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Strategies of small- and mid-sized Internet service providers (ISPs) by Alexander Nikolaev and Don Little Introduction IntroductionWith the Internet continuing to grow in popularity, how are companies competing to satisfy this growing demand? In 2002, Internet use continued to rise for Canadians1, but at a slower rate. As a result, although the Internet Service Provider (ISP) industry continued to expand, it too experienced a slowdown in its growth.2 The post-bubble environment has led to more realism regarding the Internet’s potential and has prompted a new wave of competition and consolidation in the industry. Still, although their market share is slipping3, small- and mid-sized firms (defined here as those with operating revenues of less than $10 million in 2000) comprised well over 90% of the number of ISP companies in Statistics Canada’s Annual Survey of Internet Service Providers and Related Services in 2000, 2001, and 2002.The studyThis study examines what differentiates fast-growing small- and mid-sized ISPs from those that grow slower. More specifically, it looks at which strategies were employed by fast-growing and slow-growing firms from 2000 to 2002, along with the costs and benefits that resulted. The two types of firms are compared in terms of revenue generation, expense structure, connectivity options, and factors perceived to be impeding their growth. The results are based on data for small- and mid-sized ISPs in the annual Survey of Internet Service Providers and Related Services in both 2000 and 2002.4 In total, these companies experienced a 28.8% increase in their operating revenues from 2000 to 2002. The companies were separated into two groups based on their operating revenue growth rates from 2000 to 2002: the faster-growing group comprised the 36% of firms that had growth exceeding the 28.8% growth rate recorded for the whole set of firms, and the slower-growing 64% of firms that had two-year growth rates of below 28.8%. Rapid expansion — short-term lossesAlthough an average firm in the faster-growing group operated at a loss over the two year period (as the overall industry did5), its operating revenues grew by 71.4% from 2000 to 2002, as opposed to a 3.1% drop for the slower-growing companies (Table 1). However, slower-growing firms also reduced their operating expenses by 3.5%, enabling them to perfectly break even in 2002, following marginal losses in 2000. Overall, it appears that faster-growing firms focused their efforts on increasing market share even if it meant spending more and sacrificing immediate profits. Slower-growing firms, on the other hand, seemed to pursue a more traditional business strategy of making, or at least not losing money now. Since big telecommunication and cable players in the industry have the infrastructure for high-speed services and often offer discounted broadband access at almost dial-up prices, they make competing on price more challenging for other ISP players. This is one reason why, for small- and mid-sized ISPs, it is important to know what separates successful firms from those that lag behind. But the question of what is “successful” is an open one, because it still remains to be seen whether the faster growth strategy or the improved profitability strategy will produce more ISP winners in the long run, particularly at the time when more and more Canadians desire high-speed Internet access.Focus versus diversificationStrategically, one thing that differentiated the faster- and slower-growing firms from each other was that the former stayed focused on their core business – Internet access, while the latter further diversified their activities. In 2002, faster-growing firms earned about one quarter of their operating revenues from non-ISP activities - about the same proportion as in 2000. For slower-growing firms, however, this proportion rose sharply from 19% to 28% largely due to diversification into computer system design, web site hosting, hardware sales, and rentals and maintenance activities (Table 2). Yet, the slower-growing firms’ absolute increase in non-ISP revenues did not compensate for their drop in ISP-related revenues, and their operating margin stayed flat mainly due to an even bigger drop in operating expenses. Although diversification may have helped these firms survive, it did not make them profitable. While faster-growing firms did place some more emphasis on data processing and computer systems design6, they tended to stay focused on their core ISP activities. In absolute dollars (Table 3) over 70% of the operating revenues that they added from 2000 to 2002 were earned through Internet service provision, and most of this ISP-related growth came from broadband7 ISP services, which are rapidly becoming the most popular way to access the Internet. Interestingly, fast-growing firms also increased their narrowband revenues by nearly one-third over the two years. In other words, even though broadband services generated most of their growth, these firms kept building upon their traditional customer base – dial-up users. A different dichotomy between narrowband and broadband revenues occurred for slower-growing ISPs. While they more than doubled their broadband revenues during the two years, their narrowband revenues slid by 36%. This, coupled with a similar drop in “other” ISP-related revenues, resulted in an overall 13% reduction in the group’s core business revenue stream, despite the broadband revenue growth. Spending for growthThe operating expense section of the two groups’ income statements provides more clues as to what separates the faster-growing firms from the slower-growing ones. In their quest for growth, the faster-growing firms boosted spending by 79%, with absolute spending increases across all major expenditure categories (Table 4). Consistent with their surge in ISP-related revenues, the fast-growing firms’ telecommunication expenses, which include upstream line leasing as well as dial-up line and equipment charges, more than doubled between 2000 and 2002. As a result, telecommunication expenses as a proportion of their operating expenses also went up (from 29% to 34%), almost catching up with what is traditionally the most costly item on an ISP’s income statement – salaries, wages, and employee benefits (Table 5). With their amortization expenses doubling over the