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Table 4
Logistic regression for the probability of interprovincial migration for men

  Age
20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54
change in probability from baseline (%)
Province
Ref. - Ontario
Newfoundland and Labrador 177.5* 64.4* 21.5* 45.4*
Prince Edward Island 131.9* 75.1* 30.5* 48.9*
Nova Scotia 181.8* 153.5* 130.5* 93.5*
New Brunswick 104.9* 55.8* 40.7* 21.9*
Quebec -70.2* -68.1* -69.0* -71.8*
Manitoba 208.3* 239.4* 275.5* 233.4*
Saskatchewan 400.7* 371.1* 367.1* 342.6*
Alberta 195.1* 231.8* 254.2* 253.9*
British Columbia 112.9* 115.1* 107.3* 93.4*
Minority language
Ref. - all other
English in Quebec 647.0* 726.2* 882.5* 935.6*
Francophone outside Quebec 105.2* 210.8* 206.5* 200.9*
Area of residence
Ref. - 500,000 and over
100,000 to 499,999 2.4* 2.4* 11.7* 14.0*
30,000 to 99,999 18.0* 7.1* 17.4* 22.9*
15,000 to 29,999 31.5* 17.4* 23.7* 23.1*
1,000 to 14,999 12.9* 5.0* 11.1* 7.2*
Rural area -7.5* -22.9* -18.8* -8.1*
Family type
Ref. - married with children
Married, no children 11.2* 35.5* 27.3* 20.3*
Lone parent 1.9 14.1* 24.4* 27.4*
Single 72.9* 79.9* 62.2* 86.1*
Earnings
Ref. - $25,000 to $50,000
No earnings 1.0 28.0* 61.7* 73.5*
$1 to $25,000 22.0* 18.0* 34.0* 44.0*
$50,000 to $100,000 -6.5* 14.4* 36.2* 21.6*
Over $100,000 18.8 18.3* 96.6* 115.0*
Unemployment rate1 9.6* 10.5* 11.4* 9.4*
Social assistance2 9.9* 20.0* 29.6* 15.1*
Employment insurance2 -0.1 7.6* 30.5* 50.2*
Years since immigration
Ref. - non-immigrant
One -3.5 21.8* 89.5* 121.9*
Two -19.2* 35.8* 112.4* 104.4*
Three -30.6* 12.2* 68.4* 92.6*
Four -37.3* 1.1 54.6* 53.2*
Five -30.6* -7.4* 41.5* 51.4*
Six -39.0* -13.3* 39.5* 27.9*
Seven -35.3* -18.0* 12.6* 31.3*
Eight -35.2* -26.0* 9.2* 20.1*
Nine -40.7* -26.0* 17.1* 1.0
Ten or more -31.3* -27.4* -14.1* -2.0
1. Probabilities are evaluated using the 2004 unemployment rate of 7.2%, the last available year. The marginal effect for the unemployment rate is an increase of one percentage point.
2. Recipient versus non-recipient.
* statistically significant from the reference group (ref.) at 0.01 level or better
Source: Statistics Canada, Longitudinal Administrative Data, 1992 to 2004.