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Second quarter 2010 (preliminary) (Previous release)

As of July 1, Canada's population was estimated at 34,108,800, up 120,800 or 0.36% from April 1, 2010. Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba posted the highest rates of population growth among the provinces.

Canada's growth over the second quarter was similar to what was observed during the same quarter in 2009. Immigration increased by 11,100, but the net inflow of non-permanent residents was lower (-10,100). As a result, net international migration was stable. Natural increase, the difference between births and deaths, also changed little.

Atlantic Canada

Newfoundland and Labrador was the only province or territory to post a population decrease in the second quarter. The province's population declined by more than 300 people (-0.07%) to 509,700. The drop was mainly a result of the first net interprovincial migration outflows since the second quarter of 2008.

Prince Edward Island's population grew by close to 600 (+0.40%) to 142,300. This growth was primarily the result of an inflow of 700 in net international migration. At an annualized rate of 16.1 per thousand, the province posted the highest immigration rate in the country.

Nova Scotia's population grew by 1,100 (+0.12%) to 942,500. The increase stemmed essentially from net international migration (+900), which accounted for more than 80% of the overall growth in the province.

New Brunswick's population expanded by more than 800 (+0.11%) to 751,800. The growth was mainly a result of a net inflow in international migration (+500). The population of the province has grown constantly since the first quarter of 2007.

Central Canada

Quebec's population grew by 0.31% to 7,907,400, a quarterly increase of close to 25,000. The province's natural increase of 7,900 and net international migration of 18,500 remained at high levels.

In Ontario, the population rose by 49,500 (+0.38%) to 13,210,700. This increase was primarily a result of the province's highest net inflows in international migration (+39,500) since the third quarter of 2005.

Note to readers

This release mainly pertains to the components of demographic growth of the second quarter that contributed to the population estimates as of July 1, 2010.

The release also presents a brief analysis of recent demographic developments in population change at both the Canada and provincial/territorial levels.

Unless otherwise stated, historical comparisons in this analysis relate to the 1971 to 2010 period, the period covered by the current system of demographic accounts.

Note that both annual demographic estimates and annual demographic estimates by age and sex for year 2009/2010 were also released today. Results of both series of estimates can be found in the publication Annual Demographic Estimates: Canada, Provinces and Territories (91-215-X, free).

Natural increase is the variation in population size over a given period as a result of the difference between the number of births and the number of deaths.

Net international migration is the variation in population over a given period as a result of movements of population between Canada and other countries that involve a change in the usual place of residence. A distinction is made between immigrants, emigrants, returning emigrants, net temporary emigrants and net non-permanent residents.

Non-permanent residents (also called temporary residents) are people from another country who have a work or study permit, or who are refugee claimants, and family members living in Canada with them.

Median age is the age at which 50% of the population is older and 50% is younger.

Western Canada

Manitoba posted an increase of more than 5,100 (+0.42%) to 1,235,400. This increase was largely a result of a net inflow in international migration of close to 4,400, the province's highest quarterly number since 1971.

As of July 1, the population of Saskatchewan was estimated at 1,045,600. Saskatchewan's increase rate (+0.47%) was the second highest among the provinces. It was the province's largest growth since the third quarter of 2007. Half of the growth in Saskatchewan stemmed from net inflows in international migration (+2,400).

Alberta's population climbed by just over 18,500 (+0.50%) to 3,720,900, the highest increase rate among the provinces. Almost half of the growth in Alberta came from natural increase, the highest proportion among the provinces.

British Columbia's population grew by just under 15,500 (+0.34%) to 4,531,000. It was the province's lowest second-quarter increase since 2005. While net international migration remained strong, the province recorded its lowest net inflows of interprovincial migration (+2,000) for a second quarter since 2003.

The territories

The population of Yukon increased by more than 300 (+0.90%) to 34,500. Yukon's growth, its highest for a second quarter since 2003, stemmed primarily from net international migration.

The demographic increase of the Northwest Territories (+0.05%) was barely positive over the second quarter. The territory's natural increase offset net outflows in interprovincial migration.

Nunavut's population grew by more than 300 (+1.01%) to 33,200. The territory posted the highest rate of increase in the country. The territory's growth relied on both a strong natural increase and net interprovincial migration.

Estimates by age and sex

Population estimates by age and sex as of July 1 are also now available. New data show that Canada's population continues to age. The median age of the population was 39.7 years on July 1, up 0.2 years compared with the same date in 2009. The proportion of Canadians aged 65 and over, at 14.1% also increased compared with a year earlier (13.9%).

Available on CANSIM: tables 051-0001, 051-0002, 051-0004 to 051-0006, 051-0011 to 051-0013, 051-0017 to 051-0020, 051-0037, 051-0041, 051-0045 and 053-0001.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey numbers, including related surveys, 3231, 3233 and 3601.

