Research to Insights: Disparities in Wealth and Debt Among Canadian Households

Release date: February 28, 2024

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About Research to Insights

The Research to Insights series of presentations features a broad range of findings on selected research topics. Each presentation draws from and integrates evidence from various studies that use innovative and high-quality data and methods to better understand relevant and complex policy issues.

Based on applied research of valuable data, the series is intended to provide decision makers, and Canadians more broadly, a comprehensive and horizontal view of the current economic, social and health issues we face in a changing world.

Context

  • Canada’s reliance on consumer spending as a key source of economic growth has contributed to greater debt burdens, with the highest household debt in the G7.
  • Likewise, housing has been a double-edged sword—critical for wealth creation for middle-class households, but also leading to imbalances between assets and debt.
  • Lessons learned from the 2007/2008 global financial crisis underscored the importance of evaluating indebtedness for households across income distributions, as aggregate data can obscure major vulnerabilities.
  • Recent disaggregated data from Statistics Canada’s macroeconomic accounts demonstrate the extent to which household saving and wealth creation following the COVID-19 pandemic have been concentrated among the richest households.
  • The current higher interest rate environment has implications for younger households with larger mortgages to pay off, as risks to socioeconomic mobility emerge with barriers to homeownership.

Household spending has been key to economic growth in Canada since the global financial crisis, contributing to elevated debt burdens

  • Outside the pandemic, household spending has been the main contributor to economic growth since 2015, more recently supported by residential investment in 2021.
  • Business investment (non-residential structures, and machinery and equipment) has not made an important contribution to growth in the last decade.
  • Major implications in the current interest rate environment include reduced incentives for business investment and increased household spending on debt servicing.

Expenditure contribution to annual gross domestic product growth

Data table for Chart 1 
Data table for Chart 1
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 1 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021 and 2022, calculated using percent units of measure (appearing as column headers).
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
percent
Less: imports of goods and services -0.25 -0.073 -1.553 -1.005 -0.195 3.208 -2.328 -2.327
Exports of goods and services 1.088 0.476 0.46 1.194 0.889 -2.813 0.352 0.872
Investment in inventories -0.465 -0.041 0.912 -0.135 -0.146 -1.709 0.969 2.152
General governments gross fixed capital formation 0.063 -0.007 0.246 0.103 -0.117 0.206 0.038 0.075
Non-profit institutions serving households' gross fixed capital formation -0.015 -0.039 0.003 0 -0.011 0.002 0.008 -0.004
Intellectual property products -0.234 -0.032 0.156 0.228 0.075 -0.047 0.084 0.011
Non-residential structures, machinery and equipment -1.363 -1.32 0.175 0.317 0.304 -1.078 0.357 0.647
Residential structures 0.265 0.295 0.181 -0.089 -0.05 0.369 1.31 -1.097
Final consumption expenditure 1.586 1.635 2.564 2.122 1.137 -3.192 4.229 2.998

Canada’s economic reliance on consumer spending and housing means higher levels of wealth and debt compared with G7 counterparts

Total household wealth, G7 countries, 2021

Data table for Chart 2 
Data table for Chart 2
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 2 2021, calculated using percentage of net disposable income units of measure (appearing as column headers).
2021
percentage of net disposable income
United States 708.36
Canada 677.87
Japan 649.81
Italy 645.97
France 612.23
Germany 553.53
United Kingdom 501.75

Total household debt, G7 countries, 2021

Data table for Chart 3 
Data table for Chart 3
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 3 2021, calculated using percentage of net disposable income units of measure (appearing as column headers).
2021
percentage of net disposable income
Canada 185.19
United Kingdom 150.61
France 127.55
Japan 122.06
United States 101.84
Germany 101.33
Italy 89.88
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Housing as a double-edged sword: Based on the latest data across G7 countries, Canada has the highest level of household debt to disposable income, reaching over 180%, compared with about 100% in the United States and Germany. At the same time, housing contributes to greater debt and wealth, as Canada closely tracks the United States in wealth per disposable income.

