Table 7
Contribution to productivity growth gaps: a counterfactual
exercise
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| 1984 to 1990 | 1990 to 1996 | 2000 to 2006 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| percentage points | |||
| Entrants versus continuing non-exporters | |||
| Actual average gaps | 2.00 | 5.30 | 0.10 |
| Predicted gaps | 3.00 | 5.40 | 0.30 |
| Gaps if no changes in tariffs and real exchange rates | 4.10 | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| Gaps due to tariff changes | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Gaps due to real exchange rate changes | -1.10 | 1.30 | -3.80 |
| Exiters versus continuing exporters | |||
| Actual average gaps | -3.10 | -6.90 | -0.20 |
| Predicted gaps | -4.90 | -6.70 | -2.70 |
| Gaps if no changes in tariffs and real exchange rates | -5.70 | -5.70 | -5.70 |
| Gaps due to tariff changes | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Gaps due to real exchange rate changes | 0.80 | -1.00 | 3.00 |
Note(s):
Actual average gaps are from Table 4. Gaps
when there had been no changes in tariffs and real exchange rates are from
Table 6. Gaps due to tariff changes and real
exchange rate changes are calculated using marginal impacts from Table 6 and actual changes of the variables from Table 2. Gaps due to tariff changes are set to zero, since
marginal impacts of tariffs are not statistically different from zero.
Source(s):
Authors' calculations.
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