Analytical Studies Branch Research Paper Series
Survival Rate and Performance of Indigenous-owned Businesses

11F0019M No. 479
Release date: November 18, 2024

DOI: https://doi.org/10.25318/11f0019m2024006-eng

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Acknowledgements

The author would like to thank Amélie Lafrance-Cooke, Wulong Gu, Danny Leung, Weimin Wang, Patrice Rivard, Jacqueline Palladini, and Alex Chernoff for their helpful comments. The author would also like to thank the reviewers from the Centre for Indigenous Statistics and Partnerships. Many thanks also to Bassirou Gueye and Javier Oyarzun for their expertise in preparing the data.

Abstract

This paper quantifies the economic performance including the survival rate of Indigenous-owned businesses relative to their non-Indigenous-owned counterparts over recent decades in Canada. It builds on the growing interest of policy makers in designing policies that support the social and economic integration of racialized groups and Indigenous Peoples.

This analysis leverages the Canadian Employer–Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD) with measures of business ownership characteristics including Indigenous identity from 2005 to 2018. The empirical analysis exploits the multiple imputation estimation of a panel data model, along with descriptive statistics to assess socioeconomic characteristics including gaps in labour productivity and revenue by subgroup of Indigenous-owned businesses, compared with non-Indigenous-owned ones.

Results suggest that, despite a closing gap over time, Indigenous-owned businesses were 7.5% less productive and have experienced 2.7% lower revenues, on average, than their non-Indigenous-owned counterparts. This performance gap is more than two times higher in rural areas compared with urban areas. Furthermore, findings from the survival analysis indicate that Indigenous-owned businesses were 18.41% more likely to exit the market, on average, compared with non-Indigenous businesses.

Finally, the paper documents possible factors driving the relative weak performance among Indigenous-owned businesses, compared with non-Indigenous-owned businesses. Financial and capability constraints stand as the key barriers to Indigenous-owned enterprises’ economic participation and development.

1 Introduction

Policy makers are concerned about how to socially and economically support individuals from racialized groups, those with disabilities, Indigenous Peoples and women, who make up the employment equity (EE) groups. This can be partially achieved by promoting business ownership among EE, because it is an important driver of economic growth and job creation (Picot, Manser, & Lin, 1998; Papadaki, Chami, & Branch, 2002; Green, Liu, Ostrovski, & Picot, 2016; Grekou & Liu, 2018). A large body of literature examines different aspects of the performance of businesses that are majority owned by individuals in EE groups. Whether the focus is on labour productivity (Grekou, 2020; Grekou & Watt, 2021), business ownership rates (Gueye, Lafrance-Cooke and Oyarzun, 2022), export activity (Canadian Council for Aboriginal Business and Global Affairs Canada, 2023Note  ; Sekkel & Wang, 2024), survival rates (Robb, 2002; Du Rietz & M. Henrekson, 2000; Fairlie & Robb, 2009; Couture & Houle, 2020) or financial performance (Gueye B., 2023; Bemrose & Lafrance-Cooke, 2022), prior studies find that businesses owned by EE groups are, on average, underrepresented and likely to underperform, compared with those owned by Canadians who are not in EE groups. This study contributes to the literature by examining the economic performance of Indigenous-owned businesses, a population with a growing participation in the Canadian economy.Note   

Indigenous Peoples make up 5% of the population and have contributed to roughly 2.2% of Canadian gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020 (Ayotte & Bridger, 2022). The Indigenous business sector plays an important role in generating wealth and jobs for local communities. In 2018, the number of Indigenous-owned businesses in Canada was estimated at 37,000, an increase of about 36% relative to 2005 (Gueye, Lafrance-Cooke and Oyarzun, 2022). However, socioeconomic gaps between Indigenous Peoples (especially those living on reserves) and non-Indigenous people in Canada have limited the likelihood of entry and survival of Indigenous-owned businesses (Leach, Baer, & Yu, 2020). These gaps are predominant in rural and remote areas and are related to income, education and employment, among other factors (Wilson & Macdonald, 2010; Leach, Lars-Anders Baer, & Yu, 2020). The government has introduced several initiatives and programs aimed at narrowing the economic disparities between Indigenous and non-Indigenous people in Canada and promoting economic reconciliation.Note  According to the National Aboriginal Economic Development Board 2016 report, closing the gap in opportunities for Indigenous communities across Canada would have added $27.7 billion to the gross domestic product in 2015.

Various features of the Indigenous economy, including state of infrastructure and lack of access to capital in addition to historical and long-lasting structural inequalities, have been identified as key barriers responsible for its lagged development (Buckland, Mckay, & Reimer, 2016; Buckland, 2017; and Collin, 2011). Another important constraint for Indigenous-owned business performance is the geographic location because it determines the degree of connectivity with markets. In fact, from a business perspective, being located near metropolitan areas and close to services and infrastructures may offer considerable economic benefits, compared with rural and remote areas (Agarwal, Rahman, & Errington, 2009; Martin, McHugh, & Johnson, 1993). For instance, Haaris & Alessandro (2019) find that profits, revenues and the count of businesses per resident all tend to be considerably lower for businesses located in Indigenous census subdivisions (CSDs), typically in rural low density or remote areas, relative to businesses in non-Indigenous CSDs with similar population sizes.Note  Further, the Canadian Council for Aboriginal Business and Global Affairs Canada (2023) documented that Indigenous-owned exporting small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are less likely to export, compared with the Canadian average, by 42% for firms located in Indigenous communities and by 65% in remote regions.

Unfortunately, due to a lack of appropriate data, attempts by researchers to measure and track the performance of businesses managed by Indigenous Peoples remain scarce (Chernoff & Cheung, 2023). Drawing on the most recent data sources and research, Chernoff & Cheung (2023) find that economic outcomes have improved for Indigenous Peoples in recent decades. Moreover, their study indicates that institutional settings, such as property rights restrictions and gaps in infrastructures and financing, continue to hinder economic progress. While meaningful for the related literature, Chernoff & Cheung’s (2023) work remains essentially descriptive and does not allow for the measurement of the performance gap between businesses based on Indigenous majority owned identity.   

Using recent data on business ownership characteristics including Indigenous identity, the purpose of this article is to quantify the economic performance gaps between Indigenous-owned businesses and non-Indigenous-owned ones over recent decades in Canada. In other words, this paper attempts to determine the performance gap between Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses. A supplementary analysis also documents the potential factors driving the findings.

This paper contributes to the literature in several ways. First, it provides an estimate of the economic disparities between Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses ones based on longitudinal data. In addition to usual economic performance indicators such as labour productivity and revenue, a survival analysis is conducted to shed light on the survival likelihood over the sample period. Second, the contribution of this paper is methodological. It makes use of multiple imputation (MI) technique to minimize errors when filling in the missing information and goes beyond a descriptive analysis, as done in prior studies. Instead, the findings are obtained from an econometric model and survival analysis. Finally, a discussion is presented on the potential factors and mechanisms that drive the results. This discussion helps provide a comprehensive picture of drivers or barriers to economic performance among Indigenous-owned businesses.

To investigate the research question, this study uses the Canadian Employer–Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), covering the period from 2005 to 2018 to track business survival likelihood, productivity, and revenue. It incorporates a new indicator developed by Gueye, Lafrance-Cooke, and Oyarzun (2022) that identifies and classifies Indigenous-owned businesses as either First Nations, Inuit, Métis or other Indigenous Peoples. With the CEEDD, it is also possible to identify other ownership characteristics, such as top owners’ sex and age.

The empirical analysis consists of two components: descriptive statistics and econometric modelling. The latter component includes Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, and a panel data regression model. The first two models are used to evaluate business survival, while the third examines both business revenues and labour productivity, conditional on the Indigenous identity of the majority group ownership.

The remainder of the paper proceeds as follows. Section 2 describes data and methodology pertaining this study. Sections 3 and 4 outline the results and discusses the possible factors explaining them. Section 5 concludes the paper.

2 Data and methodology

2.1 Data

This study uses data from Statistics Canada’s Canadian Employer–Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD) from 2005 to 2018. The CEEDD is a set of linkable files maintained by Statistics Canada to provide linkage between employees and employers in the Canadian labour market. This dataset is based on processed administrative data sources from Statistics Canada, the Canada Revenue Agency, Employment and Social Development Canada and Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada. The CEEDD is created from the component files, which allow researchers to perform analysis at the individual, family, job and firm level. The primary component file used in this study is the National Accounts Longitudinal Microdata File (NALMF), a comprehensive longitudinal database of Canadian enterprises derived from the statements of remuneration paid (T4), the Payroll Account Deductions (PD7), and the Corporate Income Tax Return (T2).

Identifying Indigenous-owned businesses

The data on business owners are used to determine Indigenous ownership of businesses after a novel linkage which combines the CEEDD, the Census of Population (2001, 2006, 2016) and the National Household Survey (2011). Business owners are identified by linking the individual-level tax file (T1PMF) with the ownership share of both the incorporated (T2S50) and unincorporated (T1FDBD) businesses.Note  The linkage provides demographic characteristics of the business owners, including their Indigenous identity and the identity of the majority ownership. Following Gueye, Lafrance-Cooke and Oyarzun (2022), this paper considers a business to be Indigenous owned if more than 50% of the shares are held by individuals who identify as either First Nations, Métis, Inuit or “other Indigenous.” The latter group consists of businesses owned by individuals with multiple Indigenous identities, or businesses that are jointly owned by individuals who identify with one of the three Indigenous groups, but no one group controls more than 50% of the shares. Finally, this paper does not distinguish Indigenous Peoples on reserve from those living off reserve.

Firm-level data and ownership shares by Indigenous identity

The NALMF firm-level data consists of information at the enterprise statistical unit for a range of variables including firm size, as measured by the number of employees, as well as revenues, industry, province, firm age and labour productivity—as measured by value added divided by employment—among others. The dataset only includes businesses with at least one employee and makes it possible to follow unincorporated and incorporated enterprises and their economic outputs and share of ownership by Indigenous identity over the sample period from 2005 to 2018. The primary approach of the analysis builds on the longitudinal nature of the dataset to understand the trends in economic outcomes within a set of enterprises owned by Indigenous Peoples. These outcomes include revenue, labour productivity and survival rate. Trends by sociodemographic and economic characteristics of the enterprise are also examined. For instance, outcomes of interest are compared, controlling for enterprise size, business age, North American Industry Classification System industry, profile of business owners and geographic location (urban vs. rural), among others.

