Analysis in Brief
Impacts of rising costs and claims on personal automobile insurance profitability and consumers in Canada
Text begins
Acknowledgements
The author would like to thank Alexandre Fortier-Labonté, whose insights and feedback greatly contributed to the development of this work.
Introduction
Canada’s property and casualty (P&C) insurers have faced many challenges in the past few years, impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, a rise in thefts, and extreme weather. These effects were made worse by inflationary pressures, leading to profitability concerns for insurers and price increases for consumers. P&C insurance is mainly composed of property (homeowners’) and automobile (auto), personal and commercial insurance. This analysis focuses on auto insurance, specifically personal auto insurance, which is synonymous with private passenger vehicle insurance.
This study delves into the contributing claim and cost factors that have impacted the premiums consumers pay for auto insurance and the financial pressures insurers face. The engine type, brand name and location of vehicles have contributed, as well as the overall rising cost of repairs, parts and the vehicles themselves. Coverage types and provincial regulations have also impacted insurers and consumers alike, disproportionally affecting certain provinces. Claims severityNote , impacted by the aforementioned factors, as well as thefts and extreme weather, has also contributed to the fact that owning and insuring a vehicle have become costlier since 2020, made worse by the pandemic.
This analysis uses data from the Quarterly Survey of Financial Statements (QSFS),Note among other sources. Financial statementNote information is used to explore several profitability metrics that are important within the P&C industryNote and compare them with the Consumer Price Index (CPI)Note for passenger vehicle insurance premiumsNote and other vehicle-related costs.
Automobile insurance varies by province
In Canada, auto insurance is provincially regulated, and minimum levels of coverage are mandated by provinces. In British Columbia, Manitoba and Saskatchewan, consumers are required to purchase minimum coverage through the government insurer. In Quebec, consumers must purchase bodily injury coverage from the government insurer, while other coverages can be purchased elsewhere. In Alberta, Ontario and the Atlantic provinces, consumers purchase coverage from private insurers. In Manitoba and Saskatchewan, collision and comprehensive coverage is mandated, while in all other provinces, these types of coverages are considered optional.
Provincial bodies control premium rate changes, where approval is required prior to any private insurer, subsidiary or provincial carrier increasing or decreasing rates,Note regardless of whether it is a government or private insurer. These rate approvals change the rates used by auto insurers to calculate the premiums paid by consumers, meaning that a rate increase of 5% would result in premiums increasing 5%, on average, for that company within a given location. The province may also provide rate caps, rate freezes or rebates, thus regulating the private insurers and directly impacting provincial insurers that operate as not-for-profit organizations. Provincial regulators consider a company’s financial position, such as profit and expenses, as well as current market conditions, when determining approvals. Although rate increases are more common, rate decreases may also be administered for competitive reasons.
Auto insurers and consumers face varying coverage requirements and regulations
Auto insurance can be divided into several main components, including liability, direct compensation for property damage, accident benefits and loss or damage to an insured automobile.Note Liability coverage protects the owner from legal responsibilities. Direct compensation for property damage covers damage to the automobile or loss of use when another motorist is responsible. Accident benefits cover payments for death or bodily injury and recovery of damages if caused by an uninsured motorist. Loss or damage to an insured automobile covers collision and comprehensive insurance, which generally includes fire and theft. Individual policies may also list specified perils, such as hail damage or accidents during transport. Auto insurance does not typically compensate an owner for the contents of a vehicle, such as a missing wallet, laptop or any personal items that may be present in the vehicle during a collision, theft or other claim. Policies are often divided into sections based on each type of coverage, with specified premiums and limits,Note often with a corresponding deductible.Note
In some provinces, no-fault or partial no-fault insurance applies. In the event of an accident, the no-fault insurance applies to compensation for bodily injury. Under a no-fault system, drivers deal directly with their respective insurers, minimizing the need to sue for pain and suffering damages. Ideally, this provides quicker claim settlements, as opposed to drawn-out legal cases. The exact terms vary by province. Ontario, Quebec and the four Atlantic provinces have a no-fault system, while the three provinces with provincial carriers have a variant of a no-fault system. Alberta operates under a partial no-fault system known as direct compensation for property damage.
Claims ratio moderate during pandemic, while combined ratio up on higher expenses, despite higher revenues and premiums
Higher claims have affected P&C insurers, with the auto segment being the largest line of business within the industry. This segment plays a significant role in a company’s financial performance, exceeding the contribution of the homeowners’ segment as measured by insurance revenue. For homeowners’ insurance, extreme weather brought on by climate change has impacted both insurers and consumers, worsened by pandemic-related delays and high replacement cost factors.Note
For auto insurance, the rise in claims has been influenced by many factors that often interact, further exacerbating the associated costs. The claims ratioNote (Chart 1) was moderately high during the first three quarters of 2020, but both insurers and consumers experienced some relief during the pandemic lockdowns and work-from-home trends from the third quarter of 2020 to the second quarter of 2022. The claims ratio has since increased, surpassing 81.2% in the first quarter of 2023 and remaining elevated into 2024, peaking at 90.4% in quarter three of 2024. The claims ratio is impacted by factors such as collisions, thefts, repair costs, vehicle prices and inflation.
Data table for Chart 1
Claims Ratio | |
---|---|
percent | |
Source: Quarterly Survey of Financial Statements, author's calculations. | |
2020 | |
Q1 | 77.7 |
Q2 | 75.9 |
Q3 | 74.4 |
Q4 | 57.6 |
2021 | |
Q1 | 50.5 |
Q2 | 54.0 |
Q3 | 59.7 |
Q4 | 57.7 |
2022 | |
Q1 | 56.1 |
Q2 | 57.3 |
Q3 | 69.3 |
Q4 | 67.8 |
2023 | |
Q1 | 81.2 |
Q2 | 72.8 |
Q3 | 74.1 |
Q4 | 71.5 |
2024 | |
Q1 | 72.9 |
Q2 | 67.1 |
Q3 | 90.4 |
Q4 | 71.4 |
From the onset of the pandemic to May 2020, roughly 3.4 million jobs were lost.Note Canada closed its borders and provincial restrictions were put in place, leading to fewer vehicles on the road. In some cases, consumers removed unnecessary coverage, opting to park their vehicles when road coverage was not required. In the third quarter of 2022, the claims ratio began trending upward. Insurers attributed higher claims costs to extreme weather events during this period, alongside standard factors. In 2024, theft was identified as an additional contributor.
The combined ratioNote (Chart 2) for total P&C insurers follows a similar trend as the claims ratio. Higher claims costs contributed to an increase in the combined ratio, which accounts for both claims costs and other expenses. A ratio above 100% means that insurers were not profitable during that quarter on underwriting (insurance) alone. The combined ratio peaked in 2020 because of higher expenses and has since hovered around 100% for several quarters. The net insurance service ratio (NISR)Note is a new key performance indicator within P&C insurance that is similar to the claim and combined ratios but yields moderately different resultsNote because net reinsurance costs are included and general and operating expenses are excluded. Numerous insurers over the last four years have encountered unprofitable quarters measured by the combined ratio and the NISR.
