The estimation of gross flows in complex surveys with random nonresponse

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Andrés Gutiérrez, Leonardo Trujillo and Pedro Luis do Nascimento Silva^Note 1

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Abstract

Rotating panel surveys are used to calculate estimates of gross flows between two consecutive periods of measurement. This paper considers a general procedure for the estimation of gross flows when the rotating panel survey has been generated from a complex survey design with random nonresponse. A pseudo maximum likelihood approach is considered through a two-stage model of Markov chains for the allocation of individuals among the categories in the survey and for modeling for nonresponse.

Key Words:

Design-based inference; Rotating panel surveys; Gross flows; Markov chains.

Table of content

• 1. Introduction
• 2. Motivation
• 3. Markov models for contingency tables with nonresponse
• 4. Estimation of the parameters of interest
• 5. Properties of the estimators
• 6. Empirical application
• 7. Actual application: estimation of population gross flows for the PME survey
• 8. Conclusions
• Acknowledgements
• Appendix
• References

Notes