The main dataset provides different indicators for each group of Indigenous-owned businesses. Furthermore, MI technique is used to fill incomplete Indigenous identity data.Note  MI method has been developed to address empirical concerns driven by incomplete data. Based on an iterative procedure (instead of filling in a single value), the MI technique uses the distribution of the observed data to estimate multiple values that reflect the uncertainty about the true value (see Young, 2011 for more details). Each imputed value includes a random component with a magnitude that reflects the extent to which other variables in the imputation model cannot predict its true values (Young & Johnson, 2011) this paper uses 30 iterations at random to perform the MI procedure.Note  The resulting dataset with imputed values is used to perform both the descriptive statistics and the econometric analysis of this paper.

Table 1
Definitions and measurements of key variables Table summary
This table displays the results of Definitions and measurements of key variables. The information is grouped by Variables (appearing as row headers), calculated using (appearing as column headers).
Variables Definitions and Measurements
Note: In this paper, rural/urban areas refer to delivery areas to avoid confusion with the Statistics Canada usage of the term’s rural areas and urban areas. The postal code measure has some limitations, as it can treat communities that are very close to urban areas as being rural so it’s hard to differentiate between those that are extremely far away and those that could effectively be in a suburb of a city. However, the main benefit of using delivery rural areas, is that the scale of rural is captured, that is, whether it is local, community or regional.
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005 to 2018.
Indigenous owned A business is Indigenous owned if more than 50% of the shares are held by individuals who identify as either First Nations, Métis, Inuit or other Indigenous.
Business age Number of years the business has been in operation, based on the Business Register.
Business size Firm size based upon employment, measured by T4 slips
Gender of Business For Canadian-controlled Private Corporations (CCPCs) where gender of ownership of business can be identified. Business ownership by gender is grouped into:
Ownership (1) Majority men-owned: 51%+ shares owned by men.
(2) Majority women-owned: 51%+ shares owned by women.
(3) Equally owned: 50%-50% shares equally owned between men and women; and
(4) Under-defined: The dominance of business holdings cannot be determined due to insufficient information in Schedule 50.
(5) Missing definition: CCPCs with mis-filed T2 Schedule 50, or non-CCPCs (e.g., foreign controlled or publicly traded) where ownership information is unavailable in T2 Schedule 50.
Rural/Urban area Rural area is a dummy equal to 1 if for a given six-digits postal code the second digit is “0” and 0 otherwise. Urban area corresponds to a value of zero of the dummy Rural area.[1]
Revenue Non-farm total revenue. The sum of all revenue amounts reported (items 8000 to 8250). Information is collected from T2 schedule 125- income statement information.
Survival rate Survival rate is the ratio of the difference between number of active businesses and exits over the total for a given group, in a specific year.
Debt-asset-ratio Ratio of total liabilities over total assets: Total liabilities / Total assets
Labor productivity (Payroll + Net income or loss after tax + Gross profits) / Employment, deflated by industry specific price deflators.
Capital Capital corresponds to the total assets, as a proxy of capital input factor in business production.

2.2 Methodology

The methodology of this paper primarily relies on descriptive analysis to examine the economic performance of businesses by the Indigenous identity of the majority group ownership. The key variables used to assess the performance are (i) revenue, (ii) labour productivity and (iii) survival rate on the sample period. Following Couture and Houle (2020), survival rate is constructed using information from active enterprises at the beginning of the sample period (refers to the 2005 cohort hereafter) and the number of T4 slips submitted each year. A business is alive if it is found in both the current year, T, and in the following year, T+1. If the business does not exist in T+1, it is deemed to be an exit in T.Note  Survival time is then obtained as the number of years alive by a given enterprise, starting from its first date of occurrence in the sample to the year when there is missing information on the number of T4 slips submitted. Furthermore, the descriptive analysis explores the potential drivers of economic performance by characterizing the social and demographic profiles of the Indigenous-owned businesses and business characteristics, including enterprise size and industry. It is acknowledged that there are outliers in the sample, which might prevent a robust analysis. To cope with that possibility, the sample is restricted to businesses with a non-negative revenue outside of the 99th and 100th percentiles of the sample revenue distribution. This restriction does not exclude many Indigenous-owned businesses.

In addition to descriptive statistics, econometric analysis using MI technique applied to the pooled ordinary least squares (OLS) model to examine the relationship between business performance and Indigenous identity of ownership. Using the imputed data obtained from 30 rounds of iterations, this paper estimates the following equation (1) :

Log( y it ) =  a 1 Id_Ownershi p it + a 2 Business_ag e it + a 3 Log( Business_siz e it1 )+ a 4 Log( Deb_asset_rati o it )+ a 5 Log( Capita l it )+rura l i +provinc e i +industr y i + (1) yea r t + ε it MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGceaqabeaaqaaaaa aaaaWdbiaadYeacaWGVbGaam4za8aadaqadaqaa8qacaWG5bWdamaa BaaaleaapeGaamyAaiaadshaa8aabeaaaOGaayjkaiaawMcaa8qaca qGGaGaeyypa0JaaeiiaiaadggapaWaaSbaaSqaa8qacaaIXaaapaqa baGcpeGaamysaiaadsgacaGGFbGaam4taiaadEhacaWGUbGaamyzai aadkhacaWGZbGaamiAaiaadMgacaWGWbWdamaaBaaaleaapeGaamyA aiaadshaa8aabeaak8qacqGHRaWkcaWGHbWdamaaBaaaleaapeGaaG OmaaWdaeqaaOWdbiaadkeacaWG1bGaam4CaiaadMgacaWGUbGaamyz aiaadohacaWGZbGaai4xaiaadggacaWGNbGaamyza8aadaWgaaWcba WdbiaadMgacaWG0baapaqabaGcpeGaey4kaSIaamyya8aadaWgaaWc baWdbiaaiodaa8aabeaak8qacaWGmbGaam4BaiaadEgapaWaaeWaae aapeGaamOqaiaadwhacaWGZbGaamyAaiaad6gacaWGLbGaam4Caiaa dohacaGGFbGaam4CaiaadMgacaWG6bGaamyza8aadaWgaaWcbaWdbi aadMgacaWG0bGaeyOeI0IaaGymaaWdaeqaaaGccaGLOaGaayzkaaWd biabgUcaRaqaaiaadggapaWaaSbaaSqaa8qacaaI0aaapaqabaGcpe Gaamitaiaad+gacaWGNbWdamaabmaabaWdbiaadseacaWGLbGaamOy aiaac+facaWGHbGaam4CaiaadohacaWGLbGaamiDaiaac+facaWGYb GaamyyaiaadshacaWGPbGaam4Ba8aadaWgaaWcbaWdbiaadMgacaWG 0baapaqabaaakiaawIcacaGLPaaapeGaey4kaSIaamyya8aadaWgaa WcbaWdbiaaiwdaa8aabeaak8qacaWGmbGaam4BaiaadEgapaWaaeWa aeaapeGaam4qaiaadggacaWGWbGaamyAaiaadshacaWGHbGaamiBa8 aadaWgaaWcbaWdbiaadMgacaWG0baapaqabaaakiaawIcacaGLPaaa peGaey4kaSIaamOCaiaadwhacaWGYbGaamyyaiaadYgapaWaaSbaaS qaa8qacaWGPbaapaqabaGcpeGaey4kaSIaamiCaiaadkhacaWGVbGa amODaiaadMgacaWGUbGaam4yaiaadwgapaWaaSbaaSqaa8qacaWGPb aapaqabaGcpeGaey4kaSIaamyAaiaad6gacaWGKbGaamyDaiaadoha caWG0bGaamOCaiaadMhapaWaaSbaaSqaa8qacaWGPbaapaqabaGcpe Gaey4kaScajaaybaGccaWG5bGaamyzaiaadggacaWGYbWdamaaBaaa leaapeGaamiDaaWdaeqaaOWdbiabgUcaRGGaaiab=v7aL9aadaWgaa WcbaWdbiaadMgacaWG0baapaqabaaaaaa@C51B@

Where y it MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaqcaakeaaaaaa aaa8qacaWG5bGcpaWaaSbaaKqaGgaapeGaamyAaiaadshaa8aabeaa aaa@3AA7@ denotes a given economic performance indicator for enterprise i in year t. This includes revenue and labour productivity. Id_Ownershi p it MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaaeaaaaaaaaa8 qacaWGjbGaamizaiaac+facaWGpbGaam4Daiaad6gacaWGLbGaamOC aiaadohacaWGObGaamyAaiaadchapaWaaSbaaSqaa8qacaWGPbGaam iDaaWdaeqaaaaa@435D@  is a categorical variable of subgroups of Indigenous-owned businesses (First Nations, Métis, Inuit and other Indigenous) with the non-Indigenous-owned group as a reference category. Business_ag e it ,Business_siz e it1 ,Deb_asset_rati o it MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaaeaaaaaaaaa8 qacaWGcbGaamyDaiaadohacaWGPbGaamOBaiaadwgacaWGZbGaam4C aiaac+facaWGHbGaam4zaiaadwgapaWaaSbaaSqaa8qacaWGPbGaam iDaaWdaeqaaOGaaiila8qacaWGcbGaamyDaiaadohacaWGPbGaamOB aiaadwgacaWGZbGaam4Caiaac+facaWGZbGaamyAaiaadQhacaWGLb WdamaaBaaaleaapeGaamyAaiaadshacqGHsislcaaIXaaapaqabaGc caGGSaWdbiaadseacaWGLbGaamOyaiaac+facaWGHbGaam4Caiaado hacaWGLbGaamiDaiaac+facaWGYbGaamyyaiaadshacaWGPbGaam4B a8aadaWgaaWcbaWdbiaadMgacaWG0baapaqabaaaaa@651F@ and Capita l it MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaaeaaaaaaaaa8 qacaWGdbGaamyyaiaadchacaWGPbGaamiDaiaadggacaWGSbWdamaa BaaaleaapeGaamyAaiaadshaa8aabeaaaaa@3EB8@  represent business age, number of employees, debt asset ratio and capital,Note  respectively. Controlling for business size in the regression may lead to bias estimates because revenue is an indicator of business size. To avoid the reverse causality concern, business size from the previous period was introduced into the set of regressor variables. Finally, rural, province, industry and year fixed effects are included. Logarithm terms of variables are employed.