Data table for Chart 2
Combined ratio | Net insurance service ratio | |
---|---|---|
percent | ||
|
||
2020 | ||
Q1 | 104.8 | .. not available for a specific reference period |
Q2 | 108.8 | .. not available for a specific reference period |
Q3 | 82.7 | .. not available for a specific reference period |
Q4 | 107.4 | .. not available for a specific reference period |
2021 | ||
Q1 | 85.4 | .. not available for a specific reference period |
Q2 | 93.1 | .. not available for a specific reference period |
Q3 | 99.3 | .. not available for a specific reference period |
Q4 | 99.1 | .. not available for a specific reference period |
2022 | ||
Q1 | 93.4 | .. not available for a specific reference period |
Q2 | 94.5 | .. not available for a specific reference period |
Q3 | 100.6 | .. not available for a specific reference period |
Q4 | 94.8 | .. not available for a specific reference period |
2023 | ||
Q1 | 97.1 | 95.0 |
Q2 | 95.2 | 98.0 |
Q3 | 97.6 | 98.0 |
Q4 | 89.0 | 98.0 |
2024 | ||
Q1 | 92.4 | 103.0 |
Q2 | 87.8 | 97.0 |
Q3 | 97.6 | 95.2 |
Q4 | 92.6 | 95.2 |
Net insurance service ratio exceeds 95% in all quarters at Canada level, some provinces see losses
The NISRNote (Chart 3) surpassed 80% in nearly all quarters and provinces and exceeded 95% in several quarters. According to the industry, a NISR above 80% indicates potential unprofitability, given that this ratio is largely driven by claims and does not take all general business and operating expenses into account, leaving little room for profit once factored in.
Data table for Chart 3
Panel A - Atlantic | Panel B - Central | Panel C - Government Insurers | Panel D - Alberta | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Newfoundland | Prince Edward | Nova Scotia | New Brunswick | Quebec | Ontario | Manitoba | Saskatchewan | British Columbia | Alberta | |
percent | ||||||||||
Source: Insurance Bureau of Canada, Saskatchewan General Insurance, Manitoba Provicial Insurance, MSA Research, author's calculations. |
||||||||||
2023 | ||||||||||
Q1 | 82.7 | 75.2 | 93.3 | 101.4 | 104.5 | 96.0 | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period | 123.7 | 89.6 |
Q2 | 94.2 | 81.7 | 91.3 | 104.6 | 97.1 | 99.9 | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period | 106.7 | 95.8 |
Q3 | 94.7 | 102.6 | 98.2 | 101.0 | 95.9 | 98.9 | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period | 112.9 | 97.7 |
Q4 | 94.2 | 103.0 | 94.2 | 99.8 | 93.8 | 97.4 | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period | 106.5 | 98.5 |
2024 | ||||||||||
Q1 | 105.9 | 96.4 | 95.7 | 92.0 | 95.6 | 97.9 | 81.9 | 111.4 | 112.5 | 109.6 |
Q2 | 96.7 | 91.0 | 95.2 | 87.5 | 83.2 | 96.8 | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period | 94.8 | 109.7 |
Q3 | 99.3 | 91.1 | 94.7 | 92.2 | 89.4 | 92.7 | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period | 84.3 | 105.6 |
Q4 | 99.2 | 91.5 | 97.6 | 97.6 | 88.9 | 91.9 | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period | 95.7 | 108.2 |
Return on equity high in 2021, reverting to historical norms by 2024
Return on equity (ROE) (Chart 4) peaked in 2021 at 18.2%, significantly higher than the historical average of 10.5%.Note Since 2022, ROE has trended downward, driven in part by higher claims, expenses and inflation. Given the competitive nature of the insurance industry and the need to justify price increases based on current economic conditions, the 2021 ROE is likely unsustainable. In general, an inverse relationship exists between the claims ratio and ROE. In 2023, ROE reached its lowest point (9.1%), when claims and expenses were the costliest. Despite rising revenue, higher expenses have put pressure on insurers’ profitability. Following an unfavourable year in 2023, ROE increased to 12.6% in 2024, as claims and expenses began to stabilize.
Data table for Chart 4
Return on equity | |
---|---|
percent | |
Note: 2020 contains quarter two, three, and four.
Source: Quarterly Survey of Financial Statements, author's calculations. |
|
2020 | 16.1 |
2021 | 18.2 |
2022 | 12.6 |
2023 | 9.1 |
2024 | 12.6 |
Ontario contributes most to revenues and expenses and has the most vehicle registrations
Ontario contributed the most to overall expenses and revenues at the Canada level, mainly because the province had the most households and vehicle registrations (Chart 5).
Data table for Chart 5
Province | Revenues | Expenses | Households | Vehicle registrations |
---|---|---|---|---|
dollars | units | |||
Source: Vehicle registrations, by type of vehicle and fuel type, MSA research, Insurance Corporation of British Columbia, Saskatchewan General Insurance, Manitoba Provicial Insurance. |
||||
British Columbia | 5,598,501 | 5,715,126 | 2,211,694 | 3,615,356 |
Alberta | 4,055,187 | 3,867,932 | 1,772,670 | 3,519,123 |
Saskatchewan | 1,690,176 | 1,825,237 | 513,725 | 917,761 |
Manitoba | 1,586,942 | 1,488,213 | 571,528 | 932,658 |
Ontario | 13,015,186 | 12,579,433 | 5,929,250 | 9,429,566 |
Quebec | 4,690,146 | 4,397,375 | 4,050,164 | 6,007,063 |
Atlantic | 1,574,940 | 1,498,492 | 1,186,271 | 1,804,490 |
Over time, both revenues and expenses have trended higher for private passenger auto insurance. As of year-end 2023, at the Canada level, revenues and expenses were nearly on par. In British Columbia and Saskatchewan, expenses exceeded revenues (Chart 3); however, the government insurers dominating these provinces operate as not-for-profit organizations.Note Although averages should be used with caution, it can be estimated that Canadian households own around 1.5 vehicles in most provinces. Newfoundland and Labrador had the lowest average, with 1.4 cars per household, while Alberta ranked highest, at 2.0. Saskatchewan also exceeded the national average, with 1.8 vehicles per household. At the Canada level, 90% of households had at least one vehicle,Note and nearly all of these vehicles had internal combustion engines (ICEs) that use either gasoline or diesel.
New vehicle registrations trend upward from pandemic lows as the number of commuters and length of commutes increase
Canadians rely heavily on personal automobiles for travel and commuting. Road motor vehicle registrations, excluding buses and motorcycles, increased 1.66% in 2021 and 0.25% in 2022, reaching 25.4 million total registrations. In May 2023, 15.9 million people were commuting, up 3.3 million from 2021, when 82.6% were commuting using motor vehicles. This increase is partially attributable to the decrease in work from home and population growth. Results varied by province. Ontario, Alberta and Prince Edward Island experienced increases in commuting by motor vehicle, while other provinces were largely unchanged. The number of workers with commutes of at least 60 minutes also increased, up 51.7% from 2021 to 2023. Of all new motor vehicle registrations, the vast majority are ICEs. All else being equal, having more vehicles on the road contributes to the potential for a higher frequency of automobile claims.
