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All (10) ((10 results))
- Articles and reports: 11-522-X202100100003Description:
The increasing size and richness of digital data allow for modeling more complex relationships and interactions, which is the strongpoint of machine learning. Here we applied gradient boosting to the Dutch system of social statistical datasets to estimate transition probabilities into and out of poverty. Individual estimates are reasonable, but the main advantages of the approach in combination with SHAP and global surrogate models are the simultaneous ranking of hundreds of features by their importance, detailed insight into their relationship with the transition probabilities, and the data-driven identification of subpopulations with relatively high and low transition probabilities. In addition, we decompose the difference in feature importance between general and subpopulation into a frequency and a feature effect. We caution for misinterpretation and discuss future directions.
Key Words: Classification; Explainability; Gradient boosting; Life event; Risk factors; SHAP decomposition.
Release date: 2021-10-15 - 2. Enhancing Canada’s statistics on securities ArchivedArticles and reports: 13-605-X201900100005Description:
The last global financial crisis revealed some important data gaps in countries’ statistics to properly assess the build-up of risk and the interconnectedness in financial markets. These gaps have led to the development of a series of initiatives at the international level with clear deliverables to enhance the quality of the information produced by countries in the area of financial investment statistics, including statistics on securities. The initiative undertaken at Statistics Canada to enhance securities statistics has produced many benefits with important expansions in terms of additional characteristics of instruments issued and held by Canadians, additional sector details as well as increased frequency and timeliness.
Release date: 2019-04-16 - Articles and reports: 82-003-X201300611796Geography: CanadaDescription:
The study assesses the feasibility of using statistical modelling techniques to fill information gaps related to risk factors, specifically, smoking status, in linked long-form census data.
Release date: 2013-06-19 - 4. Respondent differences and length of data collection in the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System ArchivedArticles and reports: 12-001-X201000211384Description:
The current economic downturn in the US could challenge costly strategies in survey operations. In the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), ending the monthly data collection at 31 days could be a less costly alternative. However, this could potentially exclude a portion of interviews completed after 31 days (late responders) whose respondent characteristics could be different in many respects from those who completed the survey within 31 days (early responders). We examined whether there are differences between the early and late responders in demographics, health-care coverage, general health status, health risk behaviors, and chronic disease conditions or illnesses. We used 2007 BRFSS data, where a representative sample of the noninstitutionalized adult U.S. population was selected using a random digit dialing method. Late responders were significantly more likely to be male; to report race/ethnicity as Hispanic; to have annual income higher than $50,000; to be younger than 45 years of age; to have less than high school education; to have health-care coverage; to be significantly more likely to report good health; and to be significantly less likely to report hypertension, diabetes, or being obese. The observed differences between early and late responders on survey estimates may hardly influence national and state-level estimates. As the proportion of late responders may increase in the future, its impact on surveillance estimates should be examined before excluding from the analysis. Analysis on late responders only should combine several years of data to produce reliable estimates.
Release date: 2010-12-21 - 5. Deterministic and probabilistic record linkage ArchivedArticles and reports: 11-522-X200600110404Description:
Pursuing reduction in cost and response burden in survey programs has led to increased use of information available in administrative databases. Linkages between these two data sources is a way to exploit their complementary nature and maximize their respective usefulness. This paper discusses the various ways we have performed record linkage between the Canadian Community Health Survey (CCHS) and the Health Person-Oriented Information (HPOI) databases. The files resulting from selected linkage methods are used in an analysis of risk factors for having been hospitalized for heart disease. The sensitivity of the analysis with respect to the various linkage approaches is investigated.
Release date: 2008-03-17 - 6. Creation of public use micro-data files for the National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) ArchivedArticles and reports: 11-522-X200600110433Description:
The process of public-use micro-data files creation involves a number of components. One of its key elements is RTI International's innovative MASSC methodology. However, there are other major components in this process such as treatment of non-core identifying variables and extreme outcomes for extra protection. The statistical disclosure limitation is designed to counter both inside and outside intrusion. The components of the process are accordingly designed.
