January 2008
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Gross domestic product (GDP) was up 0.6% in January, as the economy bounced back from the 0.7% decline registered in December 2007. Growth was broadly based, with wholesale trade and manufacturing leading the way. Growth in manufacturing in January was widespread, with about one-third of the gain attributable to the partial recovery in motor vehicle manufacturing. This partial recovery rippled to other industries, such as rail and truck transportation. Increases were also recorded in the financial sector, retail trade, oil and gas extraction and exploration, accommodation and food services, and agriculture. Conversely, utilities, mining excluding oil and gas extraction, and forestry declined.
After experiencing a significant decline (-3.4%) in December and falling to its lowest level since December 2001, manufacturing activity increased 1.7% in January. The 2.6% increase in durable goods manufacturing far outpaced the modest 0.4% increase in non-durable goods. Of the 21 major manufacturing groups, 16 increased, these accounting for 71% of total manufacturing value added. After tumbling 27% in December, motor vehicle manufacturing advanced 12% in January. Production of motor vehicle parts followed a somewhat similar pattern, regaining a portion of its December retreat. Preliminary information for February 2008 indicates a continuation of the recovery in motor vehicle production, although at a much reduced pace than in January. Additional momentum came from machinery, primary metal, and beverage and tobacco manufacturing. However, chemical product manufacturing slipped.
After a lacklustre December, wholesaling activities leaped forward 2.8% in January, surpassing its previous peak attained last November. Although the gains were widespread, the primary source of growth was in the activities of miscellaneous wholesaler-distributors. This trade group consists primarily of wholesalers of agricultural chemicals and supplies, non-agricultural chemicals, and recyclable materials. Significant increases were also recorded in the wholesaling of food products, building materials, machinery and electronic equipment, and motor vehicle parts and accessories. Conversely, alcohol and tobacco wholesaling activities fell.
The energy sector advanced 1.1% in January, and returned to its October-November level. Petroleum and natural gas extraction moved forward 1.4%. The quantity of natural gas in storage decreased during the month in both Canada and the United States, driven by increased demand from the United States. Furthermore, natural gas distribution declined 1.1% in January. The production of electricity slipped 0.6%.
The output of the mining sector excluding oil and gas plunged 5.4% in January. Metal ore mines were down 2.9%, while non-metallic mineral mines (which include diamonds) tumbled 10.0%. Support activities for mining and oil and gas extraction posted a robust 5.6% gain, returning to their year-ago level. Both contract drilling and rigging were up considerably.
Industrial production (the output of mines, utilities and factories) increased 1.1% in January. The increases in manufacturing and mining were slightly tempered by the decline in utilities. In the United States, industrial production rose 0.1% in January, as utilities increased, while mining fell and manufacturing remained unchanged.
Value added in the retail trade sector rose 1.2% in January. Significant increases in activities by clothing stores, furniture, home furnishings and electronics stores, convenience and specialty food stores, and new car dealers, propelled the sector. These increases were dampened by a decline in the volume of sales of pharmacies and personal care stores.
The construction sector edged up 0.1% in January. Both residential (+0.1%) and non-residential (+0.2%) building construction advanced, while engineering and repair work essentially stood still. In the non-residential sector, commercial building construction posted a gain, public building construction retreated and industrial construction was flat. A strong increase in alterations and improvement work, combined with a rise in row house construction, outpaced the declines in the other types of residential construction (such as single homes). The real estate agents and brokers industry remained unchanged for the month as the overall activity in the resale market for homes was almost flat.
Activities in the finance and insurance sector grew 0.3% on the strength of the record volume of transactions on the stock exchanges. However, mutual funds and most of the standard banking services contracted in January.