Table 3.10
Population with French as first official language spoken, by different projection scenarios, provinces and territories, Canada outside Quebec and Canada, 2011 and 2036
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| 2011 (adjusted) | 2036 (projected) | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zero immigration | Reference | Low immigration | High immigration | Low growth | High growth | Internal migration 1996 to 2001 | Internal migration 1996 to 2011 | Distribution of immigration 2000 to 2005 | Distribution of immigration 2005 to 2010 | Composition of immigration 2005 to 2010 | Almost complete transmission of French | ||
| number (thousands) | |||||||||||||
| Newfoundland and Labrador | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Prince Edward Island | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Nova Scotia | 31 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 29 |
| New Brunswick | 238 | 190 | 194 | 192 | 195 | 188 | 203 | 196 | 195 | 192 | 194 | 194 | 202 |
| Quebec | 6,830 | 7,019 | 7,912 | 7,604 | 8,103 | 7,414 | 8,417 | 7,676 | 7,845 | 7,914 | 7,998 | 7,892 | 7,948 |
| Ontario | 548 | 467 | 585 | 542 | 609 | 525 | 636 | 710 | 621 | 617 | 599 | 576 | 687 |
| Manitoba | 40 | 28 | 38 | 34 | 40 | 34 | 41 | 43 | 39 | 33 | 36 | 37 | 48 |
| Saskatchewan | 14 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 22 |
| Alberta | 72 | 77 | 106 | 95 | 112 | 94 | 116 | 134 | 114 | 97 | 101 | 107 | 141 |
| British Columbia | 63 | 54 | 69 | 63 | 72 | 61 | 76 | 90 | 76 | 69 | 71 | 69 | 93 |
| Territories | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Canada outside Quebec |
1,017 | 856 | 1,042 | 973 | 1,079 | 946 | 1,125 | 1,228 | 1,096 | 1,053 | 1,047 | 1,033 | 1,234 |
| Canada | 7,847 | 7,875 | 8,954 | 8,577 | 9,182 | 8,360 | 9,543 | 8,903 | 8,941 | 8,967 | 9,046 | 8,925 | 9,182 |
| percent | |||||||||||||
| Newfoundland and Labrador | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Prince Edward Island | 3.5 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 3.1 |
| Nova Scotia | 3.3 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 3.1 |
| New Brunswick | 31.5 | 29.4 | 28.1 | 28.6 | 27.9 | 28.6 | 27.9 | 28.5 | 28.3 | 28.8 | 28.4 | 28.2 | 29.1 |
| Quebec | 85.4 | 83.9 | 82.1 | 82.7 | 81.8 | 82.7 | 81.7 | 83.0 | 82.4 | 82.1 | 82.0 | 81.9 | 82.1 |
| Ontario | 4.1 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 4.1 |
| Manitoba | 3.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| Saskatchewan | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Alberta | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| British Columbia | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Territories | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Canada outside Quebec |
3.9 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.6 |
| Canada | 22.9 | 21.6 | 20.4 | 20.9 | 20.3 | 21.0 | 20.1 | 20.3 | 20.4 | 20.5 | 20.7 | 20.4 | 21.0 |
|
Note: The population counts for 2011 have been adjusted for net undercoverage. Sources: Statistics Canada, 2011 National Household Survey and Demosim, 2016. |
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