Table 5
Probit coefficients
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All plants | Non-exporters | Exporters | Dummy for exporters | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | coefficient | standard error | coefficient | standard error | coefficient | standard error | coefficient | standard error |
Changes in tariffs | -0.128 * | 0.014 | -0.099 * | 0.020 | -0.313 * | 0.040 | -0.099 * | 0.020 |
Change in real exchange rates | 0.008 * | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.004 | 0.033 * | 0.008 | 0.004 | 0.004 |
Relative productivity | -0.052 * | 0.007 | -0.052 * | 0.008 | -0.018 ** | 0.011 | -0.052 * | 0.008 |
Relative employment | -0.134 * | 0.008 | -0.155 * | 0.013 | -0.071 * | 0.007 | -0.155 * | 0.013 |
Age | -0.033 * | 0.001 | -0.032 * | 0.001 | -0.017 * | 0.002 | -0.032 * | 0.001 |
Change in tariffs × relative productivity | 0.038 * | 0.018 | 0.025 | 0.021 | 0.091 * | 0.031 | 0.025 | 0.021 |
Change in tariffs × relative employment | 0.010 | 0.028 | 0.013 | 0.046 | 0.038 ** | 0.023 | 0.013 | 0.046 |
Change in tariffs × relative age | -0.003 | 0.003 | 0.000 | 0.004 | -0.007 | 0.007 | 0.000 | 0.004 |
Change in real exchange rates × relative productivity | -0.008 * | 0.004 | -0.003 | 0.004 | -0.017 * | 0.005 | -0.003 | 0.004 |
Change in real exchange rates × relative employment | 0.005 | 0.004 | 0.001 | 0.007 | 0.001 | 0.004 | 0.001 | 0.007 |
Change in real exchange rates × relative age | -0.001 | 0.001 | -0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.002 | -0.001 | 0.001 |
Constant | -0.404 * | 0.004 | -0.383 * | 0.006 | -0.669 * | 0.013 | -0.383 * | 0.006 |
Change in tariffs × dummy | -0.214 * | 0.045 | ||||||
Change in real exchange rates × dummy | 0.029 * | 0.009 | ||||||
Relative productivity × dummy | 0.033 * | 0.013 | ||||||
Relative employment × dummy | 0.085 * | 0.015 | ||||||
Age × dummy | 0.015 * | 0.003 | ||||||
Change in tariffs × relative productivity × dummy | 0.066 ** | 0.038 | ||||||
Change in tariffs × relative employment × dummy | 0.026 | 0.052 | ||||||
Change in tariffs × relative age × dummy | -0.007 | 0.008 | ||||||
Change in real exchange rates × relative productivity × dummy | -0.014 * | 0.007 | ||||||
Change in real exchange rates × relative employment × dummy | 0.000 | 0.008 | ||||||
Change in real exchange rates × relative age × dummy | 0.001 | 0.002 | ||||||
Constant × dummy | -0.286 * | 0.014 |
All plants | Non-exporters | Exporters | Dummy for exporters | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diagnostic statistics | ||||||||||
Number of observations | 114,138 | 95,906 | 18,232 | 114,138 | ||||||
Log pseudolikelihood | -71,306 | -61,655 | -9,295 | -70,950 | ||||||
Pseudo R-squared | 0.0376 | 0.0307 | 0.0278 | 0.0424 |
Domestic-controlled plants | Foreign-controlled plants | Dummy for foreign-controlled plants | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | coefficient | standard error | coefficient | standard error | coefficient | standard error |
Changes in tariffs | -0.126 * | 0.016 | -0.285 * | 0.044 | -0.126 * | 0.016 |
Change in real exchange rates | 0.005 | 0.004 | 0.019 * | 0.007 | 0.005 | 0.004 |
Relative productivity | -0.054 * | 0.009 | -0.057 * | 0.011 | -0.054 * | 0.009 |
Relative employment | -0.147 * | 0.010 | -0.100 * | 0.007 | -0.147 * | 0.010 |
Age | -0.034 * | 0.001 | -0.013 * | 0.003 | -0.034 * | 0.001 |
Change in tariffs × relative productivity | 0.040 * | 0.020 | 0.008 | 0.041 | 0.040 * | 0.020 |
Change in tariffs × relative employment | -0.018 | 0.035 | 0.099 * | 0.026 | -0.018 | 0.035 |
Change in tariffs × relative age | -0.004 | 0.003 | 0.014 | 0.009 | -0.004 | 0.003 |
Change in real exchange rates × relative productivity | -0.004 | 0.006 | -0.013 * | 0.004 | -0.004 | 0.006 |
Change in real exchange rates × relative employment | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.001 | 0.004 | 0.006 | 0.006 |
Change in real exchange rates × relative age | -0.001 | 0.001 | -0.001 | 0.002 | -0.001 | 0.001 |
Constant | -0.398 * | 0.005 | -0.516 * | 0.011 | -0.398 * | 0.005 |
Change in tariffs × dummy | -0.159 * | 0.047 | ||||
Change in real exchange rates × dummy | 0.014 ** | 0.007 | ||||
Relative productivity × dummy | -0.004 | 0.014 | ||||
Relative employment × dummy | 0.047 * | 0.013 | ||||
Age × dummy | 0.020 * | 0.003 | ||||
Change in tariffs × relative productivity × dummy | -0.032 | 0.046 | ||||
Change in tariffs × relative employment × dummy | 0.117 * | 0.044 | ||||
Change in tariffs × relative age × dummy | 0.018 ** | 0.010 | ||||
Change in real exchange rates × relative productivity × dummy | -0.009 | 0.007 | ||||
Change in real exchange rates × relative employment × dummy | -0.005 | 0.007 | ||||
Change in real exchange rates × relative age × dummy | 0.000 | 0.002 | ||||
Constant × dummy | -0.118 * | 0.012 |
Domestic-controlled plants | Foreign-controlled plants | Dummy for foreign- controlled plants | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diagnostic statistics | |||||||
Number of observations | 98,172 | 15,966 | 114,138 | ||||
Log pseudolikelihood | -62,104 | -9,086 | -71,190 | ||||
Pseudo R-squared | 0.0361 | 0.0354 | 0.0392 |
p<0.05
p<0.1
Note(s):
Standard errors correct for correlation across repeated observations
on individual plants. All regressions are run with demeaned data (period-
and 2-digit industry- specific mean is subtracted from each variable).
Data cells are left blank when variables are not included in the model.
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