Release date: 2008-03-17 - Articles and reports: 11-522-X20030017716Description:
This paper examines how risk and quality can be used to assist with investment decisions across the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the United Kingdom. It discusses the construction of a table developed to provide measures of the strengths and weaknesses of statistical inputs and outputs.
Release date: 2005-01-26 - 8. Creation of an occupational surveillance system in Canada: Combining data for a unique Canadian study ArchivedSurveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 11-522-X19990015652Description:
Objective: To create an occupational surveillance system by collecting, linking, evaluating and disseminating data relating to occupation and mortality with the ultimate aim of reducing or preventing excess risk among workers and the general population.
Release date: 2000-03-02 - Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 11-522-X19990015658Description:
Radon, a naturally occurring gas found at some level in most homes, is an established risk factor for human lung cancer. The U.S. National Research Council (1999) has recently completed a comprehensive evaluation of the health risks of residential exposure to radon, and developed models for projecting radon lung cancer risks in the general population. This analysis suggests that radon may play a role in the etiology of 10-15% of all lung cancer cases in the United States, although these estimates are subject to considerable uncertainty. In this article, we present a partial analysis of uncertainty and variability in estimates of lung cancer risk due to residential exposure to radon in the United States using a general framework for the analysis of uncertainty and variability that we have developed previously. Specifically, we focus on estimates of the age-specific excess relative risk (ERR) and lifetime relative risk (LRR), both of which vary substantially among individuals.
Release date: 2000-03-02 - Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 11-522-X19980015017Description:
Longitudinal studies with repeated observations on individuals permit better characterizations of change and assessment of possible risk factors, but there has been little experience applying sophisticated models for longitudinal data to the complex survey setting. We present results from a comparison of different variance estimation methods for random effects models of change in cognitive function among older adults. The sample design is a stratified sample of people 65 and older, drawn as part of a community-based study designed to examine risk factors for dementia. The model summarizes the population heterogeneity in overall level and rate of change in cognitive function using random effects for intercept and slope. We discuss an unweighted regression including covariates for the stratification variables, a weighted regression, and bootstrapping; we also did preliminary work into using balanced repeated replication and jackknife repeated replication.
Release date: 1999-10-22
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Analysis (7)
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- Articles and reports: 11-522-X202100100003Description:
The increasing size and richness of digital data allow for modeling more complex relationships and interactions, which is the strongpoint of machine learning. Here we applied gradient boosting to the Dutch system of social statistical datasets to estimate transition probabilities into and out of poverty. Individual estimates are reasonable, but the main advantages of the approach in combination with SHAP and global surrogate models are the simultaneous ranking of hundreds of features by their importance, detailed insight into their relationship with the transition probabilities, and the data-driven identification of subpopulations with relatively high and low transition probabilities. In addition, we decompose the difference in feature importance between general and subpopulation into a frequency and a feature effect. We caution for misinterpretation and discuss future directions.
Key Words: Classification; Explainability; Gradient boosting; Life event; Risk factors; SHAP decomposition.
Release date: 2021-10-15 - 2. Enhancing Canada’s statistics on securities ArchivedArticles and reports: 13-605-X201900100005Description:
The last global financial crisis revealed some important data gaps in countries’ statistics to properly assess the build-up of risk and the interconnectedness in financial markets. These gaps have led to the development of a series of initiatives at the international level with clear deliverables to enhance the quality of the information produced by countries in the area of financial investment statistics, including statistics on securities. The initiative undertaken at Statistics Canada to enhance securities statistics has produced many benefits with important expansions in terms of additional characteristics of instruments issued and held by Canadians, additional sector details as well as increased frequency and timeliness.
Release date: 2019-04-16 - Articles and reports: 82-003-X201300611796Geography: CanadaDescription:
The study assesses the feasibility of using statistical modelling techniques to fill information gaps related to risk factors, specifically, smoking status, in linked long-form census data.