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Household disposable income has grown at a healthy pace since the pandemic, while saving remains elevated

  • Household saving during the first two years of the pandemic was equivalent to cumulative saving from 2010 to 2019.
  • Canadians saved more at the height of the pandemic, as COVID-19 emergency supports offset income losses from public health shutdowns, while shifting consumer behaviours also contributed to greater saving.
  • More recently, the pace of savings continued to accelerate, mainly for the richest households, while lower-income households are spending more than they earn to withstand current affordability pressures.

Household disposable income and saving rate, Canada

Data table for Chart 4 
Data table for Chart 4
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 4 Household disposable income and Household saving rate, calculated using index (Q1 2018 = 100) and percent units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Household disposable income Household saving rate
index (Q1 2018 = 100) percent
2018
Q1 100.00 1.4
Q2 100.06 0.1
Q3 100.60 -0.1
Q4 102.37 1.1
2019
Q1 102.92 1
Q2 104.86 2.1
Q3 105.89 2.5
Q4 107.60 2.8
2020
Q1 108.89 5.3
Q2 119.45 26.5
Q3 114.65 13.6
Q4 113.59 11.4
2021
Q1 118.14 14.3
Q2 117.67 13.2
Q3 118.78 8.8
Q4 117.68 5.6
2022
Q1 122.27 7.5
Q2 123.41 4.1
Q3 124.65 4.2
Q4 127.91 5.6
2023
Q1 128.59 4.4
Q2 129.60 4.7
Q3 130.90 5.1

Slower household borrowing and stronger incomes have levelled off the household debt service ratio

  • The household debt service ratio edged above 15% in the third quarter of 2023 on higher borrowing and slower income growth.
  • At the same time, debt servicing is increasingly focused on interest payments, as opposed to paying down principals.
  • The number of residential mortgages lasting more than 30 years has grown substantially since the end of 2021, as more borrowers face renewal pressure and reset their original amortization schedule.

Household debt service ratios

Data table for Chart 5 
Data table for Chart 5
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 5 Household debt service, Mortgage debt service and Non-mortgage loan debt service, calculated using percent units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Household debt service Mortgage debt service Non-mortgage loan debt service
percent
2019
Q2 15.0 7.1 7.9
Q3 15.0 7.2 7.9
Q4 14.9 7.1 7.8
2020
Q1 14.6 7.0 7.6
Q2 12.6 6.1 6.4
Q3 13.5 6.7 6.8
Q4 13.9 6.9 6.9
2021
Q1 13.5 6.8 6.7
Q2 13.7 7.0 6.7
Q3 13.6 7.0 6.6
Q4 13.8 7.1 6.7
2022
Q1 13.6 7.0 6.6
Q2 13.9 7.2 6.7
Q3 14.3 7.5 6.8
Q4 14.5 7.7 6.8
2023
Q1 14.9 8.0 6.8
Q2 15.1 8.2 6.9
Q3 15.2 8.3 6.9

