Survey Methodology
A small area estimation approach for reconciling differences in two surveys of recreational fishing effort

by Teng Liu, F. Jay Breidt and Jean D. OpsomerNote 1

  • Release date: December 20, 2024

Abstract

Many studies face the problem of comparing estimates obtained with different survey methodology, including differences in frames, measurement instruments, and modes of delivery. The problem arises in multimode surveys and in surveys that are redesigned. Major redesign of survey processes could affect survey estimates systematically, and it is important to quantify and adjust for such discontinuities between the designs to ensure comparability of estimates over time. We propose a small area estimation approach to reconcile two sets of survey estimates, and apply it to two surveys in the Marine Recreational Information Program (MRIP), which monitors recreational fishing along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts of the United States. We develop a log-normal model for the estimates from the two surveys, accounting for temporal dynamics through regression on population size and state-by-wave seasonal factors, and accounting in part for changing coverage properties through regression on wireless telephone penetration. Using the estimated design variances, we develop a regression model that is analytically consistent with the log-normal mean model. We use the modeled design variances in a Fay-Herriot small area estimation procedure to obtain empirical best linear unbiased predictors of the reconciled estimates of fishing effort (requiring predictions at new sets of covariates), and provide an asymptotically valid mean square error approximation.

Key Words:    Coverage error; EBLUP; Fay-Herriot model; Log-normal model; MSE approximation; Nonsampling error.

Table of contents

How to cite

Liu, T., Breidt, F.J. and Opsomer, J.D. (2024). A small area estimation approach for reconciling differences in two surveys of recreational fishing effort. Survey Methodology, 50(2), 323-345. Paper available at http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/12-001-x/2024002/article/00009-eng.pdf.

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