Revisions to 2006 to 2011 income data
Examining longer-term trends with SLID and CIS

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The previous sections described revisions to the 2006-2011 SLID data to make it more comparable to data from CIS. This section provides advice to users who wish to look at longer trends in income statistics using pre-2006 dataNote 1. Because the revision mainly affected low-income results, this section concentrates on trends in low income. Graphs comparing selected revised and unrevised low income trends are presented in the annex.

To summarize trends in low income in the revised and unrevised data, Table 5 compares average low-income rates (using the LIM-AT and LICO-AT) from 1996-2000 with those from 2007-2011Note 2.

In Canada overall, the average low-income rate based on the LIM-AT increased by 0.2 p.p. before the revision and 0.8 p.p. after the revision, while the low-income rate based on the LICO-AT fell by 4.8 p.p. before the revision and by 4.1 p.p. after the revision.

Because the revisions to low-income rates tended to be upward, changes in low-income rates over time are in more of an upward direction in the revised data. That is to say, increases over time are usually larger in the revised data and declines are smaller. This is as expected given the pattern of revisions in low-income rates for 2006-2011 discussed earlier in this note.

For example, in Ontario, the change in the average low-income rate based on the LIM-AT between the two periods increased from 1.8 p.p. before the revision to 2.8 p.p. after the revision. In Calgary, the corresponding change went from -2.8 p.p. to -1.8 p.p. as a result of the revision. However, in most cases, conclusions drawn with the revised data would be similar to those with the unrevised data. Cases where there is a large increase (or decrease) in low income tend to be the same in the revised and unrevised low income series.

Conclusions regarding trend changes in low income based on the LICO-AT do not tend to change as a result of the revision. In most cases, low-income rates based on the LICO-AT show declines in both the unrevised and revised series.

The fact that in most cases conclusions drawn using the revised and unrevised statistics are unchanged leads to the recommendation that income estimates before 2006 remain suitable for analyzing long term, cyclical trends, and can be used with the recalibrated results from 2006 to 2011 and the CIS results from 2012 and beyond.

Table 5
Comparison of revised and unrevised long-run change in low-income rates by age, family type, province, and selected Census Metropolitan Areas (CMAs)
Table summary
This table displays the results of Comparison of revised and unrevised long-run change in low-income rates by age 1996-2000 average, 2007-2011 average, 1996-2000 versus 2007-2011, change, Unrevised and Revised, calculated using percent and percentage point units of measure (appearing as column headers).
  1996-2000 average 2007-2011 average 1996-2000 versus 2007-2011, change
Unrevised Revised Unrevised Revised
percent percent percentage point
Low income measure after tax (LIM-AT)  
All persons 12.7 12.9 13.5 0.2 0.8
Age and family type  
Persons under 18 years 16.3 14.8 15.6 -1.5 -0.7
Persons 18 to 64 years 12.6 12.5 13.0 -0.1 0.4
Persons 65 years and over 5.9 11.7 12.5 5.8 6.6
Persons in economic families 11.1 10.4 11.0 -0.7 -0.1
Persons not in an economic family 23.0 26.7 27.9 3.7 4.9
Province and selected CMA  
Newfoundland and Labrador 19.9 15.3 15.6 -4.6 -4.3
Prince Edward Island 13.5 13.1 13.2 -0.4 -0.3
Nova Scotia 15.8 15.4 15.4 -0.4 -0.4
New Brunswick 15.3 15.2 15.2 -0.1 -0.1
Quebec 14.9 14.3 14.4 -0.6 -0.5
Ontario 10.4 12.2 13.2 1.8 2.8
Manitoba 14.0 14.2 15.3 0.2 1.3
Saskatchewan 15.0 12.9 14.0 -2.1 -1.0
Alberta 10.8 8.3 9.0 -2.5 -1.8
British Columbia 13.4 14.4 14.9 1.0 1.5
Montréal, Quebec 16.1 15.5 16.1 -0.6 0.0
Toronto, Ontario 9.3 12.2 14.6 2.9 5.3
Winnipeg, Manitoba 11.9 11.7 13.6 -0.2 1.7
Calgary, Alberta 9.1 6.3 7.3 -2.8 -1.8
Edmonton, Alberta 10.3 8.9 8.9 -1.4 -1.4
Vancouver, British Columbia 13.5 15.0 16.0 1.5 2.5
Low income cut-offs after tax (LICO-AT)  
All persons 13.9 9.1 9.8 -4.8 -4.1
Age and family type  
Persons under 18 years 16.0 8.9 9.8 -7.1 -6.2
Persons 18 to 64 years 14.1 10.0 10.6 -4.1 -3.5
Persons 65 years and over 8.6 5.2 5.9 -3.4 -2.7
Persons in economic families 10.6 6.0 6.6 -4.6 -4.0
Persons not in an economic family 34.9 27.3 28.6 -7.6 -6.3
Province and selected CMA  
Newfoundland and Labrador 14.2 6.6 6.6 -7.6 -7.6
Prince Edward Island 8.8 4.7 4.7 -4.1 -4.1
Nova Scotia 12.9 7.8 7.7 -5.1 -5.2
New Brunswick 11.3 6.8 6.8 -4.5 -4.5
Quebec 16.6 9.9 10.3 -6.7 -6.3
Ontario 12.3 9.2 10.3 -3.1 -2.0
Manitoba 14.9 9.1 9.9 -5.8 -5.0
Saskatchewan 11.3 6.8 7.3 -4.5 -4.0
Alberta 12.9 6.7 7.2 -6.2 -5.7
British Columbia 15.3 11.3 11.8 -4.0 -3.5
Montréal, Quebec 22.5 13.9 14.5 -8.6 -8.0
Toronto, Ontario 14.3 11.1 13.4 -3.2 -0.9
Winnipeg, Manitoba 18.0 10.5 12.2 -7.5 -5.8
Calgary, Alberta 13.8 7.4 8.2 -6.4 -5.6
Edmonton, Alberta 15.4 8.8 8.8 -6.6 -6.6
Vancouver, British Columbia 19.1 14.5 15.6 -4.6 -3.5
 
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