Debt servicing: Interest vs principal

Data table for Chart 6 
Data table for Chart 6
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 6 Total principal payment and Total interest paid, calculated using dollars units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Total principal payment Total interest paid
millions of dollars
2005
Q3 45,000 59,112
Q4 48,408 59,048
2016
Q1 47,068 63,740
Q2 47,872 67,196
Q3 48,500 70,404
Q4 49,236 72,720
2007
Q1 50,948 74,536
Q2 51,504 77,560
Q3 53,276 79,796
Q4 54,040 82,652
2008
Q1 54,260 83,084
Q2 54,996 82,820
Q3 56,072 82,676
Q4 57,740 79,092
2009
Q1 58,684 75,316
Q2 61,204 72,208
Q3 61,672 71,920
Q4 63,076 71,640
2010
Q1 65,168 72,184
Q2 65,660 73,588
Q3 67,824 73,276
Q4 68,576 74,460
2011
Q1 68,272 76,288
Q2 71,028 74,740
Q3 71,508 75,100
Q4 72,888 75,272
2012
Q1 73,404 74,804
Q2 74,236 75,632
Q3 75,416 75,752
Q4 77,048 74,904
2013
Q1 77,300 75,880
Q2 78,412 76,156
Q3 78,964 77,104
Q4 80,260 77,100
2014
Q1 81,440 76,988
Q2 82,868 76,972
Q3 84,948 77,516
Q4 87,104 78,252
2015
Q1 89,072 78,208
Q2 90,756 76,780
Q3 90,396 77,248
Q4 90,508 77,076
2016
Q1 90,712 77,260
Q2 91,992 78,916
Q3 93,840 78,228
Q4 94,768 79,048
2017
Q1 96,600 79,960
Q2 98,812 81,108
Q3 100,288 82,732
Q4 101,016 85,600
2018
Q1 101,928 88,508
Q2 102,296 91,416
Q3 102,084 94,464
Q4 102,024 97,676
2019
Q1 102,260 101,012
Q2 104,616 101,892
Q3 104,900 103,980
Q4 106,324 104,000
2020
Q1 105,024 102,960
Q2 97,300 97,284
Q3 105,712 94,476
Q4 111,632 92,916
2021
Q1 114,500 91,872
Q2 115,200 93,104
Q3 117,876 90,680
Q4 118,888 90,888
2022
Q1 121,448 92,532
Q2 120,384 102,040
Q3 116,052 116,860
Q4 111,316 133,248
2023
Q1 105,768 148,828
Q2 104,544 156,672
Q3 104,608 162,408

Rising debt service costs expected to affect future consumption

  • Households have been borrowing less in light of higher interest rates, while mortgage interest payments continued to climb, up 4% in the third quarter of 2023.
  • Although the popularity of variable rate mortgages continued to fall in the current interest rate environment, variable rate mortgages represent around 30% of total outstanding mortgage debt.
  • Since early 2022, households renegotiating their mortgages have done so at higher rates.
  • In 2024 and 2025, an estimated 2.2 million households will be facing an interest rate shock, representing 45% of all outstanding mortgages, while the total amount of mortgage loans to be renewed represents $675 billion (Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation).

Five-year-or-more fixed term mortgage interest differential on renewal

Data table for Chart 7 
Data table for Chart 7
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 7 Initial rate, Renewal rate and Interest differential, calculated using percent units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Initial rate Renewal rate Interest differential
percent
2016/2021
Apr. 2.78 2.01 -0.78
May 2.69 2.09 -0.60
June 2.63 2.12 -0.51
July 2.59 2.24 -0.35
Aug. 2.57 2.28 -0.29
Sept. 2.56 2.28 -0.28
Oct. 2.56 2.19 -0.37
Nov. 2.56 2.32 -0.25
Dec. 2.62 2.47 -0.15
2017/2022
Jan. 2.72 2.58 -0.13
Feb. 2.80 2.78 -0.01
Mar. 2.81 2.98 0.17
Apr. 2.79 3.22 0.43
May 2.72 3.38 0.66
June 2.67 3.66 0.99
July 2.66 4.03 1.37
Aug. 2.78 4.42 1.64
Sept. 2.94 4.74 1.80
Oct. 3.07 4.97 1.90
Nov. 3.21 5.12 1.91
Dec. 3.26 5.18 1.91
2018/2023
Jan. 3.31 5.15 1.84
Feb. 3.36 5.02 1.66
Mar. 3.38 5.02 1.63
Apr. 3.40 5.01 1.61
May 3.43 4.95 1.52
June 3.46 5.02 1.55
July 3.48 5.22 1.74
Aug. 3.53 5.37 1.84
Sept. 3.57 5.57 1.99
Oct. 3.59 5.70 2.10
Nov. 3.70 5.87 2.17

Except for the highest income quintiles, net saving has deteriorated slightly since the pandemic, as renters and lower-income families are spending more than they make

