Table C.4.10
Estimated average scores of 15-year-old students, paper-based mathematics, Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA), Canada and provinces, 2003, 2006, 2009 and 2012
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| Canada and provinces | PISA 2003 | PISA 2006 | PISA 2009 | PISA 2012 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| estimated average score | standard error | 95% confidence interval | estimated average score |
standard error | 95% confidence interval | estimated average score | standard error | 95% confidence interval | estimated average score |
standard error | 95% confidence interval | |
| Canada | 532 | (1.8) | 528.5 to 535.5 | 527 | (2.4) | 522.3 to 531.7 | 527 | (2.6) | 521.9 to 532.1 | 518Note * | (2.7) | 512.7 to 523.3 |
| Newfoundland and Labrador | 517 | (2.5) | 512.1 to 521.9 | 507 | (2.8) | 501.5 to 512.5 | 503Note * | (3.5) | 496.1 to 509.9 | 490Note * | (4.2) | 481.7 to 498.3 |
| Prince Edward Island | 500 | (2.0) | 496.1 to 503.9 | 501 | (2.7) | 495.7 to 506.3 | 487Note * | (3.0) | 481.1 to 492.9 | 479Note * | (3.2) | 472.7 to 485.3 |
| Nova Scotia | 515 | (2.2) | 510.7 to 519.3 | 506Note * | (2.6) | 500.9 to 511.1 | 512 | (3.0) | 506.1 to 517.9 | 497Note * | (4.5) | 488.1 to 505.9 |
| New Brunswick | 511 | (1.4) | 508.3 to 513.7 | 506 | (2.5) | 501.1 to 510.9 | 504Note * | (3.0) | 498.1 to 509.9 | 502Note * | (3.2) | 495.7 to 508.3 |
| Quebec | 536 | (4.5) | 527.2 to 544.8 | 540 | (4.4) | 531.4 to 548.6 | 543 | (4.0) | 535.1 to 550.9 | 536 | (3.9) | 528.3 to 543.7 |
| Ontario | 530 | (3.6) | 522.9 to 537.1 | 526 | (3.9) | 518.4 to 533.6 | 526 | (3.8) | 518.5 to 533.5 | 514Note * | (4.5) | 505.1 to 522.9 |
| Manitoba | 528 | (3.1) | 521.9 to 534.1 | 521 | (3.5) | 514.1 to 527.9 | 501Note * | (4.1) | 492.9 to 509.1 | 492Note * | (3.5) | 485.1 to 498.9 |
| Saskatchewan | 516 | (3.9) | 508.4 to 523.6 | 507 | (3.6) | 499.9 to 514.1 | 506 | (3.8) | 498.5 to 513.5 | 506 | (3.6) | 498.9 to 513.1 |
| Alberta | 549 | (4.3) | 540.6 to 557.4 | 530Note * | (4.0) | 522.2 to 537.8 | 529Note * | (4.8) | 519.5 to 538.5 | 517Note * | (5.0) | 507.1 to 526.9 |
| British Columbia | 538 | (2.4) | 533.3 to 542.7 | 523Note * | (4.6) | 514.0 to 532.0 | 523Note * | (5.0) | 513.1 to 532.9 | 522Note * | (4.8) | 512.5 to 531.5 |
Performance differences should be interpreted with caution. It is not possible to determine the extent to which observed differences are indicative of longer-term changes. The confidence interval represents the range within which the score for the population is likely to fall, with 95% probability. It is calculated as a range of plus or minus about two standard errors around the estimated average score. The difference between estimated average scores are statistically significant if the confidence intervals do not overlap. Where confidence intervals overlapped slightly, an additional t-test was conducted to confirm statistical difference. The linkage error is incorporated into the standard error for 2003, 2006, 2009, and 2012. Thus standard errors presented in this table differ from those presented in tables that only contain one year of data. No data were collected in the three territories and in First Nations schools. For a brief description of this indicator, including the methodology, please see the Handbook for the Pan-Canadian Education Indicators Program. Source: Council of Ministers of Education, Canada, 2013, Measuring Up: Canadian Results of the OECD PISA Study: The Performance of Canada's Youth in Mathematics, Reading and Science, 2012 First Results for Canadians Aged 15. |
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