Canada

Comparison of age structure between CMAs, CAs and areas outside CMAs and CAs

Figure 1.1 Age pyramid for CMAs, CAs and regions outside CMAs and CAs population for July 1, 2018

Description for Figure 1.1

This stacked column graph or age pyramid compares the age structure of the CMAs, the CAs and regions outside CMAs and CAs population for July 1, 2018 in relative value.

The left side shows males and the right side shows females.

The horizontal axis shows the population in relative value and the vertical axis shows age.


Data table
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for figure 1.1 . The information is grouped by Age (appearing as row headers), Outside CMAs and CAs, CMAs, CAs, Males and Females, calculated using per thousand units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Age Outside CMAs and CAs CMAs CAs
Males Females Males Females Males Females
per thousand
0 5.5 5.2 5.3 5.1 5.1 4.9
1 5.6 5.3 5.3 5.0 5.2 4.9
2 5.6 5.3 5.4 5.1 5.3 5.1
3 5.7 5.4 5.4 5.1 5.4 5.1
4 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.4 5.2
5 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.2 5.4 5.2
6 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.5 5.3
7 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.5 5.3
8 6.0 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.6 5.4
9 6.0 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.6 5.4
10 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.6 5.5
11 5.8 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.4 5.3
12 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.2
13 5.6 5.3 5.3 5.1 5.2 5.1
14 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.1
15 5.6 5.3 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.1
16 5.6 5.3 5.5 5.3 5.4 5.2
17 5.7 5.3 5.7 5.5 5.6 5.3
18 5.9 5.5 6.2 5.9 5.9 5.4
19 5.9 5.4 6.7 6.2 6 5.5
20 5.7 5.2 6.9 6.4 6.1 5.6
21 5.6 4.9 7.1 6.5 6.2 5.6
22 5.5 4.8 7.3 6.8 6.3 5.7
23 5.4 4.7 7.6 7.0 6.3 5.7
24 5.3 4.6 7.6 7.0 6.3 5.6
25 5.4 4.6 7.6 7.1 6.3 5.7
26 5.5 4.8 7.6 7.3 6.4 5.9
27 5.6 5.1 7.7 7.3 6.6 6
28 5.7 5.2 7.7 7.4 6.6 6
29 5.5 5.2 7.5 7.2 6.4 5.9
30 5.4 5.2 7.3 7.2 6.2 5.8
31 5.5 5.3 7.3 7.2 6.4 6
32 5.7 5.4 7.4 7.3 6.5 6.1
33 5.7 5.4 7.4 7.4 6.5 6.2
34 5.7 5.5 7.3 7.3 6.5 6.3
35 5.7 5.6 7.3 7.3 6.4 6.2
36 5.7 5.5 7.2 7.3 6.3 6.3
37 5.7 5.6 7.1 7.3 6.4 6.2
38 5.8 5.6 7.0 7.2 6.2 6.2
39 5.7 5.5 6.8 7.0 6.1 6.1
40 5.6 5.4 6.7 6.9 6 6
41 5.7 5.5 6.6 6.9 5.9 6
42 5.7 5.5 6.6 6.8 6 6
43 5.7 5.5 6.6 6.8 5.9 5.9
44 5.6 5.5 6.4 6.7 5.8 5.8
45 5.7 5.5 6.4 6.6 5.9 5.8
46 5.9 5.7 6.5 6.7 6.1 6
47 6.2 6.0 6.7 6.9 6.2 6.2
48 6.2 6.1 6.7 6.9 6.3 6.1
49 6.3 6.0 6.6 6.8 6.1 6.2
50 6.3 6.2 6.5 6.7 6.1 6.1
51 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.7 6.2 6.3
52 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.6 6.7
53 7.8 7.6 7.2 7.3 7.2 7.4
54 8.1 8.0 7.4 7.4 7.5 7.7
55 8.3 8.2 7.4 7.4 7.6 7.8
56 8.4 8.2 7.1 7.2 7.5 7.9
57 8.6 8.4 7.0 7.2 7.7 7.9
58 8.6 8.4 6.8 7.0 7.7 7.9
59 8.5 8.4 6.6 6.8 7.5 7.8
60 8.6 8.4 6.5 6.7 7.5 7.8
61 8.5 8.3 6.2 6.5 7.4 7.7
62 8.4 8.1 6.0 6.3 7.2 7.5
63 8.3 8.1 5.8 6.1 7.1 7.5
64 8.0 7.8 5.4 5.9 6.9 7.3
65 7.7 7.4 5.1 5.6 6.6 6.9
66 7.4 7.0 4.9 5.4 6.3 6.7
67 7.2 6.8 4.8 5.2 6.1 6.5
68 6.9 6.6 4.6 5.1 6 6.3
69 6.8 6.4 4.4 4.9 5.9 6.2
70 6.6 6.3 4.4 4.9 5.8 6.2
71 6.4 6.2 4.3 4.8 5.7 6.1
72 5.5 5.3 3.6 4.1 4.8 5.2
73 5.0 4.8 3.3 3.7 4.4 4.8
74 4.7 4.6 3.1 3.6 4.2 4.7
75 4.4 4.3 3.0 3.4 4 4.4
76 4.0 3.9 2.7 3.1 3.6 4.1
77 3.6 3.7 2.5 3.0 3.3 3.8
78 3.3 3.3 2.3 2.8 3 3.5
79 3.0 3.1 2.1 2.6 2.8 3.3
80 2.7 2.8 2.0 2.5 2.5 3.1
81 2.4 2.6 1.8 2.3 2.3 2.9
82 2.3 2.5 1.7 2.2 2.2 2.8
83 2.0 2.3 1.5 2.1 1.9 2.6
84 1.7 2.1 1.4 1.9 1.8 2.4
85 1.6 2.0 1.3 1.9 1.6 2.3
86 1.4 1.9 1.2 1.7 1.5 2.2
87 1.2 1.7 1.0 1.6 1.3 2
88 1.0 1.5 0.9 1.4 1.1 1.8
89 0.8 1.3 0.7 1.3 0.9 1.6
90 0.7 1.2 0.6 1.1 0.8 1.4
91 0.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.6 1.2
92 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.8 0.5 1
93 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.9
94 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.7
95 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.6
96 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.4
97 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3
98 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2
99 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0 0.2
100 and over 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3

