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62-001-XIB
Consumer Price Index
February 2002


National Index Highlights


Twelve-month percentage change in the CPI: +1.5%

Twelve-month percentage change in the CPI excluding energy: +2.3%

In February 2002, consumers had to pay 1.5% more for the goods and services included in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) basket than they did a year ago. This 12-month rise in the index is comparable to that of last month, which was 1.3%. In February 2002, the level of the index (116.9) was still below its peak of June 2001 (117.5). This indicates that consumer prices were, overall, lower in February 2002 than in June 2001. The All-items excluding energy index rose by 2.3% from February 2001 to February 2002.

Rising prices for food, tobacco products and electricity are among the factors that contributed to the All-items' 12-month increase in February. Food prices rose by 4.3%, driven mainly by the price of restaurant meals, fresh vegetables and fresh fruit. The 24.6% increase in cigarette prices was primarily due to tax increases. The electricity index of February 2002, when compared to that of February 2001, shows an increase of 16.2%. Two-thirds of this rise can be explained by a $200 credit given by the government of British Columbia in February 2001 (see box).

The fall in gasoline (-15.4%) and fuel oil prices (-23.4%) had an important slowing effect on the February index. These declines are explained in large part by the price per barrel of oil, which was about $12 lower than a year ago. A decrease in traveller accommodation prices, due largely to the economic slow-down, also helped curb the CPI increase.

  

The government of British Columbia provided BC Hydro customers with a $200 credit on their February 2001 electricity bill. As the average electricity bill for February 2001 in B.C. was less than $200, the average consumer did not have to make any payment. As a consequence, the index for electricity for B.C. fell to 0.0 in February 2001. The index series for B.C., which has 1992 as its reference period, was reestablished to the level reflecting the resumption of payments in March 2001. It is not meaningful, however, to calculate a percentage change comparing February 2002 to the index of February 2001 as it implies a division by 0.

  

Monthly percentage change in the CPI: +0.6%

After advancing by 0.3% between December 2001 and February 2002, the CPI increased by 0.6% between January and February 2002. This rise was due primarily to higher prices for women's clothing, travel tours, traveller accommodation, gasoline and fresh vegetables. The decrease in the prices of fresh fruit and mortgage interest cost mitigated these increases.

The index for women's clothing rose by 4.6% in February as many items returned to regular price after specials in January. The price increases in this sector were especially strong in Québec, Ontario and Alberta.

The price of travel tours jumped 10.9% between January and February 2002. This monthly increase is of the same order of magnitude as those seen for the same month in the last four years.

The price of traveller accommodation increased by 5.3%. The province of Québec registered the strongest rise (+10.6%), as the Québec Winter Carnival was in full swing.

In February, consumers paid 1.4% more for gasoline than in February 2002. This monthly increase was lower than that of the previous month (+2.5%). Price increases ranged between 0.1% in Prince Edward Island and 4.5% in Alberta, whereas prices decreased in Saskatchewan (-3.4%), New Brunswick (-1.2%) and Whitehorse (-2.2%).

The price of fresh vegetables continued to rise in February 2002 (+4.1%). Bad weather in the United States and in Mexico explains part of these price increases. The price of broccoli, for example, is almost double its normal price for this time of the year. The decrease in the price of tomatoes (-8.5%), partly the result of more favourable temperatures in Florida, somewhat slowed the increase in the fresh vegetable index.

Fresh fruit prices decreased by 4.3% in February 2002. Greater availability and diversified supply sources contributed to lowering certain prices.

The index for mortgage interest cost decreased by 0.5%. Although prices for new houses were rising in most Canadian cities, the effect of dropping interest rates more than offset these price increases. Please note that only a proportion of mortgages (the new and renewed mortgages) are affected by interest rates of the latest month. The rest of the mortgages that enter the index's calculation are affected by prior months' interest rates.

The seasonally adjusted CPI advanced 0.3% between February 2002 and February 2002

After adjusting for seasonal variations, the All-items CPI advanced by 0.3% between February 2002 and February 2002. The contributors to the rise in February's seasonally adjusted index were increases in the indexes for clothing and footwear (+1.3%), food (+0.7%), alcoholic beverages and tobacco products (+0.5%), recreation, education and reading (+0.3%), health and personal care (+0.3%), transportation (+0.2%) and shelter (+0.2%). The household operations and furnishings index remained unchanged on a seasonally adjusted basis.

  

Special Aggregates

Energy

In February 2002, the energy index registered its fifth consecutive 12-month decrease, falling by 5.8%. This decrease is attributed in large part to lower prices for gasoline (-15.4%) and fuel oil (-23.4%). Natural gas prices were also lower (-0.7%). On the other hand, a 12-month increase of 16.2% in the price of electricity tempered these decreases. A credit given to British Columbia consumers in February 2001 explains, in large part, this 16.2% increase (see box).

Compared to February 2002, the energy index increased by 0.5%, driven by the price of gasoline (+1.4%). The prices of natural gas (-0.4%), fuel oil (-0.7%) and electricity (-0.2%) were all declining.

Goods and services

Prices in the goods sector increased by 0.9% between February 2001 and February 2002. This is the second consecutive12-month increase. February's rise is due to an increase in the non-durable goods index (+1.9%), which was driven by prices of tobacco products, electricity and, to a lesser extent by prices of fresh vegetables and fresh fruits. These increases were largely offset by weaker gasoline and fuel oil prices. Lower prices for computer equipment and supplies, as well as for new automotive vehicles, pushed the durable goods index down 0.7%. The semi-durable goods index fell by 0.8%, due mainly to lower prices for women's clothing.

The cost of services rose by 2.2% between February 2001 and February 2002. The increases that had the greatest impact were those of restaurant meal prices, rents and automobile vehicle insurance premiums. The decline in mortgage interest cost somewhat offset these increases.

The goods index advanced 0.8% between February 2002 and February 2002. Prices in all sectors increased. The non-durable goods sector (+0.6%) had the largest contribution, followed by the semi-durable goods category (+2.6%), then by durable goods (+0.2%). Gasoline prices, as well as fresh vegetable prices, explained most of the increase in the non-durable goods index. Higher prices for milk, non-alcoholic beverages and cigarettes also had, though to a lesser extent, an impact. The increase in the price of semi-durable goods is due primarily to higher prices for women's clothing. The increase in the price of durable goods is explained mostly by higher prices for recreational vehicles and for audio tapes and discs.

The services index advanced by 0.4% between February 2002 and February 2002, due primarily to increases in the price of travel tours, traveller accommodation and automobile vehicle insurance premiums.

  

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