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Table 2.1
Estimated probabilities of migrating by type of destination and a selection of socio-demographic characteristics, 2005 to 2006

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Demographic characteristic Migration Destination
Not migrate Migrate
(any type of destination)
Central municipalities (Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver) Peripheral municipalities (Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver) Other census metropolitan areas Mid-size urban centres Rural areas near urban centres Remote rural areas/ territories
  percentage
Sex Male 95.06 4.94 0.43 1.09 1.54 0.76 0.29 0.83
Female 95.03 4.97 0.42 1.08 1.53 0.78 0.29 0.88
Age group 15 to 19 years 93.23 6.77 0.48 1.33 2.39 1.17 0.38 1.02
20 to 29 years 88.93 11.08 0.97 2.19 3.64 1.79 0.62 1.86
30 to 44 years 94.10 5.90 0.47 1.42 1.78 0.86 0.37 0.99
45 to 59 years 97.01 2.99 0.21 0.67 0.82 0.46 0.22 0.62
60 years and over 98.08 1.92 0.12 0.43 0.52 0.33 0.12 0.40
Marital status Married/common law 94.51 5.49 0.38 1.28 1.68 0.86 0.36 0.94
Single 96.19 3.81 0.42 0.74 1.24 0.58 0.18 0.66
Divorced, separated 92.28 7.72 0.71 1.53 2.44 1.28 0.42 1.34
Widowed 93.63 6.37 0.59 1.55 2.10 0.89 0.30 0.94
Presence of children No children 94.04 5.96 0.57 1.29 1.85 0.90 0.35 1.01
Children, all aged 2 and over 96.85 3.15 0.18 0.77 0.95 0.49 0.20 0.56
Recent birth of first child 94.69 5.31 0.25 1.35 1.49 0.86 0.35 1.01
Recent birth of second child 95.81 4.19 0.17 0.98 1.31 0.68 0.28 0.78
Recent birth of third child (or over)  96.15 3.85 0.15 0.71 1.19 0.68 0.30 0.83
Education level Less than high school diploma 95.74 4.26 0.23 0.94 1.11 0.70 0.33 0.93
High school 95.37 4.64 0.33 0.97 1.50 0.76 0.28 0.79
Trade school 94.84 5.16 0.33 1.20 1.41 0.85 0.38 0.99
College 94.78 5.22 0.43 1.11 1.68 0.83 0.30 0.86
University (less than bachelor's) 95.05 4.95 0.46 1.21 1.44 0.77 0.29 0.78
University (bachelor's or higher) 94.34 5.66 0.75 1.23 2.01 0.73 0.20 0.74
Aboriginal identity Aboriginal 94.18 5.82 0.33 0.75 1.90 1.12 0.20 1.52
Non-Aboriginal 95.10 4.90 0.43 1.09 1.52 0.75 0.30 0.81
Immigrant status and visible minority status Non-immigrant, non-visible 94.86 5.14 0.37 0.91 1.67 0.88 0.35 0.97
Immigrant before 1996, non-visible 95.66 4.34 0.42 1.02 1.46 0.62 0.23 0.60
Recent immigrant, non-visible 95.00 5.00 0.68 1.83 1.28 0.45 0.18 0.59
Non-immigrant, visible minority 96.82 3.18 0.48 1.30 0.86 0.25 0.07 0.21
Immigrant before 1996, visible minority 96.67 3.33 0.60 1.71 0.74 0.14 0.03 0.11
Recent immigrant, visible minority 95.47 4.53 0.74 2.12 1.25 0.26 0.02 0.15
Census sub-division of origin (2005) Urban 95.32 4.68 0.45 1.21 1.50 0.66 0.28 0.59
Rural 94.33 5.67 0.27 0.39 1.70 1.20 0.34 1.78
Note:  Probability of migrating for individuals with a specific characteristic, controlling for all other characteristics. Estimated probabilities measure the strength of the association between two variables, once the effect of the other variables included in the model has been neutralized.
Source:  Statistics Canada, Census of Population, 2006.
Table source: Statistics Canada, 2008, Report on the Demographic Situation in Canada: 2005 and 2006, catalogue number 91-209-X.