Data table for Chart 6
Gasoline | Diesel | Electric, Hybrid, Other | |
---|---|---|---|
number of registrations | |||
Source: New motor vehicle registrations, quarterly. | |||
2017 | |||
Q1 | 403,087 | 14,283 | 11,161 |
Q2 | 581,151 | 17,643 | 17,249 |
Q3 | 521,730 | 18,150 | 17,633 |
Q4 | 423,659 | 15,711 | 17,475 |
2018 | |||
Q1 | 380,187 | 14,642 | 18,135 |
Q2 | 563,103 | 21,781 | 37,871 |
Q3 | 500,791 | 19,327 | 32,258 |
Q4 | 390,802 | 14,850 | 26,396 |
2019 | |||
Q1 | 373,971 | 13,223 | 23,204 |
Q2 | 527,118 | 16,058 | 52,033 |
Q3 | 487,211 | 16,810 | 42,772 |
Q4 | 388,271 | 12,998 | 32,941 |
2020 | |||
Q1 | 303,035 | 13,567 | 31,535 |
Q2 | 277,460 | 12,867 | 24,787 |
Q3 | 457,057 | 19,494 | 49,390 |
Q4 | 347,376 | 18,841 | 44,505 |
2021 | |||
Q1 | 326,146 | 18,112 | 48,853 |
Q2 | 416,441 | 20,057 | 74,100 |
Q3 | 384,338 | 14,411 | 71,833 |
Q4 | 288,203 | 13,296 | 57,081 |
2022 | |||
Q1 | 283,317 | 15,985 | 66,881 |
Q2 | 351,666 | 23,045 | 87,114 |
Q3 | 319,037 | 19,681 | 90,090 |
Q4 | 279,160 | 16,536 | 84,202 |
2023 | |||
Q1 | 285,416 | 16,567 | 84,879 |
Q2 | 367,126 | 19,765 | 134,369 |
Q3 | 343,082 | 18,102 | 153,565 |
Q4 | 320,820 | 19,586 | 140,387 |
2024 | |||
Q1 | 313,551 | 17,979 | 131,757 |
Q2 | 383,572 | 20,917 | 172,417 |
Q3 | 339,446 | 21,860 | 197,617 |
Historically, the seasonal trend in vehicle registrations (Chart 6) was more pronounced, with consumers registering vehicles most often in the second and third quarters. Because of the pandemic, registrations hit a low point in the second quarter of 2020, a decrease of approximately 50% from a typical second quarter. Total vehicle registrations are now higher than they were before the pandemic, but quarterly new vehicle registrations are lower. Electric vehicles, including battery electric, hybrid, plug-in and other vehicles, are being registered more often than in any years prior.
Vehicle sale price a consideration in higher claims costs
New motor vehicle sales (Chart 7), which are directly linked to registrations, trended upward from 2014 to 2019. The pandemic-related dip can be seen in both the number of new vehicles sold and the total sales revenue for 2020. If vehicle prices were to remain unchanged, an increase in units would, in turn, increase sales in dollars. Since the onset of the pandemic, the number of units sold has increased, but units per year have remained lower. The growing gap seen in Chart 7 between units and dollars indicates upward price pressure per unit sold.
Data table for Chart 7
New motor vehicle sales | ||
---|---|---|
units | dollars (in thousands) | |
Source: Table 20-10-0001-01 New motor vehicle sales. | ||
2014 | ||
January | 97,624 | 3,461,575 |
February | 107,501 | 3,779,018 |
March | 160,655 | 5,682,849 |
April | 182,239 | 6,278,892 |
May | 199,568 | 6,884,962 |
June | 179,556 | 6,266,851 |
July | 180,682 | 6,277,118 |
August | 174,757 | 6,021,329 |
September | 172,069 | 6,094,943 |
October | 159,144 | 5,681,354 |
November | 141,763 | 5,074,899 |
December | 134,829 | 5,009,469 |
2015 | ||
January | 101,597 | 3,729,812 |
February | 111,933 | 4,118,142 |
March | 164,402 | 5,967,542 |
April | 192,647 | 6,910,768 |
May | 201,603 | 7,189,418 |
June | 181,780 | 6,667,610 |
July | 181,324 | 6,512,342 |
August | 178,591 | 6,409,757 |
September | 178,738 | 6,570,649 |
October | 166,521 | 6,084,201 |
November | 148,163 | 5,478,891 |
December | 132,218 | 5,126,074 |
2016 | ||
January | 110,686 | 4,295,419 |
February | 121,933 | 4,728,596 |
March | 178,227 | 6,745,037 |
April | 203,557 | 7,570,371 |
May | 198,425 | 7,379,863 |
June | 193,818 | 7,258,509 |
July | 175,846 | 6,654,406 |
August | 174,976 | 6,691,685 |
September | 177,191 | 6,942,118 |
October | 157,414 | 6,121,957 |
November | 163,320 | 6,467,708 |
December | 128,352 | 5,268,834 |
2017 | ||
January | 112,996 | 4,538,110 |
February | 125,284 | 5,022,160 |
March | 190,744 | 7,537,573 |
April | 200,291 | 7,925,441 |
May | 220,436 | 8,590,484 |
June | 207,008 | 8,299,645 |
July | 184,809 | 7,295,374 |
August | 187,208 | 7,488,038 |
September | 190,640 | 7,694,331 |
October | 167,892 | 6,915,797 |
November | 161,903 | 6,764,403 |
December | 127,734 | 5,530,452 |
2018 | ||
January | 120,246 | 5,006,244 |
February | 128,399 | 5,354,688 |
March | 190,863 | 8,040,083 |
April | 195,838 | 8,249,951 |
May | 220,858 | 9,281,703 |
June | 206,988 | 8,634,033 |
July | 179,754 | 7,365,887 |
August | 185,349 | 7,394,498 |
September | 181,516 | 7,628,266 |
October | 166,566 | 7,097,044 |
November | 150,143 | 6,766,437 |
December | 119,201 | 5,400,236 |
2019 | ||
January | 112,178 | 4,856,206 |
February | 124,493 | 5,360,981 |
March | 187,907 | 8,172,306 |
April | 186,487 | 8,126,000 |
May | 208,375 | 8,938,556 |
June | 193,885 | 8,400,102 |
July | 178,450 | 7,590,172 |
August | 187,961 | 8,066,498 |
September | 173,009 | 7,673,545 |
October | 163,718 | 7,116,489 |
November | 147,221 | 6,522,466 |
December | 116,466 | 5,446,466 |
2020 | ||
January | 113,350 | 5,064,648 |
February | 127,529 | 5,683,474 |
March | 98,019 | 4,574,108 |
April | 47,508 | 2,305,372 |
May | 116,102 | 5,194,076 |
June | 163,864 | 7,362,400 |
July | 167,600 | 7,419,854 |
August | 172,647 | 7,610,737 |
September | 178,057 | 7,923,905 |
October | 160,024 | 7,117,901 |
November | 133,733 | 6,152,460 |
December | 113,686 | 5,486,010 |
2021 | ||
January | 91,508 | 4,264,807 |
February | 115,223 | 5,446,854 |
March | 176,036 | 8,234,794 |
April | 167,601 | 7,831,843 |
May | 159,559 | 7,206,673 |
June | 169,492 | 7,885,361 |
July | 157,566 | 7,308,461 |
August | 151,943 | 7,048,481 |
September | 145,283 | 6,695,905 |
October | 136,399 | 6,398,153 |
November | 116,624 | 6,000,072 |
December | 105,080 | 5,646,858 |
2022 | ||
January | 96,511 | 4,823,630 |
February | 105,859 | 5,233,359 |
March | 146,975 | 7,279,073 |
April | 142,910 | 6,986,937 |
May | 149,951 | 7,657,555 |
June | 152,604 | 8,098,162 |
July | 134,643 | 6,914,791 |
August | 136,815 | 7,381,156 |
September | 140,094 | 7,369,580 |
October | 131,085 | 6,853,944 |
November | 125,339 | 6,663,305 |
December | 110,271 | 6,135,048 |
2023 | ||
January | 103,355 | 5,851,062 |
February | 109,799 | 6,174,969 |
March | 152,943 | 8,483,490 |
April | 151,335 | 8,252,891 |
May | 171,889 | 9,648,708 |
June | 169,527 | 9,352,513 |
July | 147,618 | 8,190,694 |
August | 159,668 | 8,926,326 |
September | 164,168 | 9,154,748 |
October | 151,978 | 8,400,811 |
November | 144,634 | 8,071,438 |
December | 128,827 | 7,455,783 |
2024 | ||
January | 116,874 | 6,417,326 |
February | 136,622 | 7,450,359 |
March | 171,641 | 9,223,052 |
April | 175,066 | 9,722,960 |
May | 184,711 | 10,414,824 |
June | 166,120 | 9,430,648 |