The coefficient of interest is a 1 MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaaeaaaaaaaaa8 qacaWGHbWdamaaBaaaleaapeGaaGymaaWdaeqaaaaa@3811@ , which corresponds to the percentage change in performance of a given type of Indigenous-owned business relative to their non-Indigenous-owned counterparts. In a supplementary analysis, equation (1) is estimated using restricted sample based on the geographic location, urban and rural areas. The latter analysis is an attempt to assess the role of geography, especially the so-called “remoteness issues,” in the size of the performance gap between Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses.

As a robustness check exercise, the MI pooled OLS model is estimated with the simple OLS model (without imputed data). Both results are reported.

To evaluate the business survival rate, a non-parametric Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival analysis and Cox proportional hazard model are employed. The KM survival analysis examines the survival distribution among businesses by Indigenous identity. For each time interval, survival probability of the 2005 cohort (the cohort observed the longest in the sample period) is calculated as the fraction of businesses that survived.

S t =( Number of Businesses at the startNumber of Businesses exited )/(2) Number of Business at the start MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGceaGabeaajaayqa aaaaaaaaWdbiaadofak8aadaWgaaqcbawaa8qacaWG0baapaqabaqc aa2dbiabg2da9OWdamaabmaajaaybaWdbiaad6eacaWG1bGaamyBai aadkgacaWGLbGaamOCaiaabccacaWGVbGaamOzaiaabccacaWGcbGa amyDaiaadohacaWGPbGaamOBaiaadwgacaWGZbGaam4Caiaadwgaca WGZbGaaeiiaiaadggacaWG0bGaaeiiaiaadshacaWGObGaamyzaiaa bccacaWGZbGaamiDaiaadggacaWGYbGaamiDaiabgkHiTiaad6eaca WG1bGaamyBaiaadkgacaWGLbGaamOCaiaabccacaWGVbGaamOzaiaa bccacaWGcbGaamyDaiaadohacaWGPbGaamOBaiaadwgacaWGZbGaam 4CaiaadwgacaWGZbGaaeiiaiaadwgacaWG4bGaamyAaiaadshacaWG LbGaamizaaWdaiaawIcacaGLPaaapeGaai4laiaaysW7caaMe8UaaG jbVlaaysW7caaMe8UaaGjbVlaaysW7caGGOaGaaGOmaiaacMcaaOqa eK3=jaaycaGGGcGaaiiOaiaacckacaGGGcGaaiiOaiaad6eacaWG1b GaamyBaiaadkgacaWGLbGaamOCaiaabccacaWGVbGaamOzaiaabcca caWGcbGaamyDaiaadohacaWGPbGaamOBaiaadwgacaWGZbGaam4Cai aabccacaWGHbGaamiDaiaabccacaWG0bGaamiAaiaadwgacaqGGaGa am4CaiaadshacaWGHbGaamOCaiaadshaaaaa@A42D@

The survival distribution among subgroups of Indigenous-owned businesses is tested using Log-Rank test or stratified Log-Rank test for statistical differences.

Cox proportional hazards regression analysis examines the hazard of business exit, accounting for characteristics of businesses and their owners.

The Cox proportional hazards model can be expressed as

h( t )= h o ( t )exp(β X i ), MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaaeaaaaaaaaa8 qacaWGObWdamaabmaabaWdbiaadshaa8aacaGLOaGaayzkaaWdbiab g2da9iaadIgapaWaaSbaaSqaa8qacaWGVbaapaqabaGcdaqadaqaa8 qacaWG0baapaGaayjkaiaawMcaa8qacaWGLbGaamiEaiaadchapaGa aiika8qacqaHYoGycaWGybWdamaaBaaaleaapeGaamyAaaWdaeqaaO Gaaiyka8qacaGGSaaaaa@48A3@

where h( t ) MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaaeaaaaaaaaa8 qacaWGObWdamaabmaabaWdbiaadshaa8aacaGLOaGaayzkaaaaaa@39B3@  denotes the risk of business exit as the risks/hazard at time t and  h o ( t ) MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaaeaaaaaaaaa8 qacaWGObWdamaaBaaaleaapeGaam4BaaWdaeqaaOWaaeWaaeaapeGa amiDaaWdaiaawIcacaGLPaaaaaa@3AFC@ denotes the baseline hazard rate. X i MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaaeaaaaaaaaa8 qacaWGybWdamaaBaaaleaapeGaamyAaaWdaeqaaaaa@383B@  denotes the observable characteristics of business i MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaqcaakeaaaaaa aaa8qacaWGPbaaaa@37AD@  and its ownership. β MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaaeaaaaaaaaa8 qacqaHYoGyaaa@37B7@  denotes the coefficient matrix of X i MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaaeaaaaaaaaa8 qacaWGybWdamaaBaaaleaapeGaamyAaaWdaeqaaaaa@383B@ . These characteristics include industry sector, geographic region, business age, business size proxies by number of employees, debt-asset ratio, labour productivity, business ownership by gender and Indigenous identity of ownership. In addition, the model controls for year fixed effect.

From the Cox model, the hazard ratio can be rewritten as

h( t )/ h o t = exp (β X i ) (3) MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpKea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaqbaeqabeGaaa qaaabaaaaaaaaapeGaamiAa8aadaqadaqaa8qacaWG0baapaGaayjk aiaawMcaa8qacaGGVaGaamiAa8aadaWgaaWcbaWdbiaad+gaa8aabe aak8qacaWG0bGaaeiiaiabg2da9iaabccacaWGLbGaamiEaiaadcha caqGGaWdaiaacIcapeGaeqOSdiMaamiwa8aadaWgaaWcbaWdbiaadM gaa8aabeaakiaacMcaaeaacaGGOaGaaG4maiaacMcaaaaaaa@4B02@

Three assumptions are imposed: 1) survival time is independent across businesses, 2) the relationship between control variables and the hazard is multiplicative, as defined by equation (3) and 3) there is a constant hazard ratio over time. Weibull distribution of the survival function is assumed. The proportional hazard assumption is tested.

3 Results

3.1 Descriptive analysis

1. First Nations people and Métis represent nearly identical shares of Indigenous-owned businesses.

The main sample consists of an average of 1,200,867 enterprises with employees from 2005 to 2018, with 16,431 Indigenous-owned businesses. This corresponds to 1.36% of the total sample, as shown in Table 2. Albeit slightly lower, this average number of Indigenous-owned businesses is in line with published data of private enterprises by Indigenous identity of ownership (Statistics Canada, Table: 33-10-0631-01). Table 2 shows that First Nations people and Métis represented the largest group of Indigenous-owned enterprises, with a yearly average of 7,652 and 7,616 enterprises, respectively. These proportions are roughly 20 times higher than the number of Inuit-owned businesses and roughly 10 times higher than the number of other Indigenous-owned businesses.

Table 2
Sample composition, 2005 to 2018 Table summary
This table displays the results of Sample composition, 2005 to 2018. The information is grouped by Identity of ownership (appearing as row headers), , calculated using (appearing as column headers).
Identity of ownership Average number of enterprises Percentage
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005 to 2018.
All Indigenous 16,431 1.36
First Nations 7,652 0.63
Metis 7,616 0.63
Inuit 316 0.02
Other Indigenous 847 0.07
Non-Indigenous 1,184,436 98.63
Total 1,200,867 100.00

2. The number of Indigenous-owned businesses grew by 37% from 2005 to 2018, two percentage points lower than the growth rate of non-Indigenous-owned businesses.

Chart 1 shows the percentage change, relative to 2005, of the number of enterprises by Indigenous identity of ownership over time. It reveals that, regardless of the identity of ownership, these enterprises have observed an upward trend with a similar rate for Indigenous-owned businesses. The number of Indigenous-owned businesses has grown by 37% from 2005 to 2018, two percentage points lower than the growth rate of non-Indigenous-owned businesses. Except for Inuit-owned businesses that experienced a slight decrease in number of enterprises around 2012, the other group entry and exit dynamics of Indigenous-owned businesses remained positive (i.e., relatively more entries than exits) on the market until 2017, when the number declined. Overall, the growth rate of Indigenous-owned businesses remained low, compared with non-Indigenous-owned ones, during the sample period.

Chart 1 start

Chart 1 Percentage change of number of enterprises by identity of the ownership relative to 2005

Data table for Chart 1
Data table for Chart 1 Table summary
This table displays the results of . The information is grouped by Year (appearing as row headers), First Nations, All Indigenous, Inuit , Metis , Other Indigenous and Non-Indigenous, calculated using percentage change (%) relative to 2005 units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Year First Nations Metis Inuit Other Indigenous All Indigenous Non-Indigenous
percentage change (%) relative to 2005
Notes: The figure describes the percentage change relative to 2005 of number of enterprises by identity of the ownership over the period 2005 to 2018. As shown on the graph, the fraction of businesses owned by First Nations people and Métis has followed the same pattern.
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005 to 2018.
2005 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2006 6.40 7.60 5.75 3.44 6.80 5.29
2007 13.22 14.20 6.51 14.10 13.58 10.68
2008 17.76 18.32 11.88 24.75 18.23 15.39
2009 23.05 23.76 13.03 30.49 23.53 19.46
2010 26.33 27.74 19.92 38.36 27.43 23.67
2011 30.74 31.24 24.14 40.16 31.29 27.73
2012 34.62 35.51 21.46 42.46 35.14 30.90
2013 36.83 37.73 23.75 47.38 37.48 33.26
2014 37.97 39.76 27.97 52.46 39.29 35.20
2015 40.39 41.43 34.10 54.92 41.44 38.18
2016 39.45 41.75 35.25 53.77 41.11 39.99
2017 37.45 41.98 32.95 54.75 40.28 41.13
2018 32.81 39.67 25.67 51.48 36.73 39.36

Chart 1 end

3. Nearly one in five Indigenous-owned businesses operate in construction.

Table 3 shows the sectors that Indigenous Peoples are more likely to own a business in and describes the distribution of average number and percentage of enterprises by economic sectors and Indigenous identity of majority group ownership. Of the total sample, a relatively significant proportion of Indigenous-owned businesses were likely to operate in the construction (18.89%) and professional, scientific and technical services (15.49%) sectors. The order is reversed for non-Indigenous-owned businesses regarding the professional, scientific and technical services (18.32%) and construction (13.38%) sectors. According to Table 3, almost one-third (33%) of both Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses were concentrated in the construction and professional, scientific and technical sectors.

