A faster increase in the number of deaths compared to number of births

  • In 2011, Canada registered more births (377,636) than deaths (242,074), resulting in a positive natural increase of 135,562.
  • The number of births has considerably declined since peaking at nearly half a million in 1959. However, there have been fluctuations in the number of births in the last four decades, including a small rise in the early 1990s. In contrast, there has been a fairly steady increase in the number of deaths over the past 90 years.
  • The number of deaths is projected to accelerate in the coming decades according to all the scenarios of the population projections. Under the low-growth scenario, the number of deaths could start exceeding the number of births in 2030, when the baby boomers reach the ages of high mortality. According to the medium- and high-growth scenarios—which assume fertility of 1.7 and 1.9 children per woman, respectively—natural increase would remain positive until the end of the projection period in 2060.

Figure 12

Description for figure 12

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