Household net saving, by income quintile

Data table for Chart 8 
Data table for Chart 8
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 8 Lowest income quintile, Second income quintile, Third income quintile, Fourth income quintile and Highest income quintile, calculated using dollars units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Lowest income quintile Second income quintile Third income quintile Fourth income quintile Highest income quintile
dollars
Q3
2020 -5,815 -2,106 1,326 5,946 17,105
2021 -6,590 -3,154 336 4,308 16,052
2022 -7,767 -3,578 -764 4,030 15,426
2023 -8,527 -3,901 -725 4,558 16,130

Household net saving, by characteristic

Data table for Chart 9 
Data table for Chart 9
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 9 Owner with mortgage, Owner without mortgage and Renter, calculated using dollars units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Owner with mortgage Owner without mortgage Renter
dollars
Q3
2020 6,658 1,254 1,498
2021 6,790 -619 -121
2022 5,347 -568 -789
2023 5009 189 -1023
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Compared with the onset of the pandemic, net saving has declined for all income quintiles, except for the fourth highest and highest. Dissaving for owners without a mortgage likely reflects age dynamics, as older Canadians are more likely to have paid off their home and are drawing from accumulated pension assets to support themselves during retirement—part of the life cycle of wealth and debt.

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Net worth has increased across demographic groups—but not to the same extent

Homeowners and renters have both seen their average net worth rise

Data table for Chart 10 
Data table for chart 10
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for chart 10 Renter, Owner with mortgage, All households, Owner and Owner without mortgage, calculated using dollars units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Renter Owner with mortgage All households Owner Owner without mortgage
dollars
Q4 2019 218,130 762,126 789,482 1,070,443 1,439,296
Q3 2023 259,369 949,711 972,113 1,326,051 1,757,561

Average household wealth has risen for all age groups

Data table for Chart 11 
Data table for Chart 11
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 11 All households, Less than 35 years, 35 to 44 years, 45 to 54 years, 55 to 64 years and 65 years and over, calculated using dollars units of measure (appearing as column headers).
All households Less than 35 years 35 to 44 years 45 to 54 years 55 to 64 years 65 years and over
dollars
Q4 2019 789,482 236,039 510,253 1,041,539 1,215,085 903,742
Q3 2023 972,113 325,446 635,555 1,288,409 1,511,862 1,087,484
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Imbalanced wealth creation: Though net worth has increased across all types of households, gains were more muted for renters (up from $218,000 to $260,000 on average) compared with homeowners (up from $1.4 million to $1.8 million for owners without a mortgage). Likewise, gains were more substantial for older Canadian families, those with housing and financial assets, while younger Canadian families saw smaller increases in wealth.

End of text box

Prospective young homeowners turning away from the housing market, while homeowners pay off debt or look for affordable housing

Debt service ratios (interest only), by age group

Data table for Chart 12 
Data table for Chart 12
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 12 Less than 35 years, 35 to 44 years, 45 to 54 years, 55 to 64 years and 65 years and over, calculated using percent units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Less than 35 years 35 to 44 years 45 to 54 years 55 to 64 years 65 years and over
percent
Q3
2020 6.6 7.6 6.2 5.7 4.7
2021 6.2 7.3 6.2 5.0 4.1
2022 7.3 8.5 7.6 6.1 4.9
2023 9.7 11.5 9.5 8.1 6.0