Table 3
Average number and percentage of Indigenous-owned enterprises by industry, 2005 to 2018 Table summary
This table displays the results of Average number and percentage of Indigenous-owned enterprises by industry, 2005 to 2018. The information is grouped by Industry (appearing as row headers), Average number, Métis, First nations, Non-Indigenous, All Indigenous and Percent, calculated using units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Industry First nations Métis All Indigenous Non-Indigenous
average number percent average number percent average number percent average number percent
Note x

suppressed to meet the confidentiality requirements of the Statistics Act

Notes: This table is obtained from a sample in which only non-missing information on business industry is considered. Inuit and other indigenous owned businesses are dropped to meet confidentiality rules. “X” denotes suppressed values, i.e. , numbers below 10. Finally, numbers reported in this table are rounded up to the integer.
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005 to 2018.
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 459 8.56 449 7.84 956 7.99 46,410 5.03
Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 167 3.11 160 2.79 346 2.89 9,878 1.07
Utilities x suppressed to meet the confidentiality requirements of the Statistics Act x suppressed to meet the confidentiality requirements of the Statistics Act 60 1.04 x suppressed to meet the confidentiality requirements of the Statistics Act 0.06 376 0.04
Construction 1,017 18.98 1,079 18.85 2,260 18.89 127,993 13.38
Manufacturing 194 3.62 180 3.14 406 3.39 38,144 4.13
Wholesale trade 172 3.21 198 3.45 404 3.37 44,834 4.86
Retail trade 416 7.76 431 7.53 924 7.72 79,314 8.6
Transportation and warehousing 408 7.61 423 7.39 887 7.41 62,128 6.74
Information and cultural industries 92 1.71 54 0.94 158 1.32 13,725 1.48
Finance and insurance 177 3.3 186 3.25 396 3.31 48,676 5.28
Real estate and rental and leasing x suppressed to meet the confidentiality requirements of the Statistics Act x suppressed to meet the confidentiality requirements of the Statistics Act 278 4.85 x suppressed to meet the confidentiality requirements of the Statistics Act 4.47 51,941 5.63
Professional, scientific, and technical services 820 15.3 866 15.13 1,853 15.49 168,908 18.32
Management of companies and enterprises 103 1.92 102 1.78 220 1.83 20,370 2.21
Administrative and support, waste management and remediation services 257 4.79 265 4.63 562 4.69 41,447 4.49
Educational services 50 0.93 44 0.76 105 0.87 9,552 1.03
Health care and social assistance 213 3.97 269 4.7 522 4.36 56,335 6.11
Arts, entertainment and recreation 85 1.58 71 1.24 166 1.38 11,380 1.23
Accommodation and food services 209 3.9 203 3.54 455 3.8 40,671 4.41
Other services (except public administration) 346 6.45 405 7.07 799 6.67 49,579 5.37

Industry is an important determinant of business performance, especially for those with different ownership characteristics. For instance, examining the survival and performance of start-ups by majority gender of ownership, Couture and Houle (2020) find different results depending on whether the industry is taken into account. Women-owned start-ups had an overall lower survival rate and lower labour productivity than equally owned and men-owned start-ups. However, when industry was controlled for, women-owned start-ups were more productive and more likely to survive in industries with a higher concentration of women-owned start-ups, relative to men-owned start-ups in the same industries. Similarly, to determine the economic performance of Indigenous-owned businesses relative to non-Indigenous-owned ones, the empirical analysis below controls for the industry in which the business operates.

4. Nearly 30% of Indigenous-owned businesses, on average, are owned by people aged 45 to 54, while more than two-thirds (73%) are majority-owned by men.

In addition to the racial profile of the business owner, other demographic factors such as gender and age have been documented in the literature as key determinants of performance (Fairlie & Robb, 2009; Isaga, 2015; Couture & Houle, 2020). Table 4 reports the distribution of total observations by age and sex of the top owner among the different Indigenous-owned businesses.Note  It reveals that nearly one-third of businesses (30%), regardless of Indigenous identity, are owned by individuals aged 45 to 54 years. Moreover, Table 4 indicates that, in general, a higher concentration of Indigenous-owned businesses is owned by individuals aged younger than 45 (37.6%), compared with non-Indigenous-owned businesses (32.0%). Métis-owned businesses are more likely to be owned by younger individuals, accounting for about 14.75% of the total owners within this group, while non-Indigenous owners have the highest share of older owners at 16%.

Regarding the sex of the top owner, most businesses are owned in majority by men, by an average of about 73% for Indigenous-owned businesses and 64% for non-Indigenous-owned businesses. Notably, women are better represented among Indigenous-owned businesses (23.5%) than among non-Indigenous-owned businesses (19.8%). Also, Métis businesses were more likely to be owned by men (about 75.74%), while there were relatively more women in First Nations enterprises (about 34.75%). Few Indigenous-owned businesses were equally owned by both men and women. Overall, numbers from Table 4 are consistent with the published data of private enterprises by Indigenous identity of ownership, sex and size (Statistics Canada, Table: 33-10-0631-01).

Table 4
Percentage of enterprises by individual ownership characteristics, 2005 to 2018 Table summary
This table displays the results of Percentage of enterprises by individual ownership characteristics, 2005 to 2018 Inuit, Métis, First nations, Non-Indigenous, Other indigenous and All Indigenous, calculated using percent units of measure (appearing as column headers).
  First nations Métis Inuit Other indigenous All Indigenous Non-Indigenous
percent
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005 to 2018.
Panel (a): Top owner age  
Less than 35 13.28 14.75 11.87 9.88 13.88 10.67
35 to 44 24.43 22.98 25.00 20.62 23.73 21.35
45 to 54 29.75 28.23 27.18 30.79 28.97 28.09
55 to 64 21.13 22.37 22.18 25.98 21.84 23.86
65 and older 11.38 11.65 13.75 12.71 11.55 16.00
Panel (b): Top owner sex  
Men-owned 72.07 75.74 64.24 61.03 73.03 64.29
Women-owned 34.75 21.83 31.01 21.25 23.48 19.76
Equally owned 2.87 2.41 4.74 17.70 3.44 15.94

5. A large percentage (about 90%) of Indigenous-owned businesses is small businesses (less than 10 employees), with roughly one in three (31.4%) located in rural areas.

Chart 2 depicts the distribution of the percentage of enterprises by identity of ownership, enterprise size and geographic location over the sample period of 2005 to 2018. It shows that about 9 out of 10 of both types of businesses is small, i.e., with less than 10 employees. Additionally, the difference in average number of employees between Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses is statistically significant.Note  The Canadian economy relies heavily on small businesses. They create jobs, improve local communities, provide over a third of Canada’s gross domestic product, fuel innovation and inspire competitiveness. However, compared with their larger counterparts, smaller businesses were more likely to have lower revenues in 2021 (Tam, 2022). In addition, previous studies have found small businesses to be more likely to exit the market (Grekou and Liu, 2018).

Geographically, when comparing business distribution by urban and rural areas, Chart 2 suggests that, except for Inuit-owned businesses for which the share is nearly identical between urban and rural areas, distribution for the remaining businesses shows a higher percentage in urban areas than in rural areas. However, about one in three (31.4%) Indigenous-owned businesses were in rural areas, compared with 15.42% of non-Indigenous-owned businesses. In other words, Indigenous-owned businesses are more than twice as likely to be in rural areas than non-Indigenous-owned ones. Compared with a broad picture of Canada, the business distribution by geographic location depicted in Chart 2 is in line with findings from Ha, Wong, & Khodja (2023): in 2020, 15.5% of small businesses in Canada were in rural and small-town areas.

Geography can play an important role in business economic participation and development. For instance, urban areas allow businesses to access a large workforce pool, as well as benefiting from better infrastructures (both physical and digital), compared with rural areas. If remote businesses have lower installation costs (for example, the price of real estate), they may support additional charges to access remote markets, which may limit their economic activity and expansion (Leach, Lars-Anders Baer, & Yu, 2020).

Chart 2 start

Chart 2 Percentage of enterprises by identity of ownership, enterprise size and geographic location, 2005 to 2018

Data table for Chart 2
Data table for Chart 2 Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 2 Enterprise size, Urban, Rural, 10 to 50 employees, 1 to 9 employees, Geographic location and More than 50 employees, calculated using percent units of measure (appearing as column headers).
  Enterprise size Geographic location
1 to 9 employees 10 to 50 employees More than 50 employees Urban Rural
percent
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005 to 2018.
First Nations 90.56 8.65 0.79 67.53 32.47
Metis 91.71 7.62 0.67 70.00 30.00
Inuit 84.79 13.57 1.64 47.95 52.05
Other Indigenous 87.11 11.25 1.64 73.15 26.85
All Indigenous 90.80 8.39 0.81 68.60 31.40
Non-Indigenous 91.01 7.97 1.02 84.58 15.42

Chart 2 end

6. Summary statistics: Average value of economic indicators by Indigenous identity of enterprise ownership

The final sample used to perform the subsequent analysis consists of 12,934,887 observations from 2005 to 2018, restricted to businesses with non-negative revenue. To assess the relationship between Indigenous identity of enterprise ownership and its performance, some economic indicators are considered, including revenue, business age, debt asset ratio, labour productivity and number of employees (business size). For econometric analysis, logarithm terms of variables are employed. Table 5 reports the average values of these variables by Indigenous identity of businesses. It also shows the p-values to check whether the values obtained for all Indigenous and non-Indigenous groups are statistically significantly different. Average values of economic indicators reported in Table 4 are statistically significantly different between all Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses.