The April to June 2010 issue of Quarterly Demographic Estimates, Vol. 24, no. 2 (91-002-X, free), and the Annual Demographic Estimates: Canada, Provinces and Territories, 2010 (91-215-X, free), are now available from the Key resource module of our website under Publications.

For more information, to obtain additional data, or to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact Client Services (toll-free 1-866-767-5611; 613-951-2320; fax: 613-951-2307; demography@statcan.gc.ca), Demography Division.

Table 1

Components and factors of demographic growth
  Second quarter 20091 Second quarter 20102 Second quarter 2009 and second quarter 2010
  number difference
Total growth 121,306 120,814 -492
Natural increase 37,408 36,019 -1,389
Births 96,155 96,689 534
Deaths 58,747 60,670 1,923
Net international migration 83,898 84,795 897
Immigration 69,651 80,719 11,068
Net non-permanent residents 23,215 13,113 -10,102
Emigration3 8,968 9,037 69
Updated estimates.
Preliminary estimates.
Emigration also takes into account net temporary emigration and returning emigration.

Table 2

Quarterly demographic estimates
  April 1, 20101 July 1, 20102 April 1 to July 1, 2010
  number % change
Canada 33,987,938 34,108,752 0.36
Newfoundland and Labrador 510,080 509,739 -0.07
Prince Edward Island 141,694 142,266 0.40
Nova Scotia 941,403 942,506 0.12
New Brunswick 750,939 751,755 0.11
Quebec 7,882,895 7,907,375 0.31
Ontario 13,161,183 13,210,667 0.38
Manitoba 1,230,275 1,235,412 0.42
Saskatchewan 1,040,735 1,045,622 0.47
Alberta 3,702,408 3,720,946 0.50
British Columbia 4,515,482 4,530,960 0.34
Yukon 34,218 34,525 0.90
Northwest Territories 43,739 43,759 0.05
Nunavut 32,887 33,220 1.01
Updated postcensal estimates.
Preliminary postcensal estimates.
Note(s):
These estimates are based on 2006 Census population counts adjusted for census net undercoverage and incompletely enumerated Indian reserves.

Table 3

Population estimates1, age distribution and median age as of July 1, 2010, Canada, provinces and territories
  Population 0 to 14 years 15 to 64 years 65 years and over Median age
  number % years
Canada 34,108,752 16.5 69.4 14.1 39.7
Newfoundland and Labrador 509,739 14.8 70.0 15.2 43.3
Prince Edward Island 142,266 16.2 68.2 15.6 42.1
Nova Scotia 942,506 14.8 69.1 16.0 42.8
New Brunswick 751,755 15.1 69.1 15.8 42.7
Quebec 7,907,375 15.6 69.0 15.3 41.2
Ontario 13,210,667 16.7 69.4 13.9 39.4
Manitoba 1,235,412 18.8 67.4 13.8 37.7
Saskatchewan 1,045,622 18.9 66.4 14.6 37.5
Alberta 3,720,946 18.3 71.1 10.6 35.8
British Columbia 4,530,960 15.1 69.9 15.0 40.8
Yukon 34,525 17.2 74.3 8.4 38.9
Northwest Territories 43,759 21.8 72.8 5.4 31.5
Nunavut 33,220 31.5 65.4 3.0 24.6
Preliminary postcensal estimates.

Table 4

Population estimates1 by sex and age group as of July 1, 2010, Canada
Age group Total Male Female
Total 34,108,752 16,917,282 17,191,470
0 to 4 years 1,878,160 963,446 914,714
5 to 9 years 1,803,266 928,386 874,880
10 to 14 years 1,935,244 992,060 943,184
15 to 19 years 2,226,819 1,140,059 1,086,760
20 to 24 years 2,364,868 1,214,756 1,150,112
25 to 29 years 2,394,544 1,212,138 1,182,406
30 to 34 years 2,301,397 1,150,687 1,150,710
35 to 39 years 2,294,682 1,153,074 1,141,608
40 to 44 years 2,421,020 1,219,633 1,201,387
45 to 49 years 2,793,377 1,405,280 1,388,097
50 to 54 years 2,618,766 1,306,535 1,312,231
55 to 59 years 2,288,313 1,128,182 1,160,131
60 to 64 years 1,968,695 965,010 1,003,685
65 to 69 years 1,468,925 712,574 756,351
70 to 74 years 1,104,550 519,504 585,046
75 to 79 years 912,367 412,120 500,247
80 to 84 years 688,152 283,842 404,310
85 to 89 years 427,471 150,622 276,849
90 to 94 years 166,042 47,583 118,459
95 to 99 years 45,564 10,457 35,107
100 years and over 6,530 1,334 5,196
Preliminary postcensal estimates.