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National net worth reached $5.5 trillion by the end of the fourth quarter of 2007, or $165,400 per capita. National net worth grew by $77 billion in the quarter, an increase of 1.4% over the previous quarter, a somewhat faster pace than the 1.0% in the previous quarter.
Chart H.1 Growth in national net worth up
National wealth (economy-wide non-financial assets) rose 1.3%, a third consecutive quarter of deceleration set against the backdrop of a slowing economy in the fourth quarter.
Although housing investment cooled during the quarter, residential real estate remained the major contributor to the increase in national wealth, accounting for more than half of the gain.
Sustained saving led by both corporations and government, alongside price gains for non-financial assets, largely accounted for the pick-up in the growth of national net worth. The gain in national net worth was also supported by a slight decrease in Canada’s net foreign indebtedness (with marketable securities on a market value basis).
Propelled by the largest inflow of foreign direct investment in eight years, Canada’s net foreign direct investment position decreased nominally in the fourth quarter of 2007. The sustained strength of the Canadian dollar continued to have a dampening effect on national net worth.
Chart H.2 Revaluations of assets drive increase in national net worth
Household net worth edged up 0.1% during the fourth quarter, as the decline in financial assets coupled with the increase in liabilities largely offset the impact of growth in non-financial assets.
While household debt (consumer credit and mortgage liabilities) increased at a significantly slower pace than the two previous quarters, household sector leverage rose. Debt stood at 18.2 % of household net worth by year end 2007.
With new housing prices holding steady during the quarter, coupled with sustained new housing construction and renovation activities, residential real estate continued to expand, although at a reduced rate from the two previous quarters. The increase in the value of residential real estate remained the main contributor in the growth in non-financial assets.
A resilient residential real estate market more than offset the impact of a downturn in stock markets. The value of financial assets fell slightly as the decline in equities more than offset the increase in holdings of pension assets and deposits.
Chart H.3 Household leverage continues to rise
Chart H.4 Household debt-to-income ratio up slightly
Boosted by a significant increase in undistributed corporate profits in the fourth quarter, and while continuing steadily to invest in plant & equipment and build up inventories, the non-financial corporate sector remained a net lender to the rest of the economy.
Despite this surplus, the demand for funds increased during the quarter. In particular, the private non-financial corporate sector turned mostly to loans to address their financing needs. Leverage for these corporations decreased, though marginally, for a third consecutive quarter.
Chart H.5 Corporate leverage declines slightly
Financial institutions continued to accumulate financial assets in the fourth quarter, though at a reduced pace. This increase was led by institutional lenders, driven by gains in their mortgage holdings, consumer credit and loan assets.
As overall government surplus contracted in the fourth quarter, total government net debt edged up after 14 consecutive quarters of decline. Government financing activity was dominated by the issuance of short-term paper and provincial bonds. Despite the marginal rise in government net debt, the net debt-to-gross domestic product (GDP) ratio managed to hold steady, with net debt in the fourth quarter accounting for less than half of GDP, down considerably from over 90% attained in 1996.
National net worth expanded 7.0% in 2007, significantly down from the growth of 10.3% registered in 2006. This deceleration could be traced to the combined effect of a slight decline in national saving and an increase in net foreign debt.
National wealth grew by 8.0%, up from 7.6% in 2006. Residential real estate assets remained the main factor in the expansion of national wealth, accounting for over 60% of the increase.
A broader measure of national wealth (that is, including natural resources) increased 6.8% in 2007, up from the 5.9% growth registered in 2006. The value of selected natural resources (timber, energy and minerals) rose 1.2% to $1,095 billion in 2007, following a slight decrease of 1.5% in 2006 and a substantial increase of 27.7% in 2005.
Increases in the value of minerals and crude bitumen more than offset the declines in the values of natural gas and timber. Natural gas reserve values declined substantially as a result of decreasing production and increasing costs. Crude oil, crude bitumen and mineral reserve values rose, the latter on the strength of strong international demand and higher market prices.