 On average, Indigenous-owned businesses have a lower annual revenue of $640,000, compared with $751,000 for non-Indigenous-owned businesses. Similarly, for labour productivity, the findings indicate that Indigenous-owned businesses were less productive than their non-Indigenous-owned counterparts. Descriptive statistics also suggest that Indigenous-owned businesses were smaller, with an average of 6.5 employees per enterprise, compared with 7.2 employees in non-Indigenous-owned businesses. Regarding debt asset ratio, both types of businesses had, on average, total liabilities of more than half the total assets, suggesting that they were indebted. However, the debt was lower for non-Indigenous-owned businesses (a ratio of 0.5) than that of Indigenous-owned ones (ratio of 0.6), with a statistically significant difference. There was also a statistically significant difference for both types of businesses regarding geographic (urban or rural) location. Finally, there is no statistically significant difference between Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses in terms of business age, with an average of 10 years.

Table 5
Average values of economic indicators by identity ownership of enterprises, 2005 to 2018 Table summary
This table displays the results of Average values of economic indicators by identity ownership of enterprises, 2005 to 2018
  First Nations Métis Inuit Other Indigenous All Indigenous Non-Indigenous P-values
(All Indigenous/Non-Indigenous)
Note ...

not applicable

Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005 to 2018.
Total revenue (103) 650 584 894 947 640 751 0
Debt asset ratio 0.67 0.57 0.66 0.59 0.62 0.55 0.001
Labor productivity (106) 2.56 3.06 2.83 2.91 2.82 3.24 0
Number of employees 6.58 6.18 9.97 8.57 6.59 7.2 0
Business age 10.11 10.27 10.74 10.62 10.23 10.93 0.3112
Rural area 0.32 0.3 0.51 0.26 0.31 0.15 0
Capital (103) 482 487 623 660 497 647 0
  number
Total observations 77,390 79,810 3,525 9,582 170,307 12,800,000 ... not applicable

7. Indigenous-owned businesses have grown, on average, at a relatively faster rate in both revenue and labour productivity than non-Indigenous-owned ones.

Following the related literature (Grekou & Watt, 2021; Couture & Houle, 2020), two indicators are employed to evaluate performance: revenue and labour productivity. Chart 3 and Chart 4 compare the trends of revenue and labour productivity in logarithm terms by Indigenous identity of businesses. While the revenues have slightly fluctuated over time following the economic business cycles, they exhibited an upward trend, on average, for both types of businesses, as shown in Chart 3. However, compared with non-Indigenous-owned businesses, the trend of revenue for Indigenous-owned businesses was lower by 0.2 in logarithm terms. Put differently, the revenue of non-Indigenous-owned businesses was, on average, 1.2 times higher than Indigenous-owned businesses. Among subgroups, the patterns of revenue were similar for First Nations and Métis owned businesses, and also for Inuit and other Indigenous ones. Although they have followed similar patterns, the revenues of Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses rose at different rates. Indigenous-owned business revenues rose by an average of 1.4%, 10 percentage points higher than for non-Indigenous-owned ones.

Chart 3 start

Chart 3 Trend of enterprises revenues by identity of the ownership, 2005 to 2018

Data table for Chart 3
Data table for Chart 3 Table summary
This table displays the results of . The information is grouped by Year (appearing as row headers), First Nations, All Indigenous, Inuit , Metis , Other Indigenous and Non-Indigenous, calculated using log (revenue) units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Year First Nations Metis Inuit Other Indigenous All Indigenous Non-Indigenous
log (revenue)
Note: This figure depicts the trend of revenue in logarithm terms over 2005-2018 by identity of the majority-owned group.
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005 to 2018.
2005 13.34 13.23 13.35 13.60 13.30 13.55
2006 13.32 13.27 13.36 13.67 13.32 13.56
2007 13.35 13.28 13.45 13.75 13.35 13.56
2008 13.35 13.31 13.52 13.79 13.37 13.55
2009 13.28 13.19 13.56 13.61 13.27 13.48
2010 13.35 13.25 13.53 13.70 13.33 13.48
2011 13.37 13.28 13.77 13.80 13.37 13.50
2012 13.42 13.35 13.83 13.78 13.42 13.51
2013 13.41 13.33 13.96 13.85 13.42 13.50
2014 13.47 13.27 13.97 13.75 13.41 13.52
2015 13.41 13.27 13.77 13.69 13.38 13.52
2016 13.39 13.22 13.97 13.73 13.36 13.52
2017 13.43 13.28 13.72 13.82 13.40 13.55
2018 13.49 13.34 13.79 14.03 13.47 13.60

Chart 3 end

Like revenues, both types of businesses experienced an upward trend in labour productivity, as shown in Chart 4. Moreover, over the sample period, Chart 4 reveals a constant gap in labour productivity, with a lower level in Indigenous-owned businesses, compared with non-Indigenous-owned ones. In terms of growth rates, Indigenous-owned businesses experienced a faster labour productivity growth rate of 0.27%, compared with 0.23% for non-Indigenous-owned businesses, which suggests that the gap may be closing.

Among the subgroups of Indigenous identity, there is a significant gap between businesses owned by First Nations people and those owned by Métis.

Chart 4 start

Chart 4 Trend of  enterprises labor productivity by identity of the ownership, 2005 to 2018

Data table for Chart 4
Data table for Chart 4 Table summary
This table displays the results of . The information is grouped by Year (appearing as row headers), First Nations, All Indigenous, Inuit , Metis , Other Indigenous and Non-Indigenous, calculated using log (labor productivity) units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Year First Nations Metis Inuit Other Indigenous All Indigenous Non-Indigenous
log (labor productivity)
Note: This figure depicts the trend of labor productivity in logarithm terms over 2005-2018 by identity of the majority-owned group.
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005 to 2018.
2005 14.63 14.61 14.61 14.80 14.33 14.63
2006 14.64 14.60 14.67 14.81 14.34 14.65
2007 14.61 14.61 14.72 14.81 14.31 14.66
2008 14.65 14.66 14.72 14.82 14.36 14.68
2009 14.69 14.87 14.72 14.83 14.79 14.99
2010 14.69 14.90 14.89 14.81 14.80 14.96
2011 14.74 14.93 14.86 14.82 14.84 14.96
2012 14.78 14.94 14.91 14.84 14.86 14.99
2013 14.80 14.98 14.93 14.90 14.90 15.00
2014 14.82 14.99 14.96 15.16 14.93 15.03
2015 14.84 15.02 15.11 14.91 14.94 15.06
2016 14.82 15.00 15.00 14.92 14.92 15.04
2017 14.86 15.05 14.99 14.91 14.96 15.08
2018 14.91 15.08 15.02 14.92 15.00 15.13

Chart 4 end

The data analysis described in this subsection leads to some insights. Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses in this sample share some common characteristics. They are likely to be small and managed in majority by men aged 45 to 54 years. Both types of businesses tend to be similar in business age, i.e., on average, they have spent 10 years on the market. However, substantial differences are found between these two groups of businesses. While they are both more likely to be in urban areas, the concentration is quite different for Indigenous-owned (69%) and non-Indigenous-owned (85%) businesses, respectively. Regarding economic indicators, namely labour productivity and revenue, analysis indicates that there is a statistically significant difference, on average, between Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses. Finally, despite volatility over time and remaining lower, Indigenous-owned businesses have experienced a relatively faster growth in revenue and labour productivity, on average, than non-Indigenous-owned ones. Although the insights derived from the unconditional descriptive analysis are meaningful for the research question, it is not enough to fully understand the performance gap between businesses. A more convenient analysis which accounts for relevant characteristics of enterprises such as industry, province, size (number of employees) and capital will help better achieve the paper objective. Results of the estimation of equation (1) and survival analysis are presented in the following subsection.

3.2 Results of empirical analysis

3.2.1 Kaplan-Meier survival analysis

8. By 2018, nearly 62% of the 2005 cohort of Indigenous-owned businesses survived, 2 percentage points lower than the survival rate of non-Indigenous-owned ones.

On average, how long do Indigenous-owned businesses stay on the market, compared with non-Indigenous-owned ones? To answer this question, this subsection provides KM survival estimates for Indigenous-owned businesses that estimates the survival time on the market for a given enterprise, as shown on Chart 5. The survival rate was measured for the 2005 cohort of businesses, which could be followed over the longest period in the data. The survival rate is computed between two consecutive years and is obtained as the ratio of number of enterprises that stay active in each of the two years over the total initial enterprises observed in the first year. This approach is repeated throughout the 2005-to-2018 period.Note 

Overall, the KM survival estimates depicted in Chart 5 show a decreasing survival rate over the period for both type of enterprises. While businesses have almost followed the same survival rate a year after the starting period, Indigenous-owned businesses have exited the market at a relatively faster rate than non-Indigenous-owned ones. This corresponds to a constant exit rate that is two percentage points higher for Indigenous businesses, compared with non-Indigenous-owned ones. For instance, by 2018, nearly 62% of the 2005 cohort of Indigenous-owned businesses remained on the market against a survival rate of about 64% for non-Indigenous-owned enterprises.

When the results are broken down by Indigenous group, the survival analysis indicates that businesses owned by First Nations people and Métis have followed a similar pattern and have a lower survival likelihood than Inuit-owned and other Indigenous-owned businesses.Note 

Chart 5 start

Chart 5 Kaplan-Meier Survival estimates for 2005 cohort, by majority group of Indigenous identity 
ownership, 2005 to 2018

Data table for Chart 5
Data Table for Chart 5 Table summary
This table displays the results of . The information is grouped by Years since 2005 (appearing as row headers), First Nations, All Indigenous, Inuit , Metis , Other Indigenous and Non-Indigenous, calculated using survival rate units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Years since 2005 First Nations Metis Inuit Other Indigenous All Indigenous Non-Indigenous
survival rate
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005 to 2018.
1 96.04 95.89 93.21 96.39 95.93 96.58
2 91.93 91.41 87.67 92.85 91.09 93.09
3 87.75 87.19 82.89 90.40 87.53 89.70
4 84.52 83.24 82.89 87.02 84.01 86.55
5 81.82 79.93 80.47 84.79 81.05 83.71
6 78.64 77.28 79.20 82.45 78.20 81.07
7 76.47 74.84 77.82 79.31 75.87 78.48
8 74.03 72.15 76.30 77.59 73.37 76.02
9 71.64 70.37 73.99 76.02 71.32 73.70
10 69.14 68.50 71.55 73.25 69.11 71.48
11 66.22 66.51 70.67 71.47 66.73 69.18
12 63.68 64.50 69.69 69.57 64.51 66.98
13 62.14 62.63 64.33 67.53 62.71 64.92

Chart 5 end

To ensure the robustness of the results, KM survival analysis is repeated for the 2006 and 2007 cohorts. Findings are presented in Appendix Chart A.1. For both cohorts, results are consistent and suggest that, on average, the exit rate is about 25%, with a lower survival likelihood for Indigenous-owned businesses compared with non-Indigenous-owned ones.

