Table 6
Models predicting new convictions from demographic and criminal history factors
Demographic and criminal history factors | Model predicting any new conviction | Model predicting any new conviction for a violent offence | Model predicting any new conviction for a property offence | Model predicting any new conviction for an other Criminal Code or federal statute offence | Model predicting any new conviction for an administration of justice offence | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hazard ratioTable 6 Note 1 | 95% confidence interval | Hazard ratioTable 6 Note 1 | 95% confidence interval | Hazard ratioTable 6 Note 1 | 95% confidence interval | Hazard ratioTable 6 Note 1 | 95% confidence interval | Hazard ratioTable 6 Note 1 | 95% confidence interval | ||||||
from | to | from | to | from | to | from | to | from | to | ||||||
Type of correctional supervisionTable 6 Note 2 | |||||||||||||||
CommunityTable 6 Note † vs. custody | 1.32 | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.27 | 1.36 | 1.41 | 1.36 | 1.45 | 1.51 | 1.46 | 1.56 | 1.33 | 1.30 | 1.37 |
Gender | |||||||||||||||
WomenTable 6 Note † vs. men | 0.98 | 0.95 | 1.01 | 1.34 | 1.28 | 1.41 | 0.90 | 0.87 | 0.93 | 1.45 | 1.38 | 1.52 | 0.95 | 0.92 | 0.98 |
AgeTable 6 Note 3 | |||||||||||||||
18 to 34Table 6 Note † vs. 35 and older | 0.75 | 0.73 | 0.77 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 0.67 | 0.74 | 0.72 | 0.76 | 0.62 | 0.60 | 0.64 | 0.70 | 0.69 | 0.72 |
Number of prior convictionsTable 6 Note 4 | |||||||||||||||
0-1Table 6 Note † vs. 2-4 | 1.87 | 1.79 | 1.96 | 1.80 | 1.67 | 1.94 | 2.08 | 1.92 | 2.24 | 1.80 | 1.67 | 1.94 | 2.00 | 1.89 | 2.11 |
0-1Table 6 Note † vs. 5-9 | 3.34 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.91 | 2.70 | 3.14 | 4.45 | 4.14 | 4.80 | 3.12 | 2.90 | 3.37 | 3.74 | 3.54 | 3.94 |
0-1Table 6 Note † vs. 10 or more | 6.30 | 6.04 | 6.57 | 4.92 | 4.58 | 5.28 | 10.57 | 9.85 | 11.33 | 5.97 | 5.56 | 6.41 | 6.88 | 6.53 | 7.24 |
Any prior conviction for a violent offenceTable 6 Note 5 | |||||||||||||||
NoTable 6 Note † vs. yes | 1.06 | 1.04 | 1.09 | 2.04 | 1.95 | 2.12 | 0.80 | 0.77 | 0.82 | 0.89 | 0.86 | 0.92 | 1.09 | 1.06 | 1.12 |
Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Centre for Justice and Community Safety Statistics, Linked Canadian Correctional Services Survey, Integrated Criminal Court Survey and Canadian Vital Statistics – Death Database. |
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