July | 169,327 | 9,518,546 |
August | 166,001 | 9,241,475 |
September | 166,557 | 9,569,718 |
October | 164,757 | 9,294,949 |
November | 161,535 | 9,385,630 |
December | 135,511 | 8,084,277 |
As of December 2024, the median price per new vehicle was $65,219,Note up from $40,386 in 2019, at the Canada level,Note and for used vehicles, the price increased to $34,445, up from $18,900. New and used (Chart A.2) vehicle prices have come down moderately from highs experienced in 2023, but vehicles remain costlier than they were in years prior. From December 2019 to December 2024, the provinces experienced new vehicle price changes from a low of 45.1% in Alberta to a high of 85.5% in Quebec. Despite Quebec encountering the largest five-year increase, new vehicles are currently most expensive in Alberta, at $68,948, and least expensive in the Atlantic provinces, at $61,355.Note Vehicle prices in all provinces have declined from highs experienced in 2023. All else being equal, a higher-valued vehicle costs insurers more to repair or replace, in turn costing consumers more in insurance premiums.Note
Electric vehicles trend higher, contributing to higher claim costs because of costlier repairs
The shift toward electric vehiclesNote varies by province. British Columbia had the most electric vehicle registrations (Chart 8) out of total vehicle types, at 6.1% in 2023. All provinces recorded increases in the percentage of electric vehicle registrations from 2020. The Prairie provinces (1.6%) and the Atlantic provinces (1.7%) had the lowest percentages in 2023. The initial cost of ownership of an electric vehicle can be higher than that of an ICE vehicle, but lifetime ownership costs vary, given that, for example, electric vehicles consume less or no gasoline. As of a 2019 study,Note the levelized cost of ownership is quite similar regardless of engine type, and energy prices are lower in regions such as Quebec and British Columbia. Both new and used battery electric vehicle prices have declined from a year prior as of December 2024, 7.8% for new to $70,682Note and 18.4% for used to $42,045, mainly because of an increase in supply and a drop in demand.Note Purchase incentivesNote are also available for various electric vehicles, varying by province.
Data table for Chart 8
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
percent | ||||
Note: Electric vehicles include: battery electric, hybrid electric, plug-in electric.
Source: Table 23-10-0308-01 Vehicle registrations, by type of vehicle and fuel type. |
||||
Atlantic | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
Quebec | 2.3 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 4.9 |
Ontario | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.3 |
Prairies | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
British Columbia | 3.0 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 6.0 |
As of 2023, the average cost to repair an electric vehicle was $6,795, higher than the average of $5,122 for ICE vehicles.Note Generally, electric vehicles are heavier and have a higher rate of airbag deployment, contributing to higher claim costs. The high costs of battery replacement also add to claim costs, and auto insurers can expect to write off more electric vehicles.Note However, recent reports suggest that the cost has begun trending downward and could decline in the next few years. Despite more comparable claims costs for electric vehicles and ICEs, vehicles in general are becoming more complicated and costly to repair, contributing to overall higher claims costs and thus higher premiums.
Vehicle complexity increases vehicle prices and claims costs, impacted further by prices per part and repairs increasing during pandemic
Many ICE vehicles are made up of tens of thousands of parts,Note significantly more than electric vehicles; however, electric vehicles require more semiconductors for electric componentsNote . During the pandemic, there were significant supply shortages for semiconductors, among other inputs, as production shutdowns occurred. During this time, vehicle prices (Chart 7) trended upward, mainly because of supply shortages for new vehicles, leading to a substantial increase in the price of used vehicles.Note
Data table for Chart 9
Passenger vehicle parts, accessories and supplies | Passenger vehicle maintenance and repair services | |
---|---|---|
index 2002 = 100 | ||
Source: Consumer Price Index. | ||
2020 | ||
January | 136.3 | 155.6 |
February | 136.3 | 155.6 |
March | 136.3 | 155.6 |
April | 137.7 | 156.2 |
May | 137.7 | 156.2 |
June | 137.7 | 156.2 |
July | 138.1 | 157.0 |
August | 138.1 | 157.0 |
September | 138.1 | 157.0 |
October | 137.7 | 157.9 |
November | 137.7 | 157.9 |
December | 137.7 | 157.9 |
2021 | ||
January | 138.9 | 158.8 |
February | 138.9 | 158.8 |
March | 138.9 | 158.8 |
April | 138.3 | 160.1 |
May | 138.3 | 160.1 |
June | 138.3 | 160.1 |
July | 139.9 | 161.9 |
August | 139.9 | 161.9 |
September | 139.9 | 161.9 |
October | 142.6 | 163.3 |
November | 142.6 | 163.3 |
December | 142.6 | 163.3 |
2022 | ||
January | 146.6 | 166.0 |
February | 146.6 | 166.0 |
March | 146.6 | 166.0 |
April | 148.0 | 167.6 |
May | 148.0 | 167.6 |
June | 148.0 | 167.6 |
July | 153.1 | 170.8 |
August | 153.1 | 170.8 |
September | 153.1 | 170.8 |
October | 154.8 | 172.5 |
November | 154.8 | 172.5 |
December | 154.8 | 172.5 |
2023 | ||
January | 159.3 | 175.2 |
February | 159.3 | 175.2 |
March | 159.3 | 175.2 |
April | 160.0 | 178.0 |
May | 160.0 | 178.0 |
June | 160.0 | 178.0 |
July | 162.9 | 179.4 |
August | 162.9 | 179.4 |
September | 162.9 | 179.4 |
October | 163.8 | 181.7 |
November | 163.8 | 181.7 |
December | 163.8 | 181.7 |
2024 | ||
January | 164.4 | 183.7 |
February | 164.4 | 183.7 |
March | 164.4 | 183.7 |
April | 164.7 | 185.5 |
May | 164.7 | 185.5 |
June | 164.7 | 185.5 |
July | 165.4 | 187.0 |
August | 165.4 | 187.0 |
September | 165.4 | 187.0 |
October | 165.2 | 187.9 |
November | 165.2 | 187.9 |
December | 165.2 | 187.9 |
The passenger vehicle parts, accessories and supplies component of the CPI (Chart 9) increased most significantly in late 2021, peaking year over year at 9.4% in July, August, September 2022. Passenger vehicle maintenance and repair services followed a similar trend, peaking at 6.2% year over year in April, May, June 2023. Although year-over-year percentage increases have slowed to movements more consistent with before the pandemic, the index for passenger vehicle parts, maintenance and repairs was 22.3% higher in December 2024 than in 2019. The increase in parts, maintenance and repair costs has a direct impact on the prices insurers pay, as well as the premiums consumers pay.