3.2.2 Cox proportional hazard model

9. Indigenous-owned businesses were, on average, 18.41% more likely to exit compared with non-Indigenous-owned ones.

This subsection assesses survival probability, controlling for Indigenous identity of the business, as well as a set of business characteristics such as industry, geographic region, business age, business size proxied by number of employees, debt-asset ratio and labour productivity. Equation (3) is estimated for Indigenous-owned businesses (panel A of Table 6) and all Indigenous groups (panel B of Table 6), compared with non-Indigenous-owned ones. This analysis is done only for the 2005 cohort. Table 6 presents the results with associated standard errors in brackets. The interpretation is as follows: the greater the hazard rate is, the higher the likelihood of exit.Note 

Table 6
Cox proportional hazard model results, 2005 cohort Table summary
This table displays the results of Cox proportional hazard model results, 2005 cohort Model 2 and Model 1, calculated using standard error, hazard rate and coefficient units of measure (appearing as column headers).
  Model 1 Model 2
coefficient standard error hazard rate standard error
Note ...

not applicable

Note *

significantly different from reference category (p < 0.05)

Return to note&nbsp;* referrer

Note **

significantly different from reference category (p < 0.01)

Return to note&nbsp;** referrer

Note ***

significantly different from reference category (p < 0.001)

Return to note&nbsp;*** referrer

Notes: All regressions control for industry sector, geographic region, business age, business size proxies by number of employees, debt-asset ratio. Robust standard errors are in parentheses.
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005 to 2018.
Panel A: All Indigenous owned  
All Indigenous 0.1689 Table 6  Note *** (0.018) 1.1841 Table 6  Note *** (0.042)
Versus non-Indigenous (reference) ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable
Panel B: Subgroups of Indigenous owned  
First Nations 0.1644 Table 6  Note *** (0.026) 1.1787 Table 6  Note *** (0.031)
Métis 0.2003 Table 6  Note *** (0.026) 1.2218 Table 6  Note *** (0.031)
Inuit 0.1281 (0.1313) 1.1367 (0.149)
Other Indigenous -0.066 (0.084) 0.935 (0.079)
Versus non-Indigenous (reference) ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable

Panel A of Table 6 suggests that on average, Indigenous-owned businesses were 18.41% more likely to exit, compared with non-Indigenous-owned ones.Note  Panel B shows that estimates associated with First Nations (17.87%) and Métis (22.18%) businesses are statistically significant (while this is not the case for the Inuit and other Indigenous subgroups) and indicate that they are more likely than their non-Indigenous counterparts to exit (except for the Inuit and other Indigenous subgroups. Consistent with results displayed in Chart 5, these differences in survival estimates between businesses are in line with findings from the literature. In fact, previous studies document that the individual attributes of entrepreneurs, namely age, sex and marital status, are associated with their likelihood of exit (Chirico et al., 2020; Cho & Orazem, 2020; Harada, 2007). For instance, Chirico et al. (2020) find a higher exit rate among firms managed by individuals from racialized and EE. In addition to the non-economic factors, the importance of antecedents of firm exit such as financial constraints, innovation or performance levels could explain the survival likelihood gap (Ponikvar et al., 2018; Cefis & Marsili, 2019; Chang, 1996). The next subsection examines the economic performance of Indigenous-owned businesses relative to non-Indigenous-owned ones over the sample period.

3.2.3 Pooled ordinary least squares model with multiple imputation

Tables 7 and 8 summarize the results of the multiple imputation (MI) and simple ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation of equation (1) for each outcome of interest, i.e., logarithms of revenue and labour productivity, respectively. Simple OLS refers to OLS without MI technique. Coefficients are interpreted in terms of percentage change. Columns (1) to (4) of each table estimate a version of equation (1) with (MI) and without (simple OLS) applying MI technique, in which the variable Id_Ownershi p it MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaaeaaaaaaaaa8 qacaWGjbGaamizaiaac+facaWGpbGaam4Daiaad6gacaWGLbGaamOC aiaadohacaWGObGaamyAaiaadchapaWaaSbaaSqaa8qacaWGPbGaam iDaaWdaeqaaaaa@435D@  refers to either Indigenous owned (compared with non-Indigenous owned) or First Nations, Métis, Inuit and other Indigenous (compared with non-Indigenous), respectively. All regressions control for logarithm terms of business size (in previous period), debt-asset ratio, capital and business age, and province, industry, rural and year dummies. Finally, results are shown with standard errors in brackets.

10. Indigenous-owned businesses were 7.5% less productive, on average, compared with non-Indigenous-owned ones.

Estimates reported in Table 7 indicate that labour productivity is negatively associated with Indigenous-owned businesses with results consistent for both MI and simple OLS methods. Unsurprisingly, it appears that coefficients are inflated under simple OLS estimation, compared with MI. This is likely because simple OLS estimation uses a single value and less precise technique to fill missing values, instead of an iterative procedure like the MI approach. Column (1) suggests that Indigenous-owned businesses were about 7.5% less productive, on average, compared with their non-Indigenous-owned counterparts. Column (2) reveals that the impact is higher for First Nations- and other Indigenous-owned businesses, and they have experienced an average productivity loss of 15.0% and 3.1%, respectively, compared with non-Indigenous-owned businesses. Overall, econometric results are supportive of the unconditional descriptive statistics presented in Table 5, in which labour productivity among Indigenous-owned businesses was lower than that of their non-Indigenous-owned counterparts. Furthermore, expected signs of coefficients are obtained when controlling for relevant business characteristics such as industry, business size, debt-asset ratio and capital.

Table 7
Main results—Effects on labor productivity Table summary
This table displays the results of Main results—Effects on labor productivity Model 1, Model 4, Ordinary least square, Model 2, Model 3, Multiple imputation and Log (labor productivity), calculated using coefficient and standard error units of measure (appearing as column headers).
  Log (labor productivity)
Multiple imputation Ordinary least square
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4
coefficient standard error coefficient standard error coefficient standard error coefficient standard error
Note ...

not applicable

Note *

significantly different from reference category (p < 0.05)

Return to note&nbsp;* referrer

Note **

significantly different from reference category (p < 0.01)

Return to note&nbsp;** referrer

Note ***

significantly different from reference category (p < 0.001)

Return to note&nbsp;*** referrer

Notes: FE stands for fixed effects. All regressions control for industry sector, geographic region, business age, business size proxies by number of employees, debt-asset ratio. Robust standard errors are in parentheses.
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005-2018.
Ownership Identity  
All Indigenous -0.075 Table 7 Note *** (0.0028) ... not applicable ... not applicable -0.118 Table 7 Note *** (0.004) ... not applicable ... not applicable
First Nations ... not applicable ... not applicable -0.150 Table 7 Note *** (0.004) ... not applicable ... not applicable -0.226 Table 7 Note *** (0.006)
Métis ... not applicable ... not applicable -0.015 Table 7 Note *** (0.004) ... not applicable ... not applicable -0.035 Table 7 Note *** (0.005)
Inuit ... not applicable ... not applicable -0.036 (0.021) ... not applicable ... not applicable -0.164 Table 7 Note *** (0.024)
Other Indigenous -0.031 Table 7 Note *** (0.012) -0.024 (0.017)
Non-Indigenous (reference) ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable
Controls  
Log (Business size (t-1)) -0.189 Table 7 Note *** (0.004) -0.189 Table 7 Note *** (0.004) -0.186 Table 7 Note *** (0.006) -0.186 Table 7 Note *** (0.0006)
Business age 0.004 Table 7 Note *** (0.00004) 0.004 Table 7 Note *** (0.00004) 0.005 Table 7 Note *** (0.00006) -0.005 Table 7 Note *** (0.0006)
Log (Debt asset ratio) 0.006 Table 7 Note *** (0.0006) 0.006 Table 7 Note *** (0.0006) 0.004 Table 7 Note *** (0.0008) 0.004 Table 7 Note *** (0.0008)
Log (Capital) 0.187 Table 7 Note *** (0.0002) 0.187 Table 7 Note *** (0.0002) 0.18 Table 7 Note *** (0.0003) 0.18 Table 7 Note *** (0.0003)
Rural FE YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES
Province FE YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES
Industry FE YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES
Year FE YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES
Number of observations 7,111,541 7,111,541 7,111,541 7,111,541 7,111,541 7,111,541 7,111,541 7,111,541

Labour productivity is an indicator that gives a sense for the effectiveness of labour use. However, there are few studies examining labour productivity by enterprise ownership characteristics. Instead, the related literature evaluated performance in terms of revenues, asset turnover, increase in production and volume of sales (Hamzani & Achmad, 2016; Rola-Rubezen, 2011). Following the latter strand of literature, this analysis examines the change in business revenues conditional on the Indigenous identity of ownership.

11. Indigenous-owned businesses have earned about 2.7% less, on average, compared with non-Indigenous-owned ones

Table 8 suggests that revenues are also negatively correlated with Indigenous identity of ownership and statistically significant. On average, Indigenous-owned businesses earned 2.7% less than non-Indigenous-owned businesses. These results are consistent when considering alternative measures of performance such as net and gross profit margins. Among Indigenous-owned businesses, those owned by Métis experienced the highest impact, i.e. , 5.9% less revenue, followed by other Indigenous with 5.0%, compared with their non-Indigenous counterparts. Compared with labour productivity, the performance gap in terms of revenue between Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses is lower by roughly five percentage points. 