Young households are reducing their mortgage balances

Data table for Chart 13 
Data table for Chart 13
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 13 Less than 35 years, 35 to 44 years, 45 to 54 years, 55 to 64 years and 65 years and over, calculated using index (Q4 2019=100) units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Less than 35 years 35 to 44 years 45 to 54 years 55 to 64 years 65 years and over
index (Q4 2019=100)
2019
Q4 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
2020
Q1 98.88 100.67 102.88 99.08 99.21
Q2 100.83 102.82 105.74 102.08 103.01
Q3 104.83 105.71 108.75 104.75 105.99
Q4 106.25 106.19 109.02 104.95 107.26
2021
Q1 109.97 108.61 111.46 107.21 109.26
Q2 115.75 113.65 116.60 112.26 113.85
Q3 121.72 117.69 119.49 114.50 115.19
Q4 118.85 116.15 117.93 112.82 113.61
2022
Q1 120.65 118.16 120.00 114.99 115.67
Q2 123.18 121.40 123.21 118.23 118.15
Q3 124.75 123.06 124.60 119.62 118.37
Q4 123.43 123.53 125.38 120.65 119.51
2023
Q1 121.54 123.70 126.18 122.07 120.82
Q2 120.03 124.44 127.87 124.80 123.38
Q3 118.56 124.81 129.00 126.42 124.13
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Younger households hit harder by rising debt servicing costs: Over the last year, debt ratios have increased for all age groups, but most sharply for younger households (households headed by people aged 35-44), up 3.1 percentage points, which are more likely to have larger mortgages. Younger households may also be starting to turn away from the housing market, leading to less mortgage debt overall. Access to homeownership has long facilitated economic and social mobility—particularly for immigrants—and, as such, barriers to homeownership mean risks to socioeconomic mobility.

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Real estate continues to be central to wealth accumulation across the life cycle

  • For an average household, real estate represents about fifty five percent of their wealth and mortgages represent most of their debt—trends even more pronounced for middle-class or working-age families.
  • Financial assets are also important to wealth creation for the richest families and homeowners.
  • Of total wealth, 61% is held by those 55 and older, suggesting major risks for intergenerational mobility in the coming decades.

Distribution of average household wealth, by characteristics, third quarter of 2023

Data table for Chart 14 
Data table for Chart 14
Table summary
This table displays the results of Data table for Chart 14 Financial assets, Real estate, Other non-financial assets, Mortgage liabilities, Other liabilities and Net worth (wealth), calculated using dollars units of measure (appearing as column headers).
Financial assets Real estate Other non-financial assets Mortgage liabilities Other liabilities Net worth (wealth)
dollars
Lowest wealth quintile 11,543 30,149 15,938 -25,328 -33,187 -885
Second wealth quintile 81,448 155,043 36,179 -100,320 -35,988 136,362
Third wealth quintile 222,019 390,602 51,813 -162,461 -45,729 456,244
Fourth wealth quintile 486,096 665,062 67,644 -171,143 -54,513 993,146
Highest wealth quintile 1,985,955 1,431,681 112,236 -187,919 -66,254 3,275,700
Less than 35 years 167,702 290,413 39,900 -129,667 -42,901 325,446
35 to 44 years 344,949 519,258 61,690 -233,024 -57,319 635,555
45 to 54 years 736,178 785,635 76,265 -235,234 -74,435 1,288,409
55 to 64 years 904,923 704,607 71,762 -106,604 -62,825 1,511,862
65 years and over 626,037 463,209 45,334 -26,520 -20,576 1,087,484
Owner with mortgage 521,134 755,538 73,975 -333,963 -66,974 949,711
Owner without mortgage 973,578 783,604 68,610 -21,459 -46,773 1,757,561
Renter 206,022 63,076 27,131 -10,729 -26,131 259,369

Takeaways

  • Canada’s economic focus on consumer spending and housing has led to imbalances in the financial position of many Canadian households. Increases in saving and gains in net worth following the pandemic are concentrated at the top—greatest for homeowners and the richest households.
  • In a higher interest rate environment, evidence suggests that younger households may be starting to turn away from the housing market or extending their mortgages past 30 years. Given that housing has been critical to wealth creation and financial security across the life cycle, barriers to homeownership may have broader implications for social cohesion and upward mobility.
  • Looking forward, as almost half of mortgages are renewed in 2024 and 2025, there is a great deal of uncertainty for households that have already cut back their spending, in addition to the potential impact on consumer spending and, as such, economic growth.

For more information, please contact
analyticalstudies-etudesanalytiques@statcan.gc.ca

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