The CMAs with the youngest populations are in western Canada

CMAs with the youngest populations

CMAs with the oldest populations

Chart 1.4 Median age by census metropolitan area, Canada, July 1, 2018

Data table for Chart 1.4 
Data table for Chart 1.4
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 1.4. The information is grouped by Census metropolitan areas (appearing as row headers), Median age (appearing as column headers).
Census metropolitan areas Median age
Canada 40.8
All census metropolitan areas 39.5
All census agglomerations 43.4
Saskatoon 35.5
Lethbridge 36.1
Regina 36.3
Edmonton 36.4
Calgary 36.9
Kitchener - Cambridge - Waterloo 37.8
Winnipeg 38.0
Toronto 38.6
Abbotsford - Mission 38.8
Guelph 39.0
Ottawa - Gatineau, Ontario part 39.4
Barrie 39.4
Oshawa 39.6
Ottawa - Gatineau 39.6
London 39.7
Halifax 40.0
Vancouver 40.1
Ottawa - Gatineau, Quebec part 40.3
Montréal 40.3
St. John's 40.3
Windsor 41.1
Brantford 41.2
Hamilton 41.5
Kingston 41.8
Moncton 42.2
Sherbrooke 42.2
Greater Sudbury 42.6
Québec 42.7
Thunder Bay 43.8
Saint John 43.9
Peterborough 43.9
Victoria 44.0
Belleville 44.2
Kelowna 44.4
St. Catharines - Niagara 45.6
Saguenay 45.8
Trois-Rivières 46.4

Chart 1.5 Distribution of population by age group and census metropolitan area, Canada, July 1, 2018