Vehicle safety features contribute to fewer fatal collisions but also to a higher cost per claim
During the pandemic, collision claims decreased as a percentage of total claims, largely because fewer drivers were on the road. Despite the reductions in 2020 and 2021, the overall trend in claims costs has risen steadily over the past decade.
Data table for Chart 10
Fatal collisions | Personal Injury | Fatalities victims | Serious Injuries victims | Injuries victims (total) | Fatality rate | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
number of collisions | rate per 10,000 motor vehicles registered | |||||
Note: Fatality rate per 10,000 motor vehicles registered. Canadian Motor Vehicle Traffic Collision Statistics: 2022 (canada.ca)
Canadian Motor Vehicle Traffic Collision Statistics: 2022 (canada.ca) Source: Transport Canada, Canadian motor vehicle traffic collision statistics. |
||||||
2013 | 1,772 | 120,371 | 1,951 | 10,662 | 164,525 | 0.85 |
2014 | 1,675 | 114,617 | 1,841 | 10,445 | 156,557 | 0.78 |
2015 | 1,693 | 117,857 | 1,887 | 10,835 | 160,806 | 0.79 |
2016 | 1,738 | 116,583 | 1,900 | 10,573 | 158,854 | 0.78 |
2017 | 1,698 | 112,714 | 1,861 | 10,104 | 152,773 | 0.76 |
2018 | 1,754 | 109,580 | 1,930 | 9,463 | 149,065 | 0.77 |
2019 | 1,620 | 103,020 | 1,761 | 8,917 | 139,084 | 0.69 |
2020 | 1,602 | 78,388 | 1,711 | 7,868 | 104,286 | 0.66 |
2021 | 1,628 | 81,962 | 1,821 | 8,185 | 108,552 | 0.69 |
2022 | 1,746 | 89,787 | 1,931 | 8,851 | 118,853 | 0.73 |
While total claims costs have increased, the fatality rate (Chart 10) has shown improvement compared with historical levels and, as of 2022, was better than in the years before the pandemic. However, despite the lower fatality rate, the number of fatalities reached 1,913 in 2022, representing a 6% increase from 2021 and marking the second-highest count in the past 10 years.Note The collision claims ratio (Chart 11) has consistently been higher in Ontario than in Alberta, with particularly notable claims ratios in Ontario of 79% in 2022 and 82% in 2023.Note
Data table for Chart 11
Claims ratio Ontario | Claims ratio Alberta | Average cost per claim Ontario | Average cost per claim Alberta | |
---|---|---|---|---|
percent | dollars | |||
Source: GISA, author's calculations. | ||||
2019 | 98 | 69 | 8,320 | 6,468 |
2020 | 56 | 48 | 8,678 | 6,764 |
2021 | 52 | 50 | 8,926 | 7,564 |
2022 | 79 | 65 | 10,282 | 9,588 |
2023 | 82 | 55 | 10,955 | 9,747 |
The casualty rates in 2022 varied significantly by province, with rates in the Atlantic provinces ranking among the highest—in some cases double the national level. In 2020, Newfoundland and Labrador experienced the highest rate of fatalities per 100,000 population, and Prince Edward Island held the top spot for 2021 and 2022. The provinces with the highest total populations and busiest roads, Quebec, Ontario and British Columbia, experienced the fewest fatalities as a percentage of the population. It was noted that rural areas often have higher speed limits, with collision sites exceeding 60 kilometers per hour. Speed is commonly one of the contributing factors in fatal collisions.
Car safety is an important consideration for fewer fatalities and casualties. Numerous features are now legally required in vehicles (seatbelts, airbags and backup cameras), making vehicles safer. Crumple zones,Note where some of the impact is transferred throughout the vehicle components rather than thrust entirely onto a person’s body, have also been highlighted in recent years. The tradeoff for avoiding personal injury is more vehicle damage and higher repair costs, as the vehicle inputs are costlier, and vehicle damage may be greater.
The frequency of total loss claims has grown, meaning there has been an increase in the incidence of costs to repair a vehicle exceeding the typical 70% to 80% threshold limit of the vehicle’s depreciated value at the time of the accident. If a vehicle is worth $40,000 and the damage exceeds $30,000, it is likely that, from an insurer’s perspective, it is not worth repairing. In this case, the vehicle would be considered a total loss, and a cheque would be issued at the depreciated value so another vehicle could be purchased. As of 2019, total losses comprise 20% of physical damage claims and make up a nearly equal split between total loss claims and repair claims.Note As of 2023, a total loss is more likely because of ongoing supply chain issues, inflation, high rental car costs (Chart A.3) and repair delays, in addition to the aforementioned factors.
Auto theft has increased significantly, contributing to higher claims costs for comprehensive coverage
Comprehensive coverage applies to losses other than those that come under collision or upsetNote coverage, including specified perils.Note Specified perils are items specifically listed for coverage, such as fire; theft; civil disturbance; transport; or extreme weather such as lightning, hail, water, wind and earthquakes. Depending on the specific company and policy, other items may be listed or excluded from the list. Comprehensive coverage is not mandated, but consumers commonly opt into additional coverage to provide adequate protection.
This analysis focuses on Ontario and Alberta, given that Ontario is the largest province and has been the most susceptible to theft, and Alberta has experienced several extreme weather events recently. The claims ratio associated with comprehensive coverage (Chart 12) increased most significantly in Ontario, surpassing 100% in 2021 and peaking in 2023 at 190%. This means that for every dollar Ontario insurers received in comprehensive insurance revenues, the associated claim costs were $1.90. This coverage alone does not indicate unprofitability, but it does push the total claims ratio up—the average claims ratio for all companies in Ontario was 75%, and the NISR was 97%. If insurers experience increasing costs and cannot cut them, they must increase revenues, which can be done largely through premium increases.
