Table 8
Models predicting new convictions for Indigenous and non-Indigenous people controlling for demographic and criminal history factors
Demographic and criminal history factors | Model predicting any new conviction | Model predicting any new conviction for a violent offence | Model predicting any new conviction for a property offence | Model predicting any new conviction for an other Criminal Code or federal statute offence | Model predicting any new conviction for an administration of justice offence | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hazard ratioTable 8 Note 1 | 95% confidence interval | Hazard ratioTable 8 Note 1 | 95% confidence interval | Hazard ratioTable 8 Note 1 | 95% confidence interval | Hazard ratioTable 8 Note 1 | 95% confidence interval | Hazard ratioTable 8 Note 1 | 95% confidence interval | ||||||
from | to | from | to | from | to | from | to | from | to | ||||||
Indigenous identityTable 8 Note 2 | |||||||||||||||
Non-IndigenousTable 8 Note † vs. Indigenous | 1.30 | 1.27 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 1.34 | 1.43 | 1.01 | 0.97 | 1.04 | 1.15 | 1.11 | 1.19 | 1.33 | 1.30 | 1.37 |
Type of correctional supervisionTable 8 Note 3 | |||||||||||||||
CommunityTable 8 Note † vs. custody | 1.31 | 1.29 | 1.34 | 1.31 | 1.27 | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.35 | 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 1.56 | 1.33 | 1.29 | 1.36 |
Gender | |||||||||||||||
WomenTable 8 Note † vs. men | 1.02 | 0.99 | 1.05 | 1.41 | 1.34 | 1.48 | 0.90 | 0.87 | 0.94 | 1.48 | 1.41 | 1.55 | 1.00 | 0.96 | 1.03 |
AgeTable 8 Note 4 | |||||||||||||||
18 to 34Table 8 Note † vs. 35 and older | 0.76 | 0.74 | 0.78 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.74 | 0.72 | 0.76 | 0.62 | 0.60 | 0.64 | 0.72 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
Number of prior convictionsTable 8 Note 5 | |||||||||||||||
0-1Table 8 Note † vs. 2-4 | 1.82 | 1.74 | 1.91 | 1.73 | 1.61 | 1.87 | 2.05 | 1.90 | 2.21 | 1.76 | 1.63 | 1.90 | 1.94 | 1.83 | 2.05 |
0-1Table 8 Note † vs. 5-9 | 3.17 | 3.03 | 3.32 | 2.70 | 2.51 | 2.91 | 4.35 | 4.04 | 4.68 | 3.01 | 2.79 | 3.25 | 3.53 | 3.34 | 3.73 |
0-1Table 8 Note † vs. 10 or more | 5.87 | 5.62 | 6.12 | 4.42 | 4.12 | 4.75 | 10.31 | 9.61 | 11.07 | 5.70 | 5.31 | 6.13 | 6.36 | 6.03 | 6.70 |
Any prior conviction for a violent offenceTable 8 Note 6 | |||||||||||||||
NoTable 8 Note † vs. yes | 1.03 | 1.01 | 1.06 | 1.98 | 1.89 | 2.06 | 0.80 | 0.77 | 0.82 | 0.88 | 0.85 | 0.91 | 1.06 | 1.03 | 1.09 |
Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Centre for Justice and Community Safety Statistics, Linked Canadian Correctional Services Survey, Integrated Criminal Court Survey and Canadian Vital Statistics – Death Database. |
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