Data table for Chart 1.5 
Data table for Chart 1.5
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 1.5. The information is grouped by Census metropolitan areas (appearing as row headers), 0 to 14 years, 15 to 64 years and 65 years and older, calculated using percentage units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Census metropolitan areas 0 to 14 years 15 to 64 years 65 years and older
percentage
Canada 16.1 66.7 17.2
All census agglomerations 15.9 63.9 20.2
All census metropolitan areas 16.0 68.2 15.8
Trois-Rivières 13.7 63.0 23.2
Peterborough 14.1 63.7 22.2
St. Catharines - Niagara 14.1 63.9 22.1
Saguenay 14.4 63.9 21.7
Victoria 12.6 66.4 21.0
Kelowna 13.5 65.5 21.0
Belleville 15.5 64.1 20.5
Sherbrooke 15.5 64.3 20.2
Thunder Bay 14.1 65.8 20.1
Québec 15.0 65.0 20.0
Kingston 14.1 66.5 19.4
Saint John 15.7 65.5 18.8
Greater Sudbury 15.0 66.5 18.5
Hamilton 15.8 66.2 18.0
Moncton 15.2 66.9 17.9
Brantford 17.2 65.2 17.6
Windsor 16.0 66.6 17.4
London 16.0 66.9 17.1
Montréal 16.4 67.1 16.6
Abbotsford - Mission 17.5 66.6 16.0
Halifax 14.6 69.5 15.9
Lethbridge 19.0 65.4 15.7
Vancouver 13.9 70.4 15.7
Ottawa - Gatineau, Ontario part 16.1 68.4 15.5
St. John's 15.2 69.5 15.3
Guelph 16.2 68.5 15.3
Ottawa - Gatineau 16.5 68.3 15.3
Winnipeg 16.8 68.0 15.2
Oshawa 17.8 67.4 14.8
Toronto 15.8 69.5 14.6
Ottawa - Gatineau, Quebec part 17.7 67.7 14.6
Kitchener - Cambridge - Waterloo 16.9 68.5 14.6
Barrie 16.8 68.6 14.6
Regina 18.6 68.1 13.3
Saskatoon 18.7 68.6 12.7
Edmonton 18.2 69.2 12.7
Calgary 18.4 70.0 11.6

CMA with the youngest population and CMA with the oldest population

Figure 1.2 Age pyramid for the CMA with the highest proportion of persons aged 65 and older (Trois-Rivières, Quebec) and the CMA with the highest proportion of persons aged 0 to 14 years (Lethbridge, Alberta) for July 1, 2018

Description for Figure 1.2

This stacked column graph or age pyramid compares the age structure of the CMA of Trois-Rivières (Quebec) and the CMA of Lethbridge (Alberta) for July 1, 2018 in relative value.

The left side shows males and the right side shows females.

The horizontal axis shows the population in relative value and the vertical axis shows age.


