Table 5
Selected screening program scenarios, Cancer Risk Management Model-Lung Cancer (CRMM-LC) and Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET)
Screening frequency | Scenario | Percentage ever screened (%)Note * | Screenings per 100,000 | Over-diagnosis (% of screen-detected cases) | Percentage of cases detected at early stage (%)Note † | Lung cancer mortality reduction (%)Note ‡ | Life-years gained per 100,000 | Number of persons needed to screen (ever) per lung cancer death averted | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age | Pack-years smoked | Years former smoker | ||||||||||||||||
Start screening | End screening | CRMM | CISNET | CRMM | CISNET | CRMM | CISNET | CRMM | CISNET | CRMM | CISNET | CRMM | CISNET | CRMM | CISNET | |||
Annual | 55 | 80 | 30 | 15 | 16.4 | 19.3 | 339,729 | 286,813 | 23.4 | 9.9 | 42.2 | 50.5 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 5,539 | 5,517 | 42 | 37 |
Biennial | 60 | 85 | 30 | 20 | 15.6 | 17.9 | 154,694 | 127,046 | 17.9 | 11.5 | 36.9 | 47.5 | 7.5 | 9.6 | 4,429 | 3,451 | 43 | 50 |
Triennial | 60 | 85 | 40 | 25 | 10.6 | 13.0 | 71,508 | 66,333 | 9.4 | 13.1 | 31.4 | 44.1 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 3,412 | 2,252 | 36 | 58 |
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