Table 1.1
Main assumptions of the base scenarios analyzed in the report
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| Scenario | Immigration | Fertility | Life expectancy | Internal migration |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1. Reference | Composition by country of birth: 2010/11 to 2014-15. Geographic distribution of immigrants upon arrival: 2010/11 to 2014-15. Rate: 8.33 / 1,000 |
Total fertility rate (TRF) of 1.67. Constant differential fertilityThis cell is for Scenarios 1.1 to 1.7 |
Average growth. Constant differential mortalityThis cell is for Scenarios 1.1 to 1.7 |
Estmated average rate 2001 and 2006 and 2006 and 2011This cell is for Scenarios 1.1 to 1.9 |
| 1.2. Zero immigration | Reference for the period 2011 to 2016. No immigration from 2017 to 2036 |
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| 1.3. Low immigration | Reference, except: Rate: 5.0 / 1,000 |
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| 1.4. High immigration | Reference, except: Rate: 10.0 / 1,000 |
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| 1.5. Alternative geographic distribution of immigrants upon arrival (2005/06 to 2009/10) | Reference, except: Geographic distribution of immigrants upon arrival: 2005/06 to 2009/10 |
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| 1.6. Alternative geographic distribution of immigrants upon arrival (2000/01 to 2004/05) | Reference, except: Geographic distribution of immigrants upon arrival: 2000/01 to 2004/05 |
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| 1.7. Alternative distribution of immigrants by country of birth (2005/06 to 2009/10) | Reference, except: Composition by country of birth: 2005/06 to 2009/10 |
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| 1.8. Low Growth | Reference, except: Rate: 5.0 / 1,000 |
TRF of 1.53. Constant differential fertility |
Low growth. Constant differential mortality |
|
| 1.9. Strong Growth | Reference, except: Rate: 10.0 / 1,000 |
TRF of 1.88. Constant differential fertilityConstant differential fertility |
Strong growth. Constant differential mortality |
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| 1.10 Internal migration patterns based on 2001 | Reference | Reference | Reference | Estmated average rate between 1996 and 2001 |
| 1.11 Internal migration patterns based on 2001, 2006 and 2011 | Reference | Reference | Reference | Estmated average rate between 1996 and 2001, 2001 and 2006 and 2006 and 2011 |
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