Data table
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for figure 1.2. The information is grouped by Age (appearing as row headers), Lethbridge (Alta.), Trois-Rivières (Que.), Males and Females, calculated using per thousand units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Age Lethbridge (Alta.) Trois-Rivières (Que.)
Males Females Males Females
per thousand
0 6.8 6.3 4.0 4.3
1 6.7 6.2 4.8 4.3
2 6.4 6.8 4.6 4.4
3 6.6 6.5 4.7 4.4
4 6.6 6.0 4.7 4.6
5 6.3 6.4 5.0 4.4
6 6.7 6.3 5.1 4.7
7 6.7 5.8 5.0 4.4
8 6.7 6.4 4.9 4.6
9 6.8 6.4 4.8 4.9
10 6.6 6.4 4.9 4.8
11 6.6 5.8 4.9 4.4
12 6.2 5.9 4.4 4.3
13 5.7 5.4 4.5 4.2
14 5.7 5.9 4.2 4.2
15 5.6 5.3 4.3 4.0
16 5.7 5.4 4.7 4.4
17 5.7 6.0 4.6 4.4
18 5.8 5.4 4.8 4.9
19 6.0 5.9 5.5 5.0
20 6.8 6.5 5.7 5.7
21 7.5 7.2 6.0 6.0
22 8.1 7.6 6.1 6.4
23 8.7 8.8 6.5 6.5
24 8.8 8.5 6.8 6.4
25 9.1 8.2 7.3 6.3
26 9.1 8.4 7.1 6.6
27 8.8 8.4 7.0 6.4
28 8.5 8.1 6.6 5.8
29 8.1 7.4 5.8 5.2
30 7.8 7.1 5.1 5.4
31 7.9 7.1 6.0 5.4
32 8.0 7.5 5.7 5.5
33 7.8 7.4 6.1 5.6
34 7.7 6.8 5.9 5.7
35 7.1 6.8 6.2 5.9
36 7.3 6.8 6.5 6.0
37 6.8 6.9 6.8 6.0
38 6.7 6.7 6.5 6.0
39 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.2
40 6.2 6.0 6.3 6.0
41 6.0 5.9 6.0 5.6
42 5.9 5.6 5.9 5.7
43 6.1 5.7 6.0 5.4
44 5.8 5.5 5.3 5.1
45 5.6 5.4 4.7 4.9
46 5.5 5.9 4.7 5.0
47 5.6 5.6 5.3 5.3
48 5.8 5.4 5.3 5.7
49 5.4 5.1 5.2 5.7
50 5.4 5.3 5.8 5.6
51 5.4 5.4 6.2 6.4
52 5.7 5.5 6.6 6.9
53 5.6 5.8 7.1 7.5
54 5.9 6.0 7.6 7.8
55 6.0 6.3 7.6 8.3
56 6.3 6.2 8.0 8.3
57 6.0 6.3 8.1 8.2
58 6.2 6.4 8.1 8.6
59 6.3 6.2 7.9 8.6
60 6.2 6.6 8.1 8.7
61 5.8 6.1 8.3 8.5
62 5.7 6.2 7.6 8.1
63 5.5 5.7 7.9 8.1
64 5.2 5.7 7.3 7.9
65 5.3 5.7 7.3 7.8
66 4.6 5.2 7.1 7.3
67 4.6 4.8 6.9 6.9
68 4.5 4.6 7.0 7.0
69 4.2 4.7 6.7 7.0
70 4.2 4.9 6.5 6.7
71 4.2 4.9 6.1 6.4
72 3.3 4.1 5.7 6.2
73 3.3 3.6 5.5 5.8
74 3.1 3.9 5.0 5.8
75 3.1 3.4 4.6 5.0
76 2.8 3.0 4.1 4.9
77 2.3 2.8 4.0 4.7
78 2.1 2.5 3.2 4.2
79 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.9
80 2.2 2.8 2.7 3.6
81 1.7 2.2 2.4 3.1
82 1.7 2.0 2.2 3.0
83 1.6 2.1 2.1 3.2
84 1.4 1.9 2.1 3.1
85 1.4 2.0 1.8 2.9
86 1.4 1.8 1.7 2.8
87 1.2 1.8 1.6 2.7
88 1.0 1.5 1.4 2.4
89 0.8 1.3 1.1 2.0
90 0.7 1.2 0.8 1.9
91 0.4 1.1 0.5 1.5
92 0.4 0.7 0.4 1.4
93 0.4 0.6 0.3 1.2
94 0.2 0.5 0.2 1.0
95 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.7
96 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5
97 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3
98 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3
99 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
100 and over 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2

Fastest-aging CMAs were in Quebec and Ontario

CMAs with the fastest-aging populations

CMAs with the slowest-aging populations

Section 1.2: Census agglomerations

Census agglomerations (CAs) with the highest growth rates in the past year

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For the rest of this analysis, a growth rate higher than -1 per thousand and lower than 1 per thousand is considered to be nil or low. Rates are based on the ratio of the number of events during the period (t, t+x) to the average of the populations at the beginning and end of the period. Five-year rates are annualized. Preliminary postcensal estimates are subject to revision. Future updates could affect trend analysis.

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