two years, the faster-growing firms also seemed to increase their capital expenditures between 2000 and 2002 to support their expansion strategy. Meanwhile, Table 4 shows that in absolute dollars the slower-growing firms reduced their costs in most expense categories. The only exceptions were occupancy costs, essential for staying in business, and computer equipment and software purchased for re-sale, which was rising in importance for these diversifying businesses. In particular, they cut spending on computer equipment, software, office supplies for in-house use by 52%. They also scaled back on marketing, which likely dampened their revenue growth. As well, amortization and depreciation expenses declined slightly during the same period, suggesting a slowdown in new capital investment by this group. Overall, the expense patterns are consistent with the apparent strategies of rapid expansion for the fast-growing group, and profitability for the slower-growing one. Arguably, the expansion strategy may pay off in the long-term for ISPs that become profitable. However, for some small- and mid-sized ISPs, the short-term “survival break-even” approach might have been the only option. Growth in subscribersAnother important factor differentiating faster-growing ISPs from their slower-growing counterparts was their aggressive pursuit of new subscribers. The number of subscribers per faster-growing firm went up by about one quarter from 2000 to 2002, while the number for slower-growing firms fell by one-third (Table 6). This difference may have resulted, in part, from a greater emphasis on marketing by the faster-growing firms. Table 4 showed that, from 2000 to 2002, they boosted their average marketing expenditures by 27%, compared to a 44% decrease for their slower-growing counterparts. Moreover, in an effort to expand their subscriber base it appears that the faster-growing firms also offered price discounts for their Internet services. Despite offering more broadband services, which tend to be more expensive, their average Internet access revenue per subscriber fell by 3% from 2000 to 2002. This pricing strategy, while attracting more customers, also quite likely contributed to the higher operating losses experienced by fast-growing ISPs in 2002. In contrast, the slower-growing firms increased their average access revenue per subscriber by 10% from 2000 and 2002. Although this increase may have helped slower-growing ISPs to avoid or minimize operating losses, it also may have contributed to the 33% shrinkage in their subscriber base. The slower-growing firms also managed to service more business customers (Tables 7 and 8), even though their revenues from households and public sector clients declined. The fact that businesses tend to be higher-margin customers likely contributed to the slower-growing firms’ increase in average access revenue per subscriber. Another factor in this increase was the slower-growing firms’ greater provision of broadband services at the expense of narrowband. Factors impeding growthThe Annual Survey of Internet Service Providers and Related Services also asked ISPs about what they perceived to be possible impediments to their growth. Some of these potential impediments, such as a lack of on-line security or privacy and an inability to attract or retain qualified personnel, were perceived by very few firms in either group to be high impediments to growth8 (Table 9). However, as pointed out earlier, companies in both groups were struggling to compete with larger players from the telecommunications and cable industries. Therefore, not surprisingly, competition was the obstacle most frequently mentioned by both fast- and slow-growing ISPs as being a high impediment to growth. Nearly 60% of all ISPs cited competition as an impediment to growth in 2000. By 2002, this had jumped to 75% of all ISPs. Beyond having to compete with bigger players, competition may have also grown fiercer by 2002 due to market saturation resulting from the recent slowdown in Internet growth. The cost of leasing upstream lines from telecommunication companies was an ongoing concern of firms in both groups, and nearly half of the slower-growing firms felt that delays posed by telecommunication companies were a high impediment to growth. In 2000, many ISPs in both groups also regarded access to financing as a factor impeding their growth, but by 2002 this concern was not as evident. Perhaps the fast-growing firms were able to secure the necessary financing for their expansion after 2000, while some of the slower-growing companies turned to different priorities and to “self-financing” via better profit margins. By 2002, a slow-growing firm was nearly twice as likely as a fast-growing one to state that the cost of dial-up lines and equipment was a high impediment to growth. The fact that this type of cost is usually spread out with economies of scale could explain why the faster-growing firms did not find this to be as significant an obstacle. SummaryThe vast majority of Internet service providers in Canada are small and medium size companies that are striving to compete with large telecommunication and cable companies. This article investigated differences between faster-growing small- and mid-sized ISPs and their slower-growing counterparts. The two groups appeared to pursue different strategies. The slower-growing ISPs diversified somewhat into non-ISP activities from 2000 to 2002, probably in response to intense competition from other providers, and their ability to rein in operating costs enabled them to break even in both years. In contrast, the faster-growing ISPs remained relatively focused on their core ISP activities. Also, compared to their slower-growing counterparts, they invested more in marketing and more aggressively pursued and gained new subscribers. But this was not without costs because, to gain subscribers, they had to relax their prices for Internet access and incur higher expenses, particularly for telecommunications. Consequently, although they did succeed in expanding their subscriber base, fast-growing ISPs suffered even higher operating losses in 2002 than they did in 2000. But it is still an open question as to which of the two strategies is “better”, because it remains to be seen which one produces more winners in the long run. Notes finales
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