Data table for Chart 12
Ontario | Alberta | |
---|---|---|
percent | ||
Source: GISA, author's calculations. | ||
2019 | 90 | 66 |
2020 | 84 | 95 |
2021 | 101 | 64 |
2022 | 164 | 67 |
2023 | 190 | 73 |
Across Canada, auto theft frequency (Chart 13) has risen steadily, increasing 27% from 2020 to 2023, reaching nearly 50,000 claims per year. Ontario was impacted most significantly in this period, with an increase of 75%, while there was an increase of 23% for Quebec, an increase of 18% for the Atlantic provinces and a decrease of 4% for the west. Although the frequency of theft claims is substantial, the associated costs per claim increased more significantly. In 2023, theft claim costs at the Canada level surpassed $1.5 billion, up from $489 million in 2019—an increase of 317%. As of the first half of 2024, auto theft has decreased by 17% compared with the first half of 2023, and Quebec experienced the most significant decline.Note In 2024, Public Safety Canada, in collaboration with other agencies, put resources toward an action plan on combatting auto theft.Note
Newer and luxury vehicles are typically the most vulnerable to theft, as they are worth more, making them more desirable. The make and model of a vehicle therefore contribute to the premiums consumers pay because of the associated risk of theft, so insurers charge higher rates in those cases. It is possible that the rise in vehicle prices has exacerbated the issue, increasing the incentive for theft.
Data table for Chart 13
Claims Cost (in hundred thousand) | Average Cost per claim | Claims Count | |
---|---|---|---|
dollars | count | ||
Source: Insurance Bureau of Canada. | |||
2019 | 4,886 | 15,031 | 32,504 |
2020 | 5,227 | 18,205 | 28,714 |
2021 | 7,743 | 22,749 | 34,038 |
2022 | 13,019 | 28,656 | 45,434 |
2023 | 15,478 | 31,156 | 49,679 |
Extreme weather claims put pressure on insurers, impacting auto insurance significantly less than homeowners’ insurance
Extreme weather claims—measured by catastrophic (CAT)Note claims—have increased substantially in the last several years. Both 2022 and 2023 were record years, surpassing $3 billion in CAT losses, while 2024 was the costliest year on record, surpassing $8.6 billionNote in insured losses for CAT claims. Although these claims are more prominent among personal property lines of business, they also impact auto insurance because of garages flooding or vehicles being damaged on the road,Note or by hail or falling trees. For auto insurance, CAT claims (Chart 14) made up an average of 2.3% of total claims over the last 10 years. The effects of extreme weather on auto insurers are less clear, given the proportion of these claims among total claims; however, the claim severity costs are much higher for CATs than those of “normal” claims. Regardless of claim type, the trend is an upward one, increasing most significantly from 2021 to 2023. While extreme weather is less of a contributor than several other factors, it should still be considered, given its recent increase and high claims severity.
Data table for Chart 14
Normal claims | Catastrophic claims | Normal claims severity | Catastrophic claims severity | |
---|---|---|---|---|
claim count | claims severity | |||
Source: GISA, author's calculations. | ||||
2013 | 189,625 | 9,081 | 2,682 | 6,697 |
2014 | 191,730 | 3,433 | 2,870 | 7,201 |
2015 | 199,869 | 743 | 3,000 | 5,087 |
2016 | 210,289 | 4,657 | 3,242 | 7,538 |
2017 | 213,294 | 2,981 | 3,721 | 7,913 |
2018 | 228,674 | 10,929 | 4,225 | 6,160 |
2019 | 236,060 | 3,453 | 4,459 | 7,073 |
2020 | 193,575 | 2,642 | 4,639 | 6,350 |
2021 | 207,386 | 3,204 | 5,331 | 7,418 |
2022 | 251,682 | 8,318 | 7,061 | 8,589 |
2023 | 268,698 | 15,343 | 8,049 | 9,149 |
Auto insurance premiums vary significantly by province, but largely trend upward
Because of higher claim costs and inflationary pressures, consumers are facing higher auto insurance premiums, as measured by the passenger vehicle insurance premiums in the CPI. Despite the declining prices consumers experienced during the pandemic—partially because they drove less and partially because of rebates—auto insurance premiums at the Canada level were above pre-pandemic levels, increasing 36.4% from December 2014 to 2024.Note Prior to the pandemic, premiums increased to a high of 9.0% year over year in October 2019 but began dampening and then declined by 6.7% year over year in January 2022. This was largely a result of the aforementioned effects of the pandemic. As of December 2024, premiums rose 8.7% year over year, a moderate dampening than in the months prior. The largest annual gain from 2014 to 2024 was 9.6% occurring in July 2024 and again in September.
Consumers in British Columbia, Saskatchewan and Manitoba saw large price changes during the pandemic, as government insurers offered discounts and rebates. Premium changes are unique to each consumer, based on the timing of renewal, the rebate date, the insurer market share within the region and individual driving habits. Those who parked their vehicles and did not need the full range of coverage were offered steeper rebates and discounts, while those who were still driving received more moderate ones. Such discounts and rebates can be seen in the steep decline across 2021 and into 2022 (Chart 15). Across the remainder of 2022 and into 2023, consumers experienced large price increases, partially exacerbated by the base effect, attributable to low premiums a year earlier.
Data table for Chart 15
Manitoba | Saskatchewan | British Columbia | |
---|---|---|---|
index 2002 = 100 | |||
Source: Consumer Price Index. | |||
2020 | |||
January | 140.0 | 154.6 | 162.7 |
February | 140.0 | 154.6 | 162.7 |
March | 146.0 | 154.6 | 162.7 |
April | 146.0 | 154.6 | 162.7 |
May | 130.6 | 156.7 | 168.4 |
June | 130.6 | 156.7 | 168.4 |
July | 130.6 | 156.7 | 168.4 |
August | 130.6 | 156.7 | 168.4 |
September | 130.6 | 156.7 | 168.4 |
October | 130.6 | 156.7 | 168.4 |
November | 130.6 | 156.7 | 168.4 |
December | 130.6 | 156.7 | 168.4 |
2021 | |||
January | 130.6 | 156.7 | 168.4 |
February | 122.3 | 156.7 | 168.4 |
March | 122.3 | 156.7 | 168.4 |
April | 125.9 | 156.7 | 152.4 |
May | 125.1 | 136.0 | 123.2 |
June | 125.1 | 118.8 | 123.2 |
July | 125.1 | 118.8 | 123.2 |
August | 125.1 | 118.8 | 123.2 |
September | 125.1 | 118.8 | 123.2 |
October | 125.1 | 118.8 | 123.2 |
November | 125.1 | 118.8 | 123.2 |
December | 125.1 | 118.8 | 123.2 |
2022 | |||
January | 125.1 | 118.8 | 123.2 |
February | 125.1 | 118.8 | 123.2 |
March | 125.1 | 118.8 | 123.2 |
April | 122.2 | 145.7 | 139.1 |
May | 153.3 | 146.6 | 140.1 |
June | 153.3 | 137.0 | 128.4 |
July | 153.3 | 167.8 | 143.7 |
August | 153.3 | 167.8 | 143.7 |
September | 153.3 | 167.8 | 143.7 |
October | 153.3 | 167.8 | 143.7 |
November | 153.3 | 167.8 | 143.7 |
December | 153.3 | 167.8 | 143.7 |
2023 | |||
January | 153.3 | 167.8 | 143.7 |
February | 153.3 | 167.8 | 143.7 |
March | 153.3 | 167.8 | 143.7 |
April | 158.4 | 167.9 | 143.7 |
May | 156.9 | 168.3 | 143.7 |
June | 156.9 | 168.3 | 145.3 |
July | 156.9 | 168.3 | 145.3 |
August | 156.9 | 168.3 | 145.3 |
September | 156.9 | 168.3 | 145.3 |
October | 156.9 | 168.3 | 145.3 |
November | 156.9 | 168.3 | 145.3 |
December | 156.9 | 168.3 | 145.3 |
2024 | |||
January | 156.9 | 168.3 | 145.3 |
February | 156.9 | 168.3 | 145.3 |
March | 156.9 | 168.3 | 145.3 |
April | 158.4 | 168.3 | 145.3 |
May | 158.7 | 169.5 | 145.3 |
June | 158.7 | 169.5 | 145.3 |
July | 158.7 | 169.5 | 155.0 |
August | 158.7 | 169.5 | 155.0 |
September | 158.7 | 169.5 | 155.0 |
October | 158.7 | 169.5 | 155.0 |
November | 158.7 | 169.5 | 155.0 |
December | 158.7 | 169.5 | 155.0 |
Rates are set and held constant for some time, then adjusted periodically through rate approvals, taking current market conditions into account. Given the significant market share within each province, premiums for these regions are more standardized, where universal rate changes are applied across the board.