Findings from the related literature led to various conclusions regarding performance of Indigenous-owned businesses. Depending on the outcomes of interest, previous works provide evidence of both weaker and good performance of Indigenous-owned businesses, compared with that of non-Indigenous-owned ones. For instance, looking at the asset turnover, Rola-Rubezen (2011) finds that, in Australia, Indigenous-owned businesses reported making more profit than non-Indigenous ones. Comparing Indigenous ethnic micro, small and medium-sized enterprises to non-Indigenous ones in Indonesia, Hamzani & Achmad (2016) find no significant differences in terms of three indicators of performance: increased production, sales volumes and revenues. In Canada, a recent study by Canadian Council for Aboriginal Business and Global Affairs Canada (2023) find that Indigenous-owned SmaSMEs that export are less likely to do so, compared with the Canadian average.

This paper provides new evidence of lower performance in terms of both labour productivity and revenues for Indigenous-owned businesses in Canada.

Table 8
Main results—Effects on revenue Table summary
This table displays the results of Main results—Effects on revenue Model 1, Model 4, Ordinary least square , Model 2, Model 3, Multiple imputation and Log(revenue), calculated using standard error and coefficient units of measure (appearing as column headers).
  Log(revenue)
Multiple imputation Ordinary least square
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4
coefficient standard error coefficient standard error coefficient standard error coefficient standard error
Note ...

not applicable

Note *

significantly different from reference category (p < 0.05)

Return to note&nbsp;* referrer

Note **

significantly different from reference category (p < 0.01)

Return to note&nbsp;** referrer

Note ***

significantly different from reference category (p < 0.001)

Return to note&nbsp;*** referrer

Notes: FE stands for fixed effects. All regressions control for industry sector, geographic region, business age, business size proxies by number of employees, debt-asset ratio. Robust standard errors are in parentheses.
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005-2018.
Ownership Identity  
All Indigenous -0.027 Table 8  Note *** (0.003) ... not applicable ... not applicable -0.030 Table 8  Note *** (0.004) ... not applicable ... not applicable
First Nations ... not applicable ... not applicable -0.005 (0.004) ... not applicable ... not applicable -0.017 (0.007)
Métis ... not applicable ... not applicable -0.059 Table 8  Note *** (0.004) ... not applicable ... not applicable -0.071 Table 8  Note *** (0.006)
Inuit ... not applicable ... not applicable -0.004 (0.022) ... not applicable ... not applicable -0.092 Table 8  Note *** (0.027)
Other Indigenous ... not applicable ... not applicable 0.050 Table 8  Note *** (0.013) ... not applicable ... not applicable 0.001 (0.019)
Non-Indigenous (reference) ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable
Controls  
Log (Business size (t-1)) 0.837 Table 8  Note *** (0.0005) 0.837 Table 8  Note *** (0.0005) 0.843 Table 8  Note *** (0.0007) 0.843 Table 8  Note *** (0.0007)
Business age -0.001 Table 8  Note *** (0.0005) -0.001 Table 8  Note *** (0.0005) -0.0004 Table 8  Note *** (0.0007) -0.0004 Table 8  Note *** (0.0007)
Log (Debt asset ratio) 0.238 Table 8  Note *** (0.0005) 0.238 Table 8  Note *** (0.0005) -0.24 Table 8  Note *** (0.0007) -0.24 Table 8  Note *** (0.0007)
Log (Capital) 0.286 Table 8  Note *** (0.0002) 0.286 Table 8  Note *** (0.0002) 0.279 Table 8  Note *** (0.0003) 0.279 Table 8  Note *** (0.0003)
Rural FE YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES
Province FE YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES
Industry FE YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES
Year FE YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES
Number of observations 6,788,176 6,788,176 6,788,176 6,788,176 6,788,176 6,788,176 6,788,176 6,788,176

Furthermore, estimates may explain the lower likelihood of survival of Indigenous-owned businesses relative to non-Indigenous-owned ones, as shown by Cox proportional hazard model in the previous subsection. Consistent with descriptive analysis results described in subsection 3.1, one may expect such a gap in economic performance between Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses, as they reveal significant differences in some relevant economic characteristics.

While differences in economic performance observed among firms owned by employment equity groups (EE) and non-EE are well established in the literature (Gueye B., 2023; Bemrose & Lafrance-Cooke, 2022; A. Robb & Fairlie, 2009; Couture & Houle, 2020), little is known concerning the factors driving such performance gaps. To help understand these gaps, results are broken down by the geographic location of the business, i.e., whether in rural or urban area. This analysis aims to validate the remoteness issues that have been raised in the literature about constraints faced by Indigenous Peoples (especially those living on reserve) and the businesses they manage (Leach, Lars-Anders Baer, & Yu, 2020).

12. Productivity gap between Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses is more than two times higher in rural areas (13.5%), compared with urban areas (4.8%).

Table 9
Main results—by urban versus rural geographic location Table summary
This table displays the results of Main results—by urban versus rural geographic location Log(revenue), Model 3 - rural, Model 1 - rural, Log (Labor productivity), Model 4 - urban and Model 2 - urban , calculated using standard error and coefficient units of measure (appearing as column headers).
  Log (Labor productivity) Log(revenue)
Model 1 - rural Model 2 - urban Model 3 - rural Model 4 - urban
coefficient standard error coefficient standard error coefficient standard error coefficient standard error
Note ...

not applicable

Note *

significantly different from reference category (p < 0.05)

Return to note&nbsp;* referrer

Note **

significantly different from reference category (p < 0.01)

Return to note&nbsp;** referrer

Note ***

significantly different from reference category (p < 0.001)

Return to note&nbsp;*** referrer

Notes: FE stands for fixed effects. All regressions control for industry sector, geographic region, business age, business size proxies by number of employees, debt-asset ratio. Robust standard errors are in parentheses.
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005-2018.
Ownership Identity  
All Indigenous -0.135 Table 9 Note *** (0.005) -0.048 Table 9 Note *** (0.003) -0.002 (0.005) -0.046 Table 9 Note *** (0.004)
Non-Indigenous (reference) ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable ... not applicable
Controls  
Log (Business size (t-1)) -0.117 Table 9 Note *** (0.001) -0.201 Table 9 Note *** (0.0005) 0.821 Table 9 Note *** (0.001) 0.839 Table 9 Note *** (0.0005)
Business age 0.001 Table 9 Note *** (0.0001) 0.005 Table 9 Note *** (0.0005) -0.005 Table 9 Note *** (0.0001) 0.00004 (0.00005)
Log (Debt asset ratio) -0.057 Table 9 Note *** (0.001) 0.014 Table 9 Note *** (0.0007) -0.208 Table 9 Note *** (0.001) -0.242 Table 9 Note *** (0.0006)
Log (Capital) 0.164 Table 9 Note *** (0.0007) 0.19 Table 9 Note *** (0.0002) 0.341 (0.0006) 0.277 Table 9 Note *** (0.0002)
Province FE YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES
Industry FE YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES
Year FE YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES
Number of observations 1,135,266 1,135,266 5,976,275 5,976,275 1,090,804 1,090,804 5,697,372 5,697,372

Table 9 reports the estimates of this supplementary analysis. Overall, findings indicate that, irrespective of the geographic location (urban or rural areas), Indigenous-owned businesses are likely to underperform, compared with their non-Indigenous-owned counterparts. In addition, the performance gap (especially regarding labour productivity) is even worse for Indigenous-owned businesses located in rural areas, compared with urban ones. In terms of magnitude, the productivity gap between Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses is more than two times higher in rural areas (13.5%) than in urban areas (4.8%). Why is the performance gap between Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses higher in rural areas than in urban ones?

Indigenous-owned firms based in rural and remote areas are more likely to be home-based and operating in primary industries (food and agriculture, forestry, fishing, and aquaculture) to address local demand and livelihood needs (Leach, Lars-Anders Baer, & Yu, 2020). These industries correspond to small markets that are less profitable and vulnerable to economic and commodity fluctuations. In addition, unlike non-Indigenous-owned businesses, Indigenous businesses in rural areas are highly concentrated in Indigenous census subdivisions located in rural low density and remote areas, away from metropolitan areas (Haaris & Alessandro, 2019). As such, they have limited access to a large pool of consumers and market and may experience weaker economic performance relative to those located near metropolitan centres.

These differences in main activities and proximity to major markets between Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses, along with overall relatively poor rural economic features (compared with urban areas) may explain the results reported in Table 9. This additional analysis complements the study of Haaris & Alessandro (2019) by showing evidence of a larger performance gap between Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses within rural areas. To get a broad picture of the potential barriers to the growth of the Indigenous economy, the final part of this paper summarizes the related recent literature.

4 Discussion

So far, this paper has attempted to quantify the gap in economic performance between Indigenous-owned businesses and their non-Indigenous-owned counterparts based on longitudinal data. The descriptive analysis reveals that Indigenous-owned and non-Indigenous-owned businesses share some common characteristics (e.g., they are likely to be small, managed in majority by individuals aged 45 to 54 years, and by men) and substantial differences in terms of geographic location and industry concentration. Notably, unconditional descriptive analysis suggests that Indigenous-owned businesses have experienced a relatively faster growth in revenue and labour productivity, on average, than non-Indigenous-owned businesses, suggesting a closing gap over time.

However, results from the empirical analysis with additional controls suggest that Indigenous-owned businesses were likely to experience weaker economic performance, compared with non-Indigenous-owned businesses. This performance gap is higher in rural areas compared with urban ones. In terms of magnitude, the performance gap is estimated to be, on average, about 7.5% for labour productivity and 2.7% for revenue. In addition, this relatively weak performance is also reflected in likelihood of survival, which was lower, on average, by two percentage points for businesses managed in majority by Indigenous people, compared with those managed by non-Indigenous Canadians.

The factors that drive this performance gap are missing from this data analysis. This section summarizes potential barriers to the growth of the Indigenous economy, including the business sector. Key constraints have been identified in the literature, namely, lower educational attainment, lack of access to capital and financing issues, regulation, and institutional constraints such as property rights restrictions (National Indigenous Economic Development, 2021; Chernoff & Cheung, 2023; Leach, Lars-Anders Baer, & Yu, 2020). These constraints are more likely to affect Indigenous peoples living on reserves.

