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Table 2
Main assumptions for the scenarios analyzed in this report Table 2
Main assumptions for the scenarios analyzed in this report

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Table 2
Main assumptions for the scenarios analyzed in this report
Table summary
This table displays the results of Main assumptions for the scenarios analyzed in this report. The information is grouped by Scenario (appearing as row headers), Immigration, Net non-permanent residents, Emigration, Fertility, Life expectancy, Internal migration and Intragenerational religious mobility (appearing as column headers).
Scenario	Immigration	Net non-permanent residents	Emigration	Fertility	Life expectancy	Internal migration	Intragenerational religious mobility
1. Reference	- Composition by country of birth: 2010/2011 to 2014/2015 - Geographic distribution of immigrants upon arrival: 2010/2011 to 2014/2015 - Rate: 8.3 immigrants per 1,000 population	Progressive levelling-off to zero by July 2021	- Level: Medium - Differential emigration: constant	- Total fertility rate: 1.67 children per woman - Differential fertility: constant	- Growth: medium - Differential mortality: constant	- Composition: 2000/2001, 2005/2006, 2010/2011 - Level: 1996/2001, 2001/2006, 2006/2011	Rates based on 2001 to 2011
2. Low immigration	- Composition by country of birth: 2010/2011 to 2014/2015 - Geographic distribution of immigrants upon arrival: 2010/2011 to 2014/2015 - Rate: 5.0 immigrants per 1,000 population
3. High immigration	- Composition by country of birth: 2010/2011 to 2014/2015 - Geographic distribution of immigrants upon arrival: 2010/2011 to 2014/2015 - Rate: 10.0 immigrants per 1,000 population
4. Alternative geographic distribution of immigrants upon arrival (2005/2006 to 2009/2010)	- Composition by country of birth: 2010/2011 to 2014/2015 - Geographic distribution of immigrants upon arrival: 2005/2006 to 2009/2010 - Rate: 8.3 immigrants per 1,000 population
5. Alternative geographic distribution of immigrants upon arrival (2000/2001 to 2004/2005)	- Composition by country of birth: 2010/2011 to 2014/2015 - Geographic distribution of immigrants upon arrival: 2000/2001 to 2004/2005 - Rate: 8.3 immigrants per 1,000 population
6. Alternative immigration composition by country of birth (2005/2006 to 2009/2010)	- Composition by country of birth: 2005/2006 to 2009/2010 - Geographic distribution of immigrants upon arrival: 2010/2011 to 2014/2015 - Rate: 8.3 immigrants per 1,000 population
7. Alternative religious mobility^{Table 2 Note 1} (1991 to 2001)	- Composition by country of birth: 2010/2011 to 2014/2015 - Geographic distribution of immigrants upon arrival: 2010/2011 to 2014/2015 - Rate: 8.3 immigrants per 1,000 population						Rates based on 1991 to 2001
Note 1. The alternative religious mobility scenario (1991 to 2001) is only used when presenting the religious projection results. Return to note 1 referrer Note: Only components used with more than one assumption are shown in this table. For the other components, the same assumption is used in all scenarios.

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Date modified:: 2017-01-25