Data table for Chart 16
Quebec | Ontario | |
---|---|---|
index 2002 = 100 | ||
Source: Consumer Price Index. | ||
2020 | ||
January | 204.9 | 195.1 |
February | 205.2 | 196.9 |
March | 206.9 | 198.4 |
April | 208.6 | 198.4 |
May | 213.8 | 200.5 |
June | 216.2 | 201.3 |
July | 214.2 | 201.1 |
August | 216.9 | 201.1 |
September | 216.9 | 196.6 |
October | 219.8 | 196.6 |
November | 219.8 | 196.6 |
December | 221.6 | 194.8 |
2021 | ||
January | 217.6 | 195.3 |
February | 217.7 | 195.3 |
March | 214.0 | 195.3 |
April | 213.5 | 195.3 |
May | 218.1 | 194.3 |
June | 218.1 | 194.1 |
July | 221.0 | 188.3 |
August | 221.1 | 188.3 |
September | 220.9 | 188.3 |
October | 218.6 | 188.3 |
November | 218.6 | 188.3 |
December | 218.6 | 188.3 |
2022 | ||
January | 207.4 | 188.7 |
February | 207.7 | 188.7 |
March | 207.7 | 189.4 |
April | 205.5 | 187.9 |
May | 210.8 | 185.3 |
June | 213.5 | 185.3 |
July | 214.4 | 185.3 |
August | 214.4 | 186.0 |
September | 214.4 | 187.5 |
October | 212.2 | 187.7 |
November | 212.2 | 187.7 |
December | 214.4 | 191.0 |
2023 | ||
January | 213.3 | 189.8 |
February | 212.1 | 189.8 |
March | 212.3 | 189.8 |
April | 212.3 | 190.6 |
May | 212.8 | 191.9 |
June | 213.7 | 192.9 |
July | 214.8 | 195.5 |
August | 221.9 | 196.3 |
September | 221.9 | 199.0 |
October | 223.5 | 201.8 |
November | 225.1 | 205.5 |
December | 232.3 | 209.6 |
2024 | ||
January | 233.2 | 210.0 |
February | 232.9 | 210.5 |
March | 235.2 | 212.5 |
April | 235.0 | 213.2 |
May | 236.2 | 214.3 |
June | 238.1 | 219.0 |
July | 237.9 | 220.8 |
August | 236.7 | 222.7 |
September | 238.0 | 226.8 |
October | 234.4 | 227.8 |
November | 237.4 | 230.4 |
December | 238.3 | 234.7 |
The remaining provinces experienced declines through the onset of the pandemic, and in all provinces except Alberta and those where insurance is government-run,Note the downward trend continued until late 2021. In Ontario and Quebec (Chart 16), prices increased steadily from 2022 to 2024. Despite increases, Alberta (Chart 17) experienced lower price fluctuations than other provinces, at around 5% year over year for most of 2023. This annual 5% is contradictory to the rate pause set in 2023 by the Alberta government; however, it could be partially caused by pre-approved rates from late 2022, as well as claim incidence. This is not the first rate freeze or cap set by the Alberta government. The last rate cap was from 2017 to 2019, when consumers experienced a 12% increase.Note Unlike the other Prairie provinces, auto insurance in Alberta is purchased through private insurers, similar to Ontario, Quebec and the Atlantic provinces. Ontario and Alberta faced the highest average premiums (Chart A.1). Since the onset of the pandemic, insurance costs have increased in all provinces except British Columbia, as of December 2024.
Data table for Chart 17
Alberta | |
---|---|
index 2002 = 100 | |
Source: Consumer Price Index. | |
2020 | |
January | 244.0 |
February | 244.7 |
March | 244.7 |
April | 245.8 |
May | 250.7 |
June | 251.0 |
July | 250.7 |
August | 251.3 |
September | 251.3 |
October | 260.1 |
November | 260.1 |
December | 260.1 |
2021 | |
January | 261.8 |
February | 261.8 |
March | 261.8 |
April | 261.3 |
May | 265.7 |
June | 265.6 |
July | 265.6 |
August | 265.6 |
September | 265.6 |
October | 265.6 |
November | 265.6 |
December | 266.0 |
2022 | |
January | 271.9 |
February | 271.8 |
March | 271.8 |
April | 271.8 |
May | 274.0 |
June | 274.0 |
July | 274.0 |
August | 274.0 |
September | 274.2 |
October | 274.2 |
November | 274.2 |
December | 274.2 |
2023 | |
January | 273.3 |
February | 279.5 |
March | 279.5 |
April | 283.0 |
May | 285.6 |
June | 283.9 |
July | 283.3 |
August | 288.1 |
September | 286.4 |
October | 286.0 |
November | 285.8 |
December | 279.1 |
2024 | |
January | 289.3 |
February | 284.9 |
March | 284.7 |
April | 284.2 |
May | 288.4 |
June | 298.4 |
July | 306.5 |
August | 304.8 |
September | 306.1 |
October | 306.9 |
November | 312.7 |
December | 314.1 |
Alberta auto insurance faces additional price pressures, and insurers withdraw capacity
As of November 2023, several insurers began withdrawing from the Alberta auto insurance market. Collectively, the departing insurers represented a small share of the market. These exits, scheduled between late 2023 and early 2025, have been attributed to ongoing unprofitability and challenging market conditions. Approximately one-third of insurers in Alberta were unprofitable during this time, and they have indicated that the rate caps are, in part, a factor in the capacity withdrawal and the proportion of claim costs allocated to legal fees increasing.Note In November 2024, the Alberta government announced the end of the rate cap and auto insurance reforms to transition to a pure no-fault system, permitting annual 7.5% increases, which can take effect throughout 2025.Note The new no-fault model is expected to take effect in 2027.
Appendix
Ontario and Alberta face the highest average premiums
Data table for Chart A.1
Average written premium | 10-year historical, average annual percentage change | |
---|---|---|
dollars | percent | |
Note: Use averages with caution.