Lower educational attainment

According to the Canadian Council for Aboriginal Business (CCAB) 2016 report, Aboriginal Business Survey found that Indigenous business owners cite attracting quality talent (39%) and retaining valuable employees (29%) as their greatest challenges in conducting business.Note  In fact, having difficulties in accessing highly skilled workers may limit the performance of businesses. Despite recent progress in educational attainment in Indigenous communities, the gap compared with the Canadian average remains significant, especially in rural and remote areas (Leach, Lars-Anders Baer, & Yu, 2020). According to Arriagada & Hango (2016), off-reserve First Nations and Métis adults have lower literacy and numeracy scores than non-Indigenous adults. Just over one-third (35%) of off-reserve First Nations people and 50% of Métis aged 25 to 65 had higher literacy scores (level 3 or higher), compared with 57% among non-Aboriginal adults. This lack of education is reflected in the labour market with Indigenous men and women over-represented in lower-paying jobs than non-Indigenous Canadians, within and across all occupations and industries. In addition, lower level of education is a major challenge that prevents Indigenous people from starting and running a business, as well as accessing government programs and financial support.

Lack of access to capital and financing issues

For many Indigenous communities including the business sector, there is limited access to capital and financial services. This is a major barrier to business development and performance (National Indigenous Economic Development, 2021). Studies document that a large percentage of Indigenous businesses (about 65%) relies on personal savings as a primary source of funding (Chernoff & Cheung, 2023). The Canadian government has a range of programs targeted for Indigenous Peoples and their communities that aim to build capability and grow markets for businesses. It provides targeted support in various areas including business development, capital and support services, which focus on Indigenous-owned businesses and includes support from a network of Aboriginal Financial Institutions.

While there are various federal and provincial programs offered to support Indigenous-owned businesses, they come with administrative barriers which limit or prevent businesses from pursuing economic development opportunities.Note 

Regulation and institutional constraints.

Addressing institutional constraints is another important challenge to economic participation and development of Indigenous-owned businesses, especially those operating on traditional lands. In fact, businesses may face additional transaction costs to meet property rights restrictions under the Indian Act (Leach, Lars-Anders Baer, & Yu, 2020; Chernoff & Cheung, 2023). These property ownership restrictions impede firm creation and employment opportunities for the regions.

The above constraints may help explain the performance gap estimated in this paper between Indigenous-owned businesses and non-Indigenous-owned ones. However, because of the limitation of data, especially those on specific needs and challenges faced by Indigenous-owned businesses, this paper cannot directly evaluate any of the latter factors. This could be of interest for future research investigations.

5 Conclusion

Activities conducted by Indigenous Peoples have gained importance over the years in the Canadian economy. This paper examines the economic performance, including survival rate, of Indigenous-owned businesses over the recent decades (2005 to 2018). It builds on CEEDD, which allows a breakdown of Indigenous-owned enterprises by subgroup, i.e., First nations, Métis, Inuit and “other Indigenous” after an imputation procedure. With CEEDD, it is also possible to measure and track business entries and exits, labour productivity, and revenue, conditional on ownership characteristics. To assess the relationship between economic performance and the enterprise’s ownership identity, the methodology first describes the Indigenous-owned businesses’ social and economic characteristics. It leads to several findings:

(i) Nearly one in five of Indigenous-owned businesses operated in the construction industry. These are dominated by small enterprises and are owned in majority by First Nations people and Métis. (ii) About 30% of Indigenous-owned businesses, on average, are owned by people aged 45 to 54, while more than two-thirds (73%) are majority owned by men. (iii) Indigenous-owned businesses have experienced a relatively faster growth in revenue and labour productivity, on average, than non-Indigenous-owned ones, suggesting a closing gap over time.

In the second part of the paper, the empirical analysis with additional control variables evaluates the economic performance indicators including revenue, labour productivity and survival rate by each subgroup of Indigenous-owned businesses. Results suggest that Indigenous-owned businesses were 7.5% less productive and have experienced 2.7% lower revenues, on average, than their non-Indigenous-owned counterparts. This performance gap is higher in rural areas than in urban ones. Furthermore, findings from the survival analysis indicate that Indigenous owned businesses were, on average, 18.41% more likely to exit the market, compared with non-Indigenous-owned businesses.

This study provides additional evidence that more effort should be made to support economic performance among employment equity groups, especially Indigenous-owned businesses in Canada. From a research perspective, more work on data collection, especially on the specific needs and barriers of Indigenous-owned businesses, could help to better inform policy makers on appropriate reforms.

6 Appendix

Appendix Table A.1
Log-Rank test for equality of survivor functions Table summary
This table displays the results of Log-Rank test for equality of survivor functions. The information is grouped by Groups (appearing as row headers), , calculated using (appearing as column headers).
Groups Events observed Events expected
Notes: This table reports the Log-Rank test for equality of survivor functions. The null hypothesis (H0) states that there is no difference between the survival functions, against the alternative hypothesis that at least one of the survival functions is different. The test leads to the following statistics: chi2(1) = 33.04; and P-value = 0.0000.
When the test p-value is small, you can reject the null hypothesis and conclude the population survival functions differ. Therefore, the above test suggests that non-Indigenous and Indigenous owned businesses groups are statistically different in their survival probability over time. This table reports the Log-Rank test for equality of survivor functions. It suggests that non-Indigenous and Indigenous owned businesses groups are statistically different in their survival probability over time.
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005 to 2018.
Non-Indigenous 210,313 210,610.63
All Indigenous 3,109 2,811.37
Total 213,422 213,422
AppendixTable A.2.
Kaplan-Meier survival probabilities for the 2005 cohort, by majority Indigenous identity ownership, 2005 to 2018 Table summary
This table displays the results of Kaplan-Meier survival probabilities for the 2005 cohort, by majority Indigenous identity ownership, 2005 to 2018. The information is grouped by Years since 2005 (appearing as row headers), Inuit, First Nations, Métis, Non-Indigenous, All Indigenous and Other Indigenous, calculated using percent units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Years since 2005 First Nations Métis Inuit Other Indigenous All Indigenous Non-Indigenous
percent
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005 to 2018.
1 96.04 95.89 93.21 96.39 95.93 96.58
2 91.93 91.41 87.67 92.85 91.09 93.09
3 87.75 87.19 82.89 90.40 87.53 89.70
4 84.52 83.24 82.89 87.02 84.01 86.55
5 81.82 79.93 80.47 84.79 81.05 83.71
6 78.64 77.28 79.20 82.45 78.20 81.07
7 76.47 74.84 77.82 79.31 75.87 78.48
8 74.03 72.15 76.30 77.59 73.37 76.02
9 71.64 70.37 73.99 76.02 71.32 73.70
10 69.14 68.50 71.55 73.25 69.11 71.48
11 66.22 66.51 70.67 71.47 66.73 69.18
12 63.68 64.50 69.69 69.57 64.51 66.98
13 62.14 62.63 64.33 67.53 62.71 64.92

Appendix Chart A.1 start

Chart Appendix Chart A.1 Kaplan-Meier survival estimates for 2006 and 2007 cohorts, by majority group indigenous identity ownership, 2005 to 2018

Data table for Appendix Chart A.1
Data table for Chart A.1 Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart A.1 First Nations, All Indigenous, Inuit , Other Indigenous, Métis and Non-Indigenous, calculated using survival rate units of measure (appearing as column headers).
  First Nations Métis Inuit Other Indigenous All Indigenous Non-Indigenous
survival rate
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005 to 2018.
2006 cohorts  
Years since 2005  
1 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
2 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.97 0.96 0.96
3 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.93 0.91 0.92
4 0.87 0.86 0.89 0.89 0.86 0.89
5 0.83 0.82 0.86 0.86 0.82 0.85
6 0.79 0.78 0.83 0.84 0.79 0.82
7 0.77 0.75 0.82 0.81 0.76 0.79
8 0.74 0.72 0.80 0.79 0.73 0.76
9 0.71 0.70 0.78 0.77 0.71 0.74
10 0.69 0.68 0.76 0.74 0.69 0.71
11 0.66 0.66 0.75 0.72 0.66 0.69
12 0.63 0.63 0.75 0.69 0.63 0.66
13 0.61 0.62 0.70 0.67 0.62 0.64
2007 cohorts  
Years since 2005  
1 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
2 0.95 0.95 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
3 0.90 0.90 0.95 0.96 0.95 0.96
4 0.86 0.85 0.93 0.92 0.90 0.92
5 0.82 0.82 0.88 0.89 0.86 0.88
6 0.80 0.79 0.86 0.87 0.82 0.85
7 0.77 0.75 0.84 0.84 0.79 0.82
8 0.74 0.73 0.82 0.82 0.76 0.79
9 0.71 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.74 0.76
10 0.68 0.70 0.77 0.77 0.71 0.74
11 0.65 0.68 0.77 0.74 0.68 0.71
12 0.65 0.66 0.76 0.72 0.66 0.66
13 0.63 0.64 0.72 0.69 0.64 0.66

Appendix Chart A.1 end

Appendix Chart A.2 start

Chart Appendix Chart A.2 Validation of proportional-hazards assumptions, Log(-Log(survival) versus Log (analysis time)

Data table for Appendix Chart A.2
Data table for Chart A.2 Table summary
This table displays the results of . The information is grouped by ln(analysis time) (appearing as row headers), All Indigenous and Non-Indigenous, calculated using -ln(-ln(Survival Probability)) units of measure (appearing as column headers).
ln(analysis time) Non-Indigenous All Indigenous
-ln(-ln(Survival Probability))
Source: Author calculations using Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamics Database (CEEDD), 2005-2018.
0.00 4.33 4.26
0.69 3.58 3.48
1.10 3.11 3.01
1.39 2.77 2.67
1.61 2.52 2.43
1.79 2.31 2.24
1.95 2.13 2.08
2.08 1.96 1.91
2.20 1.81 1.77
2.30 1.67 1.64
2.40 1.52 1.50
2.48 1.39 1.37
2.56 1.27 1.24

Appendix Chart A.2 end

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