Release date: 2013-06-19 - 4. Respondent differences and length of data collection in the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System ArchivedArticles and reports: 12-001-X201000211384Description:
The current economic downturn in the US could challenge costly strategies in survey operations. In the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), ending the monthly data collection at 31 days could be a less costly alternative. However, this could potentially exclude a portion of interviews completed after 31 days (late responders) whose respondent characteristics could be different in many respects from those who completed the survey within 31 days (early responders). We examined whether there are differences between the early and late responders in demographics, health-care coverage, general health status, health risk behaviors, and chronic disease conditions or illnesses. We used 2007 BRFSS data, where a representative sample of the noninstitutionalized adult U.S. population was selected using a random digit dialing method. Late responders were significantly more likely to be male; to report race/ethnicity as Hispanic; to have annual income higher than $50,000; to be younger than 45 years of age; to have less than high school education; to have health-care coverage; to be significantly more likely to report good health; and to be significantly less likely to report hypertension, diabetes, or being obese. The observed differences between early and late responders on survey estimates may hardly influence national and state-level estimates. As the proportion of late responders may increase in the future, its impact on surveillance estimates should be examined before excluding from the analysis. Analysis on late responders only should combine several years of data to produce reliable estimates.
Release date: 2010-12-21 - 5. Deterministic and probabilistic record linkage ArchivedArticles and reports: 11-522-X200600110404Description:
Pursuing reduction in cost and response burden in survey programs has led to increased use of information available in administrative databases. Linkages between these two data sources is a way to exploit their complementary nature and maximize their respective usefulness. This paper discusses the various ways we have performed record linkage between the Canadian Community Health Survey (CCHS) and the Health Person-Oriented Information (HPOI) databases. The files resulting from selected linkage methods are used in an analysis of risk factors for having been hospitalized for heart disease. The sensitivity of the analysis with respect to the various linkage approaches is investigated.
Release date: 2008-03-17 - 6. Creation of public use micro-data files for the National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) ArchivedArticles and reports: 11-522-X200600110433Description:
The process of public-use micro-data files creation involves a number of components. One of its key elements is RTI International's innovative MASSC methodology. However, there are other major components in this process such as treatment of non-core identifying variables and extreme outcomes for extra protection. The statistical disclosure limitation is designed to counter both inside and outside intrusion. The components of the process are accordingly designed.
Release date: 2008-03-17 - Articles and reports: 11-522-X20030017716Description:
This paper examines how risk and quality can be used to assist with investment decisions across the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the United Kingdom. It discusses the construction of a table developed to provide measures of the strengths and weaknesses of statistical inputs and outputs.
Release date: 2005-01-26
Reference (3)
Reference (3) ((3 results))
- 1. Creation of an occupational surveillance system in Canada: Combining data for a unique Canadian study ArchivedSurveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 11-522-X19990015652Description:
Objective: To create an occupational surveillance system by collecting, linking, evaluating and disseminating data relating to occupation and mortality with the ultimate aim of reducing or preventing excess risk among workers and the general population.
Release date: 2000-03-02 - Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 11-522-X19990015658Description:
Radon, a naturally occurring gas found at some level in most homes, is an established risk factor for human lung cancer. The U.S. National Research Council (1999) has recently completed a comprehensive evaluation of the health risks of residential exposure to radon, and developed models for projecting radon lung cancer risks in the general population. This analysis suggests that radon may play a role in the etiology of 10-15% of all lung cancer cases in the United States, although these estimates are subject to considerable uncertainty. In this article, we present a partial analysis of uncertainty and variability in estimates of lung cancer risk due to residential exposure to radon in the United States using a general framework for the analysis of uncertainty and variability that we have developed previously. Specifically, we focus on estimates of the age-specific excess relative risk (ERR) and lifetime relative risk (LRR), both of which vary substantially among individuals.
Release date: 2000-03-02 - Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 11-522-X19980015017Description:
Longitudinal studies with repeated observations on individuals permit better characterizations of change and assessment of possible risk factors, but there has been little experience applying sophisticated models for longitudinal data to the complex survey setting. We present results from a comparison of different variance estimation methods for random effects models of change in cognitive function among older adults. The sample design is a stratified sample of people 65 and older, drawn as part of a community-based study designed to examine risk factors for dementia. The model summarizes the population heterogeneity in overall level and rate of change in cognitive function using random effects for intercept and slope. We discuss an unweighted regression including covariates for the stratification variables, a weighted regression, and bootstrapping; we also did preliminary work into using balanced repeated replication and jackknife repeated replication.
Release date: 1999-10-22
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