Source: Insurance Bureau of Canada, Albertaautoinsurancefacts, Saskatchewan General Insurance, Insurance Company of British Columbia, Manitoba Public Insurance, Consumer Price Index. |
||
Ontario | 2,068 | 3.5 |
Alberta | 1,818 | 6.6 |
British Columbia | 1,522 | 0.9 |
Saskatchewan | 1,361 | 2.3 |
Manitoba | 1,235 | 3.8 |
Atlantic | 1,259 | 4.5 |
Quebec | 1,044 | 4.3 |
Individual features also impactful
Personal driving habitsNote and demographic features are important to note when comparing individual insurance premiums. Factors such as age, gender, driver history and, in some cases, credit rating are most impactful when insurers determine personalized risk. Maintaining a clean driving record, choosing a vehicle with a lower theft rate and good security and safety features,Note and increasing the deductible all help to reduce premiums.Note Overall, insurers rate individuals not only on market consideration but also on individual features, even taking into account the number of kilometers driven per year and whether snow tires are used. When adjudicating premiums, it can also be important to consider multi-line discounts or multi-vehicle policies to reduce overall premiums. Consumers have power over many factors that contribute to lower premiums.
Vehicle make and model impact premiums
The make and model of a vehicle, as well as its age and condition, can be crucial in influencing the premiums paid.Note Coupes, two-door vehicles and convertibles are most susceptible to higher-than-average accident benefit claims and direct compensation for property damage, having higher claim costs per vehicle. Owning riskier vehicles can lead to higher premiums. Luxury brands and newer vehicles have comprehensive claims that are higher than average; theft is a significant contributor to this because thieves prefer more expensive vehicles. The price of the vehicle and its risk of theft influence the premium. Collision claims are highest for higher-powered luxury vehicles, which are often sport utility vehicles and have all-wheel drive. Safe driving habits such as maintaining distance, removing distractions, not speeding and remaining calm behind the wheel decrease the chance of a collision, and maintaining a safe driving record leads to lower rates.
Used vehicle and rental vehicle prices reach highs during the pandemic
The pandemic played a significant role in the rising costs of new and used vehicles. Supply chain disruptions for new vehicles and semiconductors, essential for vehicle production, greatly reduced the availability of new vehicles and drove prices up. This caused the price of used vehicles to increase significantly, as demand for vehicles outpaced the supply of new vehicles available.
In late 2020, used vehicle prices began diverging from those of new vehicles. At this time, the CPI for used vehicles was being imputed from new vehicles, but given the divergence, new and used vehicles were separated.Note The separate indexes were released in the official CPI in April 2022 on a monthly basis. There is a gap in Chart A.2 because the 12-month values are only available after 12 months. Caution should be used with Chart A.2, as the methodology for the first portion was calculated outside the official CPI, and the data beginning in April 2023 uses the official method now being incorporated.
Data table for Chart A.2
New vehicles | Used vehicles | |
---|---|---|
12-month percentage change | ||
Source: Consumer Price Index, Measuring price change for used vehicles in the Canadian Consumer Price Index. |
||
2020 | ||
January | 2.27 | 1.03 |
February | 2.24 | 2.78 |
March | 1.03 | 0.73 |
April | 1.88 | 0.68 |
May | 1.98 | -0.49 |
June | 2.82 | 0.20 |
July | 3.29 | 2.80 |
August | 2.19 | 3.62 |
September | 2.69 | 3.36 |
October | 2.94 | 3.33 |
November | 2.01 | 5.30 |
December | 2.45 | 5.62 |
2021 | ||
January | 2.87 | 7.11 |
February | 2.79 | 8.13 |
March | 3.49 | 8.24 |
April | 3.39 | 10.20 |
May | 4.94 | 11.73 |
June | 4.10 | 14.44 |
July | 5.52 | 12.61 |
August | 7.13 | 13.82 |
September | 7.22 | 13.57 |
October | 6.13 | 15.28 |
November | 6.03 | 14.98 |
December | 7.21 | 18.32 |
2022 | ||
January | 5.20 | 19.71 |
February | 4.70 | 20.64 |
March | 7.20 | 24.50 |
April | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period |
May | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period |
June | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period |
July | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period |
August | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period |
September | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period |
October | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period |
November | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period |
December | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period |
2023 | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period |
January | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period |
February | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period |
March | .. not available for a specific reference period | .. not available for a specific reference period |
April | 5.20 | 2.00 |
May | 4.30 | 1.20 |
June | 3.30 | 0.60 |
July | 3.30 | 0.40 |
August | 3.10 | 0.90 |
September | 1.70 | 1.10 |
October | 1.80 | 1.00 |
November | 1.90 | 0.90 |
December | 3.40 | 0.30 |
2024 | ||
January | 4.50 | -1.80 |
February | 3.30 | -1.90 |
March | 2.10 | -2.90 |
April | 1.40 | -2.30 |
May | 2.60 | -2.80 |
June | 1.80 | -4.50 |
July | 1.00 | -5.70 |
August | 1.30 | -6.70 |
September | 2.20 | -7.60 |
October | 2.30 | -6.40 |
November | 2.40 | -5.50 |
December | 0.90 | -4.10 |
As the pandemic set in, many major rental car operators sold off their fleets. When the economy opened back up and consumers began demanding travel accommodations, there was a significant shortage of available rental vehicles. The rental of passenger vehicles (Chart A.3) component in the CPI peaked from September to November 2021, at 60.4% year over year. As of December 2024, rental vehicles cost 20.4% more than they did in December 2019, a dampened figure compared to pandemic highs. Rental vehicles were most costly in June, July, and August 2023 a 74.7% increase from December 2019, partially due to the compounding effect from previous increases across 2021.
Data table for Chart A.3
Rental of passenger vehicles | |
---|---|
12-month percentage change | |
Source: Consumer Price Index. | |
2020 | |
January | 2.7 |
February | 2.7 |
March | -6.4 |
April | -6.4 |
May | -6.4 |
June | -9.0 |
July | -9.0 |
August | -9.0 |
September | 5.3 |
October | 5.3 |
November | 5.3 |
December | 7.2 |
2021 | |
January | 7.2 |
February | 7.2 |
March | 22.0 |
April | 22.0 |
May | 22.0 |
June | 29.8 |
July | 29.8 |
August | 29.8 |
September | 60.4 |
October | 60.4 |
November | 60.4 |
December | 24.0 |
2022 | |
January | 24.0 |
February | 24.0 |
March | 19.4 |
April | 19.4 |
May | 19.4 |
June | 28.5 |
July | 28.5 |
August | 28.5 |
September | -8.1 |
October | -8.1 |
November | -8.1 |
December | 1.3 |
2023 | |
January | 1.3 |
February | 1.3 |
March | 2.0 |
April | 2.0 |
May | 2.0 |
June | 5.4 |
July | 5.4 |
August | 5.4 |
September | -2.2 |
October | -2.2 |
November | -2.2 |
December | -5.0 |
2024 | |
January | -5.0 |
February | -5.0 |
March | -19.1 |
April | -19.1 |
May | -19.1 |
June | -16.2 |
July | -16.2 |
August | -16.2 |
September | -4.9 |
October | -4.9 |
November | -4.9 |
December | -5.8 |
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