Quarterly Demographic Estimates
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The estimates released in this publication are based on 2016 Census counts adjusted for census net undercoverage and incompletely enumerated reserves to which are added the estimates of population change for the period from May 10, 2016 to the date of the estimate.
These estimates are not to be confused with the 2021 Census population counts, which were released on February 9, 2022. Total population estimates based on the 2021 Census counts, adjusted for census net undercoverage and incompletely enumerated reserves, will be available in September 2023.
The analysis in this publication is based on preliminary data. Most of the components, used to produce the preliminary estimates, are calculated using demographic models and less complete data sources, albeit more timely, than those used for updated or final estimates. These data will eventually be revised and trends described in this publication might change as a result of these revisions.
Some of the estimation methods typically used were adjusted to account for the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Given that the adjustments are similar to what was done for the second quarter of 2020, please refer to the Technical Supplement: Production of Demographic Estimates for the Second Quarter of 2020 in the Context of COVID-19. Some exceptions to be highlighted for the current quarter:
- Data from the Registration of Canadians Abroad (ROCA) were not used for estimating the number of returning emigrants.
- Manitoba data on births were adjusted to account for a known data processing backlog.
- British Columbia estimates of the number of births and deaths were not supplied by BC Stats as it is usually the case.
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