Table 5.1
Logistic regression results on full-year employment at two time points after respondents have left school on a full-time basis
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| Variable | Time 1: 1 to 2 years after | Time 2: 5 to 6 years after | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | |
| odds ratios | ||||||
| Educational pathway (Reference: Non gapper-university) | ||||||
| No post-secondary | ||||||
|
High school droppers
|
0.3344*** | 0.3686*** | 0.4421** | 0.3774** | 0.4135* | 0.7090 |
|
High school only
|
0.5888** | 0.5978* | 0.7066 | 0.3994** | 0.3929** | 0.6062 |
|
2nd chance at high school, no post-secondary
|
0.2902*** | 0.3067*** | 0.3509*** | 0.2350*** | 0.2296*** | 0.3193** |
| Direct route to post-secondary | ||||||
|
Non-gappers-post-secondary leavers
|
0.6235 | 0.5960 | 0.6369 | 0.9589 | 0.9398 | 1.2824 |
|
Non-gappers-trade / other
|
0.6036 | 0.5657 | 0.5878 | 0.6898 | 0.6838 | 0.8831 |
|
Non-gappers-college
|
1.1305 | 1.0917 | 1.0780 | 0.9361 | 0.9783 | 1.0700 |
|
Non-gappers-college-university
|
2.2448 | 2.4106 | 2.0713 | 1.1358 | 1.0552 | 0.9080 |
| Indirect route to post-secondary | ||||||
|
2nd chance at high school, some post-secondary
|
0.3436** | 0.3871** | 0.4230* | 0.6201 | 0.7218 | 0.8803 |
|
Gappers-post-secondary leavers
|
0.4974** | 0.4725** | 0.5193* | 0.8545 | 0.8025 | 1.0890 |
|
Gappers-trade / other
|
0.6468 | 0.6271 | 0.6733 | 0.8507 | 0.8543 | 1.1517 |
|
Gappers-college
|
0.7910 | 0.7566 | 0.7905 | 0.6447 | 0.6499 | 0.7735 |
|
Gappers-university1
|
1.3228 | 1.3107 | 1.2825 | 3.0261* | 3.2748** | 3.0566* |
| Out of school 2 years, or 6 years (Reference: 1 or 5 years) | 1.0880 | 1.1115 | 1.0938 | 1.0264 | 1.0715 | 1.0711 |
| Female | ... | 0.9072 | 1.0086 | ... | 0.5603*** | 0.6914** |
| Respondent was born in Canada | ... | 1.5465 | 1.5010 | ... | 0.2765** | 0.2635** |
| Highest level of parental education (Reference: Less than high school) | ||||||
|
High school only
|
... | 0.8467 | 0.8665 | ... | 1.2687 | 1.3107 |
|
Some post-secondary
|
... | 1.0413 | 1.0875 | ... | 1.0687 | 1.0772 |
|
Post-secondary graduate
|
... | 0.8055 | 0.8219 | ... | 1.2506 | 1.2391 |
| Number of hours of paid work in last year of high school (Reference: Zero) | ||||||
|
1 to less than 10
|
... | 1.4947** | 1.5090** | ... | 1.4348* | 1.5092** |
|
10 to less than 20
|
... | 1.4091** | 1.4058** | ... | 1.4878* | 1.4950* |
|
More than 20
|
... | 1.3042 | 1.3216 | ... | 1.2439 | 1.2396 |
| Grade point average in last year of high school (Reference: 70 to 79%) | ||||||
|
High (80% to 100%)
|
... | 0.9803 | 1.0030 | ... | 1.0509 | 1.0897 |
|
Medium (60% to 69%)
|
... | 0.7567* | 0.7605 | ... | 0.9846 | 1.0233 |
|
Low (59% or less)
|
... | 0.5410* | 0.5726* | ... | 0.5295* | 0.5457 |
| Factors from year employment is measured | ||||||
| Moved provinces after high school | ... | ... | 0.7565 | ... | ... | 1.0446 |
| Age | ... | ... | 1.0352 | ... | ... | 1.0599 |
| Presence of child in household | ... | ... | 0.5064*** | ... | ... | 0.4215*** |
| Married or common-law | ... | ... | 1.0053 | ... | ... | 1.3188* |
| Presence of a long-term physical or mental condition | ... | ... | 0.8060 | ... | ... | 0.4981*** |
| Province of residence (Reference: Ontario) | ||||||
|
Atlantic provinces
|
... | ... | 1.0746 | ... | ... | 0.8821 |
|
Quebec
|
... | ... | 1.2259 | ... | ... | 1.1860 |
|
West
|
... | ... | 0.9589 | ... | ... | 0.7496 |
| Respondent lived in a population centre | ... | ... | 1.0421 | ... | ... | 1.2477 |
| Sample size | 3,592 | 3,592 | 3,592 | 3,592 | 3,592 | 3,592 |
| ... not applicable *p<0.10, statistically significant at the 10 percent level. **p<0.05, statistically significant at the 5 percent level. ***p<0.01, statistically significant at the 1 percent level. 1. Indicates that this category